Jose Guadalupe Chavez

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1985-01-02

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2022	37	INTLTomateros de …	197	.229/.332/.306	1	4	87	—
2023	38	INTLTomateros de …	62	.200/.298/.280	1	0	56	—
2024	39	INTLSultanes de M…	117	.158/.248/.267	2	1	44	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	20	ROK	Burlington Indians	—	55	51	7	2	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	137	185	176	362	39	179	24	5	167	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A	Lake County Captains	—	47	41	8	1	0	0	6	8	0	1	1	195	298	220	517	24	242	17	13	251	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK	Burlington Indians	—	136	120	28	5	0	2	13	19	0	3	2	233	308	325	633	92	255	14	10	284	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	139	116	29	3	0	2	20	22	1	5	4	250	365	328	693	78	293	16	14	320	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	392	344	86	9	4	1	36	65	3	11	3	250	326	308	635	58	306	17	9	287	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	436	358	103	13	1	4	49	55	5	3	4	288	381	363	744	75	327	13	11	324	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	448	373	102	18	0	11	52	68	10	16	8	273	377	410	787	137	307	15	12	348	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	161	137	27	5	0	2	16	28	1	2	2	197	286	277	563	80	231	17	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	440	374	103	32	1	6	54	70	0	19	9	275	367	414	781	139	321	16	12	343	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	99	85	19	4	0	0	11	19	0	4	0	224	312	271	583	47	284	19	11	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	441	381	117	22	1	10	43	75	6	14	8	307	386	449	835	142	357	17	10	365	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	189	155	36	8	1	3	31	42	1	5	1	232	364	355	718	123	300	22	16	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	403	359	98	14	1	7	34	72	2	6	2	273	339	376	715	103	323	18	8	318	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	223	185	50	5	1	2	31	36	0	2	4	270	375	341	716	70	322	16	14	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	380	326	95	13	0	11	41	60	3	10	3	291	376	433	808	141	324	16	11	354	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	272	244	78	13	0	5	24	32	1	4	2	320	383	434	817	115	349	12	9	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	397	325	81	16	5	9	61	62	2	4	1	249	371	412	783	163	281	16	15	346	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	236	202	52	5	1	3	32	45	1	3	2	257	362	337	698	79	316	19	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	362	301	96	26	2	4	53	42	1	7	6	319	423	458	881	140	359	12	15	388	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	140	116	28	6	0	2	22	15	0	1	1	241	362	345	707	103	263	11	16	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	376	305	94	17	0	3	64	48	5	6	3	308	436	393	829	85	357	13	17	381	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	44	40	11	2	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	275	326	325	651	50	367	23	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	118	95	21	4	0	0	17	17	2	1	1	221	351	263	614	42	266	14	14	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	234	189	50	13	0	0	40	27	0	5	3	265	393	333	726	69	303	12	17	334	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL	Mexico	—	220	185	53	11	2	1	29	26	0	5	6	286	383	384	767	97	325	12	13	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL	Mexico	—	188	168	55	10	0	2	18	22	2	7	4	327	399	423	822	95	368	12	10	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	176	148	43	7	0	1	23	25	2	0	6	291	393	358	751	68	344	14	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	197	170	39	8	1	1	24	39	2	4	2	229	332	306	638	76	292	20	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	62	50	10	1	0	1	6	16	1	0	0	200	298	280	578	80	273	26	10	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	39	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	117	101	16	5	0	2	9	23	3	1	0	158	248	267	515	109	182	20	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	20	ROK MLE	Burlington Indians	—	55	52	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	96	130	115	245	19	149	33	4	120	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	47	43	7	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	1	163	234	186	420	23	223	23	9	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	Burlington Indians	—	136	125	24	4	0	2	8	27	0	3	2	192	241	272	513	80	210	20	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	139	122	30	3	0	2	14	26	1	5	4	246	328	320	648	74	296	19	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	392	355	89	8	4	1	25	78	3	11	3	251	305	304	610	54	309	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	436	372	109	13	1	3	35	66	5	3	4	293	362	358	719	65	318	15	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	448	389	97	15	0	7	36	78	10	16	8	249	329	342	671	93	282	17	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	440	391	105	31	1	4	37	83	0	19	9	269	332	384	715	115	318	19	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	441	398	110	17	1	7	26	90	6	14	8	276	330	377	707	101	327	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	403	370	91	12	1	6	23	83	2	6	2	246	294	332	626	86	290	21	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	380	342	88	12	0	8	25	73	3	10	3	257	314	363	676	105	289	19	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	397	346	75	14	5	5	40	76	2	4	1	217	302	329	631	113	253	19	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	362	323	95	25	2	2	31	47	1	7	6	294	358	402	760	108	329	13	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	376	328	90	15	0	2	41	58	5	6	3	274	364	338	702	64	321	15	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	234	206	47	11	0	0	23	30	0	5	3	228	306	282	587	53	256	13	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	ROK MLE	Burlington Indians	—	55	52	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	96	130	115	245	19	143	33	4	120	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	ROK RAW	Burlington Indians	—	55	51	7	2	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	137	185	176	362	39	179	24	5	167	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	183	168	31	5	0	2	12	38	0	4	3	185	239	250	489	65	221	21	7	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	183	161	36	6	0	2	19	27	0	4	3	224	306	298	604	75	252	15	10	276	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	139	122	30	3	0	2	14	26	1	5	4	246	328	320	648	74	298	19	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	139	116	29	3	0	2	20	22	1	5	4	250	365	328	693	78	293	16	14	320	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	392	355	89	8	4	1	25	78	3	11	3	251	305	304	610	54	319	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	392	344	86	9	4	1	36	65	3	11	3	250	326	308	635	58	306	17	9	287	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	436	372	109	13	1	3	35	66	5	3	4	293	362	358	719	65	345	15	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	436	358	103	13	1	4	49	55	5	3	4	288	381	363	744	75	327	13	11	324	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	529	132	21	0	9	49	106	11	18	10	250	326	340	666	91	295	17	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	609	510	129	23	0	13	68	96	11	18	10	253	353	375	728	122	287	16	11	322	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	478	130	39	1	5	46	101	0	23	9	272	336	389	725	117	332	19	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	539	459	122	36	1	6	65	89	0	23	9	266	357	388	745	122	314	17	12	329	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	630	573	157	24	1	10	37	128	7	19	9	274	326	372	697	98	335	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	630	536	153	30	2	13	74	117	7	19	9	285	379	422	801	136	341	19	12	354	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	626	573	140	18	1	9	36	128	2	8	6	244	291	326	618	82	298	20	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	626	544	148	19	2	9	65	108	2	8	6	272	352	364	716	92	323	17	10	319	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	652	591	150	20	0	14	44	125	4	14	5	254	310	359	669	105	297	19	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	652	570	173	26	0	16	65	92	4	14	5	304	379	433	812	130	335	14	10	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	633	557	120	22	7	9	63	122	3	7	3	215	299	329	627	113	259	19	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	633	527	133	21	6	12	93	107	3	7	3	252	368	383	751	131	294	17	15	338	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	448	131	34	3	3	44	66	1	8	7	292	357	402	759	109	337	13	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	502	417	124	32	2	6	75	57	1	8	7	297	406	427	833	129	332	11	15	370	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	367	100	16	0	3	45	64	5	6	4	272	360	341	700	68	322	15	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	420	345	105	19	0	3	67	58	5	6	4	304	424	386	810	81	358	14	16	372	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	118	95	21	4	0	0	17	17	2	1	1	221	351	263	614	42	266	14	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	118	95	21	4	0	0	17	17	2	1	1	221	351	263	614	42	266	14	14	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	454	398	91	21	0	0	45	59	0	10	9	229	307	281	588	53	265	13	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	454	374	103	24	2	1	69	53	0	10	9	275	388	358	747	83	314	12	15	337	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	188	168	55	10	0	2	18	22	2	7	4	327	399	423	822	95	368	12	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	188	168	55	10	0	2	18	22	2	7	4	327	399	423	822	95	368	12	10	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	176	148	43	7	0	1	23	25	2	0	6	291	393	358	751	68	344	14	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	176	148	43	7	0	1	23	25	2	0	6	291	393	358	751	68	344	14	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	197	170	39	8	1	1	24	39	2	4	2	229	332	306	638	76	292	20	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	197	170	39	8	1	1	24	39	2	4	2	229	332	306	638	76	292	20	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	62	50	10	1	0	1	6	16	1	0	0	200	298	280	578	80	273	26	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	62	50	10	1	0	1	6	16	1	0	0	200	298	280	578	80	273	26	10	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	39	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	117	101	16	5	0	2	9	23	3	1	0	158	248	267	515	109	182	20	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	39	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	117	101	16	5	0	2	9	23	3	1	0	158	248	267	515	109	182	20	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	ROK MLE	Burlington Indians	—	55	53	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	94	130	113	243	19	149	33	4	120	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	183	169	31	5	0	2	12	38	0	4	3	183	239	249	487	65	213	21	7	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	139	123	30	3	0	2	14	26	1	5	4	244	328	317	646	73	296	19	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	392	361	89	8	4	1	25	78	3	11	3	247	305	299	605	53	309	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	436	393	109	13	1	3	35	66	5	3	4	277	362	338	700	61	318	15	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	544	132	21	0	9	49	106	11	18	10	243	326	331	657	88	282	17	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	488	130	39	1	5	46	101	0	23	9	266	336	381	717	115	318	19	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	630	581	157	24	1	10	37	128	7	19	9	270	326	367	692	96	327	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	626	583	140	18	1	9	36	128	2	8	6	240	291	321	612	81	290	20	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	652	599	150	20	0	14	44	125	4	14	5	250	310	354	664	104	289	19	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	633	562	120	22	7	9	63	122	3	7	3	214	299	326	624	112	253	19	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	452	131	34	3	3	44	66	1	8	7	290	357	398	755	108	329	13	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	367	100	16	0	3	45	64	5	6	4	272	360	341	700	68	321	15	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	454	406	91	21	0	0	45	59	0	10	9	224	307	276	583	52	256	13	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	7128	6315	1599	280	19	77	594	1267	54	149	89	253	323	340	663	87	304	18	8	256	59	-347	-6	+0	+25	+154	-17.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	147	26	2	7	54	116	5	14	8	255	324	344	668	89	306	18	8	256	59	-32	-0	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 234 PAwOBA .326 → .269 (−57)K% 11.5% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.54%	÷1.071	×1.200	—	—	12.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.81%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.93%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.84%	÷0.954	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	19.88%
Doubles /BIP	8.02%	÷0.971	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	6.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.196	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .326 → .269; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAToros de Tijuana · 376 PAwOBA .374 → .315 (−59)K% 12.8% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.77%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	15.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.02%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.952	10.82%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.19%
Singles /BIP	28.79%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.030	×0.952	26.56%
Doubles /BIP	6.61%	÷1.007	×0.830	×1.030	×0.952	5.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.030	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.17%	÷0.892	×0.700	—	×0.952	0.87%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .374 → .315; ISO .085 → .071; BABIP .357 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 362 PAwOBA .377 → .332 (−45)K% 11.6% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.60%	÷1.062	×1.200	—	—	13.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.81%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.69%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.25%
Singles /BIP	24.71%	÷0.967	×0.930	×1.017	×0.962	23.25%
Doubles /BIP	10.04%	÷0.926	×0.830	×1.017	×0.962	8.80%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷0.941	×0.920	×1.017	×0.962	0.74%
Home runs /BIP	1.54%	÷1.278	×0.700	—	×0.962	0.81%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .377 → .332; ISO .140 → .119; BABIP .359 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 397 PAwOBA .339 → .277 (−62)K% 15.6% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.62%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	19.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.11%	÷1.013	×0.690	—	×0.972	10.01%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.46%
Singles /BIP	19.39%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.030	×0.972	18.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.08%	÷1.026	×0.830	×1.030	×0.972	4.93%
Triples /BIP	1.90%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.030	×0.972	1.67%
Home runs /BIP	3.42%	÷1.208	×0.700	—	×0.972	1.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .339 → .277; ISO .163 → .121; BABIP .281 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 380 PAwOBA .347 → .293 (−54)K% 15.8% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.79%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	19.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.26%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.68%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.73%
Singles /BIP	26.69%	÷1.005	×0.930	×1.000	×0.982	24.27%
Doubles /BIP	4.89%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.000	×0.982	4.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.000	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.14%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 100, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .347 → .293; ISO .141 → .109; BABIP .324 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 403 PAwOBA .311 → .270 (−42)K% 17.9% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.87%	÷1.044	×1.200	—	—	20.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.44%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.71%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.46%
Singles /BIP	26.48%	÷0.995	×0.930	×0.996	×0.992	24.44%
Doubles /BIP	4.88%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.996	×0.992	3.94%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.996	×0.992	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷0.867	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.95%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .311 → .270; ISO .103 → .085; BABIP .323 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 441 PAwOBA .358 → .309 (−48)K% 17.0% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.01%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	20.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷1.087	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.92%
HBP% /PA	1.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.28%
Singles /BIP	27.45%	÷0.959	×0.930	×1.001	×1.003	26.74%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷1.125	×0.830	×1.001	×1.003	5.33%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.001	×1.003	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	3.27%	÷1.014	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.26%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 125, 3B 105, K 101, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .358 → .309; ISO .142 → .107; BABIP .357 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 440 PAwOBA .337 → .313 (−24)K% 15.9% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.91%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	18.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.27%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷0.963	×0.930	×1.041	×1.018	21.56%
Doubles /BIP	10.53%	÷0.941	×0.830	×1.041	×1.018	9.84%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.041	×1.018	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	1.97%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.40%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .337 → .313; ISO .139 → .126; BABIP .321 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .