Andre Lipcius — OGILVIE

Andre Lipcius3B Charlotte Knights

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%23

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO200

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4911.0%

xAVG

450.247

POWER60

Avg EV

2687.3

Bat Spd

1065.7

EYE45

Chase%

5830.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	253	69	16	0	2	27	57	1	3	2	273	345	360	705	87	344	20	10	320	102	+1	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
2021	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	385	341	80	18	2	9	39	82	1	4	1	235	315	378	693	144	280	21	10	310	96	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.7
2021	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	98	83	23	4	2	3	12	16	0	3	1	277	368	482	850	205	299	16	12	364	132	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	188	159	48	13	1	3	25	33	0	1	3	302	397	453	850	151	354	18	13	373	138	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	372	303	80	20	1	9	61	56	5	12	1	264	396	426	821	162	295	15	16	370	136	+16	+2	—	—	+8	2.7
2023	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	38	35	10	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	286	342	400	742	114	346	21	8	334	112	+1	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	419	360	98	16	2	11	52	74	2	1	1	272	367	419	787	147	311	18	12	350	123	+12	-0	—	—	+9	2.1
2023	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	25	21	6	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	286	400	476	876	190	333	20	16	391	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	636	561	152	26	2	25	68	145	3	10	3	271	353	458	811	187	322	23	11	358	129	+22	+1	—	—	+14	3.7
2024	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	46	42	9	2	0	0	3	6	1	0	1	214	283	262	545	48	250	13	7	255	59	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	421	371	89	21	1	18	37	77	8	3	2	240	322	447	770	208	253	18	9	337	115	+7	-0	—	—	+9	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	38	35	10	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	286	342	400	742	114	346	21	8	334	112	+1	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	261	58	14	0	2	19	73	1	3	2	222	278	299	576	77	296	26	7	254	58	-14	-0	—	—	+6	-0.8
2021	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	385	352	72	17	2	7	28	97	1	4	1	205	265	324	589	119	253	25	7	256	59	-19	+0	—	—	+8	-1.0
2021	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	98	86	20	3	2	3	9	23	0	3	1	233	305	419	724	186	258	23	9	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	188	167	46	12	1	2	17	39	0	1	3	275	342	395	738	120	323	21	9	322	104	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	372	322	73	17	1	8	42	69	5	12	1	227	325	360	685	134	258	19	11	304	92	-4	+2	—	—	+8	0.7
2023	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	38	35	10	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	286	342	400	742	114	346	21	8	336	114	+1	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	419	376	88	11	2	9	36	89	2	1	1	234	304	346	650	112	273	21	9	285	79	-10	-0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2023	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	25	22	6	1	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	273	360	455	815	182	300	28	12	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	636	583	127	21	1	21	46	189	3	10	3	218	278	365	644	148	279	30	7	282	77	-17	+1	—	—	+14	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	421	382	72	17	1	10	26	93	8	3	2	188	255	317	572	128	214	22	6	250	55	-22	-0	—	—	+9	-1.4
2019	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	261	58	14	0	2	19	73	1	3	2	222	278	299	576	77	299	26	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	253	69	16	0	2	27	57	1	3	2	273	345	360	705	87	344	20	10	320	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	483	438	92	20	3	10	37	120	1	7	2	210	273	338	611	128	260	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	483	424	103	22	4	12	51	98	1	7	2	243	326	399	724	156	283	20	11	321	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	560	488	118	29	2	10	60	108	5	13	4	242	331	371	702	129	286	19	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	560	462	128	33	2	12	86	89	5	13	4	277	396	435	831	158	315	16	15	371	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	482	434	103	13	2	11	41	104	2	1	1	237	306	353	659	115	284	22	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	482	416	114	18	2	13	59	87	2	1	1	274	367	421	788	147	315	18	12	351	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	682	624	135	22	1	22	50	203	4	10	4	216	279	361	639	144	280	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	682	603	161	28	2	25	71	151	4	10	4	267	348	444	793	177	316	22	10	351	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	421	382	72	17	1	10	26	93	8	3	2	188	255	317	572	128	218	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	421	371	89	21	1	18	37	77	8	3	2	240	322	447	770	208	253	18	9	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	283	261	58	14	0	2	19	73	1	3	2	222	278	299	576	77	296	26	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	483	442	92	20	3	10	37	120	1	7	2	208	273	335	608	127	254	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	560	490	118	29	2	10	60	108	5	13	4	241	331	369	700	129	280	19	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	482	436	103	13	2	11	41	104	2	1	1	236	306	351	657	115	280	22	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	682	623	135	22	1	22	50	203	4	10	4	217	279	361	640	144	279	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	421	384	72	17	1	10	26	93	8	3	2	188	255	315	570	128	214	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	482	436	103	13	2	11	41	104	2	1	1	236	306	351	657	115	280	22	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	682	623	135	22	1	22	50	203	4	10	4	217	279	361	640	144	279	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	421	384	72	17	1	10	26	93	8	3	2	188	255	315	570	128	214	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	22	20	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	250	318	450	768	200	273	23	9	290	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						274	0	0	284	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	33%	380	345	76	15	1	10	28	94	4	3	1	220	286	357	643	136	274	25	7	292	83	-7	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	46%	380	345	76	15	1	10	28	94	4	3	1	220	286	357	643	136	275	25	7	291	83	-8	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	33%	124	113	24	5	0	3	9	31	1	1	0	212	276	336	613	124	275	25	7	286	83	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	46%	174	157	36	7	1	5	13	43	2	1	0	229	297	382	679	153	276	25	7	285	83	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	336	305	70	13	1	9	25	82	3	2	0	230	294	367	662	138	282	24	7	291	77	-5	+0	-7	+3	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	135	25	2	17	48	159	6	4	0	229	293	364	658	136	282	24	7	291	77	-10	+1	-13	+5	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3693	3337	735	146	11	86	291	894	29	43	17	220	288	348	636	128	272	24	8	282	77	-15	+0	-12	+5	+18	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	130	26	2	15	51	157	5	8	3	221	289	349	639	128	273	24	8	282	77	-12	+0	-10	+4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#2Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#3Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	324	9	2	224	286	365	+1	-3	0.3	0.3
/162	664	18	5	+2.4	-6.9	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andre Lipcius (OGILVIE)	28	50	60	45	45	221/284/360	139	273	7	2	25%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Downs 2012 · MLB	28	46→50	50	43→50	47	235/299/396	160	268	17	6	20%	7%	96	+1.0	210/269/348	138	247	17	6	22%	6%	74	-0.6	185/239/300	115	215	15	5	22%	5%	49	-1.2
✕Jared Goedert 2013 · AAA	28	47→51	49→50	44→40	45	237/288/381	144	285	17	3	23%	7%	88	+0.4	216/271/330	114	281	11	5	26%	7%	70	-0.9	199/258/301	102	262	10	4	27%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Tim Federowicz 2016 · MLB	28	43→50	49→50	47→40	40	222/269/370	149	289	17	4	29%	6%	78	-0.3	231/280/363	132	301	15	6	27%	6%	80	-0.1	234/284/363	129	303	14	3	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	46→60	47→45	45	237/286/363	126	276	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.0	215/260/371	156	236	20	4	19%	5%	76	-0.4	215/286/399	184	236	23	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Jack Mayfield 2019 · AAA	28	43→46	49→55	46→50	40	222/263/369	148	268	17	8	25%	5%	76	-0.4	226/273/399	173	265	22	8	24%	5%	87	+0.4	216/262/390	175	247	22	9	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Tanielu 2021 · AAA	28	47→53	48→50	43→40	45	239/285/387	147	277	16	5	20%	6%	88	+0.4	205/264/333	128	257	14	5	25%	6%	68	-1.0	189/252/313	124	237	13	3	26%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Cameron Rupp 2017 · MLB	28	45→48	51→55	45→30	43	232/291/392	160	294	18	3	27%	7%	92	+0.7	212/283/383	171	296	21	3	34%	8%	87	+0.4	183/262/347	163	262	22	1	37%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	48→50	44→45	43	225/288/365	140	265	17	5	22%	6%	85	+0.2	212/277/355	143	265	18	6	27%	5%	78	-0.3	188/253/311	123	242	16	2	29%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	50	47→40	46	198/297/349	151	264	18	4	31%	9%	86	+0.3	198/280/335	137	294	16	7	36%	8%	75	-0.5	121/210/242	121	189	16	0	44%	9%	30	-0.8
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→56	49→50	46→45	44	239/292/387	147	287	17	4	23%	6%	91	+0.6	213/284/364	151	257	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.1	177/257/321	144	205	18	1	24%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB	28	45→49	50	44→45	46	231/298/388	157	296	18	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	217/286/373	156	289	19	7	30%	8%	86	+0.3	197/266/351	154	263	21	3	32%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Jake Smolinski 2017 · MLB	28	47→50	49→55	46→45	48	239/299/390	151	265	17	8	17%	6%	94	+0.9	222/286/364	142	267	16	9	23%	7%	84	+0.1	205/277/365	160	257	19	12	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Mitch Nay 2022 · AAA	28	40→50	51→50	45→30	46	209/279/366	157	269	19	4	30%	8%	81	-0.1	201/265/332	131	301	15	6	36%	7%	68	-1.0	136/192/225	89	219	14	0	44%	5%	13	-1.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2018 · MLB	27	44→46	52→55	44→50	45	229/286/397	167	267	21	5	23%	6%	91	+0.7	240/302/430	190	291	25	8	26%	7%	105	+1.7	237/300/447	210	279	30	5	27%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Adam Rosales 2012 · MLB	29	46→48	46→55	44→45	47	229/287/351	122	273	14	6	22%	7%	80	-0.1	222/279/344	122	272	13	6	23%	7%	76	-0.4	230/302/383	153	299	17	10	28%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Ryan Rohlinger 2012 · MLB	28	46→47	45→50	44→40	49	225/296/349	125	270	11	5	21%	8%	84	+0.1	217/284/312	95	261	9	4	19%	7%	70	-0.8	210/275/288	78	253	7	2	19%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Caleb Joseph 2014 · AAA	28	47→49	47→50	46→40	43	235/276/369	134	274	14	5	20%	5%	80	-0.1	221/269/348	127	267	14	3	22%	6%	73	-0.6	223/272/341	118	272	13	0	23%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Jake Noll 2022 · MLB	28	48→50	46→50	48→45	42	242/279/371	130	285	14	6	21%	4%	82	-0.0	223/267/348	125	271	12	7	22%	4%	72	-0.7	210/254/327	117	256	10	5	22%	4%	60	-0.8
●Brandon Drury 2021 · MLB	28	43→53	48→60	44→40	44	220/274/358	138	272	16	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	246/296/436	190	293	23	3	24%	6%	104	+1.6	254/305/466	211	299	27	1	24%	6%	113	+1.8
✕Alan Espinoza 2019 · AAA	28	47	47→50	49→45	42	238/281/370	132	278	15	7	20%	5%	82	+0.0	252/296/398	146	291	17	7	19%	5%	95	+0.9	266/304/414	148	301	18	3	18%	4%	100	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps