Joey Ortiz — OGILVIE

Joey OrtizSS Milwaukee Brewers

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 192 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 2.174S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 263 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10190vR 62

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .299 / .347

PA263

HR4

SB9

K%17

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO113

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.2%

xwOBA

360.292

POWER40

Barrel%

163.8

Avg EV

1786.6

Bat Spd

4871.2

EYE50

Chase%

8325.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1083 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

321

762

—

wRC+

113

◀◀L

wOBA

333

272

◀◀L

ISO

162

097

◀◀L

BABIP

301

257

◀L

19.3%

17.1%

▶R

BB%

8.7%

8.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.174 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.2	$9M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+1.0	$7M	+$5M
2029	Arb-4	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$19M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	156	141	28	7	1	2	11	43	3	4	0	199	271	305	576	106	268	28	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	156	136	36	9	2	4	16	32	3	4	0	265	355	449	803	184	317	21	10	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	600	556	136	27	6	14	33	126	6	8	2	245	294	390	684	146	290	21	6	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	600	539	153	35	6	19	50	98	6	8	2	284	351	477	828	193	315	16	8	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	423	389	105	25	5	8	25	95	3	11	4	270	319	422	741	152	332	22	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	423	382	119	31	4	9	32	78	3	11	4	312	369	484	854	173	365	18	8	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	511	440	107	26	6	11	56	103	6	11	6	243	337	405	741	161	289	20	11	325	107	+4	-0	+10	+2	+14	3.1
2024	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	511	440	105	25	6	11	56	103	6	11	6	239	333	398	730	159	283	20	11	323	106	+3	-0	+10	+2	+14	3.0
2025	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	506	470	110	19	1	7	27	74	3	14	3	234	280	323	603	89	265	15	5	267	63	-21	+2	+12	+5	+14	1.2
2025	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	506	470	108	18	1	7	27	74	3	14	3	230	276	317	593	87	260	15	5	266	62	-22	+2	+12	+5	+14	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	MIL	—	241	213	48	8	0	3	21	42	0	5	4	225	295	305	600	80	263	17	9	265	61	-11	-1	+1	+3	+7	-0.0
YTD	28	MLB	MIL	—	241	213	48	8	0	3	21	42	0	5	4	225	295	305	600	80	263	17	9	268	63	-10	-1	+1	+3	+7	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	100%	263	239	56	11	2	4	21	46	1	9	3	234	299	347	646	113	270	17	8	289	80	-6	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	100%	263	239	56	11	2	4	21	46	1	9	3	234	299	347	646	113	268	17	8	284	75	-7	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.6
FULL	28	MLB	MIL	—	504	452	104	19	2	7	42	88	1	14	7	230	297	327	624	97	269	17	8	275	69	-18	+0	+3	+5	+14	0.5
TOT	28	MLB	MIL	—	504	452	104	19	2	7	42	88	1	14	7	230	297	327	624	97	269	17	8	278	71	-17	+0	+3	+5	+14	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIL	98%	492	448	105	21	3	8	39	86	2	16	5	234	299	348	647	114	270	17	8	288	79	-12	+1	+2	+5	+14	1.1
2028	30	MLB	MIL	98%	480	437	101	20	3	7	38	85	2	14	5	231	296	339	634	108	269	18	8	286	77	-13	+1	+2	+5	+14	0.9
2029	31	MLB	MIL	98%	465	423	97	19	3	7	37	84	2	12	4	229	294	338	632	109	267	18	8	281	74	-14	+1	+1	+5	+13	0.6
2030	32	MLB	MIL	98%	446	406	91	18	2	6	35	82	2	10	3	224	289	323	612	99	264	18	8	276	69	-16	+1	-0	+5	+13	0.3
2027	29	MLB	MIL	98%	482	439	101	20	3	7	38	85	2	16	5	230	294	337	631	107	268	18	8	283	75	-14	+1	+2	+5	+14	0.9
2028	30	MLB	MIL	98%	470	428	98	19	3	7	37	84	2	14	5	229	293	336	630	107	267	18	8	280	73	-15	+1	+1	+5	+13	0.6
2029	31	MLB	MIL	98%	456	415	93	18	3	6	36	83	2	12	4	224	289	325	614	101	265	18	8	276	70	-16	+1	+1	+5	+13	0.4
2030	32	MLB	MIL	98%	437	397	88	17	2	6	35	81	2	9	3	222	288	320	608	98	262	19	8	271	65	-17	+1	-0	+5	+12	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3159	2861	656	129	20	48	250	565	18	85	29	229	295	339	634	109	269	18	8	283	75	-91	+5	+29	+31	+90	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	135	27	4	10	51	116	4	17	6	229	295	340	635	110	268	18	8	283	75	-19	+1	+6	+6	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	4342	3949	936	193	32	74	322	824	30	109	35	237	299	358	658	121	280	19	7	291	81	-96	+8	+29	+40	+123	10.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	140	29	5	11	48	123	4	16	5	237	298	359	657	122	280	19	7	291	81	-14	+1	+4	+6	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	67	60	14	2	0	4	6	14	1	1	0	233	313	467	780	233	238	21	9	344	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	89	76	22	7	2	0	10	18	2	3	0	289	386	434	821	145	373	20	11	364	137	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	115	104	36	7	2	4	9	17	1	6	1	346	404	567	971	221	381	15	8	421	180	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.5
2022	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	485	435	117	28	4	15	41	81	5	2	1	269	339	455	794	186	298	17	8	349	125	+14	+0	—	—	+14	2.8
2023	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	34	33	7	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	212	212	242	455	30	280	26	0	197	9	-3	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.0
2023	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	389	349	112	30	4	9	32	69	3	11	4	321	383	507	890	186	373	18	8	387	155	+24	+1	—	—	+11	3.6
2024	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	511	440	105	25	6	11	56	103	6	11	6	239	333	398	730	159	283	20	11	323	106	+3	-0	+10	+2	+14	3.0
2025	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	506	470	108	18	1	7	27	74	3	14	3	230	276	317	593	87	260	15	5	266	62	-22	+2	+12	+5	+14	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1051	943	220	44	7	18	83	186	9	25	9	233	301	352	654	119	271	18	8	292	81	-22	+1	+23	+9	+30	4.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	12	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.5
	/162	664	2	16	254	293	322	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	7	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
	/162	664	7	7	246	294	339	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,607	56	104	233	296	342	+39	+56	5.6	5.6
	/162	664	10	19	233	296	342	+7.1	+10.3	1.0	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Ortiz (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	60	50	230/297/327	97	269	7	14	17%	8%	71	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→47	44→45	56→55	44	252/296/368	116	298	12	23	20%	5%	85	+0.7	219/282/335	116	282	12	16	26%	7%	72	-0.2	198/271/322	124	259	14	15	28%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2021 · MLB	28	49→55	40→45	57→65	51	233/306/326	93	302	7	27	24%	9%	79	+0.3	216/308/294	78	305	5	28	27%	11%	72	-0.2	207/307/267	61	307	3	31	30%	12%	63	-0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	46→52	44→45	53→55	46	224/304/346	122	289	11	19	25%	7%	85	+0.7	215/309/329	114	290	11	22	27%	9%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Pokey Reese 2001 · MLB	28	51→55	46→45	60→55	52	250/315/384	134	277	13	26	15%	8%	98	+1.6	240/304/351	111	281	10	23	17%	8%	85	+0.7	235/299/330	95	280	8	24	18%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Adam Everett 2005 · MLB	28	51→53	44→45	54→50	47	251/305/365	114	277	11	15	14%	6%	89	+0.9	242/290/356	114	273	10	15	15%	5%	80	+0.4	237/284/344	108	268	8	15	15%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Carlos Febles 2003 · MLB	27	50→52	42→40	53→55	54	242/319/350	108	278	9	18	16%	9%	91	+1.1	237/308/330	93	275	8	17	16%	8%	81	+0.4	229/292/254	25	269	0	22	14%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Wilmer Difo 2019 · MLB	27	49→54	42→45	55	50	236/296/342	106	280	9	16	19%	8%	79	+0.3	236/299/337	101	301	9	12	23%	8%	79	+0.3	236/289/329	93	296	9	9	22%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Brendan Ryan 2010 · MLB	28	55→61	40	53→55	48	261/312/359	98	299	6	18	15%	6%	89	+1.0	234/295/321	87	276	5	15	16%	7%	73	-0.1	218/287/295	77	262	3	14	17%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB	28	47→53	41→40	54→55	46	227/291/327	99	283	8	20	22%	7%	73	-0.1	209/261/296	87	259	6	11	21%	6%	52	-1.6	195/244/260	65	243	2	8	19%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Chris Burke 2008 · MLB	28	49→56	45	52→55	49	242/310/370	129	273	12	17	16%	7%	93	+1.3	223/295/329	106	262	9	18	18%	8%	76	+0.0	210/283/299	89	253	6	22	18%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2023 · MLB	28	55→56	39→40	53→55	48	261/310/342	81	294	7	20	14%	6%	84	+0.6	256/304/349	93	299	8	18	16%	5%	84	+0.6	264/305/353	89	308	7	18	16%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Jason Ellison 2006 · MLB	28	52→54	41→40	50	49	248/301/349	101	277	8	17	14%	6%	82	+0.5	254/308/350	96	298	6	16	16%	6%	85	+0.7	241/303/317	75	292	3	15	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Willie Bloomquist 2006 · MLB	28	52→56	38→40	58→60	46	244/288/333	88	292	5	25	18%	6%	72	-0.2	252/314/322	70	299	5	27	16%	8%	81	+0.4	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Shane Robinson 2013 · MLB	28	53→59	44→45	53→55	50	256/313/381	125	291	11	14	16%	7%	96	+1.5	242/308/336	94	279	7	13	15%	8%	82	+0.5	239/307/311	72	276	3	13	14%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Miguel Cairo 2002 · MLB	28	54→58	40→45	54→55	55	258/320/355	97	280	7	23	11%	8%	92	+1.2	251/309/368	117	279	9	11	13%	6%	91	+1.1	256/311/373	117	284	9	11	13%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Cliff Pennington 2011 · MLB	27	51→55	40→45	59→55	53	242/311/346	104	286	6	27	17%	9%	85	+0.7	243/303/348	105	292	8	17	18%	8%	83	+0.6	240/301/334	94	290	7	14	19%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Eric Fryer 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	44→45	55→50	48	213/285/333	120	267	11	12	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/293/322	90	302	7	10	23%	8%	72	-0.2	248/309/312	64	324	3	6	23%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	60	44	236/324/349	114	285	8	29	19%	5%	95	+1.4	222/308/343	121	268	10	25	21%	6%	86	+0.8	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1