Alan Trejo
2B Round Rock Express| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 160 | .284/.361/.418 | 3 | 3 | 99 | — | .312/.389/.479 | |
| 2023 | 27 | MLBCOL | 227 | .232/.290/.343 | 4 | 5 | 71 | 0.1 | ||
| 2024 | 28 | AAAOklahoma City… | 241 | .265/.349/.408 | 6 | 5 | 72 | — | .232/.290/.350 | |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBCOL | 67 | .143/.182/.143 | 0 | 0 | -12 | -0.5 | ||
| 2025 | 29 | AAATEX | 381 | .261/.326/.466 | 14 | 2 | 77 | — | .223/.273/.391 | |
| 2025 | 29 | MLBCOL | 43 | .175/.195/.225 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.1 | ||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 31 | MLBTEX | 24 | .217/.270/.361 | 1 | 0 | 74 | -0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 32 | MLBTEX | 68 | .210/.263/.345 | 2 | 0 | 68 | -0.2 | ||
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 190 | 173 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 347 | 392 | 566 | 959 | 220 | 379 | 15 | 5 | 411 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 497 | 449 | 125 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 278 | 333 | 425 | 759 | 147 | 346 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 476 | 437 | 106 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 243 | 291 | 391 | 683 | 149 | 285 | 22 | 5 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 50 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 265 | 326 | 591 | 109 | 290 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 47 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 334 | 93 | 34 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 78 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 278 | 327 | 569 | 896 | 290 | 314 | 21 | 6 | 380 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 125 | 118 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 271 | 312 | 424 | 736 | 153 | 337 | 25 | 4 | 327 | 98 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 293 | 274 | 81 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 296 | 334 | 551 | 886 | 255 | 330 | 22 | 3 | 382 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 227 | 207 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 290 | 343 | 633 | 111 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 283 | 71 | -8 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 54 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 370 | 463 | 565 | 1.028 | 196 | 485 | 22 | 13 | 452 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 106 | 95 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 308 | 347 | 655 | 105 | 292 | 22 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 67 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 143 | 325 | 188 | 22 | 3 | 153 | -12 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 241 | 211 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 265 | 349 | 408 | 756 | 142 | 327 | 22 | 11 | 337 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 43 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 195 | 225 | 420 | 50 | 206 | 16 | 2 | 181 | 5 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 341 | 89 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 326 | 466 | 792 | 205 | 311 | 24 | 8 | 343 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 512 | 474 | 106 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 119 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 224 | 271 | 325 | 596 | 101 | 277 | 23 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -21 | +0 | +4 | +13 | +11 | 0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 190 | 177 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 254 | 290 | 401 | 691 | 147 | 294 | 21 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 497 | 459 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 209 | 253 | 301 | 554 | 92 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 476 | 445 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 198 | 236 | 297 | 532 | 99 | 246 | 27 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 50 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 245 | 319 | 564 | 106 | 290 | 30 | 4 | 238 | 47 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 341 | 72 | 28 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 98 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 211 | 249 | 411 | 659 | 199 | 254 | 27 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 125 | 118 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 304 | 415 | 719 | 153 | 337 | 25 | 4 | 313 | 98 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 293 | 277 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 262 | 397 | 659 | 170 | 275 | 26 | 2 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 227 | 207 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 286 | 338 | 624 | 111 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -8 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 54 | 48 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 389 | 479 | 868 | 167 | 427 | 28 | 9 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 67 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 143 | 325 | 188 | 22 | 3 | 150 | -12 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 241 | 220 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 232 | 290 | 350 | 640 | 118 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 43 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 195 | 225 | 420 | 50 | 206 | 16 | 2 | 176 | 5 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 350 | 78 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 273 | 391 | 664 | 169 | 265 | 26 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 190 | 177 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 254 | 290 | 401 | 691 | 147 | 299 | 21 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 190 | 173 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 347 | 392 | 566 | 959 | 220 | 379 | 15 | 5 | 411 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 497 | 459 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 209 | 253 | 301 | 554 | 92 | 303 | 33 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 497 | 449 | 125 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 278 | 333 | 425 | 759 | 147 | 346 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 476 | 445 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 198 | 236 | 297 | 532 | 99 | 252 | 27 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 476 | 437 | 106 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 243 | 291 | 391 | 683 | 149 | 285 | 22 | 5 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 388 | 81 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 113 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 209 | 246 | 394 | 640 | 186 | 261 | 27 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 413 | 380 | 103 | 36 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 271 | 319 | 539 | 859 | 268 | 311 | 23 | 6 | 366 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 395 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 108 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 241 | 277 | 405 | 682 | 165 | 293 | 26 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 392 | 113 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 95 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 288 | 328 | 513 | 840 | 224 | 332 | 23 | 4 | 365 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 349 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 91 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 238 | 304 | 350 | 653 | 112 | 301 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 387 | 348 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 86 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 253 | 319 | 374 | 693 | 121 | 313 | 22 | 8 | 309 | 82 | -8 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 283 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 80 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 212 | 266 | 304 | 570 | 92 | 275 | 26 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 274 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 69 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 237 | 312 | 347 | 659 | 109 | 294 | 22 | 9 | 297 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 424 | 390 | 84 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 263 | 372 | 634 | 156 | 263 | 25 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 424 | 381 | 96 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 97 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 313 | 441 | 754 | 189 | 298 | 23 | 7 | 327 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 190 | 179 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 251 | 290 | 397 | 687 | 145 | 294 | 21 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 497 | 467 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 206 | 253 | 296 | 549 | 90 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 476 | 451 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 195 | 236 | 293 | 528 | 98 | 246 | 27 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 391 | 81 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 113 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 207 | 246 | 391 | 637 | 184 | 258 | 27 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 395 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 108 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 241 | 277 | 405 | 682 | 165 | 294 | 26 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 351 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 91 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 304 | 348 | 651 | 111 | 313 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 284 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 80 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 211 | 266 | 303 | 569 | 92 | 271 | 26 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 424 | 396 | 84 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 263 | 366 | 629 | 154 | 259 | 25 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 284 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 80 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 211 | 266 | 303 | 569 | 92 | 271 | 26 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 424 | 396 | 84 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 263 | 366 | 629 | 154 | 259 | 25 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | TEX | 10% | 380 | 351 | 75 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 270 | 356 | 626 | 140 | 263 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10% | 24 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 270 | 361 | 631 | 144 | 261 | 25 | 4 | 280 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | TEX | 27% | 250 | 231 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 262 | 341 | 604 | 132 | 257 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -9 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | TEX | 27% | 68 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 263 | 345 | 608 | 135 | 256 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 68 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 580 | 538 | 119 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 136 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 221 | 269 | 327 | 596 | 106 | 273 | 23 | 5 | 267 | 66 | -23 | +0 | +3 | +13 | +13 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 133 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 152 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 221 | 267 | 325 | 593 | 104 | 273 | 23 | 5 | 267 | 66 | -26 | +0 | +3 | +15 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3601 | 3337 | 727 | 169 | 14 | 80 | 172 | 947 | 37 | 38 | 31 | 218 | 264 | 349 | 613 | 131 | 276 | 26 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -37 | -0 | +0 | +15 | +22 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 132 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 171 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 219 | 266 | 350 | 616 | 131 | 280 | 26 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -24 | -0 | +0 | +10 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAARound Rock Express · 381 PAwOBA .337 → .282 (−55)K% 23.6% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.62% | ÷1.086 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷0.962 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.36% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 9.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×0.982 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.913 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.20% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .337 → .282; ISO .205 → .172; BABIP .311 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 241 PAwOBA .331 → .275 (−56)K% 22.4% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.37% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.126 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.82% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .331 → .275; ISO .142 → .115; BABIP .327 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 54 PAwOBA .440 → .356 (−84)K% 22.2% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 29.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 9.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 2.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .440 → .356; ISO .196 → .147; BABIP .485 → .427. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 293 PAwOBA .374 → .288 (−87)K% 21.8% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.84% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.41% | ÷0.945 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.12% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 109, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .374 → .288; ISO .255 → .175; BABIP .330 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 363 PAwOBA .372 → .276 (−97)K% 21.5% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.49% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.34% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.06% | ÷1.110 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 11.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.28% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 11.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.172 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.10% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .372 → .276; ISO .290 → .202; BABIP .314 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAHartford Yard Goats · 476 PAwOBA .292 → .230 (−62)K% 22.1% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.06% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.25% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.178 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.190 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 106, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .292 → .230; ISO .149 → .100; BABIP .285 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 497 PAwOBA .326 → .241 (−85)K% 22.7% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.74% | ÷0.938 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.24% | ÷1.073 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.130 | ×0.760 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷1.531 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 206, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 126, K 88, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .326 → .241; ISO .147 → .094; BABIP .346 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 190 PAwOBA .404 → .297 (−106)K% 14.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 2.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 3.57% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .404 → .297; ISO .220 → .156; BABIP .379 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .