Travis Denker

Pos2B

B/TR/R

Born1985-08-05

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	29	AAABroncos de Ta…	472	.264/.361/.435	10	71	—	.214/.279/.341
2016	30	AAMobile BayBea…	257	.303/.421/.555	13	97	—	.227/.315/.396
2017	31	AAJackson Gener…	228	.296/.410/.468	7	96	—	.244/.329/.381

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	A+	Vero Beach Dodgers	—	125	108	20	3	0	2	15	26	2	1	2	185	296	269	565	83	225	21	12	268	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A	Columbus Catfish	—	434	358	111	23	1	21	67	78	3	2	5	310	423	556	979	246	340	18	15	423	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+	Vero Beach Dodgers	—	220	191	42	6	0	5	24	36	2	0	2	220	313	330	643	110	242	16	11	293	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A	Columbus Catfish	—	320	250	67	11	1	11	65	37	2	2	1	268	423	452	875	184	275	12	20	391	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+	San Jose Giants	—	493	427	128	30	3	11	55	67	4	9	2	300	385	461	846	162	329	14	11	372	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	42	37	9	4	1	1	5	10	0	0	0	243	333	486	820	243	308	24	12	358	128	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
2008	22	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	253	220	62	20	0	7	31	46	1	2	0	282	373	468	841	186	329	18	12	373	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA	Connecticut Defenders	—	91	76	14	4	1	0	14	25	0	1	1	184	311	263	574	79	269	27	15	271	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	22	18	4	0	0	1	3	2	1	0	0	222	364	389	753	167	200	9	14	347	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	460	400	95	25	1	5	48	85	4	3	2	237	325	343	668	105	285	18	10	301	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	60	54	12	3	1	1	5	10	1	1	1	222	300	370	670	148	256	17	8	302	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	53	48	11	2	0	0	3	8	1	0	1	229	288	271	559	42	268	15	6	255	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	325	286	95	21	3	7	30	49	7	5	1	332	409	500	909	168	379	15	9	401	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	273	233	67	15	0	10	35	45	2	6	1	288	385	481	866	193	315	16	13	381	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	197	51	8	2	15	28	38	2	3	0	259	357	548	905	289	245	17	12	388	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	206	47	13	0	4	21	47	4	4	1	228	312	350	661	121	272	20	9	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Broncos de Tamaulipas	—	472	402	106	37	1	10	54	62	7	0	0	264	361	435	796	172	284	13	11	350	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	257	211	64	12	1	13	39	37	4	0	1	303	421	555	976	251	311	14	15	423	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA	Jackson Generals	—	228	186	55	11	0	7	31	38	5	0	0	296	410	468	878	172	327	17	14	384	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	42	37	9	4	1	1	5	10	0	0	0	243	333	486	820	243	308	24	12	358	128	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	A+ MLE	Vero Beach Dodgers	—	125	111	18	3	0	2	12	37	2	1	2	162	256	243	499	81	212	30	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	Columbus Catfish	—	434	381	102	20	1	18	44	105	3	2	5	268	348	467	815	199	309	24	10	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	Vero Beach Dodgers	—	220	197	38	6	0	4	18	51	2	0	2	193	267	284	552	91	231	23	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Columbus Catfish	—	320	272	64	10	1	10	43	50	2	2	1	235	344	390	734	154	245	16	13	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	493	446	113	25	2	10	36	90	4	9	2	253	315	386	700	132	286	18	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	42	37	9	4	1	1	5	10	0	0	0	243	333	486	820	243	308	24	12	358	128	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
2008	22	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	253	228	56	17	0	6	23	59	1	2	0	246	317	399	717	154	300	23	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Connecticut Defenders	—	91	81	13	3	1	0	9	30	0	1	1	160	244	222	467	62	246	33	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	22	19	4	0	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	211	318	368	687	158	181	14	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	460	414	90	22	1	4	34	102	4	3	2	217	283	304	588	87	268	22	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	60	55	10	2	1	1	4	13	1	1	1	182	250	309	559	127	220	22	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	53	49	10	2	0	0	2	10	1	0	1	204	250	245	495	41	242	19	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	325	296	81	16	2	8	20	69	7	5	1	274	334	422	757	149	323	21	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	273	246	60	13	0	8	22	54	2	6	1	244	311	394	705	150	275	20	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	205	42	6	1	13	20	52	2	3	0	205	282	434	716	229	198	23	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	213	39	10	0	3	14	58	4	4	1	183	247	272	519	89	230	25	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Broncos de Tamaulipas	—	472	425	91	28	1	8	31	76	7	0	0	214	279	341	620	127	230	16	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	257	225	51	9	1	9	25	46	4	0	1	227	315	396	711	169	241	18	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	228	197	48	9	0	6	20	47	5	0	0	244	329	381	710	137	269	21	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	559	492	119	22	1	20	56	141	5	3	7	242	325	413	738	171	294	25	10	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	559	466	131	26	1	23	82	104	5	3	7	281	394	489	883	208	313	19	15	388	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	540	469	101	15	1	14	61	101	4	2	3	215	311	341	652	126	242	19	11	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	540	441	109	17	1	16	89	73	4	2	3	247	378	399	777	152	261	14	16	351	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	493	446	113	25	2	10	36	90	4	9	2	253	315	386	700	132	292	18	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	—	493	427	128	30	3	11	55	67	4	9	2	300	385	461	846	162	329	14	11	372	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	408	364	81	24	2	8	40	103	2	3	1	223	303	365	668	143	287	25	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	408	351	89	28	2	9	53	83	2	3	1	254	355	422	776	168	308	20	13	347	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	460	414	90	22	1	4	34	102	4	3	2	217	283	304	588	87	274	22	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	460	400	95	25	1	5	48	85	4	3	2	237	325	343	668	105	285	18	10	301	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	438	401	100	20	3	8	25	92	9	6	3	249	308	374	682	125	303	21	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	438	388	118	26	4	8	38	67	9	6	3	304	379	454	833	149	348	15	9	370	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	452	103	20	1	21	41	105	4	9	1	228	298	416	714	188	247	21	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	503	430	118	23	2	25	63	83	4	9	1	274	372	512	884	237	284	17	13	384	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	213	39	10	0	3	14	58	4	4	1	183	247	272	519	89	232	25	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	206	47	13	0	4	21	47	4	4	1	228	312	350	661	121	272	20	9	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Broncos de Tamaulipas	—	472	425	91	28	1	8	31	76	7	0	0	214	279	341	620	127	238	16	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	Broncos de Tamaulipas	—	472	402	106	37	1	10	54	62	7	0	0	264	361	435	796	172	284	13	11	350	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	257	225	51	9	1	9	25	46	4	0	1	227	315	396	711	169	243	18	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA RAW	Mobile BayBears	—	257	211	64	12	1	13	39	37	4	0	1	303	421	555	976	251	311	14	15	423	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	228	197	48	9	0	6	20	47	5	0	0	244	329	381	710	137	280	21	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	—	228	186	55	11	0	7	31	38	5	0	0	296	410	468	878	172	327	17	14	384	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	559	493	119	22	1	20	56	141	5	3	7	241	325	412	737	170	287	25	10	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	540	470	101	15	1	14	61	101	4	2	3	215	311	340	651	126	239	19	11	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	493	450	113	25	2	10	36	90	4	9	2	251	315	382	697	131	286	18	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	408	363	81	24	2	8	40	103	2	3	1	223	303	366	669	143	282	25	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	460	419	90	22	1	4	34	102	4	3	2	215	283	301	584	86	268	22	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	438	401	100	20	3	8	25	92	9	6	3	249	308	374	682	125	299	21	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	453	103	20	1	21	41	105	4	9	1	227	298	415	713	188	240	21	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	214	39	10	0	3	14	58	4	4	1	182	247	271	518	89	230	25	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Broncos de Tamaulipas	—	472	431	91	28	1	8	31	76	7	0	0	211	279	336	615	125	230	16	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	257	226	51	9	1	9	25	46	4	0	1	226	315	394	709	168	241	18	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	228	201	48	9	0	6	20	47	5	0	0	239	329	373	702	134	269	21	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	37	9	4	1	1	5	10	0	0	0	243	333	486	820	243	308	24	12	358	85	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	138	62	15	15	77	155	0	0	0	241	331	480	811	239	305	24	12	358	85	+22	+0	+7	+23	+14	6.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4592	4098	936	204	13	111	383	961	52	39	21	228	302	366	668	137	268	21	8	294	85	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	133	29	2	16	54	136	7	6	3	229	303	369	672	140	268	21	8	294	85	+22	+0	+7	+23	+14	6.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAJackson Generals · 228 PAwOBA .384 → .310 (−74)K% 16.7% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	20.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.60%	÷0.987	×0.680	—	×0.940	8.81%
HBP% /PA	2.19%	—	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.73%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.980	×0.920	×0.951	×0.940	20.98%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷1.004	×0.910	×0.951	×0.940	6.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	×0.951	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.73%	÷0.985	×0.800	—	×0.940	3.61%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .384 → .310; ISO .172 → .142; BABIP .327 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAMobile BayBears · 257 PAwOBA .417 → .311 (−105)K% 14.4% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.40%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	17.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.18%	÷0.975	×0.680	—	×0.940	9.94%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.23%
Singles /BIP	21.84%	÷1.065	×0.920	×0.996	×0.940	17.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.90%	÷1.146	×0.910	×0.996	×0.940	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.996	×0.940	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	7.47%	÷1.160	×0.800	—	×0.940	4.84%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .417 → .311; ISO .251 → .179; BABIP .311 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAABroncos de Tamaulipas · 472 PAwOBA .346 → .273 (−73)K% 13.1% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.14%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	16.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.02%	÷1.122	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.59%
HBP% /PA	1.48%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.36%
Singles /BIP	17.06%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.973	×0.972	15.00%
Doubles /BIP	10.88%	÷1.108	×0.830	×0.973	×0.972	7.71%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.973	×0.972	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷0.851	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 96, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .346 → .273; ISO .172 → .136; BABIP .284 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 234 PAwOBA .293 → .231 (−61)K% 20.1% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.09%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	25.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.55%	÷0.988	×0.680	—	×0.978	5.75%
HBP% /PA	1.71%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	1.40%
Singles /BIP	18.87%	÷0.976	×0.920	×0.950	×0.978	16.52%
Doubles /BIP	8.18%	÷1.061	×0.910	×0.950	×0.978	6.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	×0.950	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.52%	÷1.118	×0.800	—	×0.978	1.76%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .293 → .231; ISO .121 → .091; BABIP .272 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 273 PAwOBA .372 → .312 (−60)K% 16.5% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.48%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	19.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.72%	÷0.981	×0.680	—	×0.988	8.02%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.61%
Singles /BIP	22.34%	÷1.036	×0.920	×1.016	×0.988	19.92%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷1.062	×0.910	×1.016	×0.988	6.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.016	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.32%	÷1.043	×0.800	—	×0.988	4.03%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 107, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 105, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .372 → .312; ISO .193 → .159; BABIP .315 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 230 PAwOBA .381 → .308 (−73)K% 16.5% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.52%	÷0.980	×1.340	—	—	22.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.74%	÷0.953	×0.710	—	×0.968	8.47%
HBP% /PA	0.87%	—	×0.790	—	×0.968	0.66%
Singles /BIP	16.35%	÷0.992	×0.910	×0.950	×0.968	13.79%
Doubles /BIP	5.03%	÷0.958	×0.820	×0.950	×0.968	3.96%
Triples /BIP	1.26%	÷1.150	×0.760	×0.950	×0.968	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	9.43%	÷1.001	×0.920	—	×0.968	8.39%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .381 → .308; ISO .289 → .244; BABIP .245 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 325 PAwOBA .392 → .323 (−69)K% 15.1% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.08%	÷0.956	×1.340	—	—	21.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.92%	÷1.037	×0.710	—	×0.978	5.97%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.790	—	×0.978	1.66%
Singles /BIP	27.00%	÷1.003	×0.910	×0.983	×0.978	23.57%
Doubles /BIP	8.86%	÷0.984	×0.820	×0.983	×0.978	7.10%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.083	×0.760	×0.983	×0.978	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	2.95%	÷0.819	×0.920	—	×0.978	3.24%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 117, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .392 → .323; ISO .168 → .150; BABIP .379 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 60 PAwOBA .294 → .231 (−63)K% 16.7% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.961	×1.290	—	—	22.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.019	×0.710	—	×1.033	6.00%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.69%
Singles /BIP	15.91%	÷1.056	×0.900	×1.027	×1.033	14.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.82%	÷1.082	×0.810	×1.027	×1.033	5.41%
Triples /BIP	2.27%	÷1.053	×0.810	×1.027	×1.033	1.85%
Home runs /BIP	2.27%	÷1.223	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.50%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 111, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .294 → .231; ISO .148 → .106; BABIP .256 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).