Cesar Suarez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 697 | .310/.371/.472 | 19 | 7 | 103 | — | .279/.328/.432 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 395 | .267/.314/.380 | 5 | 6 | 79 | — | .239/.266/.304 |
| 2015 | 31 | INTLTiburones de … | 174 | .302/.331/.352 | 0 | 4 | 90 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | A | Southwest Michigan Devil Rays | — | 375 | 350 | 103 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 294 | 334 | 411 | 746 | 117 | 322 | 10 | 4 | 330 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A | Columbus Catfish | — | 576 | 520 | 159 | 42 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 69 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 306 | 366 | 454 | 819 | 148 | 331 | 12 | 7 | 361 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ | Vero Beach Devil Rays | — | 512 | 480 | 124 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 258 | 291 | 348 | 639 | 90 | 272 | 9 | 3 | 282 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 267 | 246 | 55 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 224 | 279 | 350 | 629 | 126 | 236 | 10 | 6 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 90 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 202 | 256 | 274 | 529 | 71 | 221 | 8 | 3 | 243 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Venezuela | — | 259 | 233 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 313 | 370 | 446 | 816 | 133 | 340 | 12 | 6 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 142 | 129 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 318 | 367 | 450 | 817 | 132 | 345 | 11 | 6 | 356 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL | Venezuela | — | 275 | 241 | 84 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 349 | 410 | 519 | 928 | 170 | 352 | 8 | 7 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 479 | 425 | 131 | 29 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 56 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 308 | 374 | 459 | 833 | 151 | 334 | 12 | 6 | 365 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | INTL | Venezuela | — | 297 | 269 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 312 | 364 | 457 | 822 | 145 | 326 | 9 | 6 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 479 | 428 | 140 | 35 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 327 | 387 | 521 | 908 | 194 | 318 | 5 | 5 | 394 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 218 | 197 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 335 | 365 | 700 | 91 | 295 | 11 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 144 | 137 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 308 | 350 | 658 | 73 | 298 | 8 | 3 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 251 | 226 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 318 | 398 | 717 | 137 | 270 | 8 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 174 | 162 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 331 | 352 | 683 | 49 | 325 | 8 | 3 | 300 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | A MLE | Southwest Michigan Devil Rays | — | 375 | 355 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 262 | 294 | 358 | 652 | 96 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Columbus Catfish | — | 576 | 535 | 139 | 34 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 93 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 260 | 304 | 378 | 682 | 118 | 289 | 16 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vero Beach Devil Rays | — | 512 | 484 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 233 | 261 | 314 | 575 | 81 | 250 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 267 | 251 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 195 | 238 | 299 | 537 | 104 | 212 | 13 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 90 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 194 | 11 | 2 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 142 | 132 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 311 | 345 | 417 | 762 | 106 | 334 | 13 | 4 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 479 | 439 | 118 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 64 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 269 | 317 | 390 | 707 | 121 | 290 | 13 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 479 | 438 | 122 | 28 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 279 | 328 | 432 | 759 | 153 | 267 | 7 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 144 | 138 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 266 | 304 | 570 | 65 | 253 | 10 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A MLE | Southwest Michigan Devil Rays | — | 375 | 355 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 262 | 294 | 358 | 652 | 96 | 301 | 14 | 3 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A RAW | Southwest Michigan Devil Rays | — | 375 | 350 | 103 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 294 | 334 | 411 | 746 | 117 | 322 | 10 | 4 | 330 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Columbus Catfish | — | 576 | 535 | 139 | 34 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 93 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 260 | 304 | 378 | 682 | 118 | 295 | 16 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A RAW | Columbus Catfish | — | 576 | 520 | 159 | 42 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 69 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 306 | 366 | 454 | 819 | 148 | 331 | 12 | 7 | 361 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vero Beach Devil Rays | — | 512 | 484 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 233 | 261 | 314 | 575 | 81 | 258 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ RAW | Vero Beach Devil Rays | — | 512 | 480 | 124 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 258 | 291 | 348 | 639 | 90 | 272 | 9 | 3 | 282 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 267 | 251 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 195 | 238 | 299 | 537 | 104 | 213 | 13 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 267 | 246 | 55 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 224 | 279 | 350 | 629 | 126 | 236 | 10 | 6 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 328 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 177 | 215 | 235 | 450 | 58 | 197 | 11 | 2 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 349 | 317 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 284 | 340 | 401 | 741 | 117 | 307 | 11 | 5 | 329 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 383 | 119 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 311 | 348 | 423 | 771 | 112 | 343 | 12 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 417 | 370 | 125 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 338 | 395 | 495 | 890 | 157 | 349 | 9 | 6 | 384 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 776 | 716 | 192 | 39 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 103 | 19 | 27 | 16 | 268 | 311 | 390 | 701 | 122 | 295 | 13 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 776 | 694 | 215 | 48 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 84 | 19 | 27 | 16 | 310 | 371 | 458 | 829 | 148 | 331 | 11 | 6 | 363 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 697 | 639 | 177 | 41 | 0 | 19 | 23 | 47 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 277 | 326 | 430 | 756 | 153 | 273 | 7 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 697 | 625 | 194 | 44 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 310 | 371 | 472 | 843 | 162 | 311 | 7 | 5 | 369 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 372 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 234 | 265 | 290 | 556 | 56 | 258 | 11 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 395 | 363 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 267 | 314 | 380 | 695 | 113 | 280 | 8 | 4 | 307 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 174 | 162 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 331 | 352 | 683 | 49 | 325 | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 174 | 162 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 331 | 352 | 683 | 49 | 325 | 8 | 3 | 300 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A MLE | Southwest Michigan Devil Rays | — | 375 | 356 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 261 | 294 | 357 | 651 | 96 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Columbus Catfish | — | 576 | 537 | 139 | 34 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 93 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 259 | 304 | 376 | 680 | 117 | 289 | 16 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vero Beach Devil Rays | — | 512 | 489 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 231 | 261 | 311 | 572 | 80 | 250 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 267 | 251 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 195 | 238 | 299 | 537 | 104 | 212 | 13 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 330 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 176 | 215 | 233 | 448 | 58 | 194 | 11 | 2 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 392 | 119 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 304 | 348 | 413 | 761 | 110 | 334 | 12 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 776 | 725 | 192 | 39 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 103 | 19 | 27 | 16 | 265 | 311 | 385 | 696 | 120 | 290 | 13 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 697 | 646 | 177 | 41 | 0 | 19 | 23 | 47 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 274 | 326 | 426 | 751 | 152 | 267 | 7 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 376 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 231 | 265 | 287 | 553 | 56 | 253 | 11 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4538 | 4225 | 1076 | 223 | 22 | 57 | 139 | 543 | 95 | 126 | 69 | 255 | 294 | 358 | 652 | 104 | 277 | 12 | 3 | 271 | 69 | -166 | -2 | +0 | +16 | +98 | -5.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 154 | 32 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 78 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 255 | 294 | 357 | 651 | 102 | 278 | 12 | 3 | 271 | 69 | -24 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 144 PAwOBA .287 → .237 (−50)K% 8.3% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 1.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×0.962 | 20.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.962 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .287 → .237; ISO .073 → .056; BABIP .298 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 479 PAwOBA .386 → .323 (−62)K% 5.4% → 6.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.43% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 6.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.22% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 3.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.14% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×0.972 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.71% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×0.972 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.98% | ÷0.875 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .386 → .323; ISO .194 → .156; BABIP .318 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALeones de Yucatan · 479 PAwOBA .356 → .309 (−46)K% 11.7% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.22% | ÷1.044 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.12% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.93% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 111, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .356 → .309; ISO .151 → .127; BABIP .334 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 142 PAwOBA .347 → .327 (−20)K% 10.6% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.56% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.93% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×1.028 | ×0.992 | 25.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.992 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.992 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .347 → .327; ISO .132 → .117; BABIP .345 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 90 PAwOBA .237 → .196 (−41)K% 7.8% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.78% | ÷0.956 | ×1.340 | — | — | 10.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.958 | 2.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.958 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.58% | ÷1.003 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.958 | 14.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×0.958 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.083 | ×0.760 | ×1.043 | ×0.958 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.819 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 117, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .237 → .196; ISO .071 → .056; BABIP .221 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 267 PAwOBA .276 → .237 (−39)K% 10.5% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 13.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .276 → .237; ISO .126 → .108; BABIP .236 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Vero Beach Devil Rays · 512 PAwOBA .278 → .248 (−29)K% 9.2% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 13.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 2.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.978 | 20.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.020 | ×0.978 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.978 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 1.19% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .278 → .248; ISO .090 → .080; BABIP .272 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AColumbus Catfish · 576 PAwOBA .355 → .295 (−60)K% 12.0% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.980 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×0.980 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | ×0.980 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .355 → .295; ISO .148 → .120; BABIP .331 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .