Alan TrejoSS Round Rock Express
Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†vL -80-53vR 15
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .243 / .322
PA350
HR8
K%24
BB%6
ISO132
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.82627
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT50
Whiff%
4911.1%
xwOBA
100.262
POWER60
Barrel%
214.5
Avg EV
1086.0
Bat Spd
1066.1
EYE40
Chase%
3335.0%
SPEED45
Sprint
2326.2
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 102 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
22
80
wRC+
-80
15
▶▶R
wOBA
081
205
▶▶R
ISO
027
BABIP
118
240
▶▶R
K%
22.7%
20.0%
R
BB%
0.0%
3.7%
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$0.2M
Totals $0.0M $-0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKGrand Junction Rockies 190176 46915 6404 74 261301409710 148308 213 302 89
201721 ROKGrand Junction Rockies 190173 601327 9284 74 347392566959 220379 155 411 173
201822 A+Lancaster JetHawks 497461 901924 191736 36 195237271508 76297 354 222 28
201822 A+Lancaster JetHawks 497449 12528410 311136 36 278333425759 147346 236 331 111
201923 AAHartford Yard Goats 476446 8012010 161345 54 179216274490 94230 283 210 19
201923 AAHartford Yard Goats 476437 10620015 251055 54 243291391683 149285 225 299 87
202125 AAA2 teams 413388 7528411 181171 24 193231371602 178242 284 253 51
202125 AAA2 teams 413380 10336618 26931 24 271319539859 268311 236 366 138
202226 AAA2 teams 418394 8619113 131148 34 218258371628 152270 273 271 66
202226 AAA2 teams 418392 11326120 15958 34 288328513840 224332 234 365 138
202327 MLB3 teams 387349 751615 29944 83 215283309592 95276 247 261 58 -18 +0 +2 +1 +11 -0.4
202327 MLB3 teams 387348 881917 30864 83 253319374693 121313 228 309 95 -2 +0 +2 +1 +11 1.3
202428 AAA2 teams 308282 59916 20862 53 209266312579 103276 286 249 48
202428 AAA2 teams 308274 651016 28692 53 237312347659 109294 229 297 85
202529 AAA2 teams 424388 8629113 241063 21 222272402674 180266 256 289 79
202529 AAA2 teams 424381 9628114 31973 21 252313441754 189298 237 327 108
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBTEX 350324 621518 20853 41 191245318563 127231 246 254 53 -19 +0 -0 +1 +10 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBTEX 27% 365338 651619 21903 31 192246325571 133228 256 250 50 -21 +0 -3 +1 +10 -1.2
202731 MLBTEX 27% 10093 17402 6251 10 183240290530 108230 256 246 47 -6 +0 -1 +0 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 612567 12325011 331445 73 217266319585 102269 245 263 59 -28 +0 +3 +13 +17 0.6
/ 162G 650602 13127012 351535 73 218266322588 105270 245 263 59 -30 +0 +3 +14 +18 0.6
Career 38283546 7241721384 186103939 4231 204252331583 127261 275 252 51 -211 -4 +1 +20 +108 -8.7
/ 162G 650602 12229214 321767 75 203251327578 125259 275 252 51 -36 -1 +0 +3 +18 -1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKGrand Junction Rockies 190173 601327 9284 74 347392566959 220379 155 411 173 +16 -0 +5 2.1
201822 A+Lancaster JetHawks 497449 12528410 311136 36 278333425759 147346 236 331 111 +6 -2 +14 1.9
201923 AAHartford Yard Goats 476437 10620015 251055 54 243291391683 149285 225 299 87 -7 -1 +13 0.6
202125 MLBColorado Rockies 5046 10201 3150 00 217265326591 109290 306 262 58 -2 +0 -1 +1 +1 -0.0
202125 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 363334 9334617 23781 24 278327569896 290314 216 380 149 +20 -1 +10 3.0
202226 MLBColorado Rockies 125118 32604 5312 12 271312424736 153337 254 327 109 +1 -1 +1 +4 +4 1.0
202226 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 293274 8120116 10646 22 296334551886 255330 223 382 150 +17 -0 +8 2.5
202327 MLBColorado Rockies 227207 481104 16511 51 232290343633 111286 227 283 75 -7 +1 +2 +1 +6 0.4
202327 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 5446 17411 7121 21 3704635651.028 196485 2213 452 204 +6 +0 +2 0.8
202327 INTLCharros de Jalisco 10695 23402 7232 11 242308347655 105292 227 293 82 -2 -0 +3 0.1
202428 MLBColorado Rockies 6763 9000 2151 00 143182143325 188 223 153 -24 -9 +0 +1 +1 +2 -0.5
202428 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club 241211 561016 26541 53 265349408756 142327 2211 337 116 +4 -0 +7 1.1
202529 MLBColorado Rockies 4340 7200 170 00 175195225420 50206 162 181 -3 -5 +0 +0 +5 +1 0.1
202529 AAARound Rock Express 381341 8926114 30903 21 261326466792 205311 248 343 121 +9 +0 +11 2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 512474 1062109 271194 63 224271325596 101277 235 266 62 -22 +0 +4 +13 +15 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
4604127220267332+3+4-0.5-0.3
/162664138+3.2+3.9-0.5pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alan Trejo (OGILVIE) 30 50 60 45 40 191/243/322 131231 84 24% 6% 53 -0.9
Pat Valaika
2023 · MLB
30 41→45 44→50 42→50 41 208/253/316 108261 134 26% 6% 54 -1.4 207/263/320 113269 137 27% 7% 59 -1.1 174/241/2669122911428%8%37-1.1
Jake Hager
2023 · MLB
30 41→51 45→50 50 45 206/271/330 125266 1311 27% 8% 66 -0.6 201/251/309 108289 98 32% 6% 51 -1.7 174/214/270962636235%4%22-1.0
Nick Tanielu
2023 · AAA
30 39→49 44→50 48→40 44 201/260/320 120251 125 25% 7% 59 -1.1 220/281/372 152288 168 28% 6% 82 +0.5 211/280/40619627521231%6%88+0.3
Corey Smith
2012 · AAA
30 42→46 45→55 48→50 39 211/252/331 120273 138 28% 5% 57 -1.2 228/272/380 152291 187 28% 5% 79 +0.3 235/280/42118628624426%5%89+0.7
Eli Whiteside
2010 · MLB
30 41 45→50 46→40 38 210/249/332 122270 135 28% 4% 56 -1.3 214/268/339 125277 136 27% 6% 67 -0.5 200/260/30810825910326%6%51-0.5
Carlos Rivero
2019 · AAA
31 42→52 47→50 44→45 41 215/257/344 129265 155 26% 5% 63 -0.9 249/294/395 146294 175 21% 6% 92 +1.2 258/303/40614729918020%6%97+1.2
Andy Marte
2013 · MLB
29 40→48 46→55 45→40 46 205/265/333 128244 146 22% 7% 64 -0.8 236/279/375 139270 175 19% 5% 80 +0.4 241/279/37413326817117%5%80+0.2
Mark Saccomanno
2010 · AAA
30 44→47 48→55 48→40 41 226/264/366 140265 175 22% 4% 72 -0.2 219/261/351 132272 145 25% 5% 66 -0.6 206/248/33613025914026%5%54-1.2
Dustin Garneau
2018 · MLB
30 38→37 49→50 44→45 44 201/262/348 147241 174 25% 7% 67 -0.5 201/275/344 143257 154 27% 7% 72 -0.2 171/262/34717721422131%8%67-0.2
Brandon Macias
2019 · AAA
30 39→49 46→40 44→45 40 204/262/330 126271 157 30% 6% 63 -0.9 216/271/319 103292 118 29% 5% 63 -0.9 199/255/265662708228%5%40-1.0
Nick Green
2009 · MLB
30 41→47 48→50 43→45 38 215/256/350 135277 166 29% 4% 64 -0.8 214/264/338 124270 125 25% 5% 65 -0.7 218/265/35413626713323%4%66-0.4
Aramis Garcia
2023 · MLB
30 42 43→55 42→45 36 209/251/313 104282 124 30% 4% 53 -1.5 195/248/342 147267 208 34% 5% 60 -1.0 176/253/32514924121536%7%57-0.5
Sharlon Schoop
2018 · AAA
31 42→44 46→40 44→45 41 213/258/339 126263 144 25% 5% 63 -0.9 221/280/349 128290 147 28% 6% 74 -0.1 194/268/276822698029%7%49-0.4
Tuffy Gosewisch
2014 · MLB
30 42→45 42→45 40 42 209/252/318 109248 104 20% 4% 54 -1.4 217/259/322 105258 95 19% 5% 58 -1.2 216/262/32210625111218%5%57-0.4
Audy Ciriaco
2015 · AAA
28 40→47 47→50 47→50 42 206/249/341 135243 169 23% 5% 59 -1.1 211/254/331 120262 127 24% 5% 58 -1.2 195/234/291962457323%4%39-1.2
Chris Truby
2003 · MLB
29 44→43 47→50 44→45 40 221/260/360 139269 145 24% 4% 69 -0.4 221/267/351 130276 135 24% 6% 69 -0.4 186/235/31713122816626%6%44-1.4
Brandon Berger
2005 · MLB
30 45 46→55 47→45 48 226/283/356 130259 1410 20% 7% 77 +0.1 214/274/385 171240 238 22% 7% 82 +0.5 181/240/35217218726422%6%57-0.7
Steve Torrealba
2008 · AAA
30 42 47→45 45→30 44 215/273/342 127257 164 23% 6% 70 -0.3 228/293/381 153267 195 22% 8% 89 +0.9 225/302/39917424822120%9%95+0.4
Phillip Evans
2023 · MLB
30 43→53 42→45 42→40 47 213/274/315 102250 114 20% 7% 63 -0.8 228/295/329 101273 114 20% 8% 76 +0.0 233/306/3218828010220%8%77+0.1
Adam Fox
2011 · AAA
29 39→44 47→50 49→45 40 202/251/335 133253 169 27% 5% 59 -1.1 204/249/337 133259 149 26% 5% 58 -1.2 184/221/32714322414625%4%39-1.1