Willy Adames — OGILVIE

Willy AdamesSS San Francisco Giants

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 216 lbs MLB HR -8%H -3% Svc 7.610 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 268 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8193vR 123

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .312 / .434

PA268

HR11

K%27

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO190

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 57 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT57

Whiff%

5910.0%

xwOBA

640.325

POWER66

Barrel%

7211.5

Avg EV

4488.7

Bat Spd

6272.7

EYE54

Chase%

8824.2%

SPEED53

Sprint

5527.7

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1490 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

392

1098

—

wRC+

124

▶▶R

wOBA

286

347

▶▶R

ISO

166

213

▶▶R

BABIP

230

298

▶▶R

27.0%

25.7%

▶R

BB%

11.2%

10.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.610 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$10M	+0.9	$4M	-$7M
2027	Ext	$26M	+3.3	$24M	+$1M
2028	Ext	$26M	+2.8	$19M	-$2M
2029	Ext	$26M	+1.9	$12M	-$7M
2030	Ext	$26M	+1.1	$6M	-$11M
2031	Ext	$26M	+0.4	$1M	-$14M
Totals		$140M		$67M	-$39M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$39M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	267	221	42	9	4	1	35	63	6	9	12	190	317	281	597	90	256	24	13	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	267	200	49	12	5	1	56	44	6	9	12	245	424	370	794	125	304	16	21	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	514	472	113	17	15	6	32	175	4	6	6	239	293	377	670	138	365	34	6	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	514	450	122	19	14	8	54	126	4	6	6	271	354	429	783	158	358	25	11	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	456	410	86	21	3	5	40	182	0	10	1	210	280	312	592	102	354	40	9	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	456	396	102	24	6	4	54	123	0	10	1	258	347	379	725	121	356	27	12	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	2 teams	—	604	537	127	26	6	9	56	172	4	13	6	236	313	358	671	121	327	28	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	2 teams	—	604	516	138	31	6	11	77	130	4	13	6	267	367	415	782	147	334	22	13	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	578	525	122	25	4	8	46	150	3	11	5	232	298	341	639	109	308	26	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	578	506	140	30	5	10	65	132	3	11	5	277	362	415	777	138	354	23	11	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	MLB	2 teams	—	601	542	138	14	5	14	49	170	2	9	8	255	319	376	695	122	340	28	8	302	90	-7	-1	-4	+6	+17	1.1
2018	22	MLB	2 teams	—	601	533	150	16	5	14	58	161	2	9	8	281	354	409	763	128	373	27	10	339	118	+12	-1	-4	+6	+17	3.1
2019	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	584	531	134	26	1	21	46	153	3	4	2	252	316	424	739	171	316	26	8	322	104	+3	+0	+10	+6	+17	3.6
2019	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	584	531	135	25	1	20	46	153	3	4	2	254	317	418	735	164	320	26	8	326	107	+5	+0	+10	+6	+17	3.8
2020	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	205	185	48	16	1	8	20	74	0	2	1	259	332	486	818	227	388	36	10	357	131	+7	+0	-2	+2	+6	1.3
2020	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	205	185	48	15	1	8	20	74	0	2	1	259	332	481	813	222	388	36	10	357	131	+7	+0	-2	+2	+6	1.4
2021	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	555	497	133	33	1	26	57	156	0	5	4	268	343	495	838	227	339	28	10	362	135	+22	-1	-2	+6	+16	4.2
2021	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	555	497	130	32	1	25	57	156	0	5	4	262	338	481	818	219	331	28	10	360	133	+21	-1	-2	+6	+16	4.0
2022	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	617	563	137	32	0	32	49	166	1	8	3	243	305	471	776	227	285	27	8	332	112	+9	+0	+11	+7	+17	4.5
2022	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	617	563	134	31	0	31	49	166	1	8	3	238	300	458	758	220	278	27	8	331	112	+8	+0	+11	+7	+17	4.5
2023	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	638	555	123	30	2	25	71	165	6	5	3	222	316	418	734	196	264	26	11	320	103	+2	-0	+15	+7	+18	4.3
2023	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	638	553	120	29	2	24	71	165	6	5	3	217	312	407	719	190	259	26	11	318	102	+1	-0	+15	+7	+18	4.2
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	688	610	156	34	0	33	74	173	1	21	4	256	337	474	811	218	302	25	11	351	127	+21	+3	+4	+7	+19	5.5
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	688	610	153	33	0	32	74	173	1	21	4	251	333	462	795	211	297	25	11	350	126	+20	+3	+4	+7	+19	5.5
2025	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	686	592	139	23	2	33	80	179	5	12	4	235	331	448	779	213	272	26	12	335	115	+12	+1	+7	+7	+19	4.7
2025	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	686	591	133	22	2	30	80	179	5	12	4	225	322	421	743	196	263	26	12	328	109	+7	+1	+7	+7	+19	4.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	SF	—	384	357	82	21	1	15	25	107	1	2	2	230	282	420	702	190	284	28	7	306	92	-3	-0	-3	+4	+11	0.9
YTD	30	MLB	SF	—	384	357	82	21	1	15	25	107	1	2	2	230	282	420	702	190	284	28	7	309	95	-2	-0	-3	+4	+11	1.0
ROS	30	MLB	SF	100%	268	242	59	13	0	11	23	72	1	3	1	244	312	434	746	190	298	27	9	332	112	+4	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.5
ROS	30	MLB	SF	100%	268	242	57	12	0	11	23	72	1	3	1	236	305	421	726	186	292	27	9	322	105	+1	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.2
FULL	30	MLB	SF	—	652	599	139	33	1	26	48	179	2	5	3	232	291	421	712	189	285	27	7	312	97	-2	-0	-3	+7	+18	2.1
TOT	30	MLB	SF	—	652	599	141	34	1	26	48	179	2	5	3	235	294	426	720	190	290	27	7	316	100	+0	-0	-3	+7	+18	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SF	100%	660	595	144	31	1	27	57	180	3	7	3	242	311	434	745	192	298	27	9	329	110	+8	+0	-2	+7	+19	3.2
2028	32	MLB	SF	100%	660	596	142	30	1	27	57	182	2	6	2	238	307	428	735	190	294	28	9	323	105	+4	+0	-3	+7	+19	2.8
2029	33	MLB	SF	100%	570	514	120	25	1	22	49	160	2	4	2	233	303	414	717	181	289	28	9	315	100	-0	+0	-4	+6	+16	1.8
2030	34	MLB	SF	100%	514	463	104	21	1	19	44	148	2	3	1	225	295	397	692	173	282	29	9	305	92	-5	+0	-5	+6	+15	1.1
2031	35	MLB	SF	100%	458	416	89	17	1	16	38	135	1	2	1	214	281	375	656	161	273	29	8	294	83	-9	+0	-5	+5	+13	0.4
2027	31	MLB	SF	100%	660	595	141	30	1	26	57	180	3	7	3	237	307	422	729	185	292	27	9	320	103	+2	+0	-2	+7	+19	2.6
2028	32	MLB	SF	100%	660	596	139	29	1	26	57	182	2	6	2	233	302	416	718	183	288	28	9	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+7	+19	2.2
2029	33	MLB	SF	100%	570	514	117	24	1	21	49	160	2	4	2	228	297	401	698	173	283	28	9	306	93	-5	+0	-4	+6	+16	1.4
2030	34	MLB	SF	100%	514	463	101	20	1	18	44	148	2	3	1	218	289	382	671	164	276	29	9	297	85	-8	+0	-5	+6	+15	0.7
2031	35	MLB	SF	100%	458	416	88	17	1	16	38	135	1	2	1	212	279	373	652	161	268	29	8	286	77	-12	+0	-5	+5	+13	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7426	6644	1576	326	12	298	696	2038	28	88	36	237	312	424	736	187	294	27	9	324	106	+53	+3	+20	+83	+210	37.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	138	29	1	26	61	178	2	8	3	237	312	424	736	187	293	27	9	324	106	+5	+0	+2	+7	+18	3.3
Career	—			—	10123	9066	2156	443	49	343	923	2855	46	140	69	238	311	411	722	173	306	28	9	316	100	-3	+0	+20	+108	+287	42.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	138	28	3	22	59	183	3	9	4	237	310	409	719	172	304	28	9	316	100	-0	+0	+1	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	267	200	49	12	5	1	56	44	6	9	12	245	424	370	794	125	304	16	21	364	136	+11	-3	—	—	+8	1.6
2014	18	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	514	450	122	19	14	8	54	126	4	6	6	271	354	429	783	158	358	25	11	345	123	+13	-1	—	—	+15	2.7
2015	19	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	456	396	102	24	6	4	54	123	0	10	1	258	347	379	725	121	356	27	12	325	107	+3	+2	—	—	+13	1.8
2016	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	486	133	31	6	11	74	121	4	13	6	274	374	430	804	156	342	21	13	359	133	+21	+0	—	—	+16	3.8
2016	20	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	36	30	5	0	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	167	242	167	409		217	25	8	184	-1	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	578	506	140	30	5	10	65	132	3	11	5	277	362	415	777	138	354	23	11	348	124	+16	+0	—	—	+16	3.3
2018	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	288	80	7	0	10	31	95	1	6	5	278	350	406	756	128	378	29	10	338	117	+6	-1	-4	+6	+9	1.7
2018	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	278	245	70	9	5	4	27	66	1	3	3	286	359	412	771	127	367	24	10	340	119	+6	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2019	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	584	531	135	25	1	20	46	153	3	4	2	254	317	418	735	164	320	26	8	326	107	+5	+0	+10	+6	+17	3.8
2020	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	205	185	48	15	1	8	20	74	0	2	1	259	332	481	813	222	388	36	10	357	131	+7	+0	-2	+2	+6	1.4
2021	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	555	497	130	32	1	25	57	156	0	5	4	262	338	481	818	219	331	28	10	360	133	+21	-1	-2	+6	+16	4.0
2022	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	617	563	134	31	0	31	49	166	1	8	3	238	300	458	758	220	278	27	8	331	112	+8	+0	+11	+7	+17	4.5
2023	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	638	553	120	29	2	24	71	165	6	5	3	217	312	407	719	190	259	26	11	318	102	+1	-0	+15	+7	+18	4.2
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	688	610	153	33	0	32	74	173	1	21	4	251	333	462	795	211	297	25	11	350	126	+20	+3	+4	+7	+19	5.5
2025	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	686	591	133	22	2	30	80	179	5	12	4	225	322	421	743	196	263	26	12	328	109	+7	+1	+7	+7	+19	4.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4296	3818	933	194	7	180	428	1161	17	63	26	244	323	440	763	196	301	27	10	337	116	+76	+2	+39	+49	+122	29.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#2Brandon Crawfordlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,318 PA	14	6,318	147	47	249	318	395	+68	+142	38.9	34.0
	/162	664	15	5	249	318	395	+7.1	+14.9	4.1	pk7: 29
#3Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	8,194	336	98	240	311	432	+81	+88	38.3	31.6
	/162	664	27	8	240	311	432	+6.6	+7.1	3.1	pk7: 25
#4Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#5Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#6Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Adames (OGILVIE)	30	57	66	53	54	235/294/426	190	290	26	5	27%	7%	100	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyrone Taylor 2023 · MLB	29	47→52	59→65	49→55	45	251/312/469	218	289	27	8	24%	6%	120	+3.1	241/293/423	182	289	19	16	23%	5%	100	+1.7	234/285/393	159	286	14	21	23%	5%	85	+0.4
●Todd Frazier 2016 · MLB	30	47→51	57→60	46→50	48	251/313/451	200	277	26	13	21%	7%	115	+2.8	226/314/435	209	250	29	11	23%	10%	112	+2.6	212/314/416	204	232	29	10	23%	11%	104	+1.9
✕Jedd Gyorko 2019 · MLB	30	50→53	55→60	48→45	54	261/336/447	186	296	23	5	21%	10%	123	+3.3	246/324/423	177	293	23	7	24%	10%	113	+2.6	217/301/394	177	251	28	5	26%	10%	92	+0.3
✕Jonathan Schoop 2022 · MLB	30	54→57	55→60	48→45	44	278/325/459	181	319	23	3	21%	6%	122	+3.3	236/284/370	134	283	14	5	21%	6%	82	+0.5	210/256/325	114	255	11	5	22%	5%	55	-0.8
●Scott Hairston 2010 · MLB	30	49→51	56→60	50	47	255/308/454	199	283	23	10	20%	7%	114	+2.7	244/305/436	192	275	24	11	21%	7%	108	+2.3	240/301/444	204	267	26	10	21%	7%	105	+1.0
●Adam Jones 2016 · MLB	30	51→55	56→60	49→50	41	266/303/452	186	290	25	6	19%	4%	111	+2.5	264/305/427	163	290	22	4	17%	5%	105	+2.1	265/306/416	151	291	20	3	17%	5%	100	+1.9
✕Keith Ginter 2006 · MLB	30	46→51	53→55	49→45	50	237/310/413	177	269	21	7	21%	8%	105	+2.1	220/300/350	130	255	14	5	19%	8%	84	+0.6	212/296/322	109	250	12	4	19%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Pedro Feliz 2005 · MLB	30	50→54	58→60	46→45	44	264/298/471	207	281	26	6	18%	5%	115	+2.7	252/292/433	181	272	21	3	16%	6%	102	+1.8	246/288/419	172	263	20	1	15%	5%	92	+1.2
✕Jose Leon 2007 · MLB	30	48	57→55	49→30	42	253/297/443	189	298	26	5	25%	5%	107	+2.2	257/307/419	162	303	21	5	22%	6%	105	+2.1	262/314/418	156	312	20	1	22%	6%	102	+0.7
✕Todd Greene 2001 · MLB	30	46	57→65	48→30	47	247/301/438	191	271	26	7	21%	7%	107	+2.2	240/276/425	185	266	25	5	21%	4%	93	+1.3	280/323/471	190	319	23	0	20%	6%	115	+0.9
✕Javier Báez 2023 · MLB	30	48→58	55→65	51→55	39	250/296/436	186	314	24	13	28%	5%	105	+2.1	235/277/374	139	290	16	12	24%	4%	79	+0.3	232/270/357	126	286	14	12	24%	4%	70	-0.2
●Christian Walker 2021 · MLB	30	48→53	55→60	48→45	49	247/321/438	190	300	23	6	25%	9%	115	+2.8	244/320/433	189	281	23	4	22%	9%	114	+2.7	241/326/460	219	262	29	5	21%	10%	119	+3.2
✕Gary Sánchez 2023 · MLB	30	37→47	55→65	48→45	49	206/293/391	184	253	24	3	29%	10%	92	+1.2	225/308/426	201	270	28	3	27%	9%	108	+2.3	224/310/436	212	260	32	1	27%	9%	109	+1.1
★Brian Dozier 2017 · MLB	30	46→56	61→65	53→50	53	251/328/482	231	271	28	14	20%	9%	129	+3.7	250/335/464	214	279	26	12	20%	11%	128	+3.6	244/337/445	201	273	25	10	21%	11%	119	+3.1
●Travis d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	30	47→54	52→60	47→45	49	245/301/410	165	266	21	4	18%	7%	99	+1.7	256/319/443	187	301	24	3	23%	8%	116	+2.8	264/323/455	191	313	24	1	23%	6%	119	+1.4
✕Stephen Piscotty 2021 · MLB	30	49→54	54→60	51→45	46	252/310/428	176	297	22	7	23%	7%	108	+2.3	226/284/367	141	290	17	6	27%	7%	81	+0.4	209/270/334	125	268	16	3	27%	6%	64	-0.3
●Dansby Swanson 2023 · MLB	29	52→55	54→55	48→55	46	265/323/446	181	328	23	12	26%	8%	118	+3.0	248/316/413	165	308	20	14	25%	9%	106	+2.2	239/311/399	160	295	19	15	25%	9%	98	+1.6
●Brandon Dixon 2022 · MLB	30	49	53→65	51→55	39	245/295/421	175	328	21	9	31%	6%	99	+1.7	248/311/478	230	334	32	14	34%	7%	122	+3.3	231/295/453	222	318	32	14	36%	7%	108	+1.1
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	43→40	58→65	48→45	44	232/297/443	211	273	26	5	26%	7%	107	+2.2	209/274/366	157	263	19	6	28%	6%	77	+0.1	192/258/327	135	242	17	4	28%	6%	58	-0.6
●Brandon Inge 2007 · MLB	30	50→56	53→55	45	50	257/320/438	181	293	21	7	20%	8%	115	+2.7	232/310/397	165	283	19	7	24%	9%	100	+1.7	230/316/395	165	282	19	4	25%	9%	98	+1.4