Will Smith — OGILVIE

Will SmithC Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 6.523 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 247 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 134131vR 122

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .355 / .439

PA247

HR9

K%19

BB%12

BABIP285

ISO184

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

906.7%

xwOBA

900.360

POWER55

Barrel%

7411.8

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

3369.5

EYE60

Chase%

9022.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1050 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

267

783

—

wRC+

141

129

◀L

wOBA

370

353

◀L

ISO

231

177

◀◀L

BABIP

281

312

▶R

18.4%

19.8%

◀L

BB%

12.0%

10.5%

◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.523 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	+1.2	$10M	+$4M
2027	Ext	$14M	+2.4	$18M	+$5M
2028	Ext	$14M	+1.8	$12M	+$1M
2029	Ext	$14M	+1.1	$7M	-$3M
2030	Ext	$14M	+0.5	$1M	-$8M
2031	Ext	$14M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	$14M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	$14M	—	—	—
Totals		$104M		$45M	-$27M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	245	217	43	4	0	3	19	70	7	3	1	198	284	258	542	60	274	29	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	245	207	51	5	0	4	29	50	7	3	1	246	358	329	687	82	303	20	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	378	332	56	13	2	11	27	121	13	6	2	169	258	319	577	151	220	32	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	378	312	81	19	4	13	47	89	13	6	2	260	379	471	850	212	316	24	12	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	405	367	64	14	0	13	28	155	5	5	0	174	242	319	561	144	251	38	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	405	352	82	18	0	20	43	112	5	5	0	233	325	455	780	222	277	28	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	466	406	90	18	1	30	46	114	8	3	0	222	313	493	806	271	224	24	10	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	466	394	103	20	2	35	58	101	8	3	0	261	367	589	956	327	258	22	12	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	137	114	33	9	0	8	20	22	2	0	0	289	404	579	983	289	294	16	15	427	185	+13	+0	-4	+2	+4	1.6
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	137	114	33	9	0	8	20	22	2	0	0	289	404	579	983	289	294	16	15	424	183	+13	+0	-4	+2	+4	1.6
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	501	414	110	20	2	26	58	101	18	3	0	266	380	512	892	246	282	20	12	377	147	+27	+1	+12	+9	+14	6.4
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	501	414	107	19	2	25	58	101	18	3	0	258	373	495	869	237	274	20	12	376	146	+26	+1	+12	+9	+14	6.3
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	578	508	136	27	3	25	56	96	10	1	0	268	352	480	832	213	284	17	10	358	132	+21	+0	+8	+10	+16	5.7
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	578	508	132	26	3	24	56	96	10	1	0	260	345	465	810	205	276	17	10	357	131	+20	+0	+8	+10	+16	5.6
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	554	464	125	22	2	20	63	89	15	3	0	269	375	455	829	185	286	16	11	357	131	+20	+1	+10	+10	+16	5.7
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	554	464	121	21	2	19	63	89	15	3	0	261	367	438	805	177	277	16	11	354	129	+18	+1	+10	+10	+16	5.6
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	544	476	121	25	2	21	51	105	9	1	1	254	338	447	785	193	279	19	9	335	114	+9	-0	+3	+10	+15	3.7
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	544	476	118	24	2	20	51	105	9	1	1	248	332	433	765	185	273	19	9	336	116	+10	-0	+3	+10	+15	3.8
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	436	362	110	21	1	18	64	89	5	2	3	304	415	517	932	213	354	20	15	402	166	+32	-1	+2	+8	+12	5.5
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	436	362	107	20	1	17	64	89	5	2	3	296	408	497	906	202	345	20	15	398	163	+31	-1	+2	+8	+12	5.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	LAD	—	201	173	43	5	0	6	23	34	2	0	0	249	343	382	725	133	272	17	11	322	104	+1	+0	+2	+4	+6	1.3
YTD	31	MLB	LAD	—	201	173	43	5	0	6	23	34	2	0	0	249	343	382	725	133	272	17	11	325	107	+2	+0	+2	+4	+6	1.3
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	100%	247	212	54	10	1	9	30	46	3	1	0	255	355	439	794	184	284	19	12	353	128	+8	+0	-2	+4	+7	1.8
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	100%	247	212	54	10	1	9	30	46	3	1	0	255	355	439	794	184	280	19	12	339	118	+5	+0	-2	+4	+7	1.5
FULL	31	MLB	LAD	—	448	385	97	15	1	15	53	80	5	1	0	252	350	413	763	161	279	18	12	331	112	+6	+0	-0	+8	+13	2.7
TOT	31	MLB	LAD	—	448	385	97	15	1	15	53	80	5	1	0	252	350	413	763	161	279	18	12	339	118	+9	+0	-0	+8	+13	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	LAD	100%	428	368	91	17	1	15	52	81	5	1	0	247	348	421	769	174	281	19	12	347	124	+11	+0	-7	+8	+12	2.5
2028	33	MLB	LAD	100%	387	332	81	15	1	13	47	75	5	1	0	244	346	413	759	169	275	19	12	339	117	+8	+0	-8	+7	+11	1.9
2029	34	MLB	LAD	100%	334	287	68	12	1	11	40	67	4	1	0	237	338	401	739	164	268	20	12	328	109	+4	+0	-8	+6	+9	1.2
2030	35	MLB	LAD	100%	276	238	54	9	1	8	33	57	3	0	0	227	328	374	702	147	259	21	12	317	101	+0	+0	-8	+5	+8	0.5
2031	36	MLB	LAD	100%	219	189	40	6	1	6	26	47	2	0	0	212	313	349	663	138	251	21	12	304	91	-2	+0	-8	+4	+6	-0.0
2032	37	MLB	LAD	100%	161	139	28	4	0	4	19	36	2	0	0	201	306	317	623	115	242	22	12	291	81	-3	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.4
2033	38	MLB	LAD	100%	104	90	16	2	0	2	12	24	1	0	0	178	282	267	548	89	234	23	12	279	71	-3	+0	-9	+2	+3	-0.7
2027	32	MLB	LAD	100%	428	368	91	17	1	15	52	81	5	1	0	247	348	421	769	174	277	19	12	334	113	+6	+0	-7	+8	+12	2.0
2028	33	MLB	LAD	100%	387	332	81	15	1	13	47	75	5	1	0	244	346	413	759	169	271	19	12	326	107	+3	+0	-8	+7	+11	1.4
2029	34	MLB	LAD	100%	334	287	67	12	1	10	40	67	4	1	0	233	335	387	722	153	264	20	12	316	100	-0	+0	-8	+6	+9	0.8
2030	35	MLB	LAD	100%	276	238	53	9	1	8	33	57	3	0	0	223	325	370	695	147	256	21	12	304	91	-3	+0	-8	+5	+8	0.2
2031	36	MLB	LAD	100%	219	189	40	6	1	6	26	47	2	0	0	212	313	349	663	138	248	21	12	292	82	-4	+0	-8	+4	+6	-0.3
2032	37	MLB	LAD	100%	161	139	27	4	0	4	19	36	2	0	0	194	300	309	609	115	239	22	12	280	72	-5	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
2033	38	MLB	LAD	100%	104	90	16	2	0	2	12	24	1	0	0	178	282	267	548	89	231	23	12	268	63	-4	+0	-9	+2	+3	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5102	4363	1090	203	16	195	589	987	89	16	4	250	351	438	788	188	277	19	12	345	122	+128	+2	-22	+96	+145	35.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	139	26	2	25	75	126	11	2	1	250	350	439	789	189	277	19	12	345	122	+16	+0	-3	+12	+18	4.5
Career	—			—	6400	5515	1320	248	19	243	691	1395	117	31	7	239	337	423	760	184	273	22	11	333	113	+94	+3	-22	+114	+181	37.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	134	25	2	25	70	142	12	3	1	239	336	425	761	186	273	22	11	333	113	+10	+0	-2	+12	+18	3.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	115	97	21	4	0	2	14	31	3	1	0	216	333	320	653	103	292	27	12	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2016	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	97	82	21	1	0	1	11	18	4	2	1	256	371	305	676	49	317	19	11	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2016	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	33	28	9	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	321	406	429	835	107	296	3	12	367	139	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2017	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	305	250	58	15	3	11	37	71	13	6	2	232	360	448	808	216	273	23	12	356	131	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.0
2017	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	73	62	23	4	1	2	10	18	0	0	0	371	458	565	1.023	194	488	25	14	443	197	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2018	23	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	98	87	12	4	0	1	7	37	1	1	0	138	211	218	429	80	216	38	7	196	8	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2018	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	265	70	14	0	19	36	75	4	4	0	264	361	532	893	268	295	24	12	388	155	+19	+1	—	—	+9	2.9
2019	24	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	196	170	43	9	0	15	18	52	5	2	0	253	342	571	913	318	264	27	9	389	156	+12	+0	+4	+8	+6	3.2
2019	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	270	224	60	11	2	20	40	49	3	1	0	268	386	603	988	335	253	18	15	420	180	+24	+0	—	—	+8	3.3
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	137	114	33	9	0	8	20	22	2	0	0	289	404	579	983	289	294	16	15	424	183	+13	+0	-4	+2	+4	1.6
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	501	414	107	19	2	25	58	101	18	3	0	258	373	495	869	237	274	20	12	376	146	+26	+1	+12	+9	+14	6.3
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	578	508	132	26	3	24	56	96	10	1	0	260	345	465	810	205	276	17	10	357	131	+20	+0	+8	+10	+16	5.6
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	554	464	121	21	2	19	63	89	15	3	0	261	367	438	805	177	277	16	11	354	129	+18	+1	+10	+10	+16	5.6
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	544	476	118	24	2	20	51	105	9	1	1	248	332	433	765	185	273	19	9	336	116	+10	-0	+3	+10	+15	3.8
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	436	362	107	20	1	17	64	89	5	2	3	296	408	497	906	202	345	20	15	398	163	+31	-1	+2	+8	+12	5.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2946	2508	661	128	10	128	330	554	64	12	4	264	364	476	839	212	285	19	11	367	139	+130	+1	+36	+57	+83	31.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	5,504	211	18	252	348	440	+70	+76	39.5	34.0
	/162	664	25	2	252	348	440	+8.5	+9.2	4.8	pk7: 28
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#3Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#4Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#5Geovany Sotolast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,801 PA	10	2,801	105	3	247	332	438	+50	+74	26.0	24.9
	/162	664	25	1	247	332	438	+11.9	+17.5	6.2	pk7: 24
#6Gregg Zaunlast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,146 PA	11	3,146	75	14	256	349	399	+41	+68	24.5	23.0
	/162	664	16	3	256	349	399	+8.7	+14.3	5.2	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Smith (OGILVIE)	31	55	55	50	60	252/350/413	161	279	15	1	18%	12%	118	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Cozart 2018 · MLB	32	52→56	56→60	51→50	56	267/342/470	203	285	23	5	16%	10%	131	+3.9	230/305/381	151	256	15	5	17%	8%	94	+1.3	189/263/296	107	214	9	0	16%	7%	53	-0.5
✕Wilson Ramos 2020 · MLB	32	56→60	50→60	47→30	52	282/340/435	152	308	19	2	16%	8%	121	+3.2	256/309/417	161	284	21	4	18%	7%	105	+2.1	236/279/404	168	257	24	0	20%	5%	86	+0.3
●Neil Walker 2017 · MLB	31	53→57	55	46→45	51	274/338/454	181	301	23	5	18%	8%	126	+3.5	257/339/416	159	297	19	3	19%	10%	117	+2.9	250/341/398	148	294	16	1	19%	11%	109	+1.6
✕Jedd Gyorko 2019 · MLB	30	50→53	55→60	48→45	54	261/336/447	186	296	23	5	21%	10%	123	+3.3	246/324/423	177	293	23	7	24%	10%	113	+2.6	217/301/394	177	251	28	5	26%	10%	92	+0.3
✕Matthew LeCroy 2006 · MLB	30	51	55	43→30	50	266/339/447	180	311	25	2	23%	9%	125	+3.5	222/296/349	127	267	15	4	22%	8%	82	+0.5	165/226/231	67	202	5	0	20%	6%	20	-1.9
●Troy Tulowitzki 2016 · MLB	31	54→57	53→60	45→50	53	275/349/449	174	312	21	3	19%	9%	130	+3.8	256/318/424	168	285	22	3	18%	8%	110	+2.4	248/310/415	167	270	23	1	18%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Charles Johnson 2003 · MLB	32	49→56	55→60	46→30	51	252/324/443	191	302	22	2	24%	10%	118	+3.0	235/328/426	191	276	22	4	23%	12%	115	+2.8	229/332/436	207	261	26	2	23%	13%	116	+1.8
✕George Kottaras 2014 · MLB	31	45→53	56→55	46→30	61	234/350/430	196	292	24	5	27%	15%	125	+3.5	214/304/377	163	312	22	5	35%	11%	92	+1.2	182/266/312	130	266	20	0	38%	10%	58	-0.3
✕Aaron Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	46→56	55	48→55	64	236/352/425	190	271	22	9	22%	15%	124	+3.4	226/332/359	133	281	15	10	23%	13%	100	+1.7	220/329/327	107	278	13	11	23%	13%	86	+0.4
✕Stephen Vogt 2016 · MLB	31	53→61	53→60	41→40	53	267/333/442	175	295	20	2	17%	9%	121	+3.2	252/310/426	174	279	20	3	17%	8%	108	+2.3	250/308/439	189	279	21	2	19%	7%	106	+1.4
✕Tommy La Stella 2021 · MLB	32	55	52→55	47→50	58	277/346/445	169	275	20	4	9%	9%	127	+3.6	253/320/402	149	272	15	4	13%	8%	105	+2.1	249/312/387	139	271	13	0	14%	8%	94	+0.6
●John Jaso 2015 · MLB	31	54→57	49→50	51→45	58	268/358/426	158	306	15	6	17%	11%	127	+3.6	262/349/424	162	308	14	4	19%	11%	122	+3.3	255/351/420	166	301	14	1	19%	12%	119	+1.6
★Ryan Zimmerman 2015 · MLB	30	54→60	53→65	48→45	53	275/340/456	181	311	20	5	19%	9%	128	+3.6	251/311/443	192	286	23	4	21%	8%	112	+2.6	281/346/508	227	314	29	1	20%	8%	141	+2.9
●Xander Bogaerts 2023 · MLB	30	57→64	51→60	49→55	54	284/358/447	162	328	18	8	19%	9%	132	+4.0	279/342/426	147	321	16	15	18%	8%	121	+3.2	275/337/416	142	314	16	18	17%	8%	113	+2.5
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2017 · MLB	31	52→62	53→55	48→50	48	266/322/443	177	298	20	7	19%	7%	117	+2.9	267/332/443	176	303	20	4	18%	8%	121	+3.2	263/334/437	174	298	20	3	19%	9%	117	+2.6
●Ramon Hernandez 2006 · MLB	30	54→53	53→60	48→30	50	276/327/452	176	281	21	3	12%	6%	121	+3.2	267/329/435	168	283	20	3	13%	7%	118	+3.0	261/328/422	161	277	19	1	14%	8%	110	+2.0
●Jay Payton 2004 · MLB	31	57→61	55	46→50	50	291/341/480	189	300	22	7	12%	6%	134	+4.1	275/325/427	152	287	17	5	11%	7%	114	+2.7	273/319/405	132	286	14	4	10%	6%	102	+1.6
✕Kelly Shoppach 2011 · MLB	31	45→51	55→60	46→30	47	227/329/414	188	315	22	3	33%	10%	114	+2.7	213/299/379	166	294	20	4	33%	8%	92	+1.2	197/282/354	156	275	20	1	34%	7%	73	-0.0
✕Danny Valencia 2017 · MLB	32	56→59	54→60	41→40	48	284/340/464	180	336	22	3	22%	8%	130	+3.8	262/322/421	159	315	19	4	22%	8%	111	+2.5	254/315/405	150	305	19	2	22%	8%	100	+1.1
●Mike Lieberthal 2002 · MLB	30	52→62	51→55	48→30	55	259/335/426	167	277	17	5	14%	9%	118	+3.0	282/348/440	158	300	16	2	12%	7%	127	+3.6	286/352/445	159	303	17	0	11%	7%	126	+3.2