Paul Leon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 30 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 239 | .230/.283/.309 | 2 | 3 | 64 | — | |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 645 | .282/.323/.406 | 15 | 1 | 74 | — | .238/.268/.327 |
| 2020 | 32 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 145 | .231/.285/.261 | 0 | 0 | 57 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 41 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 270 | 405 | 676 | 135 | 294 | 7 | 0 | 267 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 286 | 247 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 320 | 324 | 644 | 81 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 285 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 437 | 394 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 315 | 383 | 698 | 117 | 311 | 18 | 5 | 303 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 65 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 250 | 254 | 504 | 16 | 288 | 17 | 0 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 429 | 385 | 117 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 68 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 304 | 356 | 426 | 782 | 122 | 348 | 16 | 6 | 340 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 25 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 136 | 95 | 232 | 143 | 28 | 4 | 100 | -46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 350 | 314 | 95 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 303 | 348 | 430 | 778 | 127 | 338 | 15 | 6 | 334 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 61 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 231 | 259 | 269 | 528 | 38 | 308 | 23 | 2 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 372 | 333 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 237 | 292 | 336 | 629 | 99 | 274 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Mexico | — | 96 | 88 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 159 | 196 | 239 | 434 | 80 | 183 | 18 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 371 | 324 | 84 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 69 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 259 | 337 | 410 | 748 | 151 | 302 | 19 | 9 | 328 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 200 | 176 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 222 | 286 | 278 | 565 | 57 | 284 | 21 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 376 | 335 | 94 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 66 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 347 | 442 | 789 | 161 | 315 | 18 | 8 | 345 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 199 | 188 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 318 | 415 | 733 | 122 | 325 | 16 | 4 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 239 | 217 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 78 | 273 | 18 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 393 | 364 | 103 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 283 | 322 | 423 | 745 | 140 | 325 | 19 | 4 | 325 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 252 | 235 | 66 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 281 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 98 | 337 | 19 | 6 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 145 | 134 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 285 | 261 | 546 | 30 | 295 | 21 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 41 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 270 | 405 | 676 | 135 | 268 | 10 | 0 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 286 | 256 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 287 | 309 | 596 | 74 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 437 | 401 | 97 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 97 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 242 | 280 | 327 | 606 | 85 | 286 | 22 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 429 | 394 | 112 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 79 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 284 | 322 | 381 | 703 | 96 | 325 | 18 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 350 | 321 | 88 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 274 | 307 | 364 | 671 | 90 | 302 | 17 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 372 | 343 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 77 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 210 | 245 | 283 | 528 | 73 | 242 | 21 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 371 | 336 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 86 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 282 | 333 | 615 | 107 | 275 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 376 | 345 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 104 | 267 | 20 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 393 | 370 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 84 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 268 | 327 | 595 | 89 | 278 | 21 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 41 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 270 | 405 | 676 | 135 | 303 | 10 | 0 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 41 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 270 | 405 | 676 | 135 | 294 | 7 | 0 | 267 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 286 | 256 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 287 | 309 | 596 | 74 | 301 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 286 | 247 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 320 | 324 | 644 | 81 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 285 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 461 | 111 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 111 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 241 | 280 | 325 | 605 | 85 | 300 | 22 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 502 | 457 | 120 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 91 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 263 | 307 | 365 | 672 | 103 | 308 | 18 | 5 | 293 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 415 | 119 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 84 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 287 | 324 | 386 | 710 | 99 | 343 | 19 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 454 | 406 | 119 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 75 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 345 | 409 | 754 | 116 | 339 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 372 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 72 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 277 | 310 | 368 | 679 | 91 | 327 | 18 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 411 | 366 | 107 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 292 | 336 | 407 | 743 | 115 | 334 | 16 | 5 | 316 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 431 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 209 | 244 | 281 | 525 | 72 | 254 | 21 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 421 | 93 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 83 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 221 | 273 | 316 | 589 | 95 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 258 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 511 | 118 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 132 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 231 | 291 | 342 | 633 | 112 | 292 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 571 | 500 | 123 | 30 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 111 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 246 | 319 | 364 | 683 | 118 | 295 | 19 | 8 | 301 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 575 | 530 | 121 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 118 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 275 | 328 | 603 | 100 | 273 | 21 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 575 | 523 | 149 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 37 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 337 | 432 | 769 | 147 | 319 | 17 | 6 | 336 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 239 | 217 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 78 | 273 | 18 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 239 | 217 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 78 | 273 | 18 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 645 | 613 | 144 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 138 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 235 | 261 | 321 | 583 | 86 | 284 | 21 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 645 | 599 | 169 | 29 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 122 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 282 | 323 | 406 | 729 | 124 | 330 | 19 | 5 | 321 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 145 | 134 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 285 | 261 | 546 | 30 | 295 | 21 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 145 | 134 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 285 | 261 | 546 | 30 | 295 | 21 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 41 | 41 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 270 | 366 | 636 | 122 | 268 | 10 | 0 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 286 | 265 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 287 | 298 | 585 | 72 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 472 | 111 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 111 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 280 | 318 | 598 | 83 | 286 | 22 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 428 | 119 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 84 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 324 | 374 | 698 | 96 | 325 | 19 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 390 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 72 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 264 | 310 | 351 | 662 | 87 | 302 | 18 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 445 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 202 | 244 | 272 | 516 | 70 | 242 | 21 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 523 | 118 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 132 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 226 | 291 | 335 | 625 | 109 | 275 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 575 | 536 | 121 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 118 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 275 | 325 | 599 | 99 | 267 | 21 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 645 | 618 | 144 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 138 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 233 | 261 | 319 | 580 | 86 | 278 | 21 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4337 | 3977 | 957 | 164 | 12 | 55 | 197 | 891 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 241 | 282 | 329 | 612 | 89 | 294 | 21 | 5 | 241 | 49 | -263 | -6 | +0 | +46 | +94 | -13.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 144 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 134 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 242 | 284 | 331 | 614 | 89 | 296 | 21 | 5 | 241 | 49 | -39 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 393 PAwOBA .319 → .255 (−63)K% 19.1% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.08% | ÷1.071 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.33% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.30% | ÷0.954 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 23.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.196 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.34% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .255; ISO .140 → .090; BABIP .325 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 376 PAwOBA .338 → .266 (−72)K% 17.6% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.55% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.71% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.263 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .338 → .266; ISO .161 → .105; BABIP .315 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 371 PAwOBA .321 → .270 (−51)K% 18.6% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 19.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷1.075 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.14% | ÷1.132 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.92% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 98, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .321 → .270; ISO .151 → .111; BABIP .302 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 372 PAwOBA .271 → .228 (−42)K% 17.7% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.74% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.18% | ÷1.132 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 19.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.48% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .271 → .228; ISO .099 → .076; BABIP .274 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 350 PAwOBA .327 → .282 (−45)K% 14.6% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.57% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 24.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.245 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .327 → .282; ISO .127 → .091; BABIP .338 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 429 PAwOBA .333 → .300 (−33)K% 15.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.85% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.83% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.08% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 27.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.901 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.52% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.69% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .333 → .300; ISO .122 → .096; BABIP .348 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 437 PAwOBA .298 → .262 (−36)K% 18.3% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.110 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .298 → .262; ISO .117 → .088; BABIP .311 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 286 PAwOBA .279 → .248 (−31)K% 17.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.107 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.96% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 112, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 96, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .279 → .248; ISO .081 → .069; BABIP .297 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .