Owen Miller
1B Iowa Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAAMIL | 381 | .276/.356/.392 | 5 | 9 | 81 | — | .252/.311/.347 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLBMIL | 27 | .185/.185/.222 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -1.0 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAACOL | 441 | .277/.337/.429 | 11 | 13 | 65 | — | .225/.272/.332 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBCOL | 17 | .143/.294/.143 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 0.2 | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAACHC | 476 | .295/.347/.443 | 7 | 12 | 77 | — | .246/.288/.360 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBCHC | 24 | .257/.303/.378 | 0 | 1 | 89 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 31 | MLBCHC | 83 | .252/.298/.368 | 1 | 1 | 84 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 114 | 107 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 336 | 372 | 495 | 867 | 159 | 382 | 15 | 4 | 380 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 560 | 507 | 147 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 86 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 356 | 430 | 786 | 140 | 328 | 15 | 8 | 352 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 72 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 200 | 235 | 435 | 59 | 204 | 21 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 202 | 191 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 244 | 309 | 553 | 105 | 261 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 53 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 206 | 182 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 376 | 489 | 865 | 192 | 379 | 25 | 10 | 381 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 472 | 424 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 307 | 351 | 658 | 108 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 293 | 83 | -10 | +0 | +1 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 50 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 319 | 295 | 615 | 23 | 308 | 16 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 314 | 291 | 76 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 261 | 306 | 371 | 678 | 110 | 310 | 19 | 5 | 301 | 91 | -3 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 106 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 339 | 472 | 811 | 189 | 306 | 16 | 5 | 356 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 27 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 185 | 222 | 407 | 37 | 263 | 30 | 0 | 182 | 12 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 381 | 337 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 70 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 276 | 356 | 392 | 748 | 116 | 333 | 18 | 10 | 337 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 143 | 437 | 200 | 24 | 12 | 232 | 42 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 441 | 394 | 109 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 71 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 277 | 337 | 429 | 766 | 152 | 303 | 16 | 7 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 438 | 129 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 60 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 295 | 347 | 443 | 790 | 148 | 326 | 13 | 6 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1032 | 947 | 225 | 52 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 220 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 238 | 291 | 342 | 633 | 105 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -28 | +3 | +7 | -12 | +22 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 114 | 108 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 310 | 380 | 689 | 102 | 341 | 20 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 560 | 522 | 121 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 110 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 232 | 283 | 326 | 608 | 94 | 277 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 202 | 191 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 244 | 309 | 553 | 105 | 261 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 206 | 188 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 337 | 426 | 762 | 149 | 378 | 30 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 472 | 425 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 242 | 305 | 351 | 655 | 108 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -10 | +0 | +1 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 314 | 292 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 61 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 264 | 306 | 377 | 683 | 113 | 310 | 19 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 116 | 108 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 304 | 407 | 712 | 148 | 298 | 19 | 3 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 27 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 185 | 222 | 407 | 37 | 263 | 30 | 0 | 186 | 12 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 381 | 349 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 85 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 252 | 311 | 347 | 658 | 95 | 317 | 22 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 143 | 437 | 200 | 24 | 12 | 231 | 42 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 441 | 404 | 91 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 90 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 225 | 272 | 332 | 604 | 106 | 253 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 447 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 246 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 114 | 280 | 15 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 114 | 108 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 310 | 380 | 689 | 102 | 341 | 20 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 114 | 107 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 336 | 372 | 495 | 867 | 159 | 382 | 15 | 4 | 380 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 588 | 136 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 124 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 231 | 281 | 323 | 605 | 92 | 277 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 632 | 575 | 159 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 277 | 339 | 407 | 746 | 130 | 313 | 16 | 8 | 333 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 379 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 116 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 291 | 367 | 657 | 127 | 320 | 28 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 373 | 93 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 249 | 310 | 397 | 707 | 147 | 318 | 26 | 7 | 315 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 468 | 113 | 28 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 103 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 109 | 286 | 20 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 468 | 115 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 101 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 308 | 346 | 654 | 100 | 292 | 19 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 400 | 105 | 25 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 83 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 263 | 306 | 385 | 691 | 122 | 309 | 19 | 5 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 430 | 397 | 106 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 79 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 267 | 315 | 398 | 713 | 131 | 309 | 18 | 5 | 316 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 376 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 93 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 247 | 303 | 338 | 641 | 90 | 317 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 364 | 98 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 78 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 269 | 345 | 379 | 724 | 110 | 329 | 19 | 9 | 327 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 418 | 93 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 94 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 222 | 273 | 325 | 598 | 103 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 408 | 111 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 75 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 272 | 336 | 419 | 755 | 147 | 300 | 16 | 7 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 447 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 246 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 114 | 282 | 15 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 438 | 129 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 60 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 295 | 347 | 443 | 790 | 148 | 326 | 13 | 6 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 114 | 108 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 310 | 380 | 689 | 102 | 341 | 20 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 586 | 136 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 124 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 232 | 281 | 324 | 606 | 92 | 277 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 378 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 116 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 291 | 368 | 658 | 127 | 320 | 28 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 475 | 113 | 28 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 103 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 345 | 649 | 107 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 402 | 105 | 25 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 83 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 261 | 306 | 383 | 689 | 122 | 307 | 19 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 375 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 93 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 248 | 303 | 339 | 642 | 91 | 313 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 426 | 93 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 94 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 218 | 273 | 319 | 592 | 101 | 251 | 21 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 447 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 246 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 114 | 280 | 15 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 375 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 93 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 248 | 303 | 339 | 642 | 91 | 313 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 426 | 93 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 94 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 218 | 273 | 319 | 592 | 101 | 251 | 21 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 476 | 447 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 246 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 114 | 280 | 15 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | CHC | 10% | 380 | 354 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 70 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 254 | 301 | 373 | 673 | 119 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | CHC | 10% | 24 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 303 | 378 | 682 | 122 | 304 | 17 | 4 | 303 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | CHC | 33% | 254 | 237 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 295 | 362 | 657 | 113 | 296 | 19 | 5 | 293 | 84 | -5 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | CHC | 33% | 83 | 78 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 298 | 368 | 666 | 116 | 300 | 19 | 5 | 296 | 84 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1115 | 1025 | 245 | 56 | 2 | 16 | 64 | 236 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 239 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 105 | 291 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -29 | +3 | +6 | -13 | +24 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 143 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 138 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 239 | 291 | 343 | 634 | 104 | 292 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -17 | +2 | +4 | -8 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3940 | 3643 | 887 | 187 | 18 | 58 | 204 | 800 | 50 | 68 | 25 | 243 | 293 | 352 | 645 | 109 | 293 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 78 | -36 | +3 | +6 | -21 | +33 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 147 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 132 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 245 | 294 | 356 | 650 | 111 | 294 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 78 | -15 | +1 | +3 | -9 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIowa Cubs · 476 PAwOBA .342 → .282 (−60)K% 12.6% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×0.972 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.972 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×0.972 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .342 → .282; ISO .148 → .117; BABIP .326 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 441 PAwOBA .333 → .265 (−68)K% 16.1% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.10% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.58% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 19.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.74% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .333 → .265; ISO .152 → .112; BABIP .303 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANashville Sounds · 381 PAwOBA .330 → .288 (−42)K% 18.4% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.09% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .330 → .288; ISO .116 → .093; BABIP .333 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAANashville Sounds · 116 PAwOBA .349 → .312 (−36)K% 15.5% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.905 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .349 → .312; ISO .189 → .154; BABIP .306 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 206 PAwOBA .373 → .327 (−46)K% 25.2% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.24% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 27.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 8.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .373 → .327; ISO .192 → .150; BABIP .379 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 560 PAwOBA .342 → .267 (−75)K% 15.4% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.36% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.04% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.65% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.079 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.337 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 103, 2B 119, 3B 116, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .267; ISO .140 → .094; BABIP .328 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 114 PAwOBA .373 → .306 (−67)K% 14.9% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.91% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | — | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | — | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.22% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | — | 9.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.176 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 82, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .373 → .306; ISO .159 → .116; BABIP .382 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .