Paul DeJong — OGILVIE

Paul DeJong3B Toledo Mud Hens

Age 32 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION179 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8390vR 108

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .293 / .418

PA190

HR9

K%32

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO200

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1018.2%

xwOBA

260.281

POWER55

Barrel%

558.9

Avg EV

2387.0

Bat Spd

5872.2

EYE35

Chase%

1638.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

3026.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 690 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

192

498

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

277

307

▶R

ISO

198

177

◀L

BABIP

249

308

▶▶R

38.0%

30.7%

▶▶R

BB%

6.3%

4.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$0.8M
Totals		$0.9M		$0.2M	-$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	2 teams	—	292	268	69	13	3	7	17	72	5	13	4	257	314	407	721	149	325	25	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A	2 teams	—	292	256	81	18	3	9	29	52	5	13	4	316	397	516	912	199	365	18	10	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	2 teams	—	626	578	127	27	2	17	30	203	10	4	3	220	270	362	632	142	301	32	5	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	2 teams	—	626	565	145	30	2	23	43	165	10	4	3	257	320	439	759	182	317	26	7	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB	2 teams	—	633	597	160	32	1	35	27	182	6	1	2	268	306	501	807	233	327	29	4	346	123	+17	-1	-8	+7	+18	3.4
2017	23	MLB	2 teams	—	633	594	172	35	1	38	30	170	6	1	2	290	330	544	874	254	345	27	5	379	148	+34	-1	-8	+7	+18	5.2
2018	24	MLB	2 teams	—	505	450	109	27	1	20	37	128	12	1	1	242	317	440	757	198	289	25	7	326	107	+4	-0	-4	+5	+14	2.0
2018	24	MLB	2 teams	—	505	449	109	27	1	20	37	127	12	1	1	243	317	441	758	198	289	25	7	332	112	+7	-0	-4	+5	+14	2.3
2019	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	664	583	136	31	1	30	62	149	13	9	5	233	321	444	765	211	259	22	9	333	113	+10	-0	+10	+7	+19	4.6
2019	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	664	583	136	31	1	30	62	149	13	9	5	233	321	444	765	211	259	22	9	337	116	+12	-0	+10	+7	+19	4.9
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	174	152	38	6	0	3	17	50	1	1	0	250	329	349	678	99	340	29	10	300	88	-2	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	174	152	38	6	0	3	17	50	1	1	0	250	329	349	678	99	340	29	10	303	90	-2	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.4
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	356	70	10	1	19	35	103	9	4	1	197	285	390	675	194	216	26	9	299	87	-6	+0	+6	+4	+11	1.6
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	356	70	10	1	19	35	103	9	4	1	197	285	390	675	194	216	26	9	302	89	-5	+0	+6	+4	+11	1.7
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	467	419	73	17	0	19	33	145	6	4	3	174	245	351	595	177	205	31	7	261	58	-22	-0	+5	+5	+13	0.1
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	467	411	83	19	0	23	41	131	6	4	3	202	284	416	700	214	226	28	9	305	91	-4	-0	+5	+5	+13	1.9
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	440	408	90	16	0	17	24	136	6	4	4	221	274	385	659	164	284	31	5	290	80	-10	-1	+9	+5	+12	1.6
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	440	406	89	16	0	16	26	133	6	4	4	219	276	377	653	158	282	30	6	291	81	-10	-1	+9	+5	+12	1.6
2024	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	482	445	105	18	0	26	23	156	9	2	2	236	287	452	739	216	295	32	5	317	100	+0	-0	+5	+5	+14	2.4
2024	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	482	445	101	17	0	24	23	156	9	2	2	227	279	427	706	200	285	32	5	309	94	-3	-0	+5	+5	+14	2.1
2025	31	MLB	2 teams	—	254	234	54	11	0	7	14	86	2	5	1	231	280	368	648	137	324	34	6	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2025	31	MLB	2 teams	—	254	233	55	11	0	7	15	82	2	5	1	236	288	373	661	137	324	32	6	292	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	AAA	DET	—	179	149	25	5	0	10	23	54	3	0	1	168	291	403	694	235	169	30	13	297	86	-3	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
YTD	32	AAA	DET	—	179	139	27	6	0	11	33	45	3	0	1	194	360	475	835	281	184	25	18	362	136	+7	-0	+0	+2	+5	1.4
ROS	32	AAA	DET	10%	190	170	37	7	0	9	15	60	3	2	1	218	293	418	710	200	270	32	8	308	94	-1	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
ROS	32	MLB	DET	10%	19	18	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	222	263	444	708	222	265	32	5	291	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	32	AAA	DET	—	198	167	29	6	0	11	24	60	3	0	1	174	289	407	696	234	180	30	12	297	85	-3	-0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
TOT	32	AAA	DET	—	369	319	62	12	0	19	38	114	6	2	2	194	292	411	703	216	225	31	10	303	90	-4	-0	+0	+4	+10	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	DET	100%	339	305	65	13	0	15	26	109	5	2	1	213	286	403	689	190	272	32	8	304	91	-4	+0	-4	+4	+10	0.6
2028	34	MLB	DET	100%	295	266	54	10	0	12	23	97	4	1	1	203	276	376	652	173	263	33	8	294	83	-6	-0	-5	+3	+8	0.1
2029	35	MLB	DET	100%	243	220	43	8	0	10	18	82	3	1	0	195	266	368	634	173	254	34	7	282	74	-7	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.3
2027	33	MLB	DET	100%	339	305	63	12	0	14	26	109	5	2	1	207	280	384	663	177	266	32	8	287	78	-8	+0	-4	+4	+10	0.1
2028	34	MLB	DET	100%	295	266	53	10	0	12	23	97	4	1	1	199	273	372	645	173	258	33	8	277	70	-10	-0	-5	+3	+8	-0.3
2029	35	MLB	DET	100%	243	220	41	7	0	9	18	82	3	1	0	186	257	341	598	155	249	34	7	266	62	-10	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4396	3973	884	177	4	182	315	1269	70	33	17	223	291	406	698	184	275	29	7	307	93	-35	-0	+7	+51	+125	15.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	131	26	1	27	47	188	10	5	3	223	291	409	700	186	276	29	7	307	93	-5	-0	+1	+8	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	6006	5451	1230	246	9	246	401	1758	94	54	29	226	290	409	700	184	281	29	7	305	92	-57	-1	+7	+63	+170	18.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	134	27	1	27	43	190	10	6	3	227	291	414	704	186	282	29	7	305	92	-6	+0	+1	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	247	219	63	12	3	5	23	43	3	13	4	288	363	438	802	151	335	17	9	356	130	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2015	21	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	45	37	18	6	0	4	6	9	2	0	0	486	578	973	1.551	486	583	20	13	643	350	+13	+0	—	—	+1	1.4
2016	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	552	496	129	29	2	22	40	144	10	3	2	260	328	460	788	200	318	26	7	345	122	+14	-0	—	—	+16	3.0
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	74	69	16	1	0	1	3	21	0	1	1	232	264	290	554	58	306	28	4	245	46	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2017	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	443	417	119	26	1	25	21	124	4	1	0	285	326	532	858	247	349	28	5	373	144	+22	+0	-8	+7	+13	3.4
2017	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	190	177	53	9	0	13	9	46	2	0	2	299	340	571	911	271	336	24	5	392	158	+12	-1	—	—	+5	1.7
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	490	436	105	25	1	19	36	123	12	1	1	241	315	433	749	193	288	25	7	330	110	+6	-0	-4	+5	+14	2.1
2018	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	15	13	4	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	308	357	692	1.049	385	333	27	7	417	177	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2019	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	664	583	136	31	1	30	62	149	13	9	5	233	321	444	765	211	259	22	9	337	116	+12	-0	+10	+7	+19	4.9
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	174	152	38	6	0	3	17	50	1	1	0	250	329	349	678	99	340	29	10	303	90	-2	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.4
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	356	70	10	1	19	35	103	9	4	1	197	285	390	675	194	216	26	9	302	89	-5	+0	+6	+4	+11	1.7
2022	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	237	210	33	9	0	6	21	79	4	3	2	157	247	286	533	129	213	33	9	244	45	-15	-0	+5	+5	+7	0.2
2022	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	230	201	50	10	0	17	20	52	2	1	1	249	323	552	875	303	237	23	9	367	139	+10	-0	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	400	372	77	13	0	14	21	121	5	4	4	207	259	355	614	148	264	30	5	274	67	-15	-1	+9	+5	+11	0.9
2023	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	40	34	12	3	0	2	5	12	1	0	0	353	450	618	1.068	265	500	30	12	464	213	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	482	445	101	17	0	24	23	156	9	2	2	227	279	427	706	200	285	32	5	309	94	-3	-0	+5	+5	+14	2.1
2025	31	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	208	193	44	10	0	6	11	70	1	4	0	228	273	373	646	145	317	34	5	284	76	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2025	31	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	46	40	11	1	0	1	4	12	1	1	1	275	356	375	731	100	357	26	9	327	108	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3500	3164	723	147	4	146	247	975	58	29	15	229	296	416	712	187	278	28	7	314	99	-6	-0	+21	+41	+99	15.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalezlast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,527 PA	13	5,527	140	27	244	289	394	+37	+84	21.1	21.3
	/162	664	17	3	244	289	394	+4.4	+10.1	2.5	pk7: 21
#2Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#3Jason LaRuelast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,000 PA	11	3,000	93	10	232	316	397	+32	+47	16.9	16.2
	/162	664	21	2	232	316	397	+7.1	+10.5	3.7	pk7: 15
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,414	185	34	225	290	411	+41	+46	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	225	290	411	+6.2	+7.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul DeJong (OGILVIE)	32	35	55	45	35	194/292/411	216	225	19	2	31%	10%	90	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cody Ransom 2009 · MLB	33	39→42	54→55	48→50	44	213/277/392	179	263	23	11	29%	7%	85	+0.7	220/281/396	176	280	21	10	29%	7%	88	+0.9	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Donnie Murphy 2015 · MLB	32	38→40	52→65	44→45	41	206/269/365	160	256	20	6	29%	6%	76	+0.0	209/275/331	122	266	13	7	26%	7%	68	-0.5	188/262/268	80	240	7	0	23%	7%	44	-0.6
✕Brad Eldred 2012 · MLB	32	38→40	54→65	47→45	38	209/262/384	175	267	23	10	31%	5%	77	+0.1	234/286/466	232	303	32	11	33%	6%	109	+2.4	231/284/555	324	279	48	9	37%	6%	129	+1.8
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	32	41→42	55	42→40	37	216/273/392	176	304	24	4	37%	6%	84	+0.6	203/263/320	117	300	14	4	35%	6%	60	-1.0	209/258/315	106	305	11	1	34%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Mike Hessman 2010 · MLB	32	35→36	59→65	42→45	41	202/278/412	210	272	28	5	36%	8%	92	+1.2	200/265/390	190	258	25	4	33%	7%	80	+0.4	198/259/397	199	237	27	3	30%	7%	78	+0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2016 · MLB	32	37→47	52→55	45	43	199/270/359	160	268	21	5	34%	8%	74	-0.1	209/281/348	139	282	15	5	30%	8%	76	+0.0	198/269/334	136	266	15	2	30%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Casteel 2022 · AAA	31	39→48	54→55	47→40	38	211/266/381	170	290	23	4	35%	6%	78	+0.2	209/264/389	180	278	25	5	34%	6%	79	+0.3	180/243/396	215	201	33	0	31%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Brandon Snyder 2019 · MLB	32	40→50	53→55	46→45	39	213/272/384	170	290	22	6	34%	6%	81	+0.4	199/258/374	175	305	24	5	42%	6%	73	-0.1	172/237/350	178	262	27	2	44%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Lorenzo Quintana 2021 · AAA	32	44	53→55	45	37	231/274/405	174	281	22	9	27%	4%	87	+0.8	244/292/407	163	302	19	5	25%	5%	95	+1.4	244/292/411	168	297	20	2	25%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Brandon Larson 2007 · MLB	31	44→42	51→50	44→45	41	229/281/386	157	297	20	6	30%	6%	85	+0.7	226/269/377	151	283	19	8	27%	5%	78	+0.2	209/242/358	149	242	21	4	24%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2021 · AAA	31	41→50	57→60	44→50	40	224/284/424	200	291	26	5	32%	6%	97	+1.5	213/262/370	157	294	20	8	34%	6%	72	-0.2	185/231/326	141	255	20	6	36%	5%	46	-1.2
●Trayce Thompson 2022 · MLB	31	37→47	58→65	49→50	41	205/277/402	197	282	27	9	37%	8%	89	+0.9	221/299/433	212	309	28	9	36%	9%	105	+2.1	209/289/418	209	286	28	9	36%	9%	96	+0.8
✕Jason Dubois 2010 · AAA	31	42→45	54→60	44→40	39	225/284/396	172	291	23	5	31%	6%	89	+1.0	243/301/464	221	304	31	6	30%	6%	115	+2.7	244/305/546	301	270	47	0	30%	7%	134	+1.7
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	37	207/267/349	142	269	18	6	30%	4%	70	-0.3	215/276/333	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	175/246/242	68	254	8	0	32%	6%	34	-0.6
✕Ryan Mulhern 2013 · AAA	32	47→48	55	43→40	39	243/293/426	183	310	23	6	30%	5%	101	+1.8	236/287/401	165	295	19	8	27%	5%	92	+1.2	229/283/414	185	264	22	3	22%	4%	94	+0.3
●Jose Vargas 2019 · AAA	31	43	57→60	41→40	36	232/271/423	191	309	27	9	34%	5%	91	+1.1	260/297/508	248	322	37	7	31%	4%	125	+3.5	271/303/573	301	316	48	2	31%	3%	142	+2.2
✕Dallas McPherson 2012 · MLB	32	44	54→65	42→50	37	232/273/403	171	311	23	4	33%	5%	86	+0.8	227/274/384	157	332	20	7	36%	6%	82	+0.5	212/265/373	161	320	21	4	39%	6%	72	-0.1
✕J.P. Arencibia 2016 · MLB	30	34→44	56→60	43→30	33	201/232/380	179	246	27	2	32%	3%	63	-0.8	201/232/341	140	270	19	5	33%	3%	52	-1.6	175/197/280	105	239	15	1	34%	1%	17	-2.5
✕Valentino Pascucci 2011 · AAA	32	40→45	54→55	47→45	50	214/302/388	174	280	22	4	31%	11%	95	+1.4	216/297/383	167	308	21	3	34%	10%	92	+1.2	207/295/373	166	295	22	0	35%	10%	85	+0.5
✕Kyle Garlick 2023 · MLB	31	43→50	59→60	48→40	40	236/292/440	204	298	29	5	31%	6%	105	+2.1	190/259/337	147	277	19	4	37%	7%	63	-0.8	161/235/289	128	238	17	2	39%	8%	40	-2.0