Erick Rodriguez

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1979-11-27

Age (2027)47

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	37	AAA/INTL2 orgs	331	.293/.338/.336	2	1	66	—	.271/.300/.304
2018	38	INTLCharros de Ja…	46	.227/.261/.364	1	0	74	—
2019	39	AAA/INTL2 orgs	422	.323/.372/.479	12	1	79	—	.266/.301/.388

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	25	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	256	241	64	18	0	5	12	24	1	2	0	266	303	402	706	137	278	9	5	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	326	291	84	23	0	1	24	35	1	1	1	289	345	378	723	89	319	11	7	317	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	371	330	104	16	0	3	27	26	1	1	4	315	369	391	760	76	329	7	7	332	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	357	324	98	9	0	1	22	33	2	1	1	302	351	340	690	37	330	9	6	308	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	337	290	95	14	0	4	34	27	4	2	1	328	405	417	823	90	343	8	10	364	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	340	300	98	17	0	10	30	16	0	1	1	327	388	483	871	157	320	5	9	376	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	88	81	25	3	0	0	3	6	1	0	1	309	341	346	687	37	329	7	3	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	350	311	95	20	0	4	31	32	1	1	0	305	370	408	779	103	329	9	9	345	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	92	77	17	3	0	1	10	12	0	0	1	221	310	299	609	78	250	13	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	338	306	92	13	0	6	13	30	0	1	0	301	329	402	731	101	314	9	4	309	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	104	91	18	2	0	3	10	10	1	0	0	198	284	319	603	121	192	10	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	300	271	74	13	0	3	17	22	1	2	0	273	318	354	673	81	286	7	6	293	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	125	115	28	1	0	0	6	9	0	0	0	243	281	252	533	9	264	7	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	338	307	88	14	0	2	18	29	2	0	2	287	330	352	682	65	310	9	5	300	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	173	153	40	2	0	1	10	22	1	1	2	261	311	294	605	33	293	13	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	349	324	92	16	0	5	17	29	0	1	3	284	320	380	699	96	298	8	5	307	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	INTL	Mexico	—	195	177	44	9	0	0	7	14	0	0	2	249	277	299	577	51	267	7	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	269	250	58	15	0	0	9	30	0	0	2	232	259	292	551	60	259	11	3	240	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	108	105	19	3	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	181	196	210	406	29	204	11	2	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	261	240	72	4	1	1	17	22	0	1	2	300	346	338	684	38	327	8	7	308	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	70	64	17	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	266	309	328	637	62	271	7	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	46	44	10	3	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	227	261	364	625	136	231	9	2	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	325	298	106	21	0	12	17	37	4	0	1	356	398	547	945	191	375	11	5	409	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	97	86	18	3	0	0	9	7	0	1	0	209	284	244	528	35	228	7	9	244	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	256	245	60	16	0	4	8	29	1	2	0	245	272	359	631	114	262	11	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	326	299	82	21	0	1	16	42	1	1	1	274	313	355	668	80	298	13	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	371	338	102	14	0	2	19	31	1	1	4	302	341	361	702	59	309	8	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	357	332	96	8	0	1	14	40	2	1	1	289	322	322	644	33	313	11	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	337	302	93	13	0	3	22	32	4	2	1	308	363	381	744	73	319	9	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	340	313	86	14	0	7	17	19	0	1	1	275	312	387	699	112	264	6	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	350	324	86	17	0	3	18	40	1	1	0	265	306	346	652	80	285	11	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	338	312	85	10	0	4	7	39	0	1	0	272	288	343	631	71	278	12	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	300	278	64	10	0	2	10	28	1	2	0	230	260	288	547	58	239	9	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	338	315	74	10	0	1	10	37	2	0	2	235	263	276	539	41	251	11	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	349	332	77	12	0	3	9	36	0	1	3	232	252	295	547	63	245	10	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	269	254	49	12	0	0	5	38	0	0	2	193	208	240	449	47	215	14	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	261	247	67	3	1	1	10	27	0	1	2	271	300	304	603	32	297	10	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	325	304	81	13	0	8	11	45	4	0	1	266	301	388	689	122	283	14	3	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	256	245	60	16	0	4	8	29	1	2	0	245	272	359	631	114	264	11	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	256	241	64	18	0	5	12	24	1	2	0	266	303	402	706	137	278	9	5	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	326	299	82	21	0	1	16	42	1	1	1	274	313	355	668	80	310	13	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	326	291	84	23	0	1	24	35	1	1	1	289	345	378	723	89	319	11	7	317	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	371	338	102	14	0	2	19	31	1	1	4	302	341	361	702	59	322	8	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	371	330	104	16	0	3	27	26	1	1	4	315	369	391	760	76	329	7	7	332	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	357	332	96	8	0	1	14	40	2	1	1	289	322	322	644	33	322	11	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	357	324	98	9	0	1	22	33	2	1	1	302	351	340	690	37	330	9	6	308	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	337	302	93	13	0	3	22	32	4	2	1	308	363	381	744	73	330	9	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	337	290	95	14	0	4	34	27	4	2	1	328	405	417	823	90	343	8	10	364	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	428	392	107	17	0	8	22	24	1	1	2	273	313	378	691	105	273	6	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	428	381	123	20	0	10	33	22	1	1	2	323	378	454	832	131	322	5	8	361	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	407	108	21	0	3	22	50	1	1	1	265	305	339	644	74	295	11	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	442	388	112	23	0	5	41	44	1	1	1	289	358	387	745	98	314	10	9	329	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	410	111	13	0	5	10	50	1	1	0	271	290	339	629	68	295	11	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	442	397	110	15	0	9	23	40	1	1	0	277	318	383	701	106	287	9	5	300	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	395	90	14	0	2	14	39	1	2	0	228	256	278	535	51	247	9	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	425	386	102	14	0	3	23	31	1	2	0	264	307	324	631	60	280	7	5	277	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	511	473	112	15	0	2	15	56	3	1	4	237	265	281	546	44	263	11	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	511	460	128	16	0	3	28	51	3	1	4	278	324	333	656	54	305	10	5	288	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	510	120	19	0	4	15	56	0	1	5	235	257	296	553	61	256	10	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	544	501	136	25	0	5	24	43	0	1	5	271	305	351	656	80	287	8	4	285	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	377	358	69	17	0	0	8	53	0	0	2	193	210	240	451	47	223	14	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	377	355	77	18	0	0	11	42	0	0	2	217	240	268	508	51	243	11	3	223	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	312	85	4	1	1	13	34	0	1	2	272	302	301	603	29	302	10	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	331	304	89	5	1	2	21	27	0	1	2	293	338	336	674	43	315	8	6	303	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	46	44	10	3	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	227	261	364	625	136	231	9	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	46	44	10	3	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	227	261	364	625	136	231	9	2	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	422	396	106	17	0	11	14	58	4	1	1	268	300	394	693	126	289	14	3	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	422	384	124	24	0	12	26	44	4	1	1	323	372	479	851	156	339	10	6	371	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	256	245	60	16	0	4	8	29	1	2	0	245	272	359	631	114	262	11	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	326	306	82	21	0	1	16	42	1	1	1	268	313	346	660	78	298	13	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	371	348	102	14	0	2	19	31	1	1	4	293	341	351	691	57	309	8	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	357	338	96	8	0	1	14	40	2	1	1	284	322	317	638	33	313	11	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	337	308	93	13	0	3	22	32	4	2	1	302	363	373	736	71	319	9	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	428	402	107	17	0	8	22	24	1	1	2	266	313	368	681	102	264	6	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	416	108	21	0	3	22	50	1	1	1	260	305	332	636	72	285	11	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	428	111	13	0	5	10	50	1	1	0	259	290	325	615	65	278	11	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	407	90	14	0	2	14	39	1	2	0	221	256	270	526	49	239	9	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	511	488	112	15	0	2	15	56	3	1	4	230	265	273	537	43	251	11	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	524	120	19	0	4	15	56	0	1	5	229	257	288	545	59	245	10	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	377	366	69	17	0	0	8	53	0	0	2	189	210	235	445	46	215	14	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	315	85	4	1	1	13	34	0	1	2	270	302	298	600	29	297	10	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	422	401	106	17	0	11	14	58	4	1	1	264	300	389	689	125	283	14	3	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5615	5213	1351	212	1	48	213	598	21	16	24	259	291	328	619	69	282	11	4	265	65	-233	-6	+0	+100	+122	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	157	25	0	6	25	69	2	2	3	260	292	332	623	71	283	11	4	265	65	-27	-1	+0	+12	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 325 PAwOBA .400 → .297 (−102)K% 11.4% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.38%	÷0.998	×1.200	—	—	13.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.23%	÷1.036	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.27%
HBP% /PA	1.23%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.09%
Singles /BIP	27.97%	÷1.025	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	22.66%
Doubles /BIP	8.05%	÷1.200	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	4.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.058	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.60%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.11%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 140, 3B 112, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .400 → .297; ISO .191 → .128; BABIP .375 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 261 PAwOBA .300 → .262 (−38)K% 8.4% → 10.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.43%	÷0.991	×1.200	—	—	10.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.51%	÷1.085	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.89%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.28%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.050	×0.940	27.82%
Doubles /BIP	1.83%	÷1.042	×0.830	×1.050	×0.940	1.44%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷1.135	×0.920	×1.050	×0.940	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	0.46%	÷1.121	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.27%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 98, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .300 → .262; ISO .037 → .028; BABIP .327 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 269 PAwOBA .237 → .195 (−42)K% 11.2% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.15%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	14.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.35%	÷1.092	×0.690	—	×0.940	1.99%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.55%	÷1.086	×0.930	×1.050	×0.940	16.52%
Doubles /BIP	6.82%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.050	×0.940	5.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.190	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 117, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .237 → .195; ISO .060 → .048; BABIP .259 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 349 PAwOBA .298 → .237 (−61)K% 8.3% → 10.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.31%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	10.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.30%	÷1.029	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.71%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.07%	÷1.059	×0.930	×1.034	×0.940	20.54%
Doubles /BIP	5.42%	÷1.117	×0.830	×1.034	×0.940	3.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.017	×0.920	×1.034	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷1.244	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.90%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .298 → .237; ISO .096 → .062; BABIP .298 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 338 PAwOBA .292 → .231 (−60)K% 8.6% → 10.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.58%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	10.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.03%	÷1.120	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.91%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.52%
Singles /BIP	25.90%	÷1.067	×0.930	×1.020	×0.940	21.64%
Doubles /BIP	5.04%	÷1.167	×0.830	×1.020	×0.940	3.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.020	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.72%	÷1.287	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 113, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 90, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .292 → .231; ISO .065 → .043; BABIP .310 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 300 PAwOBA .285 → .235 (−50)K% 7.3% → 9.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.33%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	9.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷0.992	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.27%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.29%
Singles /BIP	23.29%	÷1.022	×0.930	×1.006	×0.940	20.04%
Doubles /BIP	5.22%	÷1.064	×0.830	×1.006	×0.940	3.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.006	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.20%	÷1.221	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.65%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 104, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .285 → .235; ISO .081 → .056; BABIP .286 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 338 PAwOBA .302 → .265 (−38)K% 8.9% → 11.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.88%	÷0.931	×1.200	—	—	11.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.55%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×0.942	2.19%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.45%	÷0.985	×0.930	×1.037	×0.942	24.40%
Doubles /BIP	4.71%	÷1.118	×0.830	×1.037	×0.942	3.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.961	×0.920	×1.037	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.17%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .302 → .265; ISO .101 → .072; BABIP .314 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 350 PAwOBA .338 → .280 (−58)K% 9.1% → 11.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.14%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	11.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.86%	÷1.169	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.98%
HBP% /PA	0.29%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.26%
Singles /BIP	25.45%	÷1.031	×0.930	×1.038	×0.952	22.69%
Doubles /BIP	7.17%	÷1.025	×0.830	×1.038	×0.952	5.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.038	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.43%	÷1.016	×0.700	—	×0.952	0.94%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 93, BB 134 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .338 → .280; ISO .103 → .080; BABIP .329 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .