Trayce Thompson — OGILVIE

Trayce ThompsonRF Worcester Red Sox

Age 35 R/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 11.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .268 / .390

PA350

HR15

SB7

K%33

BB%8

ISO192

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1714.7%

xwOBA

810.344

POWER58

Barrel%

9016.1

Avg EV

7991.1

Bat Spd

6372.8

EYE50

Chase%

7926.1%

SPEED50

Sprint

4627.3

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 11.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.1M	-$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2009	18	ROK	Great Falls Voyagers	—	118	109	14	2	1	0	4	59	3	3	0	128	181	165	346	37	275	50	3	151	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK	Great Falls Voyagers	—	118	106	21	3	1	0	7	41	3	3	0	198	267	245	513	47	318	35	6	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	236	219	34	10	2	5	13	97	2	6	4	155	209	288	497	132	244	41	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	236	210	48	13	3	8	21	69	2	6	4	229	303	433	737	205	296	29	9	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	597	543	100	31	2	18	36	213	10	8	4	184	248	348	596	164	259	36	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	597	519	125	36	2	24	60	172	10	8	4	241	331	457	788	216	309	29	10	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	4 teams	—	655	599	114	26	5	25	38	271	7	23	6	190	247	376	623	185	286	41	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	4 teams	—	655	565	141	31	6	27	72	183	7	23	6	250	342	469	811	219	314	28	11	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	2 teams	—	615	548	93	15	3	13	43	219	13	25	9	170	247	279	526	109	246	36	7	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	2 teams	—	615	529	117	23	5	15	62	146	13	25	9	221	318	369	687	147	271	24	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	595	543	104	32	4	15	40	214	4	20	5	192	252	348	600	157	279	36	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	595	518	123	34	6	16	65	151	4	20	5	237	327	419	746	181	301	25	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	552	518	121	26	6	11	28	126	2	12	5	234	276	371	646	137	287	23	5	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	552	510	137	31	7	18	36	105	2	12	5	269	319	463	782	194	306	19	7	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	262	236	56	12	0	14	26	66	0	5	1	237	313	466	779	229	269	25	10	333	113	+4	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.9
2016	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	262	236	53	11	0	13	26	66	0	5	1	225	302	436	738	212	255	25	10	327	108	+2	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.8
2017	26	AAA	2 teams	—	424	397	62	10	4	8	23	143	1	3	5	156	204	262	466	106	218	34	5	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	2 teams	—	424	388	78	14	7	10	32	116	1	3	5	201	264	351	614	149	258	27	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	313	293	39	11	0	5	17	120	0	6	2	133	181	222	402	89	200	38	5	174	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	313	288	49	15	0	7	22	107	0	6	2	170	229	295	524	125	239	34	7	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	371	348	61	7	3	19	19	163	3	8	3	175	224	376	601	201	251	44	5	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	371	334	73	10	3	24	33	134	3	8	3	219	295	482	777	263	277	36	9	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA	2 teams	—	413	367	69	14	1	19	38	146	7	5	1	188	277	387	664	199	246	35	9	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA	2 teams	—	413	351	83	16	1	25	54	131	7	5	1	236	350	501	851	265	296	32	13	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	MLB	2 teams	—	425	378	96	23	2	27	41	150	3	6	2	254	332	540	871	286	338	35	10	369	140	+19	+0	+1	-5	+12	2.8
2022	31	MLB	2 teams	—	425	373	103	25	2	30	46	141	3	6	2	276	360	595	955	319	356	33	11	409	171	+34	+0	+1	-5	+12	4.4
2023	32	MLB	2 teams	—	196	169	29	5	0	6	24	85	3	2	0	172	286	308	593	136	295	43	12	275	69	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2023	32	MLB	2 teams	—	196	169	31	6	0	7	24	83	3	2	0	183	296	343	639	160	304	42	12	293	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2024	33	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	389	73	16	1	16	35	145	2	9	2	188	258	357	616	170	244	34	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	378	88	19	1	23	46	120	2	9	2	233	319	471	790	238	270	28	11	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	388	357	61	16	1	11	26	150	2	11	1	171	231	314	545	143	251	39	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	388	341	77	20	1	13	42	128	2	11	1	226	314	405	719	179	315	33	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	35	MLB	BOS	—	350	318	64	13	1	15	27	117	2	7	2	201	268	390	658	189	259	33	8	293	82	-7	+1	-1	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	BOS	5%	289	263	51	10	1	12	22	99	2	4	1	194	261	376	638	183	248	34	8	279	72	-9	+0	-7	+1	+8	-0.7
2027	36	MLB	BOS	5%	14	13	2	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	154	214	385	599	231	254	36	7	279	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1072	948	200	41	5	46	116	351	4	17	3	211	300	410	710	199	278	33	11	316	100	-0	+2	-7	-15	+30	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	121	25	3	28	70	213	2	10	2	210	298	410	709	200	277	33	11	316	100	-0	+1	-4	-9	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	7231	6594	1241	279	37	239	500	2583	66	163	53	188	252	350	603	162	262	36	7	262	59	-335	+11	-15	+1	+205	-13.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	111	25	3	21	45	232	6	15	5	187	252	346	598	159	261	36	7	262	59	-30	+1	-1	+0	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2009	18	ROK	Great Falls Voyagers	—	118	106	21	3	1	0	7	41	3	3	0	198	267	245	513	47	318	35	6	237	39	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2010	19	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	236	210	48	13	3	8	21	69	2	6	4	229	303	433	737	205	296	29	9	322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	597	519	125	36	2	24	60	172	10	8	4	241	331	457	788	216	309	29	10	344	122	+15	+0	—	—	+17	3.2
2012	21	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	20	18	3	2	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	167	250	278	528	111	250	30	10	243	44	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2012	21	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	58	50	14	1	1	3	8	16	0	2	0	280	379	520	899	240	355	28	14	394	160	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2012	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	510	449	114	28	5	22	45	144	6	18	3	254	330	486	816	232	316	28	9	351	127	+15	+2	—	—	+14	3.3
2012	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	67	48	10	0	0	2	17	17	1	2	3	208	424	333	758	125	276	25	25	358	132	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2013	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	590	507	116	23	5	15	60	139	13	25	8	229	326	383	709	154	280	24	10	316	100	-0	+2	—	—	+17	1.9
2013	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	25	22	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	45	125	45	170		62	28	8	92	-71	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2014	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	595	518	123	34	6	16	65	151	4	20	5	237	327	419	746	181	301	25	11	329	110	+7	+2	—	—	+17	2.6
2015	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	135	122	36	8	3	5	13	26	0	1	0	295	363	533	896	238	341	19	10	390	157	+9	+0	+1	-6	+4	0.8
2015	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	417	388	101	23	4	13	23	79	2	11	5	260	305	441	746	180	295	19	6	326	107	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.6
2016	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	262	236	53	11	0	13	26	66	0	5	1	225	302	436	738	212	255	25	10	327	108	+2	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.8
2017	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	55	49	6	2	1	1	6	23	0	0	0	122	218	265	483	143	200	42	11	223	29	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.3
2017	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	369	339	72	12	6	9	26	93	1	3	5	212	270	363	633	150	264	25	7	280	73	-11	-1	—	—	+10	-0.2
2018	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	137	128	15	3	0	3	7	50	0	3	1	117	163	211	374	94	158	36	5	169	-13	-17	+0	-2	-3	+4	-1.9
2018	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	176	160	34	12	0	4	15	57	0	3	1	212	280	362	643	150	300	32	9	287	78	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2019	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	371	334	73	10	3	24	33	134	3	8	3	219	295	482	777	263	277	36	9	338	117	+7	+0	—	—	+11	1.8
2021	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	35	28	7	1	0	4	7	11	0	2	0	250	400	714	1.114	464	231	31	20	466	215	+5	+0	-1	-4	+1	0.1
2021	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	378	323	76	15	1	21	47	120	7	3	1	235	345	483	828	248	301	32	12	365	137	+16	+0	—	—	+11	2.7
2022	31	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	255	219	56	14	1	13	32	93	2	4	1	256	356	507	863	251	374	36	13	376	146	+13	+0	+1	-5	+7	1.7
2022	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	170	154	47	11	1	17	14	48	1	2	1	305	367	721	1.088	416	333	28	8	458	209	+21	+0	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	32	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	179	153	25	2	0	6	24	77	2	2	0	163	285	294	579	131	271	43	13	272	66	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2023	32	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	17	16	6	4	0	1	0	6	1	0	0	375	412	812	1.224	438	556	35	0	521	257	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	33	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	378	88	19	1	23	46	120	2	9	2	233	319	471	790	238	270	28	11	343	121	+10	+1	—	—	+12	2.4
2025	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	388	341	77	20	1	13	42	128	2	11	1	226	314	405	719	179	315	33	11	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+11	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1058	935	198	41	5	45	115	346	4	17	3	212	301	411	711	199	280	33	11	316	100	+0	+2	-7	-15	+30	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Doug Mirabellilast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,509 PA	8	1,509	56	3	231	316	412	+11	+8	7.2	7.1
	/162	664	25	1	231	316	412	+4.8	+3.6	3.2	pk7: 7
#2Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,086	44	16	212	294	404	+4	-8	2.8	2.9
	/162	664	27	10	212	294	404	+2.2	-5.2	1.7	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trayce Thompson (OGILVIE)	35	42→45	55→58	50	50	200/268/390	190	259	15	7	33%	8%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Hessman 2012 · MLB	34	37→36	54→65	47→45	42	205/275/385	180	266	22	5	32%	7%	83	+0.6	198/251/394	196	250	28	3	33%	6%	76	+0.0	198/259/397	199	237	27	3	30%	7%	78	+0.2
●Scott McClain 2007 · MLB	35	39→45	54→55	43→40	43	214/263/387	173	244	23	6	24%	6%	78	+0.2	226/287/405	179	261	24	5	23%	8%	92	+1.2	225/292/412	187	254	26	3	23%	8%	95	+1.3
●Cory Aldridge 2013 · AAA	34	37→47	53→55	46→45	38	200/255/367	167	284	23	9	38%	7%	69	-0.4	229/291/395	166	327	24	6	35%	8%	92	+1.2	245/315/420	175	330	27	1	33%	9%	107	+1.0
✕Cody Ransom 2011 · MLB	35	42	53→55	48→50	44	224/282/401	176	277	21	8	28%	7%	89	+1.0	218/288/402	184	300	23	8	33%	8%	92	+1.2	205/286/397	192	285	24	6	35%	9%	88	+0.5
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	228/277/396	168	275	22	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	218/284/360	142	274	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	182/274/295	113	227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Brandon Snyder 2021 · AAA	34	38→48	55	47→45	31	201/254/376	176	316	24	6	43%	5%	72	-0.2	210/280/377	167	304	22	7	37%	7%	83	+0.6	167/254/334	167	223	26	0	37%	7%	59	-0.4
✕Brad Snyder 2017 · MLB	35	48→53	57→60	50	41	246/300/435	189	329	26	8	33%	7%	105	+2.1	244/302/442	198	317	25	7	30%	7%	108	+2.3	233/297/459	227	291	30	0	31%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Brooks Conrad 2015 · MLB	35	40→44	56→55	38→50	41	218/274/407	189	278	25	3	32%	7%	88	+0.9	194/254/316	122	264	14	6	31%	6%	56	-1.3	143/210/219	76	201	7	3	31%	6%	10	-2.3
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	40→50	53→55	42→40	46	215/275/393	179	247	21	4	23%	7%	85	+0.7	222/273/412	190	263	26	7	26%	6%	89	+1.0	191/231/411	221	195	37	0	27%	4%	68	-0.1
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Adam Rosales 2018 · MLB	35	45→49	52→55	44→45	41	228/286/396	167	309	20	7	32%	7%	90	+1.0	208/259/343	135	274	16	5	29%	6%	64	-0.8	189/239/313	123	245	15	3	29%	5%	46	-1.2
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2014 · AAA	35	42→52	52→55	47→40	43	216/292/383	166	305	21	4	35%	8%	89	+1.0	216/299/369	153	302	19	6	33%	9%	89	+0.9	205/296/341	136	281	18	4	31%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Chris Richard 2010 · MLB	36	43→53	56→60	48→50	46	231/300/421	190	276	24	6	26%	7%	102	+1.9	229/292/391	162	283	18	5	25%	7%	91	+1.1	226/290/380	154	280	16	0	25%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Sean Rodríguez 2019 · MLB	34	41→49	52→60	47→50	49	211/306/377	165	285	21	6	32%	11%	94	+1.3	227/318/400	173	312	21	8	32%	10%	104	+2.0	212/318/405	193	292	25	3	34%	11%	103	+0.6
✕Miguel Olivo 2012 · MLB	34	44→51	53→60	45→50	39	233/273/405	171	288	22	8	28%	5%	86	+0.8	239/272/408	169	299	22	6	27%	4%	87	+0.8	243/276/391	148	320	17	9	29%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Chad Mottola 2007 · MLB	35	42→44	50→55	47→45	40	220/258/372	151	266	18	7	25%	4%	71	-0.3	228/269/382	154	272	18	9	23%	5%	79	+0.3	226/268/387	161	258	19	7	21%	5%	76	+0.1
●Andy Tracy 2010 · AAA	36	43→48	54→60	48→45	49	229/300/407	178	268	23	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/302/419	187	292	23	6	28%	9%	102	+1.9	228/304/423	194	289	24	4	29%	9%	102	+1.3
●Randy Ruiz 2013 · MLB	35	48→56	55→60	49→40	39	247/294/426	180	326	24	10	32%	6%	101	+1.8	256/297/415	159	332	21	5	29%	5%	99	+1.7	258/297/408	150	333	21	2	28%	4%	93	+0.5
✕Damon Hollins 2008 · MLB	34	46→50	54→55	45	47	240/290/418	177	260	22	9	18%	6%	97	+1.5	211/278/362	151	254	18	6	24%	8%	78	+0.2	180/253/319	139	213	18	2	25%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Kevin Pillar 2023 · MLB	34	46→56	55	48→55	44	243/297/430	187	268	24	9	20%	5%	103	+1.9	234/282/402	168	272	20	15	22%	5%	89	+1.0	227/275/392	165	266	20	18	23%	4%	82	+0.2