Miguel Rojas

SS Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 38 R/R 5'10" / 188 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -8% Svc 12.250 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202435MLBLAD337.283/.339/.410681162.9
202536MLBLAD317.262/.318/.397751031.5
202637MLBLAD252.267/.321/.39141991.0
2027PROJ38MLBLAD139.252/.311/.37832970.5
2028PROJ39MLBLAD80.240/.297/.3501085-0.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service12.250First FA2028Options4
2027Ext / FA-deal$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA47
Bat Spd27
Speed22
Avg EV17
Barrel%15
Form.258/.312/.391 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .257/.313/.384
CompsMike Redmond (age 38) · Noe Munoz (age 38) · Olmo Rosario (age 38)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 10397vR 80
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .311 / .378
PA139
HR3
K%14
BB%7
BABIP278
ISO134
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.4-0.72728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
690.267
POWER
Barrel%
153.7
Avg EV
1786.5
Bat Spd
2768.9
SPEED
Sprint
2226.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%13%▲12% over 49 PA (60d) · proj 14%
BB%7%·6% over 49 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.134·.156 over 45 AB (60d) · proj .128
HR/BB2.3%·2.5% over 40 BBE (60d) · proj 2.3%
BABIP.282·.231 over 39 BIP (60d) · proj .284
SLASH.258/.312/.391·proj .257/.313/.384
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 697 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
270
427
—
wRC+
133
92
◀◀L
wOBA
364
304
◀◀L
ISO
181
100
◀◀L
BABIP
311
300
◀L
K%
11.5%
12.9%
◀L
BB%
8.5%
6.1%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2014
Service   12.250 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$3M+0.4$2M-$1M
Totals $3M $2M -$1M
Options · projected decision
2027CLUB OPT$2.6M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028CLUB OPT$5.0M / $1.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029CLUB OPT$2.6M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2030CLUB OPT$5.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200617 ROKVSL Reds — 196157 28300 24288 94 178317197515 19217 1412 251 10 — — — — — —
200718 ROKDSL Reds — 144117 27602 17113 21 231343333676 103238 812 299 28 — — — — — —
200819 ROKBillings Mustangs — 228208 38811 14354 31 183248245493 62215 156 228 1 — — — — — —
200920 ADayton Dragons — 527469 1281633 35444 148 273329339668 66293 87 294 72 — — — — — —
201021 AACarolina Mudcats — 2927 6000 240 11 222276222498 261 147 235 27 — — — — — —
201021 A+Lynchburg Hillcats — 266244 56321 11383 124 230271270542 41268 144 242 32 — — — — — —
201021 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 143123 37300 12111 33 301368325693 24330 88 306 93 — — — — — —
201122 AACarolina Mudcats — 265239 62600 16390 117 259306285590 25305 156 262 55 — — — — — —
201122 ROKAZL Reds — 2517 8300 612 41 4716406471.287 176500 424 561 174 — — — — — —
201122 INTLVenezuela — 135122 38510 8170 42 311354369723 57358 136 315 100 — — — — — —
201223 AAALouisville Bats — 144129 24301 7160 00 186228233460 47204 115 201 13 — — — — — —
201223 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 160143 30100 16171 23 210294217511 7238 1110 246 40 — — — — — —
201223 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 9485 19101 7101 01 224290271561 47243 117 259 62 — — — — — —
201324 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 478420 981225 40493 104 233305307612 74253 108 273 46 — — — — — —
201324 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 9687 21400 6151 10 241298287585 46292 166 265 66 — — — — — —
201425 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 162149 27301 10282 00 181242221464 40217 176 217 33 -13 +0 +8 +5 +4 0.4
201425 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 173159 48904 10213 73 302355434789 132326 126 351 91 — — — — — —
201425 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 127111 26510 11200 40 234303297601 63286 169 266 66 — — — — — —
201526 MLBMiami Marlins — 157142 40711 11160 01 282333366700 85307 107 308 98 -0 -0 +3 +5 +3 1.2
201526 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs — 275249 751543 13264 25 301346430776 129324 95 334 94 — — — — — —
201526 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 6762 11000 470 10 177227177405 200 106 190 15 — — — — — —
201627 MLBMiami Marlins — 214194 481201 11271 21 247291325616 77280 135 269 70 -8 +0 +2 +3 +5 0.3
201627 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 10294 24500 6140 02 255300309609 53300 146 273 71 — — — — — —
201728 MLBMiami Marlins — 306272 791621 27324 21 290363375738 85324 109 333 111 +4 +0 +3 +4 +7 1.8
201728 A+Jupiter Hammerheads — 3026 8200 311 01 308400385785 77320 310 361 84 — — — — — —
201829 MLBMiami Marlins — 528488 12313011 24699 63 252299346645 94272 135 289 85 -9 +0 +12 +6 +11 2.1
201829 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 6358 20300 470 20 345387397784 52392 116 350 123 — — — — — —
201930 MLBMiami Marlins — 526483 1372915 32625 95 284335379713 95314 126 319 107 +4 -0 +2 +6 +11 2.4
202031 MLBMiami Marlins — 143125 381014 16182 51 304392496888 192330 1311 393 155 +9 +1 +3 +2 +3 1.8
202132 MLBMiami Marlins — 539495 1313039 37745 133 265322392714 127295 147 319 110 +6 +1 +1 +6 +12 2.6
202233 MLBMiami Marlins — 507471 1111926 26616 93 236284323607 87258 125 274 76 -14 +1 +12 +5 +11 1.5
202334 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 423385 911615 26485 83 236293322615 86255 116 276 77 -12 +0 +7 +5 +9 1.1
202334 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 8268 17301 1061 20 250354338693 88254 712 310 96 — — — — — —
202435 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 337307 872106 23343 82 283339410750 127301 107 332 116 +6 +1 +11 +4 +7 2.9
202536 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 317290 761807 24460 50 262318397715 134291 158 317 103 +1 +1 +4 +1 +7 1.5
202637 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 252225 601604 16272 11 267321391712 124279 116 308 99 -0 -0 +2 +3 +5 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 44114026 10482101161 28354244 6824 260316363679 103286 126 303 91 -46 +4 +71 +55 +96 18.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200617 ROK MLEVSL Reds — 196164 22200 17348 94 134249146395 12156 179 183 10 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144122 20401 12133 21 164255221477 57162 98 210 28 — — — — — —
200819 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 228213 31611 9504 31 146195197392 52181 224 169 1 — — — — — —
200920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 527479 1301533 25604 148 271313334647 63287 115 274 72 — — — — — —
201021 AA MLECarolina Mudcats — 2928 6000 150 11 214241214456 256 173 208 27 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLELynchburg Hillcats — 266248 55321 7563 124 222252262514 40265 213 215 32 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLECarolina Mudcats — 265243 63600 12490 117 259294284578 25302 185 249 55 — — — — — —
201122 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 2519 7200 412 41 368520474994 105381 416 425 174 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 144131 25301 5200 00 191221237457 46198 143 188 13 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 160148 31100 11201 23 209269216485 7246 127 227 40 — — — — — —
201324 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 478436 941124 24593 104 216261278539 62232 125 236 46 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 162150 27301 9282 00 180236220456 40217 176 217 33 -13 +0 +8 +5 +4 0.4
201425 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 173164 45803 5283 73 274308378686 104308 163 302 91 — — — — — —
201526 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 157143 41811 10160 01 287333378711 91307 106 313 98 -0 -0 +3 +5 +3 1.2
201526 AAA MLENew Orleans Zephyrs — 275253 741343 9334 25 292327411738 119310 123 307 94 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 214196 501301 9271 21 255291337628 82280 134 272 70 -8 +0 +2 +3 +5 0.3
201728 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 306277 811721 22324 21 292353379732 87324 107 332 111 +4 +0 +3 +4 +7 1.8
201728 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 3027 7200 211 01 259333333667 74267 37 293 84 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 528491 12714012 22699 63 259303360663 102272 134 294 85 -9 +0 +12 +6 +11 2.1
201930 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 526485 1423215 30625 95 293340394734 101314 126 326 107 +4 -0 +2 +6 +11 2.4
202031 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 143127 391114 14182 51 307385504889 197330 1310 398 155 +9 +1 +3 +2 +3 1.8
202132 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 539495 1353339 37745 133 273330406736 133295 147 331 110 +6 +1 +1 +6 +12 2.6
202233 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 507472 1142126 25616 93 242288333621 91258 125 281 76 -14 +1 +12 +5 +11 1.5
202334 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 423385 931715 26485 83 242298330628 88255 116 282 77 -12 +0 +7 +5 +9 1.1
202435 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 337307 892206 23343 82 290345420766 130301 107 339 116 +6 +1 +11 +4 +7 2.9
