Kurt Suzuki

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1983-10-04

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2020	36	MLBWSH	129	.270/.357/.396	2	1	112	0.7
2021	37	MLBLAA	247	.224/.298/.342	6	0	81	0.0
2022	38	MLBLAA	159	.180/.269/.295	4	0	60	-0.5
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

xwOBA22

Barrel%14

Avg EV10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	A+	Stockton Ports	—	523	441	122	26	5	12	63	61	12	5	3	277	382	440	822	163	295	12	12	365	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	444	376	107	26	1	7	58	50	9	5	3	285	393	415	808	130	312	11	13	366	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	248	213	53	13	0	7	24	39	3	0	0	249	333	408	742	160	267	16	10	323	105	+1	+0	+5	+9	+5	2.0
2007	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	240	211	59	9	0	3	21	41	4	0	0	280	356	365	721	85	329	17	9	325	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	588	530	148	25	1	7	44	69	11	2	3	279	347	370	717	91	310	12	7	325	105	+3	-1	+19	+10	+13	4.5
2009	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	614	570	156	37	1	15	28	59	8	8	2	274	317	421	738	147	280	10	5	324	105	+4	+1	-4	+11	+13	2.5
2010	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	544	495	120	18	2	13	33	49	12	3	2	242	306	366	671	123	245	9	6	301	90	-6	-0	+5	+10	+12	2.0
2011	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	515	460	109	26	0	14	38	64	7	2	2	237	305	385	690	148	244	12	7	304	94	-4	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.8
2012	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	442	408	96	20	0	6	20	73	5	2	0	235	279	328	608	93	269	17	5	270	65	-19	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.3
2013	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	316	285	66	13	1	5	22	35	3	2	0	232	294	337	630	105	245	11	7	281	69	-12	+0	-8	+6	+7	-0.7
2014	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	503	452	130	34	0	3	34	46	9	0	1	288	349	383	732	95	310	9	7	327	107	+4	-0	-14	+9	+11	0.9
2015	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	479	433	104	17	0	5	29	59	7	0	0	240	299	314	613	74	265	12	6	275	68	-18	+0	-5	+9	+10	-0.4
2016	32	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	373	345	89	24	1	8	18	48	5	0	0	258	304	403	707	145	276	13	5	311	96	-2	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.9
2017	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	309	276	78	13	0	19	17	39	13	0	0	283	353	536	889	254	268	13	6	386	144	+16	+0	-9	+6	+7	2.0
2018	34	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	388	347	94	24	0	12	22	43	13	0	0	271	338	444	782	173	275	11	6	343	118	+9	+0	-3	+7	+8	2.1
2019	35	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	309	280	74	11	0	17	20	36	6	0	1	264	327	486	813	221	248	12	6	354	124	+9	-0	-6	+6	+7	1.5
2020	36	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	129	111	30	8	0	2	11	19	4	1	0	270	357	396	754	126	301	15	9	334	112	+2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.7
2021	37	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	247	219	49	8	0	6	12	44	11	0	0	224	298	342	640	119	250	18	5	287	81	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.0
2022	38	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	159	139	25	4	0	4	15	29	2	0	0	180	269	295	564	115	194	18	9	256	60	-8	+0	-4	+3	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	6163	5563	1421	295	6	143	387	751	119	20	11	255	318	388	705	132	270	12	6	313	98	-16	-0	-35	+114	+134	20.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	523	458	111	22	4	11	46	82	12	5	3	242	328	380	707	138	263	16	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	444	393	101	23	1	6	41	61	9	5	3	257	341	366	707	109	290	14	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	248	213	53	13	0	7	24	39	3	0	0	249	333	408	742	160	267	16	10	323	105	+1	+0	+5	+9	+5	2.0
2007	23	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	240	217	54	8	0	2	15	53	4	0	0	249	309	313	623	65	304	22	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	588	532	148	25	1	7	42	69	11	2	3	278	344	368	712	90	310	12	7	323	105	+3	-1	+19	+10	+13	4.5
2009	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	614	570	156	37	1	15	28	59	8	8	2	274	317	421	738	147	280	10	5	324	105	+4	+1	-4	+11	+13	2.5
2010	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	544	498	120	17	2	14	30	49	12	3	2	241	300	367	667	127	245	9	6	302	90	-6	-0	+5	+10	+12	2.0
2011	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	515	461	109	25	0	15	37	64	7	2	2	236	303	388	691	152	244	12	7	307	94	-4	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.8
2012	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	442	411	96	20	0	6	17	73	5	2	0	234	273	326	599	92	269	17	4	264	65	-19	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.3
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	316	291	66	13	1	5	16	35	3	2	0	227	274	330	604	103	245	11	5	270	69	-12	+0	-8	+6	+7	-0.7
2014	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	503	452	130	34	0	3	34	46	9	0	1	288	349	383	732	95	310	9	7	327	107	+4	-0	-14	+9	+11	0.9
2015	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	479	437	104	17	0	5	25	59	7	0	0	238	290	311	601	73	265	12	5	269	68	-18	+0	-5	+9	+10	-0.4
2016	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	373	345	89	24	1	8	18	48	5	0	0	258	304	403	707	145	276	13	5	311	96	-2	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.9
2017	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	309	278	78	13	0	19	15	39	13	0	0	281	346	532	879	252	268	13	5	381	144	+16	+0	-9	+6	+7	2.0
2018	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	388	347	94	24	0	12	22	43	13	0	0	271	338	444	782	173	275	11	6	343	118	+9	+0	-3	+7	+8	2.1
2019	35	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	309	281	74	11	0	17	19	36	6	0	1	263	324	484	808	221	248	12	6	351	124	+9	-0	-6	+6	+7	1.5
2020	36	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	129	111	30	8	0	2	11	19	4	1	0	270	357	396	754	126	301	15	9	333	112	+2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.7
2021	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	247	219	49	8	0	6	12	44	11	0	0	224	298	342	640	119	250	18	5	288	81	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.0
2022	38	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	159	139	25	4	0	4	15	29	2	0	0	180	269	295	564	115	194	18	9	257	60	-8	+0	-4	+3	+3	-0.5
2005	21	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	523	458	111	22	4	11	46	82	12	5	3	242	328	380	707	138	270	16	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ RAW	Stockton Ports	—	523	441	122	26	5	12	63	61	12	5	3	277	382	440	822	163	295	12	12	365	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	444	393	101	23	1	6	41	61	9	5	3	257	341	366	707	109	291	14	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	444	376	107	26	1	7	58	50	9	5	3	285	393	415	808	130	312	11	13	366	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	488	430	107	21	0	9	39	92	7	0	0	249	321	360	682	112	291	19	8	301	90	-6	+0	+5	+9	+11	1.9
2007	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	488	424	112	22	0	10	45	80	7	0	0	264	345	387	731	123	298	16	9	324	90	-6	+0	+5	+9	+11	1.9
2008	24	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	588	532	148	25	1	7	42	69	11	2	3	278	344	368	712	90	309	12	7	323	105	+3	-1	+19	+10	+13	4.5
2008	24	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	588	530	148	25	1	7	44	69	11	2	3	279	347	370	717	91	310	12	7	325	105	+3	-1	+19	+10	+13	4.5
2009	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	614	570	156	37	1	15	28	59	8	8	2	274	317	421	738	147	280	10	5	324	105	+4	+1	-4	+11	+13	2.5
2009	25	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	614	570	156	37	1	15	28	59	8	8	2	274	317	421	738	147	280	10	5	324	105	+4	+1	-4	+11	+13	2.5
2010	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	544	498	120	17	2	14	30	49	12	3	2	241	300	367	667	127	241	9	6	302	90	-6	-0	+5	+10	+12	2.0
2010	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	544	495	120	18	2	13	33	49	12	3	2	242	306	366	671	123	245	9	6	301	90	-6	-0	+5	+10	+12	2.0
2011	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	515	461	109	25	0	15	37	64	7	2	2	236	303	388	691	152	242	12	7	307	94	-4	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.8
2011	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	515	460	109	26	0	14	38	64	7	2	2	237	305	385	690	148	244	12	7	304	94	-4	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.8
2012	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	442	411	96	20	0	6	17	73	5	2	0	234	273	326	599	92	267	17	4	264	65	-19	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.3
2012	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	442	408	96	20	0	6	20	73	5	2	0	235	279	328	608	93	269	17	5	270	65	-19	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.3
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	316	291	66	13	1	5	16	35	3	2	0	227	274	330	604	103	239	11	5	270	69	-12	+0	-8	+6	+7	-0.7
2013	29	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	316	285	66	13	1	5	22	35	3	2	0	232	294	337	630	105	245	11	7	281	69	-12	+0	-8	+6	+7	-0.7
2014	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	503	452	130	34	0	3	34	46	9	0	1	288	349	383	732	95	310	9	7	327	107	+4	-0	-14	+9	+11	0.9
2014	30	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	503	452	130	34	0	3	34	46	9	0	1	288	349	383	732	95	310	9	7	327	107	+4	-0	-14	+9	+11	0.9
2015	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	479	437	104	17	0	5	25	59	7	0	0	238	290	311	601	73	263	12	5	269	68	-18	+0	-5	+9	+10	-0.4
2015	31	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	479	433	104	17	0	5	29	59	7	0	0	240	299	314	613	74	265	12	6	275	68	-18	+0	-5	+9	+10	-0.4
2016	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	373	345	89	24	1	8	18	48	5	0	0	258	304	403	707	145	276	13	5	311	96	-2	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.9
2016	32	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	373	345	89	24	1	8	18	48	5	0	0	258	304	403	707	145	276	13	5	311	96	-2	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.9
2017	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	309	278	78	13	0	19	15	39	13	0	0	281	346	532	879	252	266	13	5	381	144	+16	+0	-9	+6	+7	2.0
2017	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	309	276	78	13	0	19	17	39	13	0	0	283	353	536	889	254	268	13	6	386	144	+16	+0	-9	+6	+7	2.0
2018	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	388	347	94	24	0	12	22	43	13	0	0	271	338	444	782	173	275	11	6	343	118	+9	+0	-3	+7	+8	2.1
2018	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	388	347	94	24	0	12	22	43	13	0	0	271	338	444	782	173	275	11	6	343	118	+9	+0	-3	+7	+8	2.1
2019	35	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	309	281	74	11	0	17	19	36	6	0	1	263	324	484	808	221	247	12	6	351	124	+9	-0	-6	+6	+7	1.5
2019	35	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	309	280	74	11	0	17	20	36	6	0	1	264	327	486	813	221	248	12	6	354	124	+9	-0	-6	+6	+7	1.5
2020	36	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	129	111	30	8	0	2	11	19	4	1	0	270	357	396	754	126	301	15	9	333	112	+2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.7
2020	36	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	129	111	30	8	0	2	11	19	4	1	0	270	357	396	754	126	301	15	9	334	112	+2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.7
2021	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	247	219	49	8	0	6	12	44	11	0	0	224	298	342	640	119	250	18	5	288	81	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.0
2021	37	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	247	219	49	8	0	6	12	44	11	0	0	224	298	342	640	119	250	18	5	287	81	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.0
2022	38	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	159	139	25	4	0	4	15	29	2	0	0	180	269	295	564	115	194	18	9	257	60	-8	+0	-4	+3	+3	-0.5
2022	38	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	159	139	25	4	0	4	15	29	2	0	0	180	269	295	564	115	194	18	9	256	60	-8	+0	-4	+3	+3	-0.5
2005	21	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	523	460	111	22	4	11	46	82	12	5	3	241	328	378	706	137	263	16	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	444	391	101	23	1	6	41	61	9	5	3	258	341	368	709	110	290	14	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	488	439	107	21	0	9	39	92	7	0	0	244	321	353	675	109	285	19	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	588	530	148	25	1	7	42	69	11	2	3	279	344	370	713	91	310	12	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	614	573	156	37	1	15	28	59	8	8	2	272	317	419	736	147	280	10	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	544	497	120	17	2	14	30	49	12	3	2	241	300	368	668	127	245	9	6	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	515	466	109	25	0	15	37	64	7	2	2	234	303	384	687	150	244	12	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	442	417	96	20	0	6	17	73	5	2	0	230	273	321	594	91	269	17	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	316	294	66	13	1	5	16	35	3	2	0	224	274	327	601	102	245	11	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	503	455	130	34	0	3	34	46	9	0	1	286	349	380	730	95	310	9	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	479	444	104	17	0	5	25	59	7	0	0	234	290	306	596	72	265	12	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	373	347	89	24	1	8	18	48	5	0	0	256	304	401	705	144	276	13	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	309	278	78	13	0	19	15	39	13	0	0	281	346	532	879	252	268	13	5	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	388	350	94	24	0	12	22	43	13	0	0	269	338	440	778	171	275	11	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	309	281	74	11	0	17	19	36	6	0	1	263	324	484	808	221	248	12	6	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	129	113	30	8	0	2	11	19	4	1	0	265	357	389	747	124	301	15	9	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	247	222	49	8	0	6	12	44	11	0	0	221	298	338	635	117	250	18	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	38	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	159	141	25	4	0	4	15	29	2	0	0	177	269	291	560	113	194	18	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6163	5563	1421	295	6	143	387	751	119	20	11	255	318	388	705	132	270	12	6	313	96	-16	-0	-35	+114	+134	20.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	150	31	1	15	41	79	13	2	1	256	319	388	707	133	270	12	6	313	96	-2	-0	-4	+12	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7370	6653	1687	346	11	164	467	947	144	30	17	254	316	383	699	129	271	13	6	310	96	-16	-0	-35	+114	+134	20.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	149	31	1	14	41	84	13	3	1	254	317	382	699	128	272	13	6	310	96	-2	-0	-4	+12	+14	2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2007 AAASacramento River Cats · 240 PAwOBA .319 → .279 (−39)K% 17.1% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.08%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	22.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.20%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	1.71%
Singles /BIP	27.65%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.997	×1.048	26.00%
Doubles /BIP	5.29%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.997	×1.048	4.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.997	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.44%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .319 → .279; ISO .085 → .070; BABIP .329 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAMidland RockHounds · 444 PAwOBA .358 → .315 (−43)K% 11.3% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.26%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.84%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	9.23%
HBP% /PA	2.03%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	1.81%
Singles /BIP	22.39%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.010	×1.027	21.36%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.010	×1.027	6.95%
Triples /BIP	0.31%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.010	×1.027	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	2.15%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.76%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .358 → .315; ISO .130 → .114; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 A+Stockton Ports · 523 PAwOBA .359 → .308 (−51)K% 11.7% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.66%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	15.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.05%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	8.66%
HBP% /PA	2.29%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	1.83%
Singles /BIP	20.79%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.002	×1.012	19.18%
Doubles /BIP	6.84%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.002	×1.012	5.69%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.000	×0.760	×1.002	×1.012	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	3.16%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.012	2.94%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .359 → .308; ISO .163 → .145; BABIP .295 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).