Ryan Casteel
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 30 | AAAATL | 174 | .224/.301/.417 | 8 | 0 | 42 | — | .168/.225/.286 |
| 2022 | 31 | AAAATL | 264 | .217/.303/.481 | 17 | 0 | 53 | — | .164/.227/.336 |
| 2024 | 33 | AAAATL | 49 | .213/.245/.362 | 2 | 0 | 6 | — | .146/.163/.229 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 187 | 177 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 305 | 342 | 412 | 755 | 107 | 367 | 19 | 5 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 271 | 251 | 70 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 279 | 332 | 414 | 746 | 135 | 332 | 16 | 7 | 333 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 469 | 411 | 111 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 50 | 118 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 355 | 523 | 878 | 253 | 324 | 25 | 11 | 380 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 185 | 166 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 343 | 408 | 614 | 1.022 | 271 | 338 | 11 | 9 | 441 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 481 | 436 | 122 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 280 | 343 | 445 | 788 | 165 | 322 | 20 | 8 | 349 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 106 | 93 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 330 | 355 | 685 | 97 | 329 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 134 | 130 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 303 | 415 | 718 | 123 | 375 | 25 | 1 | 313 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 15 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 467 | 467 | 600 | 1.067 | 133 | 636 | 27 | 0 | 473 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 161 | 152 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 273 | 368 | 642 | 138 | 314 | 29 | 5 | 286 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 209 | 185 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 51 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 351 | 665 | 108 | 309 | 24 | 9 | 295 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 424 | 389 | 106 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 84 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 326 | 429 | 755 | 157 | 316 | 20 | 7 | 333 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 45 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 178 | 250 | 428 | 91 | 171 | 18 | 2 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 44 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 186 | 256 | 442 | 70 | 250 | 34 | 0 | 191 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 458 | 411 | 108 | 21 | 2 | 21 | 43 | 121 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 336 | 477 | 812 | 214 | 321 | 26 | 9 | 357 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 107 | 100 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 280 | 380 | 660 | 150 | 274 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 174 | 156 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 301 | 417 | 717 | 192 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 318 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 264 | 235 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 303 | 481 | 784 | 264 | 228 | 26 | 10 | 343 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 245 | 362 | 607 | 149 | 320 | 41 | 4 | 269 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 187 | 181 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 246 | 293 | 539 | 72 | 297 | 27 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 271 | 258 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 266 | 326 | 591 | 97 | 296 | 23 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 469 | 428 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 33 | 159 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 280 | 437 | 716 | 220 | 276 | 34 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 481 | 449 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 115 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 247 | 293 | 383 | 676 | 136 | 298 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 134 | 131 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 250 | 328 | 578 | 84 | 344 | 33 | 1 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 15 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 400 | 533 | 933 | 133 | 591 | 33 | 0 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 161 | 155 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 205 | 265 | 469 | 90 | 273 | 40 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 209 | 191 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 62 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 94 | 303 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 424 | 399 | 90 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 105 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 264 | 343 | 608 | 118 | 279 | 25 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 458 | 426 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 28 | 151 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 252 | 371 | 623 | 171 | 262 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 174 | 161 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 225 | 286 | 511 | 118 | 230 | 34 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 264 | 244 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 227 | 336 | 563 | 172 | 190 | 31 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 163 | 229 | 392 | 83 | 277 | 51 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 187 | 181 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 246 | 293 | 539 | 72 | 295 | 27 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | Casper Ghosts | — | 187 | 177 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 305 | 342 | 412 | 755 | 107 | 367 | 19 | 5 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 271 | 258 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 266 | 326 | 591 | 97 | 299 | 23 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 271 | 251 | 70 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 279 | 332 | 414 | 746 | 135 | 332 | 16 | 7 | 333 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 654 | 598 | 129 | 29 | 3 | 32 | 46 | 222 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 277 | 435 | 712 | 219 | 278 | 34 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 654 | 577 | 168 | 40 | 5 | 33 | 67 | 138 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 291 | 370 | 549 | 919 | 258 | 328 | 21 | 10 | 398 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 546 | 136 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 140 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 294 | 390 | 684 | 141 | 299 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 587 | 529 | 146 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 117 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 276 | 341 | 429 | 770 | 153 | 323 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 146 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 259 | 336 | 594 | 82 | 371 | 33 | 1 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 149 | 145 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 310 | 320 | 434 | 754 | 124 | 402 | 25 | 1 | 329 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 347 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 126 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 202 | 241 | 291 | 532 | 89 | 297 | 34 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 337 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 98 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 296 | 359 | 655 | 122 | 311 | 26 | 7 | 291 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 442 | 100 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 116 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 265 | 344 | 608 | 118 | 281 | 25 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 469 | 433 | 113 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 312 | 411 | 723 | 150 | 301 | 20 | 7 | 319 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 44 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 186 | 256 | 442 | 70 | 250 | 34 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 44 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 186 | 256 | 442 | 70 | 250 | 34 | 0 | 191 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 525 | 106 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 35 | 186 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 256 | 373 | 629 | 171 | 266 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 565 | 511 | 131 | 27 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 145 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 325 | 458 | 783 | 202 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 174 | 161 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 225 | 286 | 511 | 118 | 227 | 34 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 174 | 156 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 301 | 417 | 717 | 192 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 318 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 264 | 244 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 227 | 336 | 563 | 172 | 193 | 31 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 264 | 235 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 303 | 481 | 784 | 264 | 228 | 26 | 10 | 343 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 163 | 229 | 392 | 83 | 273 | 51 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 245 | 362 | 607 | 149 | 320 | 41 | 4 | 269 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 187 | 179 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 223 | 246 | 296 | 542 | 73 | 297 | 27 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 271 | 256 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 230 | 266 | 328 | 594 | 98 | 296 | 23 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 654 | 598 | 129 | 29 | 3 | 32 | 46 | 222 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 277 | 435 | 712 | 219 | 276 | 34 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 547 | 136 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 140 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 294 | 389 | 684 | 141 | 298 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 147 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 259 | 333 | 592 | 82 | 369 | 33 | 1 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 349 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 126 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 241 | 289 | 530 | 89 | 290 | 34 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 443 | 100 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 116 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 265 | 343 | 608 | 117 | 279 | 25 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 522 | 106 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 35 | 186 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 256 | 375 | 631 | 172 | 262 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 174 | 160 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 225 | 287 | 513 | 119 | 230 | 34 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 264 | 242 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 227 | 339 | 566 | 174 | 190 | 31 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 163 | 229 | 392 | 83 | 277 | 51 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 49 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 163 | 229 | 392 | 83 | 277 | 51 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3783 | 3539 | 759 | 152 | 13 | 107 | 200 | 1135 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 214 | 260 | 355 | 616 | 141 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -150 | +0 | +0 | +68 | +82 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 130 | 26 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 195 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 259 | 352 | 610 | 138 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -26 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 49 PAwOBA .261 → .177 (−84)K% 40.8% → 51.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.82% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 51.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.08% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 2.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.942 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.961 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.942 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 5.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .177; ISO .149 → .088; BABIP .320 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 264 PAwOBA .332 → .246 (−86)K% 26.1% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.14% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.46% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×0.962 | 12.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.42% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.962 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×0.962 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.24% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 7.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .332 → .246; ISO .264 → .183; BABIP .228 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 174 PAwOBA .311 → .231 (−80)K% 28.2% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.16% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.63% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×0.972 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.61% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.972 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 5.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .311 → .231; ISO .192 → .128; BABIP .270 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAMississippi Braves · 458 PAwOBA .347 → .272 (−76)K% 26.4% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.42% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷1.068 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.24% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.24% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 6.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .272; ISO .214 → .179; BABIP .321 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 424 PAwOBA .327 → .266 (−61)K% 19.8% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.81% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.04% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .327 → .266; ISO .157 → .121; BABIP .316 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJackson Generals · 209 PAwOBA .294 → .266 (−29)K% 24.4% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.40% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 23.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.889 | ×0.910 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.138 | ×0.880 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.24% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .294 → .266; ISO .108 → .100; BABIP .309 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 161 PAwOBA .275 → .200 (−75)K% 29.2% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.19% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.083 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 2.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷1.032 | ×0.900 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.92% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .275 → .200; ISO .138 → .089; BABIP .314 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 134 PAwOBA .306 → .248 (−58)K% 24.6% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷0.960 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.49% | ÷1.056 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 1.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.84% | ÷1.010 | ×0.900 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 26.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.075 | ×0.810 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.933 | ×0.810 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.105 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 102, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .306 → .248; ISO .123 → .089; BABIP .375 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .