Jesús Made
SS Biloxi Shuckers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Brewers 1 | 216 | .331/.458/.554 | 6 | 28 | 78 | — | .204/.315/.323 |
| 2025 | 18 | AA/A+/A2 orgs | 525 | .285/.380/.413 | 6 | 47 | 88 | — | .249/.325/.345 |
| 2026 | 19 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 593 | .273/.354/.429 | 15 | 39 | 102 | — | .262/.318/.404 |
| 2027PROJ22% MLB | 20 | MLBMIL | 46 | .249/.311/.377 | 1 | 2 | 96 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ68% MLB | 21 | MLBMIL | 344 | .254/.318/.401 | 9 | 14 | 104 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ81% MLB | 22 | MLBMIL | 436 | .261/.326/.426 | 13 | 17 | 112 | 2.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 175 | 58 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 331 | 458 | 554 | 1.013 | 223 | 369 | 13 | 18 | 444 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 24 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 348 | 639 | 87 | 400 | 33 | 4 | 285 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 123 | 108 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 343 | 418 | 500 | 918 | 157 | 412 | 18 | 11 | 404 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 378 | 322 | 86 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 78 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 267 | 374 | 388 | 762 | 121 | 340 | 21 | 14 | 347 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 558 | 491 | 133 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 80 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 271 | 349 | 430 | 779 | 159 | 294 | 14 | 10 | 343 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 35 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 310 | 429 | 414 | 842 | 103 | 333 | 11 | 17 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 186 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 204 | 315 | 323 | 637 | 118 | 237 | 16 | 13 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 24 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 250 | 304 | 554 | 87 | 387 | 42 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 123 | 111 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 279 | 344 | 387 | 732 | 108 | 364 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 378 | 336 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 103 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 241 | 324 | 333 | 657 | 92 | 337 | 27 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 558 | 508 | 133 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 98 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 262 | 318 | 404 | 722 | 142 | 292 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 186 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 204 | 315 | 323 | 637 | 118 | 236 | 16 | 13 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 175 | 58 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 331 | 458 | 554 | 1.013 | 223 | 369 | 13 | 18 | 444 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 470 | 117 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 143 | 3 | 47 | 13 | 249 | 325 | 345 | 670 | 96 | 348 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 525 | 453 | 129 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 67 | 108 | 3 | 47 | 13 | 285 | 380 | 413 | 793 | 128 | 361 | 21 | 13 | 357 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 540 | 142 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 104 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 263 | 320 | 406 | 725 | 143 | 299 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 593 | 520 | 142 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 84 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 273 | 354 | 429 | 783 | 156 | 296 | 14 | 11 | 346 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 184 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 207 | 315 | 326 | 641 | 120 | 237 | 16 | 13 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 467 | 117 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 143 | 3 | 47 | 13 | 251 | 325 | 347 | 672 | 96 | 346 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 543 | 142 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 104 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 262 | 320 | 403 | 723 | 142 | 292 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 216 | 184 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 207 | 315 | 326 | 641 | 120 | 237 | 16 | 13 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 467 | 117 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 143 | 3 | 47 | 13 | 251 | 325 | 347 | 672 | 96 | 346 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 543 | 142 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 104 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 262 | 320 | 403 | 723 | 142 | 292 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | MIL | 22% | 648 | 589 | 149 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 116 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 252 | 314 | 381 | 694 | 129 | 292 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 96 | -3 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | MIL | 22% | 46 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 311 | 377 | 688 | 128 | 287 | 17 | 9 | 307 | 96 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIL | 68% | 505 | 457 | 118 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 89 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 257 | 321 | 404 | 725 | 146 | 293 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 81% | 537 | 485 | 128 | 23 | 5 | 16 | 44 | 92 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 263 | 328 | 428 | 755 | 164 | 294 | 17 | 8 | 334 | 112 | +8 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 85% | 560 | 506 | 136 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 46 | 94 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 269 | 334 | 448 | 782 | 179 | 295 | 17 | 8 | 344 | 119 | +13 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 84% | 578 | 522 | 142 | 25 | 5 | 21 | 48 | 96 | 3 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 338 | 462 | 800 | 189 | 296 | 17 | 8 | 351 | 124 | +16 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +13 | 3.9 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 84% | 590 | 532 | 146 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 50 | 97 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 274 | 340 | 470 | 810 | 195 | 296 | 16 | 8 | 355 | 126 | +18 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 4.2 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 84% | 599 | 540 | 149 | 26 | 5 | 24 | 51 | 99 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 341 | 473 | 814 | 198 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 356 | 127 | +20 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 4.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 82% | 596 | 537 | 146 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 51 | 99 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 340 | 471 | 811 | 197 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +19 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 82% | 585 | 527 | 143 | 25 | 5 | 22 | 50 | 99 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 273 | 338 | 466 | 805 | 194 | 295 | 17 | 9 | 353 | 125 | +17 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 79% | 568 | 512 | 139 | 24 | 5 | 21 | 48 | 97 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 270 | 336 | 461 | 796 | 190 | 294 | 17 | 8 | 349 | 123 | +15 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 3.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 78% | 552 | 499 | 134 | 23 | 5 | 20 | 46 | 96 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 268 | 332 | 453 | 786 | 186 | 293 | 17 | 8 | 345 | 120 | +13 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 3.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 78% | 534 | 483 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 44 | 95 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 264 | 328 | 444 | 772 | 180 | 291 | 18 | 8 | 339 | 116 | +10 | -0 | -0 | +6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 78% | 511 | 462 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 259 | 322 | 431 | 753 | 173 | 288 | 18 | 8 | 332 | 111 | +6 | -1 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIL | 77% | 476 | 434 | 110 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 90 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 252 | 314 | 416 | 730 | 164 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +2 | -7 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIL | 73% | 419 | 382 | 93 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 82 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 244 | 305 | 397 | 702 | 153 | 277 | 20 | 8 | 311 | 97 | -2 | -9 | -3 | +4 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | MIL | 68% | 344 | 311 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 60 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 254 | 318 | 401 | 720 | 147 | 288 | 17 | 8 | 319 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 81% | 436 | 395 | 102 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 75 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 261 | 326 | 426 | 752 | 166 | 289 | 17 | 8 | 332 | 112 | +6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 2.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 85% | 475 | 430 | 114 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 80 | 3 | 17 | 6 | 266 | 332 | 448 | 780 | 181 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 343 | 119 | +11 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 2.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 84% | 487 | 440 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 81 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 270 | 336 | 462 | 798 | 192 | 291 | 17 | 8 | 350 | 124 | +14 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 3.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 84% | 496 | 448 | 122 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 82 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 272 | 338 | 470 | 809 | 198 | 292 | 17 | 8 | 354 | 126 | +15 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 3.6 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 84% | 503 | 452 | 124 | 20 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 83 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 273 | 339 | 474 | 814 | 201 | 292 | 17 | 9 | 356 | 127 | +16 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 3.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 82% | 491 | 444 | 121 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 82 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 272 | 338 | 472 | 810 | 200 | 291 | 17 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +15 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 3.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 82% | 477 | 432 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 80 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 271 | 336 | 467 | 804 | 197 | 291 | 17 | 8 | 352 | 125 | +14 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 3.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 79% | 451 | 408 | 110 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 77 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 268 | 334 | 461 | 795 | 193 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 349 | 123 | +12 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 78% | 433 | 392 | 105 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 76 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 266 | 331 | 454 | 785 | 188 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 344 | 120 | +10 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 78% | 415 | 376 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 74 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 262 | 326 | 444 | 770 | 183 | 286 | 18 | 8 | 339 | 116 | +8 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +9 | 2.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 78% | 396 | 360 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 257 | 320 | 432 | 752 | 175 | 283 | 18 | 8 | 331 | 111 | +5 | -1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIL | 77% | 368 | 335 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 250 | 313 | 416 | 729 | 166 | 279 | 19 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +2 | -5 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIL | 73% | 305 | 277 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 60 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 242 | 303 | 397 | 701 | 155 | 274 | 20 | 8 | 310 | 97 | -1 | -6 | -2 | +3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6077 | 5500 | 1456 | 238 | 50 | 224 | 504 | 1053 | 29 | 147 | 85 | 265 | 330 | 448 | 778 | 184 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 342 | 113 | +129 | -5 | +8 | +65 | +132 | 33.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 155 | 25 | 5 | 24 | 54 | 113 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 264 | 329 | 446 | 774 | 182 | 289 | 17 | 8 | 342 | 113 | +14 | -0 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 9154 | 8265 | 2176 | 379 | 82 | 289 | 768 | 1639 | 43 | 302 | 143 | 263 | 329 | 434 | 763 | 171 | 295 | 18 | 8 | 335 | 113 | +157 | -6 | +10 | +84 | +169 | 42.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 155 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 55 | 116 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 264 | 331 | 438 | 769 | 174 | 295 | 18 | 8 | 335 | 113 | +13 | -1 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 558 PAwOBA .338 → .314 (−24)K% 14.3% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.050 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×1.050 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.039 | ×1.050 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.86% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .338 → .314; ISO .159 → .146; BABIP .294 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 378 PAwOBA .339 → .294 (−46)K% 20.6% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.63% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.02% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.77% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 24.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .339 → .294; ISO .121 → .096; BABIP .340 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 123 PAwOBA .397 → .326 (−71)K% 17.9% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.943 | ×1.270 | — | — | 24.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.23% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 27.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 2.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.246 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .397 → .326; ISO .157 → .120; BABIP .412 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 24 PAwOBA .277 → .223 (−54)K% 33.3% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.932 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 32.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.083 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 5.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.170 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .277 → .223; ISO .087 → .063; BABIP .400 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 216 PAwOBA .433 → .284 (−149)K% 13.0% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.06% | ÷0.994 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 13.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.021 | ×0.680 | ×1.013 | ×1.022 | 17.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | ×1.013 | ×1.022 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.088 | ×0.600 | ×1.013 | ×1.022 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.098 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 118, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .433 → .284; ISO .223 → .118; BABIP .369 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .