Mauricio Dubón — OGILVIE

Mauricio Dubón2B Atlanta Braves

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 173 lbs MLB Svc 5.942 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION372 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10095vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .309 / .387

PA248

HR5

K%14

BB%6

BABIP286

ISO126

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.1%

xwOBA

330.289

POWER35

Barrel%

102.9

Avg EV

1085.6

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE30

Chase%

6428.9%

SPEED55

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 925 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

275

650

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

306

287

◀L

ISO

109

106

◀L

BABIP

308

273

◀L

13.8%

11.8%

▶R

BB%

5.1%

4.9%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2019

Service 5.942 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+1.2	$9M	+$7M
Totals		$2M		$9M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	58	53	10	2	0	0	1	17	3	6	2	189	246	226	472	38	278	29	2	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	58	53	13	3	0	0	1	12	3	6	2	245	298	302	600	57	317	21	2	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	2 teams	—	531	489	127	17	3	5	26	102	5	30	7	260	304	337	641	78	317	19	5	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	2 teams	—	531	473	136	21	3	5	41	72	5	30	7	288	350	376	726	89	328	14	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	3 teams	—	626	575	159	30	8	4	32	99	5	33	9	277	320	377	698	101	325	16	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	3 teams	—	626	557	172	34	10	9	48	73	5	33	9	309	368	454	822	145	340	12	8	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	2 teams	—	548	508	117	22	0	6	26	107	3	38	15	230	272	309	581	79	279	20	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	2 teams	—	548	492	135	29	0	8	39	76	3	38	15	274	330	382	712	108	309	14	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	114	109	29	7	1	2	1	29	0	6	3	266	273	404	676	138	338	25	1	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	114	108	37	9	2	4	2	19	0	6	3	343	355	574	929	231	379	17	2	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	650	620	156	25	1	19	24	113	5	13	9	252	285	387	672	135	281	17	4	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	650	609	181	31	1	24	33	88	5	13	9	297	337	470	807	172	316	14	5	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	177	158	44	4	1	4	15	36	1	2	3	278	345	392	737	114	333	20	8	330	110	+2	-1	+3	+1	+5	1.0
2020	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	177	157	43	4	1	4	15	36	1	2	3	274	339	389	728	115	328	20	8	322	105	+1	-1	+3	+1	+5	0.9
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	470	429	113	22	2	12	31	84	6	11	4	263	322	408	730	145	300	18	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	470	422	124	22	2	13	38	79	6	11	4	294	361	448	808	154	332	17	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	265	243	52	9	0	5	13	30	1	2	3	214	257	313	570	99	221	11	5	242	43	-17	-1	+5	+1	+8	-0.4
2022	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	265	243	52	9	0	5	13	30	1	2	3	214	257	313	570	99	221	11	5	250	49	-15	-1	+5	+1	+8	-0.2
2023	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	492	467	127	25	3	9	19	70	3	7	2	272	305	396	701	124	302	14	4	309	94	-3	+1	+2	+2	+14	1.5
2023	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	492	467	130	26	3	10	19	70	3	7	2	278	311	411	722	133	308	14	4	319	102	+1	+1	+2	+2	+14	2.0
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	428	402	106	24	0	4	16	55	2	3	2	264	295	353	648	90	293	13	4	282	74	-13	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.1
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	428	402	108	25	0	4	16	55	2	3	2	269	300	361	661	92	299	13	4	291	81	-9	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.5
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	398	369	87	20	0	7	24	42	1	3	0	236	284	347	631	111	249	11	6	278	71	-13	+1	+16	+1	+11	1.7
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	398	369	89	21	0	7	24	42	1	3	0	241	289	355	644	114	255	11	6	287	78	-10	+1	+16	+1	+11	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	ATL	—	372	344	91	19	2	10	25	53	2	3	2	265	318	419	737	154	288	14	7	323	106	+2	-0	+2	+4	+11	1.9
YTD	32	MLB	ATL	—	372	343	91	19	2	10	25	53	2	3	2	265	318	420	738	155	289	14	7	327	108	+4	-0	+2	+4	+11	2.1
ROS	32	MLB	ATL	100%	248	230	60	12	1	5	15	34	1	2	1	261	309	387	696	126	284	14	6	309	94	-2	+0	+3	+1	+7	1.0
ROS	32	MLB	ATL	100%	248	230	60	12	1	5	15	34	1	2	1	261	309	387	696	126	284	14	6	305	92	-2	+0	+3	+1	+7	0.9
FULL	32	MLB	ATL	—	620	574	151	31	3	15	40	87	3	5	3	263	314	406	720	143	288	14	6	316	100	+0	-0	+6	+5	+18	2.9
TOT	32	MLB	ATL	—	620	574	151	31	3	15	40	87	3	5	3	263	314	406	720	143	288	14	6	318	101	+1	-0	+6	+5	+18	2.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	ATL	100%	535	495	125	25	1	10	32	75	3	4	2	253	302	368	670	115	278	14	6	300	87	-8	+0	+3	+2	+15	1.3
2028	34	MLB	ATL	100%	452	420	102	19	1	8	27	67	2	2	1	243	292	350	642	107	271	15	6	289	79	-11	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.5
2029	35	MLB	ATL	100%	382	355	83	15	1	6	22	59	2	1	1	234	282	332	615	99	263	15	6	277	70	-13	-0	-0	+1	+11	-0.1
2027	33	MLB	ATL	100%	535	495	125	25	1	10	32	75	3	4	2	253	302	368	670	115	278	14	6	296	85	-9	+0	+3	+2	+15	1.1
2028	34	MLB	ATL	100%	452	420	102	19	1	8	27	67	2	2	1	243	292	350	642	107	271	15	6	285	77	-12	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.4
2029	35	MLB	ATL	100%	382	355	83	15	1	6	22	59	2	1	1	234	282	332	615	99	263	15	6	274	68	-14	-0	-0	+1	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3675	3419	863	170	8	68	197	529	17	31	17	252	296	366	663	114	279	14	5	293	82	-73	-1	+43	+13	+104	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	152	30	1	12	35	94	3	5	3	251	296	364	660	112	278	14	5	293	82	-13	-0	+8	+2	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	6374	5922	1497	278	23	106	324	1019	43	163	64	253	296	361	658	108	288	16	5	288	78	-155	+7	+43	+20	+181	9.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	152	28	2	11	33	104	4	17	7	252	294	359	654	108	286	16	5	288	78	-16	+1	+4	+2	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	58	53	13	3	0	0	1	12	3	6	2	245	298	302	600	57	317	21	2	272	67	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2015	21	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	269	237	65	9	0	1	23	38	3	12	3	274	346	325	671	51	320	14	9	304	90	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2015	21	A	Greenville Drive	—	262	236	71	12	3	4	18	34	2	18	4	301	354	428	782	127	337	13	7	342	120	+6	+2	—	—	+7	1.6
2016	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	270	251	85	20	6	6	11	36	3	6	3	339	372	538	910	199	374	13	4	391	158	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.6
2016	22	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	279	235	72	11	3	0	33	25	0	24	4	306	390	379	769	72	338	9	12	339	117	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.7
2016	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	77	71	15	3	1	3	4	12	2	3	2	211	273	408	681	197	214	16	5	301	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2017	23	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	244	224	61	15	0	6	14	34	2	7	6	272	321	420	740	147	297	14	6	325	107	+2	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2017	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	304	268	74	14	0	2	25	42	1	31	9	276	337	351	687	75	319	14	8	305	92	-3	+3	—	—	+9	0.9
2018	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	114	108	37	9	2	4	2	19	0	6	3	343	355	574	929	231	379	17	2	390	156	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2019	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	111	106	29	5	0	4	5	20	0	3	1	274	306	434	740	160	305	18	5	327	109	+1	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.8
2019	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	539	503	152	26	1	20	28	68	5	10	8	302	344	477	821	175	318	13	5	362	135	+21	-1	—	—	+15	3.6
2020	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	177	157	43	4	1	4	15	36	1	2	3	274	339	389	728	115	328	20	8	322	105	+1	-1	+3	+1	+5	0.9
2021	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	187	175	42	9	0	5	9	41	1	2	1	240	281	377	658	137	282	22	5	290	80	-4	+0	+2	+5	+5	0.9
2021	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	283	247	82	13	2	8	29	38	5	9	3	332	413	498	911	166	365	13	10	402	166	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
2022	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	265	243	52	9	0	5	13	30	1	2	3	214	257	313	570	99	221	11	5	250	49	-15	-1	+5	+1	+8	-0.2
2023	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	492	467	130	26	3	10	19	70	3	7	2	278	311	411	722	133	308	14	4	319	102	+1	+1	+2	+2	+14	2.0
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	428	402	108	25	0	4	16	55	2	3	2	269	300	361	661	92	299	13	4	291	81	-9	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.5
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	398	369	89	21	0	7	24	42	1	3	0	241	289	355	644	114	255	11	6	287	78	-10	+1	+16	+1	+11	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2058	1919	493	99	4	39	101	294	9	22	12	257	297	374	671	117	283	14	5	296	85	-35	-0	+36	+8	+58	6.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Geoff Blumlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,208 PA	12	4,208	91	18	251	310	382	+6	+31	12.1	11.2
	/162	664	14	3	251	310	382	+1.0	+4.8	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	12	3,756	35	47	245	312	341	+8	+29	7.8	8.1
#4Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	/162	664	6	8	245	312	341	+1.4	+5.2	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	9	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.4	7.7
	/162	664	8	12	250	291	360	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#6Neifi Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,676 PA	8	3,676	38	33	263	291	364	+3	+44	6.2	7.3
	/162	664	7	6	263	291	364	+0.5	+8.0	1.1	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,399	84	39	254	295	372	+16	+60	5.6	5.8
	/162	664	13	6	254	295	372	+2.4	+9.1	0.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mauricio Dubón (OGILVIE)	32	50	35	55	30	263/314/406	143	288	15	5	14%	6%	101	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Plawecki 2023 · MLB	32	51→56	41→45	47→30	50	244/309/343	99	283	8	4	17%	7%	85	+0.7	223/286/334	111	272	11	3	21%	7%	72	-0.2	211/272/313	102	259	11	0	22%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Kevan Smith 2020 · MLB	32	53→55	44→50	49→40	48	258/313/377	119	291	12	5	16%	6%	95	+1.4	231/303/351	120	292	12	7	24%	9%	85	+0.7	167/245/198	31	246	0	0	29%	9%	4	-0.9
✕Ali Castillo 2021 · AAA	32	51→61	43→40	43→55	46	250/288/362	112	282	10	8	16%	5%	80	+0.4	221/260/282	61	264	4	11	17%	5%	46	-2.0	216/253/246	30	259	0	11	16%	4%	32	-1.5
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2023 · MLB	32	49→55	44→45	48→50	47	236/277/360	124	257	10	7	13%	5%	76	+0.0	241/289/348	107	260	9	9	11%	6%	77	+0.1	245/293/352	107	262	10	9	11%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Francisco Arias 2010 · AAA	32	55→50	41→45	46→45	45	262/303/365	102	283	7	5	11%	4%	87	+0.8	251/297/347	96	271	7	6	10%	4%	80	+0.4	250/296/325	74	271	4	4	9%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Alcides Escobar 2019 · MLB	32	52→62	40→45	47→55	45	246/283/346	100	280	6	9	15%	4%	73	-0.1	238/282/352	114	282	9	8	18%	5%	76	+0.0	241/285/351	111	294	8	6	20%	4%	74	-0.1
✕Roque Sanchez 2007 · AAA	32	53→56	43→45	47→45	42	255/275/366	111	268	11	6	10%	2%	76	+0.0	257/281/349	92	282	8	6	12%	2%	73	-0.1	275/299/362	87	312	5	1	13%	2%	80	+0.2
✕Israel Nunez 2019 · AAA	33	47	46→40	49→40	44	233/276/359	126	274	14	9	21%	5%	75	-0.0	238/277/338	100	281	10	8	19%	4%	69	-0.4	259/286/315	57	300	6	0	16%	1%	63	-0.2
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB	31	54→58	44→45	52→55	47	260/315/384	124	283	10	12	13%	5%	98	+1.6	245/296/338	93	272	5	21	12%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/370	112	285	12	10	14%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Adonis García 2017 · MLB	32	54→56	47→50	45→50	42	267/300/402	135	301	15	6	17%	4%	96	+1.5	241/284/365	124	275	14	11	18%	4%	80	+0.4	207/253/301	94	239	12	15	19%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Luis Ordaz 2007 · AAA	31	52	42→40	51→50	44	252/280/362	109	275	9	8	13%	4%	76	+0.1	255/284/353	98	297	8	11	17%	3%	76	+0.0	268/295/355	86	314	6	10	16%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Erick Almonte 2010 · AAA	32	50→48	41→40	47→45	48	242/301/338	97	301	8	7	22%	8%	80	+0.4	246/298/336	90	314	7	7	22%	7%	77	+0.1	259/311/346	87	327	6	5	22%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Austin Wynns 2023 · MLB	32	52→51	46→45	48→30	49	257/323/380	123	307	14	5	21%	8%	101	+1.8	235/292/364	129	302	14	5	26%	6%	83	+0.6	222/269/360	138	291	15	1	29%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Martinez 2019 · AAA	32	49→55	46→45	45→40	42	244/279/374	130	285	14	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	244/285/359	115	318	13	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	252/292/348	96	334	11	0	27%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Angel Chavez 2013 · AAA	32	48→53	43→45	48→50	50	237/295/339	101	272	12	8	18%	7%	77	+0.1	239/297/352	113	283	11	11	19%	8%	82	+0.5	246/305/334	88	291	5	8	16%	8%	77	+0.0
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	48→58	42→40	46→50	45	232/291/334	102	282	9	8	21%	6%	75	-0.0	221/286/297	76	287	6	7	24%	7%	63	-0.8	208/280/235	26	278	1	2	23%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Eder Salcedo 2015 · AAA	32	54→58	42→40	48→50	44	263/297/361	98	304	10	11	17%	4%	83	+0.6	239/270/332	93	274	9	9	16%	4%	64	-0.8	250/276/325	76	285	7	7	15%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Wiki Gonzalez 2006 · MLB	32	53	44→45	48→30	50	254/303/375	121	270	11	5	11%	6%	90	+1.0	242/290/374	132	252	16	6	11%	5%	85	+0.7	234/279/357	123	235	18	3	10%	4%	74	-0.0
✕José Yépez 2013 · AAA	32	52	41→40	48→30	49	246/317/354	107	291	8	6	18%	7%	92	+1.2	210/262/286	76	251	5	5	18%	5%	50	-1.8	178/211/212	34	214	1	1	17%	3%	6	-1.4
✕Chris Gomez 2004 · MLB	33	52→54	45	45→40	47	253/293/385	132	267	11	5	11%	5%	89	+0.9	269/327/359	90	293	7	6	10%	8%	96	+1.5	285/347/354	69	311	5	5	9%	8%	99	+0.7