Scott Moore
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAATucson Padres | 485 | .271/.356/.448 | 14 | 0 | 63 | — | .197/.260/.326 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAASTL | 477 | .236/.329/.397 | 15 | 1 | 49 | — | .174/.251/.291 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAASTL | 131 | .175/.277/.289 | 2 | 2 | 7 | — | .118/.192/.185 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 536 | 466 | 131 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 134 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 281 | 364 | 485 | 849 | 204 | 346 | 25 | 10 | 369 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 317 | 474 | 791 | 211 | 308 | 24 | 5 | 340 | 116 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2006 | 22 | AA | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 533 | 463 | 128 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 55 | 126 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 276 | 362 | 479 | 842 | 203 | 331 | 24 | 10 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 55 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 245 | 327 | 572 | 96 | 306 | 31 | 2 | 245 | 52 | -3 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 382 | 321 | 85 | 19 | 4 | 19 | 48 | 100 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 265 | 376 | 526 | 902 | 262 | 322 | 26 | 13 | 391 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 318 | 287 | 71 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 321 | 408 | 728 | 160 | 300 | 21 | 7 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 136 | 123 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 319 | 480 | 798 | 228 | 253 | 16 | 6 | 349 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 96 | 86 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 277 | 337 | 614 | 128 | 231 | 20 | 8 | 272 | 61 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 253 | 225 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 280 | 349 | 476 | 825 | 196 | 306 | 19 | 8 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 425 | 363 | 107 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 48 | 79 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 295 | 386 | 444 | 830 | 149 | 348 | 19 | 11 | 366 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 228 | 201 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 335 | 448 | 783 | 189 | 309 | 25 | 7 | 343 | 113 | +3 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 291 | 245 | 78 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 318 | 416 | 555 | 971 | 237 | 362 | 18 | 12 | 418 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 485 | 424 | 115 | 33 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 271 | 356 | 448 | 804 | 177 | 329 | 22 | 10 | 355 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 477 | 416 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 329 | 397 | 726 | 161 | 268 | 19 | 8 | 327 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 131 | 114 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 277 | 289 | 566 | 114 | 237 | 28 | 11 | 262 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 421 | 377 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 102 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 244 | 308 | 408 | 717 | 164 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 314 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -7 | -6 | +9 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 536 | 482 | 109 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 190 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 226 | 292 | 386 | 678 | 160 | 318 | 35 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 317 | 474 | 791 | 211 | 308 | 24 | 5 | 340 | 116 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 533 | 485 | 116 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 154 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 300 | 404 | 704 | 165 | 302 | 29 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 55 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 245 | 327 | 572 | 96 | 306 | 31 | 2 | 245 | 52 | -3 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 382 | 334 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 129 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 213 | 304 | 410 | 714 | 198 | 288 | 34 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 318 | 293 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 80 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 277 | 348 | 625 | 133 | 277 | 25 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 136 | 125 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 274 | 408 | 682 | 192 | 218 | 19 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 96 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 266 | 333 | 599 | 126 | 231 | 20 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 253 | 233 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 232 | 281 | 365 | 646 | 133 | 267 | 23 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 425 | 379 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 305 | 343 | 648 | 108 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 228 | 203 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 251 | 321 | 433 | 755 | 182 | 309 | 25 | 6 | 335 | 113 | +3 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 291 | 258 | 66 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 65 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 256 | 329 | 438 | 767 | 182 | 298 | 22 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 485 | 442 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 148 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 260 | 326 | 586 | 129 | 263 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 477 | 430 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 120 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 251 | 291 | 542 | 116 | 211 | 25 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 131 | 119 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 118 | 192 | 185 | 377 | 67 | 186 | 37 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 536 | 482 | 109 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 190 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 226 | 292 | 386 | 678 | 160 | 326 | 35 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ RAW | Daytona Cubs | — | 536 | 466 | 131 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 134 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 281 | 364 | 485 | 849 | 204 | 346 | 25 | 10 | 369 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 575 | 523 | 126 | 28 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 164 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 241 | 301 | 409 | 710 | 168 | 308 | 29 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 575 | 501 | 138 | 30 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 136 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 275 | 359 | 479 | 838 | 204 | 329 | 24 | 10 | 367 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 386 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 146 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 215 | 297 | 399 | 696 | 184 | 293 | 33 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 373 | 97 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 49 | 117 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 260 | 360 | 499 | 858 | 239 | 320 | 27 | 11 | 373 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 318 | 293 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 80 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 277 | 348 | 625 | 133 | 275 | 25 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 318 | 287 | 71 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 321 | 408 | 728 | 160 | 300 | 21 | 7 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 136 | 125 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 274 | 408 | 682 | 192 | 223 | 19 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 136 | 123 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 319 | 480 | 798 | 228 | 253 | 16 | 6 | 349 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 320 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 277 | 356 | 633 | 131 | 261 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 349 | 311 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 66 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 260 | 329 | 437 | 767 | 177 | 285 | 19 | 8 | 335 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 425 | 379 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 305 | 343 | 648 | 108 | 299 | 25 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 425 | 363 | 107 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 48 | 79 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 295 | 386 | 444 | 830 | 149 | 348 | 19 | 11 | 366 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 461 | 118 | 32 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 121 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 256 | 327 | 440 | 768 | 184 | 306 | 23 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 446 | 130 | 37 | 1 | 19 | 51 | 107 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 291 | 380 | 507 | 887 | 215 | 339 | 21 | 10 | 385 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 485 | 442 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 148 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 260 | 326 | 586 | 129 | 265 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Tucson Padres | — | 485 | 424 | 115 | 33 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 271 | 356 | 448 | 804 | 177 | 329 | 22 | 10 | 355 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 477 | 430 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 120 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 251 | 291 | 542 | 116 | 213 | 25 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 477 | 416 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 329 | 397 | 726 | 161 | 268 | 19 | 8 | 327 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 131 | 119 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 118 | 192 | 185 | 377 | 67 | 186 | 37 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 131 | 114 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 277 | 289 | 566 | 114 | 237 | 28 | 11 | 262 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 536 | 486 | 109 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 190 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 224 | 292 | 383 | 675 | 158 | 318 | 35 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 575 | 525 | 126 | 28 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 164 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 240 | 301 | 408 | 709 | 168 | 302 | 29 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 389 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 146 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 213 | 297 | 396 | 693 | 183 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 318 | 290 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 80 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 277 | 352 | 628 | 134 | 277 | 25 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 136 | 125 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 274 | 408 | 682 | 192 | 218 | 19 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 323 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 223 | 277 | 353 | 630 | 130 | 257 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 425 | 384 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 305 | 339 | 643 | 107 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 465 | 118 | 32 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 121 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 254 | 327 | 437 | 764 | 183 | 303 | 23 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 485 | 444 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 148 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 196 | 260 | 324 | 585 | 128 | 263 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 477 | 430 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 120 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 251 | 291 | 542 | 116 | 211 | 25 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 131 | 119 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 118 | 192 | 185 | 377 | 67 | 186 | 37 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 421 | 377 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 102 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 244 | 308 | 408 | 717 | 164 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 314 | 80 | -1 | -0 | -7 | -6 | +9 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 142 | 26 | 0 | 23 | 42 | 157 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 308 | 407 | 715 | 163 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 314 | 80 | -1 | -0 | -11 | -9 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4388 | 3960 | 863 | 197 | 11 | 121 | 288 | 1225 | 85 | 56 | 29 | 218 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 147 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -1 | -0 | -7 | -6 | +9 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 181 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 218 | 287 | 366 | 653 | 148 | 278 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -1 | -0 | -11 | -9 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 131 PAwOBA .254 → .179 (−76)K% 28.2% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.24% | ÷0.967 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.013 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.030 | ×0.900 | ×0.961 | ×0.952 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.952 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.224 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .254 → .179; ISO .114 → .074; BABIP .237 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 477 PAwOBA .319 → .241 (−77)K% 19.5% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.50% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.97% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.98% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 3.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.89% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 15.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.81% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .241; ISO .161 → .118; BABIP .268 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATucson Padres · 485 PAwOBA .347 → .261 (−87)K% 22.1% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.06% | ÷0.933 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.90% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.45% | ÷1.023 | ×0.900 | ×0.956 | ×0.972 | 17.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.41% | ÷0.963 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×0.972 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.901 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 3.72% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .347 → .261; ISO .177 → .136; BABIP .329 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 291 PAwOBA .412 → .329 (−83)K% 17.5% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.53% | ÷1.018 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.079 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷1.001 | ×0.900 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.40% | ÷0.960 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 10.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.101 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 120, K 104, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .412 → .329; ISO .237 → .186; BABIP .362 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 425 PAwOBA .362 → .289 (−74)K% 18.6% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.59% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.29% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.41% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 23.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .362 → .289; ISO .149 → .116; BABIP .348 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAANorfolk Tides · 253 PAwOBA .352 → .284 (−68)K% 18.6% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.58% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.003 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.003 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.003 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.18% | ÷1.272 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.09% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 111, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .352 → .284; ISO .196 → .143; BABIP .306 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAANorfolk Tides · 136 PAwOBA .342 → .288 (−54)K% 16.2% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .288; ISO .228 → .190; BABIP .253 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAANorfolk Tides · 318 PAwOBA .318 → .274 (−44)K% 21.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 17.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .318 → .274; ISO .160 → .136; BABIP .300 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).