Tyler Nevin — OGILVIE

Tyler Nevin3B Oakland Athletics

Age 29 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†vL 9483vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .306 / .385

PA350

HR11

K%22

BB%9

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

5610.4%

xwOBA

440.301

POWER50

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

4788.9

Bat Spd

2368.4

EYE55

Chase%

6628.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Platoon Splits2024 · 278 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

127

151

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

308

255

◀◀L

ISO

193

074

◀◀L

BABIP

212

268

▶▶R

20.5%

25.2%

◀◀L

BB%

9.4%

8.6%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$1M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	223	200	39	11	1	1	18	60	3	3	7	195	271	275	546	80	270	27	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	223	189	50	15	1	2	29	42	3	3	7	265	371	386	757	122	327	19	13	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	335	307	74	13	4	4	18	72	4	10	5	241	292	349	640	107	295	21	5	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	335	298	91	18	3	7	27	56	4	10	5	305	371	456	827	151	349	17	8	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+	2 teams	—	488	457	111	21	1	6	24	138	3	5	5	243	285	333	618	90	331	28	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+	2 teams	—	488	432	147	28	4	13	49	82	3	5	5	340	411	514	925	174	393	17	10	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	540	489	92	16	2	9	42	114	4	6	2	188	258	284	542	96	224	21	8	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	540	466	117	26	2	13	65	90	4	6	2	251	348	399	747	148	283	17	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	471	430	85	17	0	14	31	118	5	1	1	198	260	335	595	137	234	25	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	471	415	95	20	0	17	46	96	5	1	1	229	313	400	713	171	254	20	10	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	401	353	85	12	1	9	35	94	8	4	0	241	323	357	680	116	298	23	9	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	401	344	83	12	2	9	44	88	8	4	0	241	341	366	707	125	294	22	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	496	444	122	17	3	18	38	104	9	4	1	275	344	448	792	173	318	21	8	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	496	432	129	25	4	17	50	90	9	4	1	299	383	493	876	194	339	18	10	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	341	300	64	15	1	10	30	78	6	1	0	213	298	370	668	157	249	23	9	294	83	-6	+0	-6	-6	+10	-0.8
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	341	299	66	16	1	11	31	75	6	1	0	221	307	391	698	171	252	22	9	309	95	-2	+0	-6	-6	+10	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	OAK	—	350	311	72	14	2	11	30	77	6	3	1	232	311	395	707	164	267	22	9	311	96	-1	+0	-4	+1	+10	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	OAK	82%	380	338	77	14	2	12	33	85	6	3	1	228	308	388	695	160	265	22	9	308	94	-3	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.4
2028	31	MLB	OAK	82%	365	325	73	14	1	11	31	82	6	2	1	225	304	375	679	151	262	22	8	303	90	-4	+0	-7	+1	+10	0.1
2029	32	MLB	OAK	82%	346	308	67	12	1	10	30	80	5	2	1	218	297	360	658	143	258	23	9	297	85	-6	+0	-7	+1	+10	-0.2
2030	33	MLB	OAK	82%	316	281	59	10	1	9	27	74	5	1	0	210	291	349	639	139	252	23	9	288	79	-8	+0	-7	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	30	MLB	OAK	82%	312	277	62	12	1	9	27	70	5	2	1	224	304	372	676	148	263	22	9	294	83	-6	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	OAK	82%	299	266	59	11	1	9	26	68	5	2	1	222	303	372	675	150	260	23	9	289	80	-7	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2029	32	MLB	OAK	82%	284	254	55	10	1	8	24	65	4	2	0	217	294	358	653	142	256	23	8	283	74	-8	+0	-6	+1	+8	-0.5
2030	33	MLB	OAK	82%	259	231	48	8	1	7	22	61	4	1	0	208	288	342	630	134	250	24	8	274	68	-9	+0	-6	+1	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1745	1539	328	60	5	45	160	404	30	8	3	213	300	346	646	133	257	23	9	285	76	-47	+0	-36	-4	+49	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	122	22	2	17	60	150	11	3	1	213	299	347	647	134	256	23	9	285	76	-18	+0	-13	-1	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	5052	4543	1020	186	20	124	387	1176	70	45	25	225	295	356	652	132	272	23	8	288	79	-122	-1	-44	+4	+143	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	132	24	3	16	50	151	9	6	3	226	297	359	656	133	274	23	8	288	79	-16	+0	-6	+1	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	223	189	50	15	1	2	29	42	3	3	7	265	371	386	757	122	327	19	13	343	120	+5	-2	—	—	+6	0.9
2017	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	335	298	91	18	3	7	27	56	4	10	5	305	371	456	827	151	349	17	8	362	135	+13	+0	—	—	+9	2.3
2018	21	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	417	378	124	25	1	13	34	77	3	4	3	328	388	503	891	175	383	18	8	392	158	+28	-0	—	—	+12	4.0
2018	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	71	54	23	3	3	0	15	5	0	1	2	426	551	593	1.143	167	451	7	21	487	230	+10	-1	—	—	+2	1.2
2019	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	540	466	117	26	2	13	65	90	4	6	2	251	348	399	747	148	283	17	12	335	114	+9	+0	—	—	+15	2.5
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	18	14	4	2	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	286	444	643	1.087	357	375	28	22	464	213	+2	+0	-2	-5	+1	-0.4
2021	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	453	401	91	18	0	16	42	91	5	1	1	227	308	392	700	165	251	20	9	311	96	-2	-0	—	—	+13	1.1
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	184	157	31	4	0	2	20	46	4	0	0	197	304	261	565	64	259	25	11	265	61	-8	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.5
2022	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	191	165	48	8	1	7	21	36	4	4	0	291	384	479	863	188	333	19	11	382	151	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	26	22	4	0	1	0	3	6	0	0	0	182	280	273	553	91	235	23	12	247	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	111	95	19	3	1	2	12	25	3	0	1	200	309	316	625	116	246	23	11	288	79	-3	-0	-3	+2	+3	-0.1
2023	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	385	337	110	22	3	15	38	65	6	4	0	326	404	543	947	217	364	17	10	412	173	+32	+1	—	—	+11	4.5
2024	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	278	245	50	10	0	7	25	64	5	1	0	204	291	331	622	127	243	23	9	282	74	-8	+0	-6	-6	+8	-1.2
2024	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	63	54	16	6	1	4	6	11	1	0	0	296	377	667	1.044	370	293	17	10	430	187	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	591	511	104	19	1	12	61	140	12	1	1	204	303	315	618	112	251	24	10	283	75	-17	-0	-14	-8	+17	-2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,077	56	11	217	298	356	+7	-27	2.5	2.6
	/162	664	18	3	217	298	356	+2.4	-8.7	0.8	pk7: 3
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Nevin (OGILVIE)	29	40	50	45	55	227/306/385	158	267	11	3	22%	9%	96	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	51→55	44→45	47	223/298/385	162	285	20	7	28%	9%	92	+1.2	210/278/372	162	283	21	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕David Bote 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	49→55	47→45	51	215/300/363	148	259	17	5	24%	10%	88	+0.9	225/293/375	150	288	16	8	27%	7%	87	+0.8	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Josh Phegley 2017 · MLB	29	48→47	51→60	46→40	45	244/296/415	171	280	18	3	20%	6%	98	+1.6	228/286/377	149	268	15	3	21%	6%	85	+0.7	221/276/376	155	255	16	0	20%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Cameron Rupp 2018 · MLB	29	45→48	54→60	47→30	45	233/300/416	183	301	22	3	30%	8%	101	+1.8	206/276/375	169	295	21	3	36%	8%	80	+0.4	174/245/332	158	248	21	0	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Devin Mesoraco 2017 · MLB	29	45→49	52→60	42→40	52	234/316/402	168	271	20	6	22%	9%	104	+2.0	219/305/374	155	253	19	5	21%	9%	92	+1.2	206/298/365	159	231	21	1	21%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Eric Munson 2008 · MLB	30	44→43	51→60	43→40	50	229/295/391	161	254	20	3	19%	8%	92	+1.2	214/290/354	140	256	16	3	22%	9%	81	+0.4	197/283/334	137	237	16	0	24%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Carson Kelly 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	49→55	48→40	53	225/306/373	148	257	17	4	20%	10%	92	+1.2	233/309/371	138	275	16	4	21%	9%	92	+1.2	248/332/397	148	279	19	1	18%	10%	107	+1.2
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45→46	49→55	40	45	229/288/378	149	279	17	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	239/287/375	136	292	15	5	23%	6%	84	+0.6	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Armando Alvarez 2023 · AAA	29	42→45	51→55	45→50	42	222/262/381	159	262	19	6	24%	5%	76	+0.0	240/297/402	162	287	20	10	23%	7%	95	+1.4	242/307/396	154	291	19	9	23%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Deibinson Romero 2016 · AAA	29	46→45	49→55	41→40	47	231/295/380	149	272	16	4	22%	7%	89	+1.0	230/293/360	130	262	15	5	18%	7%	83	+0.6	225/291/331	105	252	13	1	16%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Welington Castillo 2016 · MLB	29	46→56	53→55	47→30	45	240/304/411	171	285	22	2	24%	7%	102	+1.8	254/308/423	169	316	22	3	26%	7%	105	+2.1	257/308/416	159	323	22	2	27%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7