Dylan CarlsonLF
Iowa Cubs
Age 27
S/L
6'1" / 200 lbs
AAA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 5.390 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.5 · 2027
wRC+†vL 5882vR 64
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .304 / .338
PA338
HR8
SB5
K%23
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
40→40
SPD
50→50
EYE
53↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2020
Service 5.390 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $2M | $2M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 201 | 189 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 75 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .169 | .215 | .265 | .480 | .095 | .265 | 37 | 5 | .214 | 22 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.2 |
| 2017 | 18 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 451 | 398 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 140 | 9 | 6 | 6 | .201 | .284 | .289 | .573 | .088 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -25 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -1.2 |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ | 2 teams | 498 | 443 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 120 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .212 | .291 | .341 | .632 | .129 | .264 | 24 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | 2 teams | 562 | 507 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 154 | 8 | 20 | 8 | .229 | .295 | .404 | .700 | .176 | .284 | 27 | 7 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 1.4 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 119 | 110 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .209 | .263 | .382 | .645 | .173 | .274 | 29 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -4 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 619 | 542 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 20 | 57 | 152 | 11 | 2 | 1 | .264 | .346 | .445 | .791 | .181 | .325 | 25 | 9 | .343 | 121 | +14 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +18 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 488 | 432 | 103 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 94 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .238 | .320 | .389 | .709 | .150 | .284 | 19 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 255 | 219 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .219 | .321 | .338 | .659 | .119 | .256 | 19 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | 2 teams | 280 | 247 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .206 | .292 | .283 | .576 | .077 | .278 | 28 | 9 | .261 | 58 | -13 | +0 | -8 | -3 | +8 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | 2 teams | 367 | 327 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .223 | .304 | .349 | .653 | .125 | .272 | 23 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .227 | .476 | .703 | .286 | .143 | 23 | 5 | .268 | 63 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CHC | 316 | 279 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 74 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .307 | .341 | .647 | .118 | .273 | 23 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | CHC | 338 | 300 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 79 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .301 | .350 | .651 | .130 | .266 | 23 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +10 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 20% | CHC | 365 | 322 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 86 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .307 | .339 | .645 | .118 | .272 | 24 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 33% | CHC | 370 | 327 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 89 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .305 | .336 | .642 | .116 | .271 | 24 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 43% | CHC | 373 | 329 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 91 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .303 | .328 | .631 | .112 | .270 | 24 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 52% | CHC | 358 | 316 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .212 | .299 | .320 | .618 | .108 | .268 | 25 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 64% | CHC | 339 | 300 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .295 | .320 | .615 | .110 | .266 | 25 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 81% | CHC | 309 | 273 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .294 | .315 | .609 | .106 | .264 | 26 | 9 | .272 | 67 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 266 | 236 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .284 | .288 | .572 | .089 | .262 | 27 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6536 | 5796 | 1273 | 243 | 32 | 141 | 581 | 1646 | 93 | 78 | 31 | .220 | .301 | .346 | .647 | .126 | .279 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -154 | +3 | -34 | +5 | +185 | 0.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 126 | 24 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 164 | 9 | 8 | 3 | .219 | .300 | .344 | .643 | .125 | .278 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 201 | 183 | 46 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .251 | .315 | .404 | .719 | .153 | .333 | 26 | 8 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | 18 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 451 | 383 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 116 | 9 | 6 | 6 | .240 | .345 | .347 | .692 | .107 | .323 | 26 | 12 | .315 | 99 | -1 | -1 | — | — | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 441 | 376 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 52 | 78 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .247 | .349 | .386 | .735 | .138 | .286 | 18 | 12 | .330 | 111 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 1.8 |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 57 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .234 | .368 | .426 | .794 | .191 | .257 | 18 | 18 | .358 | 132 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 20 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 79 | 72 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .361 | .418 | .681 | 1.098 | .319 | .429 | 23 | 8 | .472 | 219 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 1.3 |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 483 | 417 | 117 | 24 | 6 | 21 | 52 | 98 | 7 | 18 | 7 | .281 | .370 | .518 | .888 | .237 | .315 | 20 | 11 | .384 | 152 | +28 | +1 | — | — | +14 | 4.4 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 119 | 110 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .254 | .364 | .618 | .164 | .260 | 29 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 619 | 542 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 152 | 11 | 2 | 1 | .266 | .348 | .437 | .785 | .172 | .332 | 25 | 9 | .346 | 123 | +16 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +18 | 2.3 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 488 | 432 | 102 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 94 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .236 | .318 | .380 | .698 | .144 | .281 | 19 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 255 | 219 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .219 | .321 | .333 | .655 | .114 | .256 | 19 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 265 | 235 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 75 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .209 | .290 | .277 | .567 | .068 | .287 | 28 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -12 | +0 | -8 | -3 | +8 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .467 | .545 | 1.012 | .273 | .250 | 13 | 20 | .448 | 201 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 241 | 217 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .203 | .279 | .336 | .616 | .134 | .241 | 22 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -8 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 126 | 102 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | .294 | .424 | .451 | .875 | .157 | .351 | 20 | 18 | .392 | 158 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 1987 | 1755 | 409 | 92 | 11 | 43 | 179 | 459 | 32 | 16 | 8 | .233 | .315 | .372 | .687 | .138 | .288 | 23 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -14 | +0 | -16 | -10 | +56 | 1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dylan Carlson (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 60 | .219/.304/.338 | .119 | .273 | 8 | 5 | 23% | 9% | 83 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Taylor Walls 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40→50 | 45 | 49→60 | 53 | .200/.292/.323 | .124 | .262 | 12 | 15 | 27% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 | .201/.291/.319 | .118 | .264 | 10 | 25 | 26% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.286/.304 | .106 | .259 | 8 | 33 | 25% | 11% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Dan Nelson 2011 · AAA |
27 | 46→49 | 44→45 | 46→50 | 48 | .228/.288/.344 | .117 | .276 | 11 | 10 | 22% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .240/.295/.347 | .107 | .291 | 10 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .253/.305/.346 | .092 | .302 | 7 | 2 | 18% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2015 · AAA |
27 | 47 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 51 | .228/.295/.344 | .116 | .273 | 10 | 9 | 20% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.308/.333 | .097 | .289 | 7 | 8 | 19% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.311/.313 | .075 | .297 | 4 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Danny Muno 2016 · MLB |
27 | 47→51 | 42→45 | 44→50 | 51 | .229/.308/.333 | .104 | .288 | 10 | 11 | 23% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.296/.316 | .098 | .300 | 7 | 10 | 27% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.293/.297 | .091 | .299 | 6 | 8 | 30% | 10% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chris Snelling 2009 · MLB |
27 | 44→39 | 41→45 | 46→40 | 51 | .213/.311/.309 | .097 | .279 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.313/.349 | .115 | .281 | 10 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .240/.319/.362 | .122 | .282 | 9 | 0 | 17% | 9% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 53→55 | 48 | .221/.296/.363 | .142 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.293/.348 | .127 | .275 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.285/.324 | .111 | .265 | 13 | 28 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 47→50 | 50 | 42 | .209/.273/.350 | .141 | .295 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .232/.296/.375 | .143 | .310 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB |
26 | 44→41 | 47→50 | 48→45 | 47 | .217/.294/.358 | .141 | .288 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .217/.305/.366 | .149 | .274 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 10% | 90 | +1.0 | .205/.305/.354 | .149 | .253 | 18 | 3 | 26% | 11% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brandon Boggs 2010 · MLB |
27 | 44→48 | 47→55 | 50 | 49 | .215/.300/.358 | .143 | .299 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .212/.297/.336 | .124 | .297 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .204/.292/.327 | .123 | .282 | 11 | 5 | 29% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nick Franklin 2018 · MLB |
27 | 44→49 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 45 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .272 | 15 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .215/.284/.337 | .122 | .269 | 12 | 13 | 23% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .173/.252/.275 | .102 | .229 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 9% | 42 | -1.2 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB |
26 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 49→55 | 45 | .221/.291/.370 | .149 | .279 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .225/.303/.384 | .159 | .299 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.301/.370 | .153 | .287 | 17 | 20 | 29% | 8% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2011 · AAA |
27 | 49 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 49 | .239/.306/.348 | .108 | .291 | 10 | 6 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.301/.328 | .098 | .290 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.304/.314 | .093 | .288 | 9 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Chris Magruder 2004 · MLB |
27 | 46 | 47→50 | 47→45 | 47 | .232/.287/.375 | .143 | .269 | 14 | 7 | 20% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.296/.371 | .141 | .276 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .209/.277/.333 | .124 | .256 | 9 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 62 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA |
26 | 44→47 | 46→45 | 45 | 49 | .220/.298/.347 | .127 | .290 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.284/.324 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .167/.226/.209 | .042 | .248 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 6% | 12 | -0.7 |
|
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2005 · MLB |
27 | 41→51 | 45→40 | 47→55 | 45 | .209/.270/.332 | .123 | .246 | 13 | 13 | 21% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .255/.313/.352 | .097 | .296 | 7 | 23 | 15% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .268/.330/.352 | .084 | .306 | 3 | 26 | 13% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 44→47 | 43→45 | 47→55 | 43 | .217/.274/.330 | .113 | .285 | 11 | 11 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.293/.338 | .120 | .290 | 12 | 21 | 27% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jermaine Clark 2004 · MLB |
27 | 46→43 | 45 | 47→60 | 56 | .224/.300/.346 | .122 | .245 | 12 | 14 | 14% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.288/.320 | .105 | .250 | 9 | 20 | 17% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.277/.292 | .084 | .249 | 7 | 33 | 19% | 8% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA |
27 | 44→43 | 45 | 44→45 | 48 | .220/.289/.345 | .125 | .271 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .229/.296/.356 | .127 | .285 | 12 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .232/.299/.352 | .120 | .286 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA |
27 | 46→52 | 46→50 | 50 | 45 | .231/.286/.365 | .134 | .293 | 14 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .225/.286/.340 | .115 | .301 | 11 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.288/.334 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Augie Ojeda 2002 · MLB |
27 | 46 | 43→40 | 47→45 | 55 | .220/.293/.333 | .113 | .239 | 10 | 7 | 13% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .221/.292/.326 | .105 | .239 | 10 | 8 | 12% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .249/.339/.324 | .075 | .277 | 1 | 4 | 10% | 10% | 86 | +0.3 |