202536 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 317291 781907 23460 50 268322405727 137291 157 321 103 +1 +1 +4 +1 +7 1.5
202637 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 252225 611704 16272 11 271325400725 129279 116 315 99 -0 -0 +2 +3 +5 1.0
200617 ROK MLEVSL Reds — 196164 22200 17348 94 134249146395 12169 179 183 10 — — — — — —
200617 ROK RAWVSL Reds — 196157 28300 24288 94 178317197515 19217 1412 251 10 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144122 20401 12133 21 164255221477 57174 98 210 28 — — — — — —
200718 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 144117 27602 17113 21 231343333676 103238 812 299 28 — — — — — —
200819 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 228213 31611 9504 31 146195197392 52185 224 169 1 — — — — — —
200819 ROK RAWBillings Mustangs — 228208 38811 14354 31 183248245493 62215 156 228 1 — — — — — —
200920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 527479 1301533 25604 148 271313334647 63302 115 274 72 — — — — — —
200920 A RAWDayton Dragons — 527469 1281633 35444 148 273329339668 66293 87 294 72 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLE3 teams — 438406 88421 13904 168 217248244492 27276 213 214 31 — — — — — —
201021 A+ RAW3 teams — 438394 99621 25534 168 251303284587 33288 126 262 31 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLE3 teams — 425386 1021200 22742 1910 264307295603 31323 175 264 65 — — — — — —
201122 AA RAW3 teams — 425378 1081410 30572 1910 286341328670 42332 137 297 65 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLE3 teams — 398366 73501 21522 24 199247221468 22229 135 209 27 — — — — — —
201223 AA RAW3 teams — 398357 73502 30432 24 204270235505 31227 118 233 27 — — — — — —
201324 AA MLE2 teams — 574524 1141425 29714 114 218264281544 63242 125 236 46 — — — — — —
201324 AA RAW2 teams — 574507 1191625 46644 114 235303304607 69259 118 272 46 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLE3 teams — 462431 981505 19785 113 227268297565 70266 174 261 63 — — — — — —
201425 AAA RAW3 teams — 462419 1011715 31695 113 241301322623 81277 157 281 63 — — — — — —
201526 AAA MLE3 teams — 499459 1322454 22574 36 288326388714 100318 114 309 95 — — — — — —
201526 AAA RAW3 teams — 499453 1262254 28494 36 278326375701 97302 106 307 95 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLE2 teams — 316292 731902 13401 23 250284336620 86282 134 272 70 -11 -1 +2 +3 +7 0.0
201627 MLB RAW2 teams — 316288 721701 17411 23 250294319614 69286 135 270 70 -11 -1 +2 +3 +7 0.0
201728 MLB MLE2 teams — 336304 881921 24335 22 289351375726 86320 107 328 108 +3 -0 +3 +4 +7 1.7
201728 MLB RAW2 teams — 336298 871821 30335 22 292366376742 84323 109 336 108 +3 -0 +3 +4 +7 1.7
201829 MLB MLE2 teams — 591550 14216013 25779 83 258301358660 100278 134 294 85 -10 +0 +12 +6 +13 2.2
201829 MLB RAW2 teams — 591546 14316011 28769 83 262308352660 90285 135 295 85 -10 +0 +12 +6 +13 2.2
201930 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 526485 1423215 30625 95 293340394734 101324 126 326 107 +4 -0 +2 +6 +11 2.4
201930 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 526483 1372915 32625 95 284335379713 95314 126 319 107 +4 -0 +2 +6 +11 2.4
202031 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 143127 391114 14182 51 307385504889 197333 1310 398 155 +9 +1 +3 +2 +3 1.8
202031 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 143125 381014 16182 51 304392496888 192330 1311 393 155 +9 +1 +3 +2 +3 1.8
202132 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 539495 1353339 37745 133 273330406736 133305 147 331 110 +6 +1 +1 +6 +12 2.6
202132 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 539495 1313039 37745 133 265322392714 127295 147 319 110 +6 +1 +1 +6 +12 2.6
202233 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 507472 1142126 25616 93 242288333621 91265 125 281 76 -14 +1 +12 +5 +11 1.5
202233 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 507471 1111926 26616 93 236284323607 87258 125 274 76 -14 +1 +12 +5 +11 1.5
202334 MLB MLE2 teams — 505458 1102016 31576 103 240297328624 87259 116 282 77 -14 +1 +7 +5 +11 1.1
202334 MLB RAW2 teams — 505453 1081916 36546 103 238303325628 86255 117 282 77 -14 +1 +7 +5 +11 1.1
202435 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 337307 892206 23343 82 290345420766 130309 107 339 116 +6 +1 +11 +4 +7 2.9
202435 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 337307 872106 23343 82 283339410750 127301 107 332 116 +6 +1 +11 +4 +7 2.9
202536 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 317291 781907 23460 50 268322405727 137298 157 321 103 +1 +1 +4 +1 +7 1.5
202536 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 317290 761807 24460 50 262318397715 134291 158 317 103 +1 +1 +4 +1 +7 1.5
