Brett Harris — OGILVIE

Brett Harris3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 208 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6677vR 105

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .338 / .399

PA250

HR6

K%24

BB%9

BABIP321

ISO145

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

728.7%

xwOBA

260.281

POWER40

Barrel%

224.5

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

4771.0

EYE60

Chase%

9023.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 207 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

142

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

246

292

▶▶R

ISO

053

118

▶▶R

BABIP

284

229

◀◀L

27.7%

19.7%

▶▶R

BB%

10.8%

12.0%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+2.7	$20M	+$15M
2028	Arb-3	$9M	+2.4	$16M	+$10M
2029	Arb-4	$11M	+2.0	$13M	+$5M
Totals		$25M		$52M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	94	83	17	2	0	3	6	27	4	3	1	205	290	337	628	133	264	29	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	94	81	18	3	0	3	8	20	4	3	1	222	323	370	693	148	259	21	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	483	431	111	19	2	22	36	108	8	11	5	258	326	464	790	206	293	22	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	483	417	121	22	2	17	50	83	8	11	5	290	377	475	852	185	325	17	10	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	530	467	116	22	3	10	37	103	19	16	2	248	329	373	701	124	297	19	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	530	439	118	24	3	9	65	85	19	16	2	269	386	399	785	130	313	16	12	355	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	440	382	84	9	1	9	49	102	7	6	6	220	320	319	639	99	275	23	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	440	373	91	12	2	11	58	87	7	6	6	244	356	375	731	131	289	20	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	336	296	67	14	0	7	28	68	6	8	1	226	306	345	651	118	265	20	8	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	336	289	81	16	0	12	35	59	6	8	1	280	370	460	830	180	309	18	10	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	BOS	—	376	331	94	22	2	9	34	96	9	6	2	284	366	444	810	160	376	26	9	351	127	+11	+0	+0	+1	+11	2.4
YTD	28	AAA	BOS	—	376	316	103	26	2	11	49	77	9	6	2	326	430	525	956	199	404	20	13	421	180	+34	+0	+0	+1	+11	4.7
ROS	28	AAA	BOS	55%	250	220	56	12	1	6	23	60	5	4	1	254	338	399	737	145	317	24	9	328	109	+3	+0	+1	+1	+7	1.2
ROS	28	MLB	BOS	55%	138	121	32	7	1	3	13	33	3	2	1	264	350	413	764	149	325	24	9	319	102	+0	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.5
FULL	28	AAA	BOS	—	514	452	126	29	3	12	47	129	12	8	3	279	362	436	798	157	365	25	9	342	120	+12	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.9
TOT	28	AAA	BOS	—	626	551	150	34	3	15	57	156	14	10	3	272	355	426	781	154	354	25	9	342	120	+14	+1	+1	+2	+18	3.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	BOS	59%	660	580	144	30	2	15	62	160	13	10	3	248	334	384	719	136	314	24	9	324	106	+5	+1	+0	+2	+19	2.7
2028	30	MLB	BOS	61%	650	571	141	29	2	15	61	159	13	8	2	247	333	384	717	137	312	24	9	321	104	+3	+1	-1	+2	+18	2.4
2029	31	MLB	BOS	62%	637	559	136	28	2	14	60	158	13	7	2	243	331	376	706	132	310	25	9	317	101	+1	+1	-1	+2	+18	2.1
2030	32	MLB	BOS	63%	624	549	130	26	2	13	58	157	12	6	2	237	323	362	686	126	306	25	9	311	96	-3	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.6
2031	33	MLB	BOS	64%	538	473	111	22	2	11	50	138	10	4	1	235	321	359	680	125	301	26	9	304	91	-6	+0	-3	+2	+15	0.9
2032	34	MLB	BOS	59%	455	401	89	17	1	8	42	120	9	2	1	222	310	329	639	107	295	26	9	295	84	-8	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.2
2033	35	MLB	BOS	55%	384	339	73	13	1	7	35	104	7	1	0	215	302	322	623	106	288	27	9	284	76	-11	+0	-5	+1	+11	-0.3
2027	29	MLB	BOS	59%	389	342	87	19	1	9	36	94	8	6	2	254	339	395	734	140	321	24	9	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+1	+11	1.3
2028	30	MLB	BOS	61%	397	349	88	19	1	9	37	97	8	5	1	252	338	390	727	138	320	24	9	312	97	-1	+1	-0	+1	+11	1.2
2029	31	MLB	BOS	62%	398	350	86	18	1	9	37	99	8	4	1	246	332	380	712	134	317	25	9	308	94	-3	+0	-1	+1	+11	1.0
2030	32	MLB	BOS	63%	395	347	84	18	1	8	37	99	8	4	1	242	329	369	698	127	313	25	9	302	89	-5	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.7
2031	33	MLB	BOS	64%	343	301	72	15	1	7	32	88	7	3	1	239	326	365	692	126	308	26	9	295	84	-6	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.3
2032	34	MLB	BOS	59%	269	237	55	11	1	5	25	71	5	1	0	232	318	350	669	118	302	26	9	285	77	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2033	35	MLB	BOS	55%	210	185	42	8	1	4	19	57	4	1	0	227	312	346	658	119	294	27	9	275	69	-7	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2746	2408	581	123	8	57	260	684	55	27	10	241	329	370	699	129	312	25	9	301	88	-37	+1	-8	+12	+78	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	137	29	2	13	62	162	13	6	2	240	329	367	696	126	311	25	10	301	88	-9	+0	-2	+3	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	6081	5351	1275	243	19	140	547	1464	126	86	27	238	323	369	693	131	300	24	9	309	95	-35	+6	-14	+22	+172	15.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	136	26	2	15	58	156	13	9	3	238	322	369	691	131	299	24	9	309	95	-4	+1	-1	+2	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	94	81	18	3	0	3	8	20	4	3	1	222	323	370	693	148	259	21	9	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	360	315	90	15	2	10	31	62	7	11	5	286	363	441	804	156	327	17	9	353	128	+12	+0	—	—	+10	2.2
2022	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	123	102	31	7	0	7	19	21	1	0	0	304	418	578	996	275	320	17	15	430	187	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	147	129	35	7	0	4	10	27	5	4	0	271	347	419	766	147	316	18	7	338	117	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	314	258	73	16	3	5	40	42	12	6	1	283	403	426	830	143	318	13	13	372	143	+15	+1	—	—	+9	2.5
2023	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	69	52	10	1	0	0	15	16	2	6	1	192	391	212	603	19	278	23	22	310	95	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	123	103	15	3	0	3	17	25	2	0	3	146	279	262	541	117	158	20	14	257	55	-6	-1	-0	+2	+3	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	317	270	76	9	2	8	41	62	5	6	3	281	386	419	805	137	338	20	13	364	136	+13	+0	—	—	+9	2.3
2025	27	MLB	Athletics	—	84	73	20	5	0	0	7	21	2	1	0	274	354	342	696	68	377	25	8	314	98	-0	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.5
2025	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	252	216	61	11	0	12	28	38	4	7	1	282	375	500	875	218	288	15	11	381	150	+14	+1	—	—	+7	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	207	176	35	8	0	3	24	46	4	1	3	199	309	295	604	97	248	22	12	280	72	-6	-1	+1	+3	+6	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,747	56	27	235	319	359	+10	+4	5.9	6.0
	/162	664	14	7	235	319	359	+2.4	+1.0	1.4	pk7: 6
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Harris (OGILVIE)	28	40	40	55	60	272/355/426	154	354	15	10	25%	9%	120	+3.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	50	212/293/324	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	75	-0.0	218/287/334	116	270	13	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
●Ryan Roberts 2009 · MLB	28	48→52	45→50	50→55	50	236/302/363	127	289	12	10	22%	8%	87	+0.8	238/312/372	134	286	13	16	20%	9%	94	+1.3	235/316/376	141	276	15	19	20%	10%	94	+1.0
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2016 · MLB	28	49→45	42→55	46→30	49	236/304/342	106	291	10	4	22%	8%	82	+0.5	227/291/334	107	289	10	3	24%	7%	76	+0.0	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
●Logan Forsythe 2015 · MLB	28	46→56	46→55	52→50	49	231/301/360	128	277	14	9	21%	8%	86	+0.8	256/336/414	158	307	17	8	21%	9%	115	+2.8	256/347/413	157	312	17	7	22%	11%	116	+2.6
●Hiram Bocachica 2004 · MLB	28	42	51→55	46→55	44	222/272/382	160	262	19	11	24%	6%	79	+0.3	239/309/404	165	293	20	17	25%	8%	102	+1.8	242/329/420	178	271	22	22	19%	9%	111	+1.2
✕Tim Olson 2005 · MLB	26	45	47→50	50	59	224/316/369	145	252	14	9	17%	12%	95	+1.4	229/280/371	142	289	15	12	25%	6%	80	+0.4	225/270/363	138	287	15	12	27%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	54→57	43→45	49→50	51	258/333/376	117	322	10	11	22%	9%	104	+2.0	240/327/350	110	299	10	13	21%	10%	95	+1.4	243/339/350	107	298	9	12	20%	11%	97	+1.0
✕Chip Ambres 2008 · MLB	28	42→49	48→50	48→50	49	217/290/354	137	271	16	10	26%	9%	81	+0.4	219/282/362	143	266	16	7	23%	8%	79	+0.3	214/277/357	143	255	16	6	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	46→53	45	50→45	46	229/291/357	128	287	12	8	24%	7%	81	+0.4	205/270/329	124	253	13	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	186/250/298	112	228	12	5	24%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	48→47	46→50	52→50	43	236/287/370	134	291	13	14	23%	6%	82	+0.5	254/332/399	145	343	17	18	28%	9%	109	+2.4	258/344/393	135	350	16	20	28%	10%	111	+1.3
✕David Bote 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	49→55	47→45	51	215/300/363	148	259	17	5	24%	10%	88	+0.9	225/293/375	150	288	16	8	27%	7%	87	+0.8	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Gene Kingsale 2005 · MLB	28	49	42→40	48→55	51	235/299/341	106	269	9	12	16%	8%	80	+0.4	233/294/337	104	278	8	10	18%	7%	76	+0.1	233/290/312	79	285	2	8	18%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Bobby Crosby 2008 · MLB	28	48→50	46→50	51→50	51	237/297/365	128	267	14	12	17%	8%	85	+0.7	231/294/349	118	268	10	8	17%	8%	80	+0.4	227/293/337	109	265	8	5	17%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Josh VanMeter 2023 · MLB	28	41→47	49→55	49→50	53	212/299/366	154	266	16	9	26%	11%	87	+0.8	203/306/333	130	272	14	9	28%	12%	82	+0.5	169/296/280	111	230	13	8	30%	14%	63	-0.3
●Hector Luna 2008 · MLB	28	50→49	43→55	46→50	46	242/291/354	112	281	10	11	18%	6%	80	+0.4	252/302/393	141	292	16	8	19%	6%	95	+1.4	256/315/421	166	290	20	7	19%	7%	106	+1.5
●Jose Leon 2005 · MLB	28	45	46→55	48→30	41	228/277/353	126	287	15	7	26%	6%	74	-0.1	247/293/416	169	302	22	4	25%	6%	98	+1.6	276/328/469	192	315	27	2	21%	6%	122	+1.2
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4