Will Smith — OGILVIE

Will SmithC Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB HR +15%K -3% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 3.9 · 2026

wRC+†vL 133121vR 121

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .356 / .431

PA482

HR17

K%19

BB%12

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

55→55

SPD

50→50

EYE

61↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.7peak

2026

Contract

CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+3.9	$31M	+$17M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+3.1	$26M	+$12M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.4	$20M	+$6M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+1.8	$16M	+$2M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+1.1	$10M	-$4M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+0.5	$2M	-$12M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$98M		$105M	+$7M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A+	3 teams	245	216	43	4	0	3	20	67	7	3	1	.199	.288	.259	.547	.060	.270	27	8	.251	50	-14	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2017	22	A+	2 teams	378	328	58	14	2	12	31	119	13	6	2	.177	.274	.341	.616	.165	.228	31	8	.268	63	-16	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.2
2018	23	AA	2 teams	405	366	65	13	0	15	29	150	5	5	0	.178	.247	.336	.584	.158	.244	37	7	.257	55	-21	+1	+0	+7	+11	-0.1
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	466	406	91	18	2	29	46	115	8	3	0	.224	.315	.493	.808	.268	.231	25	10	.340	118	+10	+1	+4	+8	+13	3.7
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	137	114	31	8	0	7	20	22	2	0	0	.272	.390	.526	.916	.254	.279	16	15	.401	165	+10	+0	-4	+2	+4	1.3
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	501	414	104	19	1	21	58	101	18	3	0	.251	.367	.454	.821	.203	.274	20	12	.349	126	+14	+1	+12	+9	+14	5.1
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	578	508	130	26	3	23	56	96	10	1	0	.256	.341	.455	.796	.199	.272	17	10	.346	123	+15	+0	+8	+10	+16	5.1
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	554	464	118	22	2	18	63	89	15	3	0	.254	.362	.427	.788	.172	.271	16	11	.345	122	+14	+1	+10	+10	+16	5.1
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	544	476	120	25	2	19	51	105	9	1	1	.252	.336	.433	.769	.181	.281	19	9	.326	108	+5	-0	+3	+10	+15	3.3
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	436	362	106	19	1	15	64	89	5	2	3	.293	.406	.475	.881	.182	.346	20	15	.382	150	+25	-1	+2	+8	+12	4.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	85	75	20	1	0	2	9	14	0	0	0	.267	.345	.360	.705	.093	.300	16	11	.315	100	-0	+0	+2	+2	+2	0.6
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	397	342	88	14	1	13	47	74	5	2	1	.257	.355	.418	.773	.161	.294	19	12	.350	126	+11	+0	+3	+7	+11	3.3
TOT	31	MLB	LAD	482	417	108	15	1	15	56	88	5	2	1	.259	.354	.408	.761	.149	.293	18	12	.343	121	+11	+0	+5	+9	+14	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	LAD	435	376	96	15	1	14	51	71	5	0	0	.255	.352	.412	.764	.157	.280	16	12	.344	122	+11	+0	-0	+8	+12	3.1
2028	33	MLB	LAD	394	340	85	13	1	12	46	67	5	0	0	.250	.348	.400	.748	.150	.279	17	12	.339	117	+8	+0	-1	+7	+11	2.5
2029	34	MLB	LAD	341	294	73	11	1	10	40	61	4	0	0	.248	.346	.395	.741	.146	.277	18	12	.332	112	+5	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.8
2030	35	MLB	LAD	283	245	59	9	1	8	33	53	3	0	0	.241	.338	.384	.722	.143	.275	19	12	.323	106	+2	+0	-4	+5	+8	1.2
2031	36	MLB	LAD	225	194	46	7	1	6	26	45	3	0	0	.237	.336	.376	.713	.139	.272	20	12	.314	99	-0	+0	-5	+4	+6	0.5
2032	37	MLB	LAD	167	144	33	5	0	4	19	35	2	0	0	.229	.327	.347	.674	.118	.268	21	11	.304	91	-2	+0	-6	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6486	5589	1346	242	19	229	700	1359	119	29	8	.241	.338	.414	.752	.173	.274	21	11	.330	110	+77	+3	+20	+116	+184	40.7
/ 162G	—			650	560	135	24	2	23	70	136	12	3	1	.241	.338	.414	.752	.173	.275	21	11	.330	110	+8	+0	+2	+12	+18	4.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	115	97	21	4	0	2	14	31	3	1	0	.216	.333	.320	.653	.103	.292	27	12	.303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2016	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	97	82	21	1	0	1	11	18	4	2	1	.256	.371	.305	.676	.049	.317	19	11	.321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2016	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	33	28	9	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	.321	.406	.429	.835	.107	.296	3	12	.367	139	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2017	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	305	250	58	15	3	11	37	71	13	6	2	.232	.360	.448	.808	.216	.273	23	12	.356	131	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.0
2017	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	73	62	23	4	1	2	10	18	0	0	0	.371	.458	.565	1.023	.194	.488	25	14	.443	197	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2018	23	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	98	87	12	4	0	1	7	37	1	1	0	.138	.211	.218	.429	.080	.216	38	7	.196	8	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2018	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	307	265	70	14	0	19	36	75	4	4	0	.264	.361	.532	.893	.268	.295	24	12	.388	155	+19	+1	—	—	+9	2.9
2019	24	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	196	170	43	9	0	15	18	52	5	2	0	.253	.342	.571	.913	.318	.264	27	9	.389	156	+12	+0	+4	+8	+6	3.2
2019	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	270	224	60	11	2	20	40	49	3	1	0	.268	.386	.603	.988	.335	.253	18	15	.420	180	+24	+0	—	—	+8	3.3
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	137	114	33	9	0	8	20	22	2	0	0	.289	.404	.579	.983	.289	.294	16	15	.424	183	+13	+0	-4	+2	+4	1.6
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	501	414	107	19	2	25	58	101	18	3	0	.258	.373	.495	.869	.237	.274	20	12	.376	146	+26	+1	+12	+9	+14	6.3
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	578	508	132	26	3	24	56	96	10	1	0	.260	.345	.465	.810	.205	.276	17	10	.357	131	+20	+0	+8	+10	+16	5.6
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	554	464	121	21	2	19	63	89	15	3	0	.261	.367	.438	.805	.177	.277	16	11	.354	129	+18	+1	+10	+10	+16	5.6
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	544	476	118	24	2	20	51	105	9	1	1	.248	.332	.433	.765	.185	.273	19	9	.336	116	+10	-0	+3	+10	+15	3.8
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	436	362	107	20	1	17	64	89	5	2	3	.296	.408	.497	.906	.202	.345	20	15	.398	163	+31	-1	+2	+8	+12	5.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2946	2508	661	128	10	128	330	554	64	12	4	.264	.364	.476	.839	.212	.285	19	11	.367	139	+130	+1	+36	+57	+83	31.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Smith (OGILVIE)	31	55	55	50	60	.258/.355/.421	.163	.282	16	2	16%	12%	126	+2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matthew LeCroy 2007 · MLB	31	50	53→55	46→30	52	.257/.336/.424	.167	.305	22	3	23%	10%	118	+3.0	.209/.277/.319	.110	.253	12	4	21%	8%	66	-0.6	.165/.226/.231	.067	.202	5	0	20%	6%	20	-1.9
●John Jaso 2015 · MLB	31	55→56	50	51→45	60	.271/.365/.436	.164	.308	16	7	17%	12%	132	+4.0	.262/.348/.422	.160	.308	15	4	18%	11%	122	+3.3	.252/.348/.417	.166	.295	15	1	19%	12%	116	+1.6
✕Zack Cozart 2018 · MLB	32	52→56	55→60	49→50	55	.269/.341/.466	.197	.288	22	6	16%	10%	130	+3.8	.236/.311/.390	.154	.262	16	5	16%	9%	98	+1.6	.189/.263/.291	.102	.215	8	0	16%	7%	50	-0.5
✕Wilson Ramos 2020 · MLB	32	57→62	50→55	47→30	51	.286/.341/.439	.153	.313	19	2	16%	8%	123	+3.3	.261/.314/.417	.156	.292	20	4	18%	7%	107	+2.2	.233/.277/.397	.164	.255	24	0	20%	5%	85	+0.2
●Neil Walker 2017 · MLB	31	53→57	55	46→45	51	.272/.337/.454	.182	.297	23	5	18%	8%	125	+3.5	.257/.338/.414	.157	.297	18	3	19%	10%	116	+2.8	.248/.339/.391	.143	.293	15	1	19%	11%	103	+1.4
✕Jedd Gyorko 2020 · MLB	31	49→53	52→60	49→45	53	.253/.329/.421	.168	.293	20	7	21%	10%	114	+2.7	.245/.324/.432	.187	.296	25	7	25%	10%	115	+2.7	.241/.331/.487	.246	.276	39	0	28%	11%	128	+0.8
✕Tommy La Stella 2021 · MLB	32	54→55	51→55	46→50	57	.274/.343/.435	.161	.274	19	4	9%	9%	123	+3.3	.248/.315/.394	.146	.264	15	3	12%	8%	101	+1.8	.236/.299/.365	.129	.257	13	0	14%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Ryan Doumit 2012 · MLB	31	51→61	50→55	47→45	51	.259/.322/.417	.158	.289	18	4	18%	8%	110	+2.4	.255/.313/.420	.165	.292	18	2	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.246/.303/.405	.160	.283	18	1	20%	7%	92	+0.8
●Mike Lieberthal 2002 · MLB	30	52→62	51→55	48→30	55	.260/.336/.429	.169	.277	17	5	14%	9%	119	+3.1	.281/.348/.440	.159	.299	16	2	12%	7%	127	+3.6	.286/.352/.445	.159	.303	17	0	11%	7%	126	+3.2
●Chris Iannetta 2013 · MLB	30	46→56	51→60	42→45	60	.235/.342/.398	.163	.277	20	6	22%	13%	114	+2.7	.233/.348/.382	.149	.297	16	4	25%	14%	112	+2.6	.219/.344/.361	.142	.283	15	2	25%	15%	100	+1.1
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	48→46	51→55	43→40	52	.243/.324/.407	.163	.293	18	7	23%	10%	108	+2.3	.212/.307/.346	.134	.289	13	6	29%	11%	85	+0.7	.181/.285/.291	.110	.257	10	2	31%	12%	61	-0.4
✕Marwin Gonzalez 2020 · MLB	31	53→60	53→55	43→50	50	.269/.336/.442	.173	.314	20	5	21%	8%	122	+3.3	.228/.298/.364	.136	.277	16	5	23%	8%	86	+0.8	.196/.271/.310	.114	.241	14	5	24%	7%	59	-0.4
●Shea Hillenbrand 2006 · MLB	31	58→62	50→55	49→40	46	.291/.336/.454	.164	.303	17	4	11%	4%	125	+3.5	.271/.310/.419	.148	.289	17	3	13%	4%	105	+2.1	.263/.294/.399	.137	.280	17	1	13%	3%	90	+0.8
✕Stephen Vogt 2017 · MLB	32	52→61	53→60	43→40	52	.264/.325/.441	.177	.287	20	2	16%	8%	117	+2.9	.249/.308/.435	.186	.279	21	3	19%	8%	109	+2.4	.228/.296/.416	.188	.260	22	2	22%	9%	95	+0.7
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2018 · MLB	32	55→63	52→55	45→50	51	.278/.338/.451	.173	.311	19	6	18%	8%	125	+3.5	.264/.330/.440	.176	.302	20	4	19%	9%	119	+3.1	.254/.324/.432	.178	.291	21	2	20%	9%	110	+1.8
✕Logan Forsythe 2018 · MLB	31	53→57	48→50	43→50	55	.259/.349/.407	.148	.320	15	7	23%	11%	118	+3.0	.233/.324/.339	.106	.303	9	5	24%	11%	91	+1.1	.226/.316/.313	.087	.295	7	4	23%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Aledmys Díaz 2022 · MLB	31	50→58	50→55	44→45	49	.252/.317/.410	.159	.282	17	4	18%	7%	106	+2.2	.234/.287/.370	.136	.267	15	4	18%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.279/.354	.126	.259	14	2	18%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Joe Dillon 2008 · MLB	32	52→53	55	52→45	53	.268/.335/.463	.195	.284	22	10	15%	8%	128	+3.6	.235/.308/.369	.134	.266	14	8	17%	8%	92	+1.2	.214/.291/.310	.096	.249	10	6	18%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Damian Miller 2001 · MLB	31	53→56	50→55	43→30	53	.264/.336/.428	.164	.311	17	6	21%	10%	118	+3.0	.258/.331/.418	.160	.310	18	3	21%	9%	114	+2.7	.262/.332/.397	.135	.324	12	0	21%	9%	101	+1.2
★Ryan Zimmerman 2016 · MLB	31	48→58	54→65	49→45	52	.249/.315/.436	.187	.279	22	4	20%	9%	112	+2.6	.251/.311/.450	.199	.284	25	4	21%	8%	115	+2.7	.279/.343/.504	.225	.310	29	1	20%	8%	139	+2.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)