202637 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 252225 611704 16272 11 271325400725 129284 116 315 99 -0 -0 +2 +3 +5 1.0
202637 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 252225 601604 16272 11 267321391712 124279 116 308 99 -0 -0 +2 +3 +5 1.0
200617 ROK MLEVSL Reds — 196169 22200 17348 94 130249142391 12156 179 183 10 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 144128 20401 12133 21 156255211466 55162 98 210 28 — — — — — —
200819 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 228213 31611 9504 31 146195197392 52181 224 169 1 — — — — — —
200920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 527493 1301533 25604 148 264313325638 61287 115 274 72 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLE3 teams — 438418 88421 13904 168 211248237485 26264 213 214 31 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLE3 teams — 425398 1021200 22742 1910 256307286594 30309 175 264 65 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLE3 teams — 398372 73501 21522 24 196247218465 22223 135 209 27 — — — — — —
201324 AA MLE2 teams — 574536 1141425 29714 114 213264274538 62232 125 236 46 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLE3 teams — 462435 981505 19785 113 225268294562 69264 174 261 63 — — — — — —
201526 AAA MLE3 teams — 499470 1322454 22574 36 281326379704 98309 114 309 95 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLE2 teams — 316299 731902 13401 23 244284328612 84280 134 272 70 — — — — — —
201728 MLB MLE2 teams — 336304 881921 24335 22 289351375726 86319 107 328 108 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLE2 teams — 591552 14216013 25779 83 257301357658 100272 134 294 85 — — — — — —
201930 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 526486 1423215 30625 95 292340393733 101314 126 326 107 — — — — — —
202031 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 143126 391114 14182 51 310385508893 198330 1310 398 155 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 539492 1353339 37745 133 274330409738 134295 147 331 110 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 507471 1142126 25616 93 242288333622 91258 125 281 76 — — — — — —
202334 MLB MLE2 teams — 505463 1102016 31576 103 238297324621 86255 116 282 77 — — — — — —
202435 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 337308 892206 23343 82 289345419764 130301 107 339 116 — — — — — —
202536 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 317291 781907 23460 50 268322405727 137291 157 321 103 — — — — — —
202637 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 252232 611704 16272 11 263325388713 125279 116 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202435 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 337308 892206 23343 82 289345419764 130301 107 339 116 — — — — — —
202536 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 317291 781907 23460 50 268322405727 137291 157 321 103 — — — — — —
202637 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 252232 611704 16272 11 263325388713 125279 116 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202738 MLB MLELAD 100% 224205 521304 16311 31 257315384700 127284 147 312 97 -1 +0 +2 +2 +5 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202738 MLB CTXLAD 100% 139127 33803 10191 21 252311378689 126278 147 307 97 -0 +0 +1 +1 +3 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202839 MLB MLELAD 100% 8075 17401 5120 00 244301356657 112273 156 294 85 -1 +0 -8 +1 +2 -0.7
202839 MLB CTXLAD 100% 8075 17401 5120 00 240297350647 110267 156 290 85 -1 +0 -8 +1 +2 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 44914101 10652141162 28855444 6824 260315363678 103285 126 303 75 -47 +4 +64 +56 +97 17.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1553129 42806 103 261316365682 104286 126 303 75 -7 +1 +9 +8 +14 2.6
Career— MLE — 84797758 19303422387 465113985 16476 249299332631 84280 135 280 75 -47 +4 +65 +57 +100 18.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 1482627 36877 136 249300334634 86279 136 280 75 -7 +1 +9 +8 +14 2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 30 PAwOBA .352 → .293 (−59)K% 3.3% → 4.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA3.33%÷0.995×1.420——4.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.947×0.750—×0.9487.51%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.930—×0.9482.94%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.046×0.920—×0.94820.01%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷1.094×0.960—×0.9486.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.131×0.810—×0.9480.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.944×0.880—×0.9480.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 126, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .352 → .293; ISO .077 → .065; BABIP .320 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 275 PAwOBA .326 → .307 (−19)K% 9.5% → 12.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.45%÷1.016×1.290——12.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.36%÷0.997×0.710—×1.0183.16%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.980—×1.0181.45%
