Sergio Alcántara

Sergio AlcántaraSS Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 30 S/R 5'10" / 177 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .309 / .318

PA206

HR3

K%27

BB%12

BABIP289

ISO106

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2025

CONTACT50

Whiff%

5410.5%

xwOBA

110.263

POWER35

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

1486.4

Bat Spd

1066.7

EYE60

Chase%

8025.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

5527.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$2M
Totals		$2M		$0.1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	218	186	36	4	3	0	27	52	1	3	2	194	299	247	546	54	265	24	12	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	218	169	41	5	4	0	44	36	1	3	2	243	402	320	721	77	304	17	20	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	320	285	54	8	0	1	29	89	1	8	4	189	267	228	495	39	270	28	9	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	320	266	65	11	0	1	48	62	1	8	4	244	362	297	659	53	314	19	15	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Kane County Cougars	—	79	72	7	1	0	0	3	25	1	1	0	97	145	111	256	14	146	32	4	111	-57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Kane County Cougars	—	79	71	8	1	0	0	4	17	1	1	0	113	171	127	298	14	145	22	5	141	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	4 teams	—	380	347	87	10	3	1	21	58	1	6	4	251	295	305	601	55	295	15	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	4 teams	—	380	329	86	9	3	1	39	48	1	6	4	261	341	316	658	55	299	13	10	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	2 teams	—	647	601	142	27	3	1	35	142	1	16	13	236	279	296	576	60	307	22	5	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	2 teams	—	647	572	151	21	3	3	64	95	1	16	13	264	339	327	666	63	312	15	10	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	2 teams	—	597	548	133	20	4	1	35	149	1	9	5	243	289	299	589	57	330	25	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	2 teams	—	597	531	139	23	3	1	52	108	1	9	5	262	329	322	651	60	325	18	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	394	356	74	7	0	1	32	97	2	8	6	208	277	236	513	28	281	25	8	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	394	338	84	11	0	2	50	74	2	8	6	249	349	299	648	50	311	19	13	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	2 teams	—	105	92	14	0	4	5	9	18	2	2	0	152	243	402	645	250	129	17	9	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	2 teams	—	105	91	21	2	2	3	10	25	2	2	0	231	320	396	716	165	281	24	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	3 teams	—	444	384	85	11	4	9	54	124	2	6	1	221	320	341	662	120	299	28	12	292	82	-9	+1	+8	+5	+13	1.7
2021	25	MLB	3 teams	—	444	371	90	13	4	9	67	109	2	6	1	243	361	372	733	129	316	25	15	333	113	+7	+1	+8	+5	+13	3.3
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	338	311	68	12	2	9	18	86	1	1	4	219	264	357	621	138	267	25	5	263	59	-16	-1	-0	+1	+10	-0.7
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	338	305	66	12	2	8	24	89	1	1	4	216	276	348	623	131	272	26	7	274	68	-12	-1	-0	+1	+10	-0.3
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	482	431	84	14	1	7	41	161	1	0	0	195	266	281	547	86	287	33	9	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	482	402	99	18	3	8	70	111	1	0	0	246	359	366	725	119	316	23	15	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	667	584	113	21	7	7	73	171	2	9	2	193	285	289	575	96	257	26	11	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	667	553	151	31	8	11	104	118	2	9	2	273	390	418	808	145	325	18	16	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	518	450	95	18	4	2	60	125	2	5	4	211	307	282	589	71	285	24	12	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	518	430	101	22	4	2	80	107	2	5	4	235	357	319	676	84	306	21	15	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	PHI	—	144	122	23	7	0	2	21	46	0	4	1	189	308	295	603	107	280	32	15	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
YTD	30	AAA	PHI	—	144	112	25	8	0	2	31	38	0	4	1	223	392	348	740	125	315	26	22	345	122	+4	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
ROS	30	AAA	PHI	10%	206	179	38	8	1	3	24	56	1	3	1	212	309	318	627	106	284	27	12	287	78	-5	+0	+1	+2	+6	0.4
ROS	30	MLB	PHI	10%	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	211	286	263	549	53	287	29	10	286	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	PHI	—	165	141	27	8	0	2	23	52	0	4	1	191	305	291	596	99	284	32	14	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
TOT	30	AAA	PHI	—	350	301	61	15	1	5	45	102	1	7	2	203	308	309	617	106	286	29	13	280	73	-11	+1	+1	+4	+10	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	PHI	33%	365	318	66	14	2	5	43	100	1	5	2	208	304	311	615	104	280	27	12	281	74	-11	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2028	32	MLB	PHI	46%	346	301	61	13	2	4	41	96	1	4	1	203	300	299	599	96	275	28	12	275	69	-12	+0	-3	+4	+10	-0.1
2027	31	MLB	PHI	33%	119	104	23	5	1	2	14	33	0	1	1	221	314	346	660	125	282	28	12	281	73	-4	-0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2028	32	MLB	PHI	46%	159	138	28	6	1	2	19	44	1	2	1	203	304	304	608	101	277	28	12	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	801	707	148	26	7	16	79	218	4	7	4	209	292	334	626	124	274	27	10	278	71	-26	-0	+4	+10	+23	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	120	21	6	13	64	177	3	6	3	209	291	334	626	125	274	27	10	278	71	-21	+0	+3	+8	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	6106	5445	1157	188	40	56	545	1549	21	86	49	212	287	293	579	80	284	25	9	259	56	-302	-2	+2	+59	+173	-7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	123	20	4	6	58	165	2	9	5	212	286	291	577	79	283	25	9	259	56	-32	-0	+0	+6	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	218	169	41	5	4	0	44	36	1	3	2	243	402	320	721	77	304	17	20	336	115	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2014	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	320	266	65	11	0	1	48	62	1	8	4	244	362	297	659	53	314	19	15	307	93	-2	+0	—	—	+9	0.7
2015	19	A	Kane County Cougars	—	79	71	8	1	0	0	4	17	1	1	0	113	171	127	298	14	145	22	5	141	-34	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2016	20	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	19	15	4	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	1	267	421	333	754	67	308	11	16	359	133	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2016	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	201	180	48	6	1	1	14	26	0	3	2	267	320	328	647	61	299	13	7	285	77	-5	-0	—	—	+6	0.0
2016	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	35	29	10	1	1	0	4	2	0	2	0	345	424	448	873	103	370	6	11	369	141	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2016	20	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	125	105	24	1	1	0	18	18	0	1	1	229	341	257	599	29	276	14	14	283	75	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2017	21	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	521	466	124	19	3	3	48	80	0	15	13	266	335	339	674	73	315	15	9	304	91	-5	-2	—	—	+15	0.7
2017	21	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	126	106	27	2	0	0	16	15	1	1	0	255	358	274	631	19	297	12	13	294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2018	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	442	120	18	3	1	42	95	1	8	5	271	336	333	669	61	342	19	9	301	89	-6	-0	—	—	+14	0.7
2018	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	103	89	19	5	0	0	10	13	0	1	0	213	293	270	563	56	250	13	10	253	52	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2019	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	378	324	80	10	0	2	48	71	2	7	6	247	348	296	644	49	308	19	13	300	88	-5	-1	—	—	+11	0.5
2019	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	16	14	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	286	375	357	732	71	364	19	12	337	116	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2020	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	23	21	3	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	143	217	381	598	238	125	17	9	261	58	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
2020	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	82	70	18	2	1	2	8	21	2	2	0	257	350	400	750	143	333	26	10	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	255	220	45	6	3	5	30	74	2	3	0	205	306	327	633	123	280	29	12	288	78	-6	+1	+8	+5	+7	1.4
2021	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	103	82	25	3	0	3	21	23	0	3	0	305	447	451	898	146	393	22	20	407	170	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	86	69	20	4	1	1	16	12	0	0	1	290	424	420	844	130	333	14	19	380	149	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	224	205	45	8	1	6	12	57	1	1	2	220	266	356	622	137	267	25	5	271	65	-9	-1	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
2022	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	114	100	21	4	1	2	12	32	0	0	2	210	295	330	625	120	284	28	11	280	73	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	403	336	90	17	2	8	59	94	1	0	0	268	379	402	781	134	343	23	15	349	125	+11	+0	—	—	+11	2.3
2023	27	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	79	66	9	1	1	0	11	17	0	0	0	136	260	182	442	45	184	22	14	214	22	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	492	409	111	21	7	8	78	91	2	8	1	271	391	416	806	144	329	18	16	363	136	+20	+1	—	—	+14	3.6
2024	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	175	144	40	10	1	3	26	27	0	1	1	278	388	424	812	146	314	15	15	356	131	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	441	367	92	21	3	2	67	87	2	4	4	251	369	341	710	90	321	20	15	326	108	+4	-1	—	—	+12	1.6
2025	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	77	63	9	1	1	0	13	20	0	1	0	143	289	190	480	48	205	26	17	238	40	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	502	446	93	14	5	12	44	135	3	4	2	209	284	343	627	135	266	27	9	279	72	-16	+0	+6	+6	+14	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	792	15	7	208	289	326	+8	+6	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	13	6	208	289	326	+7.1	+4.7	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sergio Alcántara (OGILVIE)	30	50	35	45	60	203/308/309	106	286	5	7	29%	13%	73	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy González 2012 · AAA	30	48→53	42→40	47→50	50	233/303/335	102	291	10	6	23%	9%	80	+0.4	213/286/324	111	260	11	6	21%	9%	71	-0.3	199/278/308	109	239	11	4	21%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Wilmer Difo 2022 · MLB	30	51→54	42→45	49→55	48	243/304/347	103	311	9	8	24%	8%	83	+0.6	222/278/327	105	275	10	15	22%	7%	67	-0.5	210/271/305	96	263	10	19	23%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Luke Carlin 2011 · MLB	30	46	43→45	45	50	226/302/337	110	294	11	8	26%	9%	80	+0.4	212/289/301	89	268	8	6	22%	9%	66	-0.6	201/278/282	81	246	7	4	20%	9%	53	-0.6
✕Erick Almonte 2008 · AAA	30	52→48	41→40	45	52	248/319/347	99	310	8	9	22%	10%	89	+1.0	244/302/342	98	307	8	7	22%	8%	81	+0.4	257/309/333	77	330	6	5	22%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Wilson Delgado 2002 · MLB	30	48	41→45	47→40	50	232/299/326	94	289	9	9	22%	8%	76	+0.1	238/302/353	115	283	12	7	20%	8%	85	+0.7	245/299/333	88	293	6	3	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ruben Gotay 2013 · AAA	30	47→51	42→45	47→50	50	228/302/328	100	292	10	8	24%	9%	79	+0.3	222/281/335	113	283	13	9	25%	8%	71	-0.3	215/273/324	109	270	14	8	25%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2014 · AAA	30	46	43→45	41→45	45	225/301/331	106	297	10	7	26%	7%	79	+0.3	214/276/323	109	276	12	6	26%	6%	66	-0.6	188/248/273	85	235	10	0	24%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2016 · AAA	30	46→49	42→45	43→50	42	225/289/323	99	293	10	6	26%	6%	72	-0.2	225/275/317	92	320	7	7	30%	4%	63	-0.8	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Drew Niles 2006 · AAA	29	51→53	39→40	45	48	239/309/329	90	321	6	8	26%	9%	81	+0.4	225/284/313	88	310	7	8	28%	7%	66	-0.6	203/255/253	51	285	3	3	28%	6%	37	-0.8
✕Jamie Ritchie 2023 · AAA	30	49→52	39→40	44→45	52	234/312/320	86	289	6	4	20%	9%	80	+0.4	221/300/305	84	287	7	8	23%	10%	72	-0.2	202/301/239	37	270	3	5	23%	12%	53	-0.5
✕Doug Bernier 2009 · AAA	29	49→54	41→40	45	50	232/311/331	99	302	8	5	24%	9%	83	+0.6	204/275/282	78	287	4	7	28%	8%	55	-1.4	240/293/328	88	301	8	6	22%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Andrew Knapp 2022 · MLB	30	43→53	43→45	47→40	46	207/290/317	110	299	11	4	32%	9%	71	-0.3	211/279/345	134	292	15	4	31%	7%	73	-0.1	212/281/343	131	290	15	2	30%	7%	71	-0.1
✕JD Closser 2010 · AAA	30	44	41→50	42→45	48	214/277/310	96	269	8	6	23%	8%	63	-0.9	212/267/300	88	266	9	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	196/253/268	72	242	8	5	22%	7%	39	-1.1
✕Koyie Hill 2010 · MLB	31	47→43	45	45→40	46	229/290/354	124	294	11	4	25%	8%	79	+0.3	211/265/307	96	282	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	189/236/262	74	251	6	3	26%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Nevin Ashley 2015 · AAA	30	44→51	43→45	48→45	45	217/281/330	113	277	10	6	24%	7%	70	-0.3	225/289/342	117	295	12	4	27%	7%	76	+0.1	222/289/333	110	292	13	1	27%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Andrew Beattie 2007 · AAA	29	47→51	44→45	47→50	48	231/294/352	121	294	11	10	25%	8%	81	+0.4	230/287/360	130	294	14	12	25%	7%	80	+0.4	229/286/359	129	291	15	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Omar Mendoza 2013 · AAA	30	46→54	43→45	44→45	46	230/284/333	103	279	12	9	22%	7%	72	-0.2	233/277/312	79	304	8	6	25%	6%	63	-0.9	240/284/300	60	313	5	2	24%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Rob Johnson 2012 · MLB	30	43→52	42→45	48→50	50	210/290/320	110	269	9	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	211/268/328	117	255	12	6	22%	7%	64	-0.8	197/247/305	108	232	12	3	21%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Jonathan Herrera 2015 · MLB	30	50→58	38→40	45→55	48	239/293/318	80	283	5	9	17%	6%	71	-0.3	229/277/325	96	271	8	9	18%	6%	66	-0.6	221/233/319	98	255	9	14	17%	2%	40	-0.5