Eric Fryer

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1985-08-26

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	29	AAAWSH	248	.293/.367/.360	2	1	75	—	.261/.315/.322
2015	29	MLBMIN	27	.227/.370/.318	0	0	106	0.6
2016	30	MLBPIT	133	.267/.341/.319	0	0	86	0.2
2017	31	MLBSTL	83	.155/.277/.197	0	0	45	-0.1
2018	32	No MLB games played
2019	33	No MLB games played
2020	34	No MLB games played
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Speed58

xwOBA13

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	157	139	29	7	0	3	14	28	2	4	3	209	290	324	614	115	239	18	9	278	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	West Virginia Power	—	437	385	129	26	5	10	43	74	6	15	3	335	410	506	917	171	391	17	10	403	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	442	381	94	22	2	5	49	68	9	11	5	247	346	354	701	108	287	15	11	320	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	337	287	86	16	5	8	37	64	8	10	1	300	395	474	868	174	358	19	11	381	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	29	26	7	0	0	0	3	7	0	1	1	269	345	269	614		368	24	10	291	67	-1	-0	+2	+5	+1	0.7
2011	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	143	118	24	5	1	2	21	30	2	3	0	203	333	314	647	110	256	21	15	299	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	134	113	39	4	2	5	16	21	1	1	0	345	431	549	979	204	386	16	12	418	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	176	162	33	7	0	0	10	38	2	1	0	204	259	247	506	43	264	22	6	233	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	16	13	5	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	385	500	692	1.192	308	444	19	19	511	231	+2	+0	+1	+5	+0	0.8
2013	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	243	200	43	11	2	5	35	47	4	8	0	215	343	365	708	150	252	19	14	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	81	75	16	4	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	213	272	307	578	93	254	19	6	264	65	-3	+0	-3	+4	+2	-0.1
2014	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	125	111	28	7	1	0	12	29	0	5	0	252	325	333	659	81	337	23	10	297	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	27	22	5	2	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	227	370	318	689	91	455	41	19	325	106	+0	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.6
2015	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	248	222	65	7	1	2	25	47	1	1	2	293	367	360	727	68	364	19	10	334	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	133	116	31	4	1	0	13	25	0	0	3	267	341	319	660	52	333	19	10	296	86	-2	-1	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2017	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	83	71	11	3	0	0	11	18	1	0	0	155	277	197	474	42	208	22	13	235	45	-5	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	369	323	75	14	1	2	40	79	2	2	4	232	321	300	621	68	299	21	11	286	80	-9	-1	+0	+23	+8	2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	157	145	22	5	0	2	8	40	2	4	3	152	206	228	434	76	192	25	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	437	400	118	22	5	8	28	99	6	15	3	295	350	435	785	140	363	23	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	442	400	87	19	2	4	30	96	9	11	5	217	287	305	592	87	270	22	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	337	298	71	14	3	6	26	92	8	10	1	238	316	366	682	128	312	27	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	29	27	7	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	1	259	310	259	570		368	24	7	268	67	-1	-0	+2	+5	+1	0.7
2011	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	143	124	23	5	1	2	15	36	2	3	0	185	284	290	574	105	239	25	10	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	134	117	39	4	2	4	12	26	1	1	0	333	400	504	904	171	385	19	9	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	176	165	30	6	0	0	7	45	2	1	0	182	224	218	442	36	248	26	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	16	13	5	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	385	500	692	1.192	308	444	19	19	510	231	+2	+0	+1	+5	+0	0.8
2013	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	243	212	40	10	2	5	23	57	4	8	0	189	280	325	606	137	221	23	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	81	75	16	4	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	213	272	307	578	93	254	19	6	264	65	-3	+0	-3	+4	+2	-0.1
2014	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	125	116	24	5	1	0	7	35	0	5	0	207	252	267	519	60	298	28	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	27	22	5	2	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	227	370	318	689	91	455	41	19	325	106	+0	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.6
2015	29	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	248	230	60	6	1	2	17	55	1	1	2	261	315	322	636	61	332	22	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	133	116	31	4	1	0	13	25	0	0	3	267	341	319	660	52	333	19	10	295	86	-2	-1	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	83	71	11	3	0	0	11	18	1	0	0	155	277	197	474	42	208	22	13	235	45	-5	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	157	145	22	5	0	2	8	40	2	4	3	152	206	228	434	76	192	25	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	157	139	29	7	0	3	14	28	2	4	3	209	290	324	614	115	239	18	9	278	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	437	400	118	22	5	8	28	99	6	15	3	295	350	435	785	140	372	23	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	437	385	129	26	5	10	43	74	6	15	3	335	410	506	917	171	391	17	10	403	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	442	400	87	19	2	4	30	96	9	11	5	217	287	305	592	87	275	22	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	442	381	94	22	2	5	49	68	9	11	5	247	346	354	701	108	287	15	11	320	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	337	298	71	14	3	6	26	92	8	10	1	238	316	366	682	128	320	27	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	337	287	86	16	5	8	37	64	8	10	1	300	395	474	868	174	358	19	11	381	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	306	268	69	8	3	6	29	69	3	5	1	257	337	377	714	119	325	23	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	306	257	70	9	3	7	40	58	3	5	1	272	377	412	789	140	326	19	13	350	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	176	165	30	6	0	0	7	45	2	1	0	182	224	218	442	36	248	26	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	176	162	33	7	0	0	10	38	2	1	0	204	259	247	506	43	264	22	6	233	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	225	45	11	2	6	26	60	4	8	0	200	294	347	641	147	241	23	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	259	213	48	12	2	6	38	50	4	8	0	225	353	385	738	160	263	19	15	332	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	206	191	40	9	1	1	12	50	1	6	0	209	260	283	543	73	277	24	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	206	186	44	11	1	1	17	44	1	6	0	237	304	323	627	86	303	21	8	284	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	275	252	65	8	1	2	22	66	1	1	2	258	320	321	641	63	342	24	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	275	244	70	9	1	2	30	58	1	1	2	287	367	357	724	70	370	21	11	333	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	133	116	31	4	1	0	13	25	0	0	3	267	341	319	660	52	333	19	10	295	86	-2	-1	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2016	30	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	133	116	31	4	1	0	13	25	0	0	3	267	341	319	660	52	333	19	10	296	86	-2	-1	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	83	71	11	3	0	0	11	18	1	0	0	155	277	197	474	42	208	22	13	235	45	-5	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
2017	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	83	71	11	3	0	0	11	18	1	0	0	155	277	197	474	42	208	22	13	235	45	-5	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	157	146	22	5	0	2	8	40	2	4	3	151	206	226	432	75	192	25	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	437	400	118	22	5	8	28	99	6	15	3	295	350	435	785	140	363	23	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	442	400	87	19	2	4	30	96	9	11	5	217	287	305	592	87	270	22	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	337	300	71	14	3	6	26	92	8	10	1	237	316	363	680	127	312	27	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	306	271	69	8	3	6	29	69	3	5	1	255	337	373	709	118	315	23	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	176	165	30	6	0	0	7	45	2	1	0	182	224	218	442	36	248	26	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	227	45	11	2	6	26	60	4	8	0	198	294	344	638	145	235	23	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	206	191	40	9	1	1	12	50	1	6	0	209	260	283	543	73	281	24	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	275	250	65	8	1	2	22	66	1	1	2	260	320	324	644	64	344	24	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	133	119	31	4	1	0	13	25	0	0	3	261	341	311	652	50	333	19	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	83	71	11	3	0	0	11	18	1	0	0	155	277	197	474	42	208	22	13	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	369	323	75	14	1	2	40	79	2	2	4	232	321	300	621	68	299	21	11	286	75	-9	-1	+0	+23	+8	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	133	25	2	4	70	139	4	4	7	234	322	306	628	72	300	21	11	286	75	-16	-2	+1	+40	+14	3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2811	2531	589	109	18	35	212	660	37	61	18	233	301	331	633	99	299	23	8	280	75	-9	-1	+0	+23	+8	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	136	25	4	8	49	153	9	14	4	232	302	330	632	97	299	24	8	280	75	-16	-2	+1	+40	+14	3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 248 PAwOBA .325 → .279 (−46)K% 19.0% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.95%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	22.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.08%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.90%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.37%
Singles /BIP	31.43%	÷0.979	×0.930	×0.999	×0.972	29.00%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.999	×0.972	3.27%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷0.932	×0.970	×0.999	×0.972	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	1.14%	÷0.956	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.98%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .325 → .279; ISO .068 → .058; BABIP .364 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 125 PAwOBA .292 → .240 (−52)K% 23.2% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.20%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	27.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.60%	÷1.125	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.007	×0.982	22.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷1.059	×0.830	×1.007	×0.982	6.62%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.007	×0.982	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.075	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .292 → .240; ISO .081 → .069; BABIP .337 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 243 PAwOBA .316 → .265 (−51)K% 19.3% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.34%	÷0.987	×1.200	—	—	23.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.40%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.61%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.53%
Singles /BIP	16.34%	÷1.040	×0.930	×0.995	×0.992	14.42%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷0.977	×0.830	×0.995	×0.992	6.03%
Triples /BIP	1.31%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.995	×0.992	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	3.27%	÷0.938	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.90%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .316 → .265; ISO .150 → .139; BABIP .252 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 176 PAwOBA .228 → .201 (−27)K% 21.6% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.59%	÷1.014	×1.200	—	—	25.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.68%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.77%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.07%
Singles /BIP	20.97%	÷1.038	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	19.78%
Doubles /BIP	5.65%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	5.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.095	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .228 → .201; ISO .043 → .040; BABIP .264 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 143 PAwOBA .292 → .254 (−38)K% 21.0% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.98%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.69%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	×1.018	10.54%
HBP% /PA	1.40%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.34%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.999	×1.018	17.06%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷0.927	×0.830	×0.999	×1.018	5.18%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷0.984	×0.970	×0.999	×1.018	1.14%
Home runs /BIP	2.27%	÷0.955	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.04%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 97, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .292 → .254; ISO .110 → .103; BABIP .256 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAltoona Curve · 134 PAwOBA .410 → .387 (−23)K% 15.7% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.67%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	19.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.94%	÷0.897	×0.700	—	×0.988	9.21%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.63%
Singles /BIP	30.43%	÷0.986	×0.970	×1.044	×0.988	30.88%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷0.949	×0.860	×1.044	×0.988	4.07%
Triples /BIP	2.17%	÷0.949	×0.950	×1.044	×0.988	2.25%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷0.931	×0.780	—	×0.988	4.50%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 97, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 95, BB 79 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .410 → .387; ISO .204 → .185; BABIP .386 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Bradenton Marauders · 337 PAwOBA .375 → .297 (−78)K% 19.0% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.99%	÷0.984	×1.420	—	—	27.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.98%	÷1.061	×0.750	—	×0.978	7.59%
HBP% /PA	2.37%	—	×0.930	—	×0.978	2.16%
Singles /BIP	25.56%	÷1.039	×0.920	×1.020	×0.978	22.58%
Doubles /BIP	7.17%	÷1.041	×0.960	×1.020	×0.978	6.60%
Triples /BIP	2.24%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.020	×0.978	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	3.59%	÷1.118	×0.880	—	×0.978	2.76%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .375 → .297; ISO .174 → .133; BABIP .358 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 442 PAwOBA .313 → .263 (−50)K% 15.4% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.38%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	21.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.86%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×0.988	6.76%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.860	—	×0.988	1.73%
Singles /BIP	20.77%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×0.988	20.25%
Doubles /BIP	7.03%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×0.988	6.05%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.000	×0.800	×1.050	×0.988	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	1.60%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×0.988	1.42%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .313 → .263; ISO .108 → .092; BABIP .287 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).