Brendan Rodgers — OGILVIE

Brendan Rodgers2B Houston Astros

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 204 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 310 proj PA

wRC+†vL 129115vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .290 / .359

PA310

HR7

K%26

BB%7

ISO128

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT50

Whiff%

3812.3%

xwOBA

450.303

POWER45

Barrel%

498.1

Avg EV

5289.3

Bat Spd

7674.1

EYE50

Chase%

4832.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 667 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

170

497

—

wRC+

129

◀◀L

wOBA

354

287

◀◀L

ISO

147

123

◀◀L

BABIP

379

313

◀◀L

23.5%

27.8%

◀◀L

BB%

7.6%

5.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.3M	-$0.3M
Totals		$0.6M		$0.3M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	159	149	27	5	1	2	9	53	0	4	3	181	228	268	496	87	263	33	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	159	143	39	8	2	3	15	37	0	4	3	273	342	420	761	147	346	23	9	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	491	453	95	16	0	10	24	140	8	6	3	210	262	311	573	102	277	29	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	491	442	124	31	0	19	35	98	8	6	3	281	344	480	824	199	319	20	7	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	2 teams	—	400	377	94	18	2	9	9	101	10	2	3	249	285	379	665	130	314	25	2	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	2 teams	—	400	372	125	26	3	18	14	71	10	2	3	336	376	567	943	231	373	18	4	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	2 teams	—	474	438	96	21	2	11	19	113	11	12	3	219	269	352	621	132	266	24	4	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	2 teams	—	474	426	114	27	2	17	31	92	11	12	3	268	333	460	793	192	301	19	7	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	2 teams	—	241	223	53	8	1	5	14	65	3	0	0	238	292	350	641	112	312	27	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	2 teams	—	241	219	67	12	1	9	18	54	3	0	0	306	367	493	860	187	369	22	7	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	21	21	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	95	95	143	238	48	133	29	0	87	-75	-4	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.4
2020	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	21	21	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	95	95	143	238	48	133	29	0	104	-62	-4	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.4
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	431	402	100	19	3	11	20	88	7	0	0	249	296	393	689	144	292	20	5	302	89	-5	+0	-1	+2	+12	0.7
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	431	402	117	23	3	15	20	87	7	0	0	291	336	475	811	184	338	20	5	356	131	+15	+0	-1	+2	+12	2.8
2022	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	581	527	121	24	3	10	46	101	3	0	0	230	295	343	639	114	264	17	8	284	75	-16	+0	+3	+2	+16	0.5
2022	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	581	527	140	30	3	13	46	101	3	0	0	266	328	408	736	142	304	17	8	327	108	+5	+0	+3	+2	+16	2.7
2023	26	MLB	3 teams	—	230	213	48	9	1	4	13	51	4	0	0	225	283	333	616	108	278	22	6	268	64	-9	+0	+1	+1	+7	-0.1
2023	26	MLB	3 teams	—	230	212	55	11	1	5	14	48	4	0	0	259	317	392	709	132	314	21	6	318	102	+0	+0	+1	+1	+7	0.9
2024	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	501	116	23	1	10	31	132	4	1	0	232	282	341	623	110	294	24	6	275	69	-19	+0	-1	+2	+15	-0.3
2024	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	501	134	29	1	13	31	132	4	1	0	267	315	407	722	140	338	24	6	321	104	+2	+0	-1	+2	+15	1.8
2025	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	128	115	22	4	0	2	11	46	1	0	1	191	268	278	546	87	294	36	9	244	45	-8	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
2025	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	128	115	22	4	0	2	11	46	1	0	1	191	268	278	546	87	294	36	9	251	51	-7	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	HOU	—	310	283	66	13	1	7	21	79	3	2	1	233	293	360	654	127	297	25	7	292	82	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	HOU	100%	334	306	72	14	1	8	22	86	3	1	0	235	293	366	659	131	296	26	7	289	80	-8	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.0
2027	30	MLB	HOU	100%	334	306	72	14	1	8	22	86	3	1	0	235	293	366	659	131	298	26	7	286	77	-9	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2291	2111	543	110	9	55	144	523	22	2	1	257	311	396	707	139	316	23	6	314	98	-5	+0	-6	+9	+65	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	155	31	3	16	41	148	6	1	0	259	313	401	713	142	317	23	6	314	98	-1	+0	-2	+3	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	4339	4008	912	175	16	89	239	1061	57	28	14	228	281	346	626	118	285	24	6	275	69	-154	+0	-7	+15	+123	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	136	26	2	13	36	159	9	4	2	227	281	342	622	115	285	24	6	275	69	-23	+0	-1	+2	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	159	143	39	8	2	3	15	37	0	4	3	273	342	420	761	147	346	23	9	338	117	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2016	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	491	442	124	31	0	19	35	98	8	6	3	281	344	480	824	199	319	20	7	360	133	+19	+0	—	—	+14	3.3
2017	20	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	164	150	39	5	0	6	8	36	6	0	2	260	323	413	737	153	306	22	5	331	111	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2017	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	236	222	86	21	3	12	6	35	4	2	1	387	414	671	1.085	284	413	15	3	463	212	+30	+0	—	—	+7	3.7
2018	21	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	72	69	16	4	0	0	1	16	2	0	0	232	264	290	554	58	302	22	1	252	51	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2018	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	402	357	98	23	2	17	30	76	9	12	3	275	346	493	839	218	301	19	7	364	137	+17	+1	—	—	+11	3.0
2019	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	81	76	17	2	0	0	4	27	1	0	0	224	272	250	522	26	347	33	5	243	44	-5	+0	-3	+1	+2	-0.5
2019	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	160	143	50	10	1	9	14	27	2	0	0	350	415	622	1.037	273	380	17	9	447	200	+18	+0	—	—	+5	2.3
2020	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	21	21	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	95	95	143	238	48	133	29	0	104	-62	-4	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.4
2021	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	415	387	110	21	3	15	19	84	7	0	0	284	329	470	800	186	328	20	5	351	127	+13	+0	-1	+2	+12	2.5
2021	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	16	15	7	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	467	500	600	1.100	133	583	19	6	487	231	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2022	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	581	527	140	30	3	13	46	101	3	0	0	266	328	408	736	142	304	17	8	327	108	+5	+0	+3	+2	+16	2.7
2023	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	192	178	46	9	1	4	11	41	3	0	0	258	312	388	700	129	316	21	6	314	99	-0	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.7
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	21	20	7	2	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	350	381	600	981	250	353	10	5	427	185	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	26	A+	Spokane Indians	—	17	14	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	143	294	143	437		222	29	12	232	36	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	501	134	29	1	13	31	132	4	1	0	267	315	407	722	140	338	24	6	321	104	+2	+0	-1	+2	+15	1.8
2025	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	128	115	22	4	0	2	11	46	1	0	1	191	268	278	546	87	294	36	9	251	51	-7	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1957	1805	471	96	8	47	122	437	19	1	1	261	314	401	716	140	319	22	6	318	102	+4	-0	-3	+8	+55	6.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aledmys Díazlast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,509 PA	8	2,509	78	15	261	314	429	+10	+7	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	21	4	261	314	429	+2.7	+1.8	2.9	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Drurylast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,110 PA	9	3,110	109	5	246	298	425	+4	+2	9.5	10.6
	/162	664	23	1	246	298	425	+0.8	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Casey McGeheelast yr '16 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA	7	3,061	67	7	258	318	386	+3	+7	8.3	8.3
	/162	664	15	2	258	318	386	+0.7	+1.4	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Damion Easleylast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,995 PA	9	2,995	77	33	247	323	396	-2	-15	7.8	8.3
	/162	664	17	7	247	323	396	-0.5	-3.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Lonnie Chisenhalllast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,360 PA	8	2,360	64	20	268	320	427	-3	-9	8.0	7.9
	/162	664	18	6	268	320	427	-0.8	-2.6	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,580	62	4	257	309	395	+9	-1	7.0	7.1
	/162	664	16	1	257	309	395	+2.4	-0.2	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Rick Ankiellast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,092 PA	8	2,092	76	21	242	303	426	+2	-5	6.3	6.5
	/162	664	24	7	242	303	426	+0.7	-1.6	2.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Rodgers (OGILVIE)	29	50	45	45	50	232/290/359	126	297	7	2	26%	7%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3
✕Danny Mendick 2023 · MLB	29	49	44→45	43→50	46	240/300/357	117	301	12	7	24%	7%	85	+0.7	231/290/367	136	278	15	14	22%	7%	83	+0.6	223/282/357	134	264	16	15	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Chris Nelson 2015 · MLB	29	49→52	42→50	43→50	45	236/290/339	103	300	10	5	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/257/300	91	257	8	6	21%	5%	51	-1.7	187/228/258	71	226	5	3	20%	4%	24	-1.3
✕Tim Federowicz 2017 · MLB	29	45→50	48→50	49→40	39	228/271/367	140	290	16	6	27%	5%	76	+0.0	227/278/366	139	297	16	5	28%	6%	78	+0.2	213/268/346	133	280	15	3	29%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Austin Romine 2018 · MLB	29	46→53	42→45	46→45	44	227/273/334	107	272	10	4	20%	5%	67	-0.5	244/289/381	137	303	16	4	24%	6%	86	+0.8	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jeff Baisley 2012 · AAA	29	48→51	46→50	47→40	41	240/284/366	127	287	14	5	22%	4%	80	+0.4	238/285/387	149	283	17	5	22%	5%	86	+0.8	222/270/373	151	252	18	0	20%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Tommy Field 2016 · MLB	29	43→53	46→45	50→45	47	215/284/346	131	266	13	8	24%	8%	76	+0.0	200/259/317	117	247	12	6	24%	6%	58	-1.2	187/243/291	105	229	12	4	24%	5%	41	-1.6
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2023 · AAA	29	46→56	46→45	47→45	42	232/277/361	129	281	13	8	23%	5%	76	+0.0	213/256/317	104	257	10	8	21%	5%	55	-1.4	203/243/290	87	241	9	5	20%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2011 · AAA	29	45	44→50	44→40	45	225/284/341	116	274	12	3	22%	6%	74	-0.1	226/281/359	133	274	16	6	23%	6%	78	+0.2	231/284/367	135	281	17	3	24%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	45	43→40	41	229/275/350	121	280	12	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	229/282/357	128	264	13	3	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Kevin Plawecki 2019 · MLB	28	47→56	47→45	43→30	50	233/311/369	136	275	14	3	20%	8%	93	+1.3	245/315/376	131	289	12	5	19%	7%	96	+1.5	235/301/328	92	275	8	0	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Tony Sanchez 2016 · MLB	28	42→49	46→50	43→40	44	211/278/344	133	268	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	219/281/323	104	284	10	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	236/291/326	90	320	9	1	27%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	91	+1.1	227/295/337	110	264	9	7	17%	7%	78	+0.2	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2021 · MLB	30	47→52	45	47→45	42	235/280/356	122	290	13	7	24%	5%	76	+0.0	222/276/349	127	293	14	13	28%	6%	72	-0.2	202/260/316	113	267	14	14	29%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Phillip Evans 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	43→45	41→40	51	227/306/335	108	276	11	4	21%	9%	82	+0.5	223/288/323	100	265	11	4	19%	7%	71	-0.3	221/286/312	92	260	10	2	19%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	46→51	44→45	47→45	44	225/288/347	122	288	12	7	26%	6%	77	+0.1	222/285/334	112	288	11	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	219/288/325	106	285	11	1	26%	7%	69	-0.2