Vaughn Grissom
2B Los Angeles Angels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAABOS | 234 | .259/.386/.373 | 6 | 10 | 83 | — | .235/.330/.328 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBBOS | 114 | .190/.248/.219 | 0 | 2 | 30 | -0.7 | |
| 2025 | 24 | AAABOS | 418 | .270/.346/.441 | 13 | 9 | 84 | — | .238/.295/.374 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAALAA | 41 | .308/.341/.359 | 0 | 0 | 72 | — | .275/.293/.325 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBLAA | 474 | .242/.311/.386 | 13 | 1 | 96 | 1.1 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBLAA | 412 | .241/.309/.370 | 10 | 4 | 93 | 0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 27 | MLBLAA | 374 | .240/.308/.367 | 9 | 3 | 92 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 28 | MLBLAA | 365 | .238/.306/.362 | 8 | 2 | 90 | 0.3 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 184 | 160 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 287 | 367 | 400 | 767 | 113 | 323 | 15 | 9 | 340 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 52 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 378 | 540 | 595 | 1.135 | 216 | 375 | 10 | 21 | 479 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 328 | 280 | 87 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 49 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 311 | 404 | 446 | 851 | 136 | 360 | 15 | 10 | 379 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 156 | 141 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 291 | 355 | 440 | 795 | 149 | 350 | 22 | 7 | 353 | 122 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 98 | 91 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 363 | 408 | 516 | 925 | 154 | 405 | 14 | 4 | 411 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 344 | 298 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 14 | 20 | 4 | 312 | 404 | 487 | 891 | 174 | 332 | 12 | 9 | 398 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 80 | 75 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 316 | 347 | 663 | 67 | 344 | 19 | 2 | 296 | 87 | -1 | -0 | -5 | +6 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 468 | 397 | 131 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 66 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 330 | 420 | 501 | 922 | 171 | 376 | 14 | 12 | 405 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 47 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 279 | 598 | 23 | 314 | 17 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 114 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 248 | 219 | 467 | 29 | 244 | 21 | 6 | 218 | 30 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 234 | 193 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 45 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 259 | 386 | 373 | 759 | 114 | 308 | 19 | 15 | 350 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 370 | 100 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 73 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 270 | 346 | 441 | 787 | 170 | 301 | 17 | 9 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 474 | 422 | 102 | 22 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 311 | 386 | 697 | 145 | 271 | 18 | 7 | 309 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 41 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 341 | 359 | 700 | 51 | 387 | 20 | 5 | 317 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 824 | 743 | 184 | 34 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 160 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 248 | 311 | 369 | 680 | 121 | 289 | 19 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -8 | +0 | -10 | +12 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 184 | 166 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 278 | 295 | 573 | 78 | 250 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 52 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 350 | 480 | 550 | 1.030 | 200 | 353 | 13 | 15 | 456 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 328 | 290 | 81 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 68 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 355 | 386 | 741 | 107 | 341 | 21 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 156 | 142 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 289 | 348 | 437 | 785 | 148 | 350 | 22 | 6 | 349 | 122 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 98 | 92 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 337 | 378 | 489 | 867 | 152 | 380 | 17 | 3 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 344 | 311 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 14 | 20 | 4 | 277 | 346 | 434 | 780 | 158 | 301 | 16 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 80 | 75 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 316 | 347 | 663 | 67 | 344 | 19 | 2 | 296 | 87 | -1 | -0 | -5 | +6 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 468 | 416 | 131 | 35 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 79 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 315 | 386 | 462 | 847 | 147 | 368 | 17 | 9 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 114 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 248 | 219 | 467 | 29 | 244 | 21 | 6 | 212 | 30 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 234 | 204 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 54 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 235 | 330 | 328 | 659 | 93 | 287 | 23 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 382 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 87 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 238 | 295 | 374 | 670 | 136 | 274 | 21 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 474 | 423 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 313 | 390 | 703 | 147 | 271 | 18 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 41 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 293 | 325 | 618 | 50 | 365 | 24 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 184 | 166 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 278 | 295 | 573 | 78 | 266 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 184 | 160 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 287 | 367 | 400 | 767 | 113 | 323 | 15 | 9 | 340 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 330 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 75 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 288 | 372 | 412 | 784 | 124 | 352 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 380 | 317 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 54 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 319 | 422 | 464 | 886 | 145 | 362 | 14 | 12 | 392 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 598 | 545 | 157 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 105 | 20 | 32 | 7 | 288 | 350 | 437 | 787 | 149 | 329 | 18 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 598 | 530 | 167 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 88 | 20 | 32 | 7 | 315 | 392 | 479 | 871 | 164 | 349 | 15 | 8 | 388 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 535 | 166 | 41 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 102 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 310 | 375 | 449 | 823 | 138 | 369 | 17 | 8 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 595 | 515 | 163 | 40 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 89 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 317 | 398 | 460 | 858 | 144 | 366 | 15 | 10 | 380 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 309 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 78 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 214 | 298 | 282 | 579 | 68 | 268 | 22 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 298 | 70 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 69 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 235 | 341 | 319 | 660 | 84 | 284 | 20 | 12 | 307 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 382 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 87 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 238 | 295 | 374 | 670 | 136 | 279 | 21 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 370 | 100 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 73 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 270 | 346 | 441 | 787 | 170 | 301 | 17 | 9 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 463 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 97 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 312 | 384 | 696 | 138 | 281 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 461 | 114 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 95 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 314 | 384 | 698 | 137 | 281 | 18 | 6 | 310 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 184 | 168 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 214 | 278 | 292 | 569 | 77 | 250 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 333 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 75 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 285 | 372 | 408 | 780 | 123 | 343 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 598 | 541 | 157 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 105 | 20 | 32 | 7 | 290 | 350 | 440 | 790 | 150 | 327 | 18 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 535 | 166 | 41 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 102 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 310 | 375 | 449 | 823 | 138 | 365 | 17 | 8 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 308 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 78 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 214 | 298 | 282 | 580 | 68 | 273 | 22 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 384 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 87 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 237 | 295 | 372 | 668 | 135 | 274 | 21 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 466 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 97 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 312 | 382 | 694 | 137 | 278 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 308 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 78 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 214 | 298 | 282 | 580 | 68 | 273 | 22 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 418 | 384 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 87 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 237 | 295 | 372 | 668 | 135 | 274 | 21 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 466 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 97 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 312 | 382 | 694 | 137 | 278 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 100% | 493 | 447 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 96 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 310 | 372 | 682 | 129 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 100% | 412 | 372 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 80 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 241 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 129 | 280 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 406 | 367 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 79 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 309 | 369 | 678 | 128 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 397 | 359 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 78 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 307 | 364 | 671 | 125 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 302 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 382 | 346 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 304 | 358 | 662 | 121 | 279 | 20 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -6 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 368 | 333 | 77 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 116 | 277 | 20 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 374 | 338 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 73 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 240 | 308 | 367 | 675 | 127 | 279 | 20 | 7 | 303 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 365 | 330 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 306 | 362 | 668 | 124 | 278 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 351 | 318 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 70 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 303 | 356 | 659 | 121 | 277 | 20 | 7 | 297 | 88 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 339 | 307 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 69 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 299 | 348 | 647 | 116 | 275 | 20 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2253 | 2036 | 490 | 95 | 2 | 50 | 149 | 444 | 44 | 15 | 6 | 241 | 306 | 363 | 669 | 122 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 97 | -27 | +1 | -18 | +17 | +49 | 2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 141 | 27 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 128 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 306 | 361 | 667 | 121 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 97 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5003 | 4507 | 1148 | 225 | 16 | 103 | 344 | 971 | 106 | 98 | 21 | 255 | 322 | 380 | 703 | 126 | 301 | 19 | 7 | 311 | 97 | -32 | +1 | -21 | +19 | +60 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 148 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 126 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 253 | 321 | 375 | 697 | 123 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 311 | 97 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 41 PAwOBA .309 → .274 (−35)K% 19.5% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 30.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .274; ISO .051 → .043; BABIP .387 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 418 PAwOBA .342 → .292 (−50)K% 17.5% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.85% | ÷1.042 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.060 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 19.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 7.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.38% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .342 → .292; ISO .170 → .138; BABIP .301 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 234 PAwOBA .343 → .291 (−52)K% 19.2% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 25.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 2.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.143 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.99% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .343 → .291; ISO .114 → .090; BABIP .308 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 468 PAwOBA .397 → .369 (−28)K% 14.1% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.10% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.75% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.08% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 25.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.88% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 10.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .397 → .369; ISO .171 → .155; BABIP .376 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 344 PAwOBA .387 → .332 (−55)K% 11.6% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.63% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 15.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.07% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 23.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 4.15% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .387 → .332; ISO .174 → .161; BABIP .332 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMississippi Braves · 98 PAwOBA .399 → .359 (−40)K% 14.3% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.08% | ÷0.985 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 2.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.06% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.77% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 31.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 3.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.927 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .399 → .359; ISO .154 → .139; BABIP .405 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAugusta GreenJackets · 328 PAwOBA .371 → .322 (−50)K% 14.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.05% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×1.030 | 26.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.030 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.73% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×1.030 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.192 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .371 → .322; ISO .136 → .113; BABIP .360 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Rome Braves · 52 PAwOBA .487 → .456 (−31)K% 9.6% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.62% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 13.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.15% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 15.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 29.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.982 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.864 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 6.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .487 → .456; ISO .216 → .230; BABIP .375 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .