Andre Lipcius — OGILVIE

Andre Lipcius2B Charlotte Knights

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .286 / .370

PA250

HR7

K%25

BB%7

ISO148

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4911.0%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER60

Avg EV

2687.3

Bat Spd

1065.7

EYE45

Chase%

5830.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	260	60	16	0	2	20	69	1	3	2	231	288	315	604	85	305	24	7	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	253	69	16	0	2	27	57	1	3	2	273	345	360	705	87	344	20	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	483	436	91	21	3	11	39	124	1	7	2	209	275	346	622	138	260	26	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	483	424	103	22	4	12	51	98	1	7	2	243	326	399	724	156	283	20	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	560	487	116	28	2	12	61	112	5	13	4	238	329	378	707	140	281	20	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	560	462	128	33	2	12	86	89	5	13	4	277	396	435	831	158	315	16	15	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	482	434	107	12	1	14	41	104	2	1	1	247	314	376	690	129	290	22	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	482	416	114	18	2	13	59	87	2	1	1	274	367	421	788	147	315	18	12	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	682	625	142	24	1	25	49	205	4	10	4	227	288	389	676	162	293	30	7	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	682	603	161	28	2	25	71	151	4	10	4	267	348	444	793	177	316	22	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	421	381	71	17	1	9	27	93	8	3	2	186	255	307	562	121	218	22	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	421	371	89	21	1	18	37	77	8	3	2	240	322	447	770	208	253	18	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CWS	—	250	227	51	10	1	7	18	63	3	2	1	225	290	370	660	145	275	25	7	295	84	-5	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CWS	33%	380	345	78	16	1	11	28	95	4	3	1	226	292	374	666	148	276	25	7	296	84	-7	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.2
2028	30	MLB	CWS	46%	380	345	77	15	1	11	28	95	4	3	1	223	289	368	657	145	276	25	7	295	84	-7	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.1
2027	29	MLB	CWS	33%	124	113	25	5	0	4	9	31	1	1	0	221	285	372	656	150	277	25	7	290	80	-3	+0	-1	+0	+4	0.0
2028	30	MLB	CWS	46%	174	157	36	7	1	5	13	44	2	1	0	229	297	382	679	153	277	25	7	289	80	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	336	305	71	13	1	10	25	83	3	2	0	233	297	380	678	148	285	25	7	295	84	-6	+0	-7	+3	+10	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	137	25	2	19	48	161	6	4	0	232	297	378	675	146	285	25	7	295	84	-12	+1	-13	+5	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3921	3540	793	159	11	102	311	960	32	45	18	224	293	362	654	138	275	24	8	289	79	-91	+2	-14	+14	+111	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	131	26	2	17	52	159	5	7	3	223	292	361	654	138	273	24	8	289	79	-15	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	253	69	16	0	2	27	57	1	3	2	273	345	360	705	87	344	20	10	320	103	+1	-0	—	—	+8	0.9
2021	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	385	341	80	18	2	9	39	82	1	4	1	235	315	378	693	144	280	21	10	310	95	-2	+0	—	—	+11	0.9
2021	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	98	83	23	4	2	3	12	16	0	3	1	277	368	482	850	205	299	16	12	364	137	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	188	159	48	13	1	3	25	33	0	1	3	302	397	453	850	151	354	18	13	373	143	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.4
2022	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	372	303	80	20	1	9	61	56	5	12	1	264	396	426	821	162	295	15	16	370	141	+17	+2	—	—	+11	3.0
2023	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	38	35	10	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	286	342	400	742	114	346	21	8	334	114	+1	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	419	360	98	16	2	11	52	74	2	1	1	272	367	419	787	147	311	18	12	350	126	+12	-0	—	—	+12	2.5
2023	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	25	21	6	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	286	400	476	876	190	333	20	16	391	157	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	636	561	152	26	2	25	68	145	3	10	3	271	353	458	811	187	322	23	11	358	132	+23	+1	—	—	+18	4.3
2024	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	46	42	9	2	0	0	3	6	1	0	1	214	283	262	545	48	250	13	7	255	53	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	421	371	89	21	1	18	37	77	8	3	2	240	322	447	770	208	253	18	9	337	116	+8	-0	—	—	+12	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	38	35	10	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	286	342	400	742	114	346	21	8	334	114	+1	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#2Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#3Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	324	9	2	226	288	374	+1	-3	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	19	5	226	288	374	+2.4	-6.9	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andre Lipcius (OGILVIE)	28	50	60	45	45	223/286/370	147	275	7	2	25%	7%	84	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→47	50→55	43→40	47	225/294/378	153	281	17	3	26%	8%	88	+0.9	236/310/392	156	288	18	6	23%	9%	98	+1.6	228/310/373	145	276	16	5	23%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	46→30	44	238/295/399	161	303	20	3	28%	7%	94	+1.3	232/286/372	140	298	15	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	51→55	44→45	47	223/298/385	162	285	20	7	28%	9%	92	+1.2	210/278/372	162	283	21	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Cameron Rupp 2017 · MLB	28	45→48	52→60	45→30	43	233/291/398	165	293	19	3	27%	7%	92	+1.2	215/284/392	177	297	22	3	34%	8%	88	+0.9	188/264/359	171	265	23	1	37%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	48→47	46→60	47→45	45	239/287/366	127	278	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.5	215/260/389	174	234	23	4	20%	4%	77	+0.1	218/290/403	184	239	24	0	21%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→57	49→50	46→45	44	239/290/385	146	288	17	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	216/286/377	161	261	19	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	182/261/344	163	209	21	1	25%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	49→50	44→45	43	225/287/369	144	265	18	5	23%	5%	83	+0.6	211/274/352	141	265	18	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	186/251/306	120	242	16	2	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Josh Fields 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	49→55	44→50	44	240/299/387	147	309	17	8	28%	7%	92	+1.2	244/297/382	138	330	14	11	29%	7%	89	+1.0	240/291/358	118	341	11	11	31%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Wilin Rosario 2015 · MLB	26	46→49	50→60	44→45	43	238/277/390	151	269	19	5	20%	5%	84	+0.6	233/272/371	138	283	15	6	23%	5%	76	+0.1	241/269/390	149	284	19	3	23%	3%	76	+0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	49→56	51→50	44→45	44	249/305/404	155	304	19	3	24%	6%	99	+1.7	251/306/404	153	319	19	4	26%	6%	100	+1.7	255/316/415	160	332	21	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Héctor Sánchez 2017 · MLB	27	42→50	50	44→30	42	222/272/376	154	269	19	3	25%	6%	79	+0.3	229/276/393	164	283	21	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	219/250/433	213	254	34	0	30%	4%	80	+0.1
✕Jared Goedert 2013 · AAA	28	46→50	50→55	44→40	44	235/286/387	151	284	18	3	24%	7%	87	+0.8	217/271/340	123	288	13	5	28%	7%	68	-0.5	201/259/315	114	272	12	4	29%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Tim Beckham 2019 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	41→50	43	242/296/394	151	309	18	5	27%	7%	93	+1.3	240/293/424	184	306	23	5	28%	7%	100	+1.7	257/306/445	189	333	25	3	30%	6%	108	+0.9
✕Welington Castillo 2015 · MLB	28	50→57	48→55	47→30	47	247/317/391	144	306	16	3	24%	8%	102	+1.8	248/307/421	173	303	22	3	25%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/433	181	306	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	51→50	47→40	46	200/299/357	158	263	19	4	30%	9%	87	+0.8	200/279/341	141	296	16	7	36%	8%	73	-0.1	123/213/244	121	196	16	0	44%	9%	23	-0.8