Singles /BIP23.77%÷0.969×0.900×1.050×1.01823.60%
Doubles /BIP6.73%÷1.012×0.810×1.050×1.0185.75%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷0.985×0.810×1.050×1.0181.58%
Home runs /BIP1.35%÷0.975×0.780—×1.0181.10%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .326 → .307; ISO .129 → .112; BABIP .324 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 173 PAwOBA .337 → .302 (−36)K% 12.1% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.14%÷0.955×1.290——16.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.05%÷1.049×0.710—×1.0332.83%
HBP% /PA1.73%—×0.980—×1.0331.76%
Singles /BIP25.36%÷1.008×0.900×1.050×1.03324.56%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷0.982×0.810×1.050×1.0335.83%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810×1.050×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP2.90%÷1.078×0.780—×1.0332.17%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .302; ISO .132 → .106; BABIP .326 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 478 PAwOBA .268 → .236 (−32)K% 10.3% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.25%÷1.006×1.220——12.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.37%÷1.118×0.680—×1.0125.15%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.840—×1.0120.53%
Singles /BIP21.29%÷1.053×0.920×1.050×1.01219.77%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.080×0.910×1.050×1.0122.90%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷1.135×0.880×1.050×1.0120.44%
Home runs /BIP1.35%÷1.001×0.800—×1.0121.09%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 127, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .268 → .236; ISO .074 → .066; BABIP .253 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 160 PAwOBA .241 → .227 (−14)K% 10.6% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.62%÷1.029×1.220——12.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.016×0.680—×1.0276.87%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.840—×1.0270.54%
Singles /BIP23.02%÷0.960×0.920×1.048×1.02723.73%
Doubles /BIP0.79%÷0.940×0.910×1.048×1.0270.83%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.026×0.880×1.048×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.569×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 214, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 105, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .241 → .227; ISO .007 → .007; BABIP .238 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALouisville Bats · 144 PAwOBA .197 → .188 (−9)K% 11.1% → 13.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷0.967×1.200——13.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.86%÷1.034×0.690—×1.0503.41%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP17.70%÷1.046×0.930×1.050×1.05017.36%
Doubles /BIP2.65%÷1.002×0.830×1.050×1.0502.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷1.087×0.840—×1.0500.72%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 109, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .197 → .188; ISO .047 → .042; BABIP .204 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AACarolina Mudcats · 265 PAwOBA .259 → .249 (−9)K% 14.7% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.72%÷0.969×1.220——18.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.04%÷0.968×0.680—×1.0424.42%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP28.00%÷1.018×0.920×1.050×1.04227.68%
Doubles /BIP3.00%÷1.012×0.910×1.050×1.0422.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.050×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.800—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .259 → .249; ISO .025 → .025; BABIP .305 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ROKAZL Reds · 25 PAwOBA .549 → .425 (−124)K% 4.0% → 5.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA4.00%÷1.000×1.440——5.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.97514.51%
HBP% /PA8.00%—×0.720—×0.9755.62%
Singles /BIP31.25%÷1.000×0.820—×0.97524.98%
Doubles /BIP18.75%÷1.000×0.720—×0.97513.16%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .549 → .425; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .500 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .