Mauricio Dubón — OGILVIE

Mauricio Dubón2B Atlanta Braves

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 173 lbs MLB BB -5% Svc 5.942 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 10196vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .298 / .368

PA422

HR7

K%13

BB%5

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

55→55

EYE

39↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2019

Service 5.942 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$6M	+1.8	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$6M		$14M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	58	53	10	2	0	0	1	17	3	6	2	.189	.246	.226	.472	.038	.278	29	2	.192	5	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2015	21	A+	2 teams	531	490	126	17	3	5	25	100	5	30	7	.257	.300	.335	.635	.078	.312	19	5	.272	67	-20	+3	+0	+2	+15	0.0
2016	22	A+	3 teams	626	575	167	30	9	5	32	95	5	33	9	.290	.333	.400	.733	.110	.338	15	5	.311	96	-3	+3	+0	+2	+18	2.0
2017	23	AA	2 teams	548	508	119	24	0	6	26	104	3	38	15	.234	.276	.317	.593	.083	.282	19	5	.257	55	-28	+2	+0	+2	+16	-0.9
2018	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	114	109	31	7	1	3	1	26	0	6	3	.284	.291	.450	.740	.165	.341	23	1	.303	90	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	650	620	154	25	1	19	24	109	5	13	9	.248	.282	.384	.666	.135	.274	17	4	.290	80	-15	-1	+1	+2	+18	0.6
2020	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	177	158	42	4	1	4	15	36	1	2	3	.266	.333	.380	.713	.114	.317	20	8	.308	94	-1	-1	+3	+1	+5	0.6
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	470	429	109	19	2	12	31	88	6	11	4	.254	.313	.392	.705	.138	.291	19	7	.302	89	-6	+1	+2	+5	+13	1.6
2022	28	MLB	Houston Astros	265	243	50	9	0	5	13	30	1	2	3	.206	.249	.305	.554	.099	.211	11	5	.240	42	-17	-1	+5	+1	+8	-0.5
2023	29	MLB	Houston Astros	492	467	134	26	3	11	19	70	3	7	2	.287	.319	.426	.745	.139	.316	14	4	.324	106	+3	+1	+2	+2	+14	2.2
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	428	402	107	24	0	4	16	55	2	3	2	.266	.298	.356	.653	.090	.296	13	4	.285	76	-12	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.2
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	398	369	87	21	0	7	24	42	1	3	0	.236	.284	.350	.634	.114	.249	11	6	.281	73	-12	+1	+16	+1	+11	1.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	95	89	25	7	0	2	5	18	1	0	1	.281	.326	.427	.753	.146	.333	19	5	.332	112	+1	-0	+2	+1	+3	0.7
ROS	32	MLB	ATL	327	305	81	18	1	6	17	46	2	3	1	.266	.309	.390	.699	.125	.292	14	5	.305	91	-3	+0	+3	+1	+9	1.1
TOT	32	MLB	ATL	422	394	106	25	1	8	22	64	3	3	2	.269	.313	.398	.711	.129	.302	15	5	.311	96	-2	-0	+6	+2	+12	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	ATL	392	367	95	21	1	6	20	44	2	2	1	.259	.301	.371	.671	.112	.277	11	5	.298	87	-6	+0	-0	+1	+11	0.6
2028	34	MLB	ATL	347	325	82	18	1	5	17	42	2	1	1	.252	.294	.360	.654	.108	.275	12	5	.291	81	-7	-0	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2029	35	MLB	ATL	294	277	68	15	0	4	14	38	1	0	0	.245	.284	.343	.627	.097	.273	13	5	.283	75	-8	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6117	5697	1462	280	23	102	295	942	42	160	62	.257	.298	.368	.666	.111	.290	15	5	.289	79	-142	+7	+35	+19	+173	9.4
/ 162G	—			650	605	155	30	2	11	31	100	4	17	7	.256	.296	.367	.663	.111	.289	15	5	.289	79	-15	+1	+4	+2	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	58	53	13	3	0	0	1	12	3	6	2	.245	.298	.302	.600	.057	.317	21	2	.272	67	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2015	21	A+	Salem Red Sox	269	237	65	9	0	1	23	38	3	12	3	.274	.346	.325	.671	.051	.320	14	9	.304	90	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2015	21	A	Greenville Drive	262	236	71	12	3	4	18	34	2	18	4	.301	.354	.428	.782	.127	.337	13	7	.342	120	+6	+2	—	—	+7	1.6
2016	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	270	251	85	20	6	6	11	36	3	6	3	.339	.372	.538	.910	.199	.374	13	4	.391	158	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.6
2016	22	A+	Salem Red Sox	279	235	72	11	3	0	33	25	0	24	4	.306	.390	.379	.769	.072	.338	9	12	.339	117	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.7
2016	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	77	71	15	3	1	3	4	12	2	3	2	.211	.273	.408	.681	.197	.214	16	5	.301	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2017	23	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	244	224	61	15	0	6	14	34	2	7	6	.272	.321	.420	.740	.147	.297	14	6	.325	107	+2	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2017	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	304	268	74	14	0	2	25	42	1	31	9	.276	.337	.351	.687	.075	.319	14	8	.305	92	-3	+3	—	—	+9	0.9
2018	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	114	108	37	9	2	4	2	19	0	6	3	.343	.355	.574	.929	.231	.379	17	2	.390	156	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2019	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	111	106	29	5	0	4	5	20	0	3	1	.274	.306	.434	.740	.160	.305	18	5	.327	109	+1	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.8
2019	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	539	503	152	26	1	20	28	68	5	10	8	.302	.344	.477	.821	.175	.318	13	5	.362	135	+21	-1	—	—	+15	3.6
2020	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	177	157	43	4	1	4	15	36	1	2	3	.274	.339	.389	.728	.115	.328	20	8	.322	105	+1	-1	+3	+1	+5	0.9
2021	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	187	175	42	9	0	5	9	41	1	2	1	.240	.281	.377	.658	.137	.282	22	5	.290	80	-4	+0	+2	+5	+5	0.9
2021	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	283	247	82	13	2	8	29	38	5	9	3	.332	.413	.498	.911	.166	.365	13	10	.402	166	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
2022	28	MLB	Houston Astros	265	243	52	9	0	5	13	30	1	2	3	.214	.257	.313	.570	.099	.221	11	5	.250	49	-15	-1	+5	+1	+8	-0.2
2023	29	MLB	Houston Astros	492	467	130	26	3	10	19	70	3	7	2	.278	.311	.411	.722	.133	.308	14	4	.319	102	+1	+1	+2	+2	+14	2.0
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	428	402	108	25	0	4	16	55	2	3	2	.269	.300	.361	.661	.092	.299	13	4	.291	81	-9	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.5
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	398	369	89	21	0	7	24	42	1	3	0	.241	.289	.355	.644	.114	.255	11	6	.287	78	-10	+1	+16	+1	+11	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2058	1919	493	99	4	39	101	294	9	22	12	.257	.297	.374	.671	.117	.283	14	5	.296	85	-35	-0	+36	+8	+58	6.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mauricio Dubón (OGILVIE)	32	50	35	55	30	.261/.302/.377	.117	.279	7	4	11%	5%	91	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Arias 2010 · AAA	32	55→50	40	46→45	45	.261/.301/.359	.098	.282	7	6	11%	4%	85	+0.7	.251/.299/.347	.096	.272	7	6	10%	4%	81	+0.4	.250/.297/.322	.072	.272	4	4	9%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Kevan Smith 2020 · MLB	32	54	44→50	49→40	47	.262/.314/.378	.116	.296	12	5	16%	6%	96	+1.5	.234/.305/.355	.121	.292	12	7	23%	8%	87	+0.8	.163/.242/.193	.030	.240	0	0	29%	9%	2	-0.9
✕Roque Sanchez 2007 · AAA	32	52→56	43→45	47→45	42	.254/.275/.368	.114	.267	11	6	10%	2%	76	+0.1	.257/.280/.351	.094	.280	8	6	12%	2%	73	-0.1	.276/.299/.362	.086	.312	5	1	13%	2%	80	+0.2
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB	31	53→58	44→45	52→55	47	.257/.313/.380	.123	.281	10	12	13%	5%	96	+1.5	.246/.298/.341	.095	.272	6	20	11%	6%	79	+0.3	.260/.310/.370	.111	.287	11	10	14%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Miguel Torrero 2016 · AAA	32	54→50	38→30	45→40	46	.257/.296/.335	.078	.277	6	4	10%	4%	76	+0.1	.274/.309/.339	.065	.304	4	6	11%	4%	82	+0.5	.300/.334/.346	.045	.333	2	4	10%	4%	90	+0.6
✕Sergio Guerrero 2007 · AAA	32	57	41→40	46→40	47	.273/.322/.374	.102	.287	9	3	9%	4%	98	+1.6	.254/.309/.336	.082	.270	7	6	9%	5%	83	+0.6	.255/.325/.299	.043	.278	3	5	9%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Kevin Plawecki 2023 · MLB	32	53→57	42→45	48→30	50	.253/.317/.358	.105	.293	9	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	.229/.291/.341	.112	.277	11	3	21%	7%	77	+0.1	.218/.279/.326	.109	.263	11	0	21%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2023 · MLB	32	48→57	44→45	48→50	47	.235/.276/.356	.121	.258	10	7	14%	5%	74	-0.1	.239/.287/.348	.109	.259	9	9	11%	6%	76	+0.1	.241/.291/.338	.098	.257	8	8	10%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Luis Ordaz 2007 · AAA	31	52	42→40	50	44	.250/.279/.359	.109	.274	9	8	13%	4%	76	+0.0	.256/.284/.352	.096	.298	7	11	16%	3%	76	+0.0	.269/.295/.355	.086	.314	6	10	16%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Erick Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	33	55	42→40	46→40	46	.264/.293/.360	.096	.281	10	4	11%	4%	82	+0.5	.242/.269/.314	.072	.267	6	4	12%	4%	59	-1.1	.257/.284/.337	.079	.285	8	1	13%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Chris Gomez 2004 · MLB	33	52→54	45	45→40	48	.253/.294/.387	.134	.267	11	5	11%	5%	89	+1.0	.268/.324/.360	.092	.291	7	6	10%	7%	95	+1.4	.285/.347/.354	.069	.311	5	5	9%	8%	99	+0.7
✕Ali Castillo 2021 · AAA	32	53→62	41→45	43→55	45	.253/.289/.357	.104	.287	8	8	15%	5%	79	+0.3	.227/.265/.289	.062	.270	4	11	17%	5%	51	-1.7	.222/.260/.251	.029	.265	0	11	16%	4%	36	-1.4
✕Manuel Velez 2008 · AAA	32	56→59	42→40	45	49	.272/.314/.373	.101	.291	10	6	11%	5%	94	+1.3	.254/.295/.368	.114	.278	12	6	13%	5%	85	+0.7	.249/.287/.370	.122	.268	15	2	14%	5%	79	+0.1
✕José Yépez 2013 · AAA	32	52	41→40	48→30	48	.249/.318/.352	.104	.294	7	6	17%	7%	92	+1.2	.215/.268/.291	.076	.254	5	5	17%	5%	53	-1.5	.182/.215/.216	.034	.216	1	1	16%	3%	9	-1.3
✕Angel Chavez 2013 · AAA	32	50→53	43→45	47→50	48	.244/.296/.345	.101	.279	12	8	18%	7%	79	+0.3	.244/.303/.356	.112	.285	11	10	18%	8%	85	+0.7	.244/.306/.327	.083	.288	5	8	16%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Ashby 2007 · AAA	32	49	41→40	42→45	46	.236/.282/.327	.092	.272	9	6	17%	5%	69	-0.4	.225/.284/.338	.113	.272	12	7	21%	7%	73	-0.1	.188/.266/.292	.104	.223	13	0	22%	10%	51	-0.5
✕Taylor Davis 2022 · MLB	32	45→53	41→45	47→40	50	.221/.282/.312	.091	.257	10	5	18%	8%	66	-0.6	.230/.286/.313	.083	.279	7	7	19%	7%	67	-0.5	.243/.303/.272	.029	.301	0	0	18%	7%	63	-0.2
✕Gerald Laird 2012 · MLB	32	45→47	42→50	48→50	51	.218/.287/.328	.110	.251	9	7	17%	8%	72	-0.2	.246/.313/.350	.104	.286	8	5	16%	8%	88	+0.9	.251/.322/.326	.075	.297	3	1	15%	8%	82	+0.1
✕Alcides Escobar 2019 · MLB	32	51→61	40→45	47→55	44	.243/.279/.339	.096	.276	7	9	15%	4%	70	-0.3	.239/.284/.353	.114	.280	10	8	18%	5%	76	+0.1	.245/.290/.359	.114	.297	9	6	20%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Israel Nunez 2017 · AAA	31	53	41→40	47→40	42	.256/.299/.353	.097	.306	8	6	19%	4%	82	+0.5	.241/.279/.350	.109	.284	12	7	19%	4%	73	-0.1	.265/.292/.326	.061	.308	7	0	16%	1%	69	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)