Joey Ortiz — OGILVIE

Joey OrtizSS Milwaukee Brewers

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 192 lbs MLB BB +10%HR +7% Svc 2.174S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 9675vR 57

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .311 / .359

PA503

HR8

SB18

K%17

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

50→50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.174 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.4	$11M	+$10M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.6	$13M	+$10M
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+1.4	$12M	+$7M
2029	Arb-4	$6M	+1.0	$9M	+$3M
Totals		$15M		$45M	+$30M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	156	141	29	7	1	3	11	43	3	4	0	.206	.277	.333	.611	.128	.271	28	7	.268	63	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2022	24	AA	2 teams	600	555	140	29	6	15	34	124	6	8	2	.252	.303	.407	.710	.155	.298	21	6	.306	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	423	391	108	26	4	8	23	93	3	11	4	.276	.321	.425	.746	.148	.338	22	5	.318	102	+1	+1	+1	+2	+12	1.6
2024	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	511	440	106	26	5	10	56	103	6	11	6	.241	.335	.391	.726	.150	.288	20	11	.314	98	-1	-0	+10	+2	+14	2.6
2025	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	506	470	110	18	0	7	27	74	3	14	3	.234	.280	.317	.597	.083	.265	15	5	.262	59	-24	+2	+12	+5	+14	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	65	57	11	0	0	0	6	15	0	4	1	.193	.270	.193	.463	.000	.262	23	9	.215	23	-6	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	438	399	97	16	2	6	33	79	3	14	3	.243	.306	.338	.644	.095	.288	18	8	.293	83	-9	+2	+5	+5	+12	1.5
TOT	28	MLB	MIL	503	456	108	16	2	6	39	94	3	18	4	.237	.301	.320	.621	.083	.285	19	8	.283	75	-14	+2	+6	+5	+14	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	MIL	491	447	109	18	2	7	38	74	3	15	3	.244	.307	.340	.647	.096	.274	15	8	.291	81	-10	+2	+4	+5	+14	1.5
2028	30	MLB	MIL	479	436	105	17	2	7	37	74	3	14	3	.241	.305	.337	.642	.096	.273	15	8	.288	79	-12	+2	+3	+5	+14	1.2
2029	31	MLB	MIL	464	422	100	16	2	6	36	74	3	11	2	.237	.302	.327	.629	.090	.272	16	8	.284	76	-13	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.0
2030	32	MLB	MIL	445	405	95	15	2	5	34	73	3	9	1	.235	.299	.319	.617	.084	.271	16	8	.280	72	-14	+1	+2	+5	+13	0.7
2031	33	MLB	MIL	415	378	87	14	1	5	32	71	2	7	0	.230	.294	.312	.606	.082	.269	17	8	.275	68	-15	+1	+1	+4	+12	0.3
2032	34	MLB	MIL	369	336	76	12	1	4	28	66	2	5	0	.226	.290	.304	.593	.077	.268	18	8	.269	64	-15	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5297	4820	1162	214	28	83	389	948	40	123	27	.241	.303	.349	.652	.108	.282	18	7	.289	80	-123	+14	+40	+50	+150	13.4
/ 162G	—			650	591	142	26	3	10	48	116	5	15	3	.240	.303	.345	.648	.105	.281	18	7	.289	80	-15	+2	+5	+6	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	67	60	14	2	0	4	6	14	1	1	0	.233	.313	.467	.780	.233	.238	21	9	.344	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	89	76	22	7	2	0	10	18	2	3	0	.289	.386	.434	.821	.145	.373	20	11	.364	137	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	115	104	36	7	2	4	9	17	1	6	1	.346	.404	.567	.971	.221	.381	15	8	.421	180	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.5
2022	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	485	435	117	28	4	15	41	81	5	2	1	.269	.339	.455	.794	.186	.298	17	8	.349	125	+14	+0	—	—	+14	2.8
2023	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	34	33	7	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	.212	.212	.242	.455	.030	.280	26	0	.197	9	-3	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.0
2023	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	389	349	112	30	4	9	32	69	3	11	4	.321	.383	.507	.890	.186	.373	18	8	.387	155	+24	+1	—	—	+11	3.6
2024	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	511	440	105	25	6	11	56	103	6	11	6	.239	.333	.398	.730	.159	.283	20	11	.323	106	+3	-0	+10	+2	+14	3.0
2025	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	506	470	108	18	1	7	27	74	3	14	3	.230	.276	.317	.593	.087	.260	15	5	.266	62	-22	+2	+12	+5	+14	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1051	943	220	44	7	18	83	186	9	25	9	.233	.301	.352	.654	.119	.271	18	8	.292	81	-22	+1	+23	+9	+30	4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Ortiz (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	60	50	.242/.305/.339	.097	.275	7	16	15%	8%	83	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2023 · MLB	28	56→57	39→40	53→55	48	.266/.314/.351	.086	.299	7	20	14%	6%	89	+0.9	.258/.306/.351	.093	.301	8	18	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.258/.302/.348	.090	.304	7	18	17%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→46	44→45	56→55	44	.251/.296/.371	.119	.295	12	23	19%	5%	86	+0.8	.221/.284/.335	.114	.281	12	17	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.200/.273/.321	.121	.260	14	15	28%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Adam Everett 2005 · MLB	28	51→53	44→45	54→50	48	.249/.305/.362	.113	.276	11	14	15%	6%	88	+0.9	.243/.291/.358	.115	.274	10	15	15%	5%	81	+0.4	.237/.284/.344	.108	.268	8	15	15%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Willie Bloomquist 2006 · MLB	28	51→56	39→40	58→60	46	.244/.290/.333	.089	.293	5	24	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.251/.311/.323	.072	.298	5	27	16%	7%	79	+0.3	.285/.326/.354	.069	.329	2	18	13%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Cliff Pennington 2012 · MLB	28	52→55	42→45	54→55	51	.248/.308/.356	.109	.292	8	22	18%	8%	87	+0.8	.237/.301/.335	.098	.286	8	15	19%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.301/.303	.080	.282	7	9	22%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Brendan Ryan 2010 · MLB	28	54→61	40	53→55	48	.259/.309/.354	.095	.295	6	19	15%	6%	87	+0.8	.236/.296/.324	.088	.277	5	15	16%	7%	74	-0.1	.219/.288/.297	.078	.263	4	14	17%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Shane Robinson 2013 · MLB	28	51→59	44→45	53→55	49	.250/.307/.373	.123	.283	11	14	16%	7%	92	+1.2	.241/.308/.335	.094	.277	7	13	15%	8%	82	+0.5	.239/.308/.308	.069	.276	3	13	14%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Febles 2003 · MLB	27	51→52	42→40	52→55	54	.243/.320/.347	.104	.277	9	19	16%	9%	91	+1.1	.236/.308/.328	.092	.274	8	18	16%	8%	81	+0.4	.229/.292/.254	.025	.269	0	22	14%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Miguel Cairo 2002 · MLB	28	54→58	40→45	54→55	55	.257/.318/.353	.096	.278	7	24	11%	8%	90	+1.0	.251/.309/.366	.115	.279	9	12	13%	6%	91	+1.1	.256/.311/.373	.117	.284	9	11	13%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	47→52	44→45	53→55	46	.227/.305/.347	.120	.292	11	19	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.217/.308/.332	.115	.289	11	22	27%	8%	83	+0.6	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Jason Ellison 2006 · MLB	28	52→54	41→40	50	50	.247/.301/.350	.103	.276	8	17	14%	6%	82	+0.5	.255/.309/.352	.097	.298	6	16	16%	6%	86	+0.8	.241/.303/.317	.075	.292	3	15	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Pokey Reese 2001 · MLB	28	51→55	46→45	60→55	52	.250/.315/.384	.135	.277	13	25	15%	8%	98	+1.6	.240/.304/.354	.114	.280	10	24	17%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.299/.330	.095	.280	8	24	18%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Chris Burke 2008 · MLB	28	50→56	45	52→55	49	.244/.311/.372	.129	.277	11	18	16%	7%	94	+1.3	.224/.297/.333	.109	.262	9	18	17%	8%	77	+0.1	.211/.282/.299	.089	.252	7	22	18%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Wilmer Difo 2019 · MLB	27	49→54	42→45	55	49	.239/.297/.344	.105	.282	9	17	18%	7%	79	+0.3	.235/.298/.335	.100	.297	9	12	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.235/.289/.324	.089	.294	9	9	22%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Shawn O'Malley 2016 · MLB	28	53→58	40	59→60	47	.251/.307/.349	.098	.303	6	24	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.241/.300/.340	.099	.307	7	17	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.234/.294/.323	.089	.306	6	12	24%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Myles Straw 2023 · MLB	28	52→59	36→40	56→60	54	.240/.312/.312	.072	.289	3	23	17%	9%	78	+0.2	.233/.296/.309	.076	.290	3	23	19%	8%	69	-0.4	.232/.290/.307	.075	.293	3	26	20%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB	28	47→54	41→40	53→55	46	.228/.291/.325	.097	.285	8	20	22%	7%	73	-0.1	.213/.264/.300	.087	.263	5	11	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.203/.250/.269	.066	.252	2	8	19%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	51→50	48	.237/.297/.343	.106	.283	9	16	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.234/.297/.337	.103	.295	9	15	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.235/.301/.332	.097	.298	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	54→55	51	.219/.313/.337	.118	.275	12	21	24%	10%	86	+0.8	.204/.303/.288	.084	.276	7	21	26%	10%	70	-0.3	.178/.290/.225	.047	.253	3	23	27%	11%	47	-1.6
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	43→45	54→50	47	.227/.288/.344	.117	.273	10	16	21%	7%	76	+0.1	.224/.305/.344	.120	.285	12	13	24%	10%	84	+0.6	.215/.306/.321	.106	.276	10	10	24%	11%	78	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)