Owen Miller2B Iowa Cubs
Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 197 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION295 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .298 / .363
PA196
HR3
SB8
K%19
BB%5
BABIP294
ISO116
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -8.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-9POSREP: +13.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.40.22628
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT60
Whiff%
738.6%
xwOBA
250.279
POWER50
Barrel%
103.0
Avg EV
1186.1
Bat Spd
4370.6
EYE35
Chase%
3135.3%
SPEED50
Sprint
9029.9
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$2M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 AFort Wayne TinCaps 114108 30801 3232 00 278310380689 102341 203 300 88
201821 AFort Wayne TinCaps 114107 361102 4172 00 336372495867 159382 154 380 149
201922 AA2 teams 632590 1292128 331386 65 219267302569 83271 225 249 49
201922 AA2 teams 632575 15929214 481016 65 277339407746 130313 168 333 113
202124 AAA2 teams 408380 911919 231163 20 239288366654 126319 286 292 81
202124 AAA2 teams 408373 9320111 301063 20 249310397707 147318 267 315 99
202225 MLB2 teams 522467 1142917 351038 30 244308355663 111290 207 288 78 -13 +1 +1 -9 +15 -0.5
202225 MLB2 teams 522468 1152716 341018 30 246308346654 100292 197 291 81 -11 +1 +1 -9 +15 -0.4
202326 MLB2 teams 430399 1082509 21845 142 271315401716 130318 205 311 96 -2 +2 +5 +2 +12 2.0
202326 MLB2 teams 430397 1062509 23795 142 267315398713 131309 185 316 100 -0 +2 +5 +2 +12 2.1
202427 AAA2 teams 408376 971625 25955 95 258313351664 93331 236 293 83
202427 AAA2 teams 408364 981935 37785 95 269345379724 110329 199 327 108
202528 AAA2 teams 458417 851818 221078 143 204257309567 106246 235 251 50
202528 AAA2 teams 458408 11125111 31758 143 272336419755 147300 167 330 111
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD29 AAACHC 295273 701554 14435 75 256305392697 136288 155 308 94 -2 -1 +0 -5 +8 0.0
YTD29 AAACHC 295266 811965 21365 75 305366477844 173333 127 369 141 +14 -1 +0 -5 +8 1.6
ROS29 AAACHC 10% 196181 451013 10373 82 248298363661 116289 195 294 83 -4 +1 +1 -4 +6 0.0
ROS29 MLBCHC 10% 2019 4100 140 10 211250263513 53290 205 284 75 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
FULL29 AAACHC 315292 741654 15475 85 253301384685 130287 155 306 93 -3 -0 +0 -6 +9 0.0
TOT29 AAACHC 491454 1152567 24808 157 253302380683 128291 165 302 90 -6 +0 +1 -9 +14 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730 MLBCHC 36% 380351 851916 20726 134 242294353648 111288 195 292 81 -8 +1 +0 -7 +11 -0.3
202831 MLBCHC 51% 365338 801815 19705 113 237287340628 104285 195 287 78 -9 +1 -0 -7 +10 -0.5
202730 MLBCHC 36% 136126 30702 7262 51 238289341630 103289 195 282 74 -4 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.2
202831 MLBCHC 51% 186171 41903 10363 52 240293345639 105287 195 278 71 -6 +0 -0 -3 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 13741263 30069120 7828616 295 238290341632 104288 216 282 74 -40 +4 +7 -18 +39 -0.9
/ 162G 650597 1413309 371358 142 236290337626 101286 216 282 74 -19 +2 +3 -9 +18 -0.4
Career 39133607 8641831061 21184551 8024 239291346637 107293 225 282 74 -116 +6 +8 -42 +111 -3.4
/ 162G 650599 14330210 351408 134 239289346635 107292 225 282 74 -19 +1 +1 -7 +18 -0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 AFort Wayne TinCaps 114107 361102 4172 00 336372495867 159382 154 380 149 +6 +0 +3 1.0
201922 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 560507 14728213 46866 55 290356430786 140328 158 352 127 +17 -1 +16 3.3
201922 INTLPeoria Javelinas 7268 12101 2150 10 176200235435 59204 213 192 5 -8 +0 +2 -0.6
202124 MLBCleveland Indians 202191 39804 9541 20 204244309553 105261 274 248 48 -12 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.5
202124 AAAColumbus Clippers 206182 541217 21522 00 297376489865 192379 2510 381 150 +12 +0 +6 1.8
202225 MLBCleveland Guardians 472424 1032616 32937 20 243307351658 108290 207 293 82 -9 +0 +1 -9 +13 -0.4
202225 INTLLeones de Ponce 5044 12100 281 10 273319295615 23308 164 267 63 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202326 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 314291 761705 17612 132 261306371678 110310 195 301 88 -4 +2 +5 +2 +9 1.4
202326 AAANashville Sounds 116106 30804 6183 10 283339472811 189306 165 356 130 +4 +0 +3 0.8
202427 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 2727 5100 080 00 185185222407 37263 300 182 -3 -3 +0 -0 -7 +1 -1.0
202427 AAANashville Sounds 381337 931835 37705 95 276356392748 116333 1810 337 116 +7 -0 +11 1.8
202528 MLBColorado Rockies 1714 2000 241 10 143294143437 200 2412 232 36 -1 +0 +1 +2 +0 0.2
202528 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 441394 10925111 29717 133 277337429766 152303 167 334 114 +7 +1 +12 2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1032947 22552115 6022011 182 238291342633 105289 216 283 74 -30 +3 +7 -12 +29 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#2Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA
82,2755230253302405-24-62.02.8
/162664159-7.1-1.80.6pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA
81,9715422244311399-21-171.41.8
/162664187-7.1-5.80.5pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,3452129241290350-17+3-1.1-1.1
/1626641014-8.5+1.5-0.5pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Owen Miller (OGILVIE) 29 60 50 50 35 253/302/380 128291 715 16% 5% 90 +0.1
Elliot Johnson
2013 · MLB
29 47→53 45 54→60 44 231/288/351 120297 1226 26% 7% 78 +0.2 208/265/313 105274 924 26% 7% 58 -1.2 192/248/2899625672426%7%42-1.1
Tim Lopes
2021 · MLB
27 51→61 42→45 53→55 45 244/294/357 113303 824 22% 6% 82 +0.5 218/281/346 128290 1320 28% 7% 74 -0.1 212/284/328116290132629%8%67-0.3
Eugenio Velez
2011 · MLB
29 53→58 43→50 56→65 45 258/299/380 122305 930 19% 5% 89 +1.0 246/292/364 118308 927 22% 6% 82 +0.5 265/316/392127329103422%6%96+1.1
Tyler Saladino
2017 · MLB
28 51→47 44→45 56→55 44 252/296/368 116298 1223 20% 5% 85 +0.7 219/282/335 116282 1216 26% 7% 72 -0.2 198/271/322124259141528%8%62-0.5
Gorkys Hernández
2017 · MLB
29 55→59 42→45 50→55 45 265/315/371 106327 919 21% 6% 94 +1.3 245/305/365 120315 1117 24% 7% 89 +0.9 224/293/349125298131728%8%76+0.1
Tommy Murphy
2009 · MLB
29 50→54 40→50 56→60 42 239/285/335 96313 729 25% 6% 72 -0.2 220/276/313 93293 725 26% 7% 63 -0.9 192/254/2596725842626%7%36-1.4
Wynton Bernard
2021 · AAA
30 45→55 42→45 56→60 43 220/268/329 110279 925 24% 6% 63 -0.8 222/272/341 119283 1129 24% 6% 69 -0.4 241/291/361120296113722%6%78+0.2
Pokey Reese
2002 · MLB
29 48→55 45 59→55 51 236/299/363 127265 1228 16% 8% 85 +0.7 238/300/337 99288 819 19% 8% 79 +0.3 237/299/3157829461720%8%67-0.2
Jason Bourgeois
2011 · MLB
29 55→58 39→45 59→65 46 261/301/345 84294 634 14% 5% 81 +0.4 254/294/332 78285 535 12% 5% 74 -0.1 253/291/3206728233711%5%67-0.3
Jonathan Davis
2021 · MLB
29 46→52 46→45 54→55 45 227/308/358 131295 1219 26% 7% 89 +1.0 216/308/331 115293 1123 28% 9% 82 +0.5 224/306/341117313112229%9%81+0.2
John Andreoli
2019 · MLB
29 47→57 44→45 57→60 47 226/300/350 124311 1025 29% 9% 83 +0.6 206/292/329 123320 1215 36% 10% 75 -0.0 164/270/300136268171741%12%57-0.8
Brian Bixler
2012 · MLB
29 51→56 40→45 53→55 41 241/297/337 97335 619 29% 6% 78 +0.2 214/269/296 82312 615 31% 6% 55 -1.4 199/253/2656629851333%6%37-1.5
Ian Miller
2021 · MLB
29 46→56 43→40 58→60 43 225/276/337 112275 1029 22% 6% 69 -0.4 228/277/322 94285 721 21% 6% 66 -0.6 230/279/3037328932520%5%59-0.7
Brent Lillibridge
2013 · MLB
29 44→54 48→50 55→60 41 225/287/363 138301 1729 31% 6% 82 +0.5 215/265/340 125292 1522 30% 5% 66 -0.6 205/251/321116277142331%5%51-1.0
Drew Stubbs
2014 · MLB
29 46→51 46→50 56→60 46 226/296/350 124308 1426 30% 9% 82 +0.5 229/299/368 139326 1524 32% 9% 87 +0.8 223/297/362139322152933%9%82+0.3
Reid Gorecki
2010 · MLB
29 50→51 45→50 52→55 44 248/298/378 130304 1219 23% 6% 89 +1.0 225/281/339 114291 918 25% 7% 72 -0.2 210/272/3079827762225%7%56-1.0
Dairon Blanco
2022 · AAA
29 45→49 46→50 58→70 40 224/279/355 131294 1432 28% 6% 76 +0.0 255/314/393 138332 1563 26% 6% 100 +1.7 267/329/405137352159026%6%106+1.1
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2023 · MLB
28 55→56 39→40 53→55 48 261/310/342 81294 720 14% 6% 84 +0.6 256/304/349 93299 818 16% 5% 84 +0.6 264/305/3538930871816%4%83+0.3
Drew Maggi
2017 · AAA
28 51→54 37→45 50→60 45 241/299/314 73304 424 21% 6% 72 -0.2 236/300/328 92313 715 25% 7% 77 +0.1 229/302/3249530481326%7%74-0.1
Delino DeShields
2022 · MLB
29 48→55 40→45 56→65 52 228/311/321 93302 725 25% 10% 80 +0.4 210/300/280 70305 529 29% 11% 66 -0.6 197/300/2404331713533%12%54-0.7