Cam Schlittler — OGILVIE

Cam Schlittler P New York Yankees

Age 25 RHP 6'6" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 4.8 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION179 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8273vR 65

ERA2.81

FIP2.76

K%30.7%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%23.5%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 194 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$77M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD4550

K†6570

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.0

Whiff%

p7328.9%

p9031.4%

xwOBA vs

p900.265

FB+6.3 (64%)

SL+3.1 (27%)

SI (20%)

CU (10%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.477 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.5	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$31M	+$30M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$29M	+$28M
2029	Arb-1	$10M	+3.2	$24M	+$17M
2030	Arb-2	$15M	+2.7	$17M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$19M	+2.2	$12M	+$0.8M
Totals		$46M		$114M	+$84M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	46	205	50	21	4	93%	3.3	17.6%	13.8%	3.7%	2.6%	4.11	4.80	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	46	205	50	21	4	93%	3.3	17.6%	13.8%	3.7%	2.6%	4.11	4.80	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	13	46	205	50	21	4	93%	3.3	24.4%	10.2%	14.1%	2.0%	4.11	3.43	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	23	121	517	154	55	10	92%	4.8	23.4%	11.5%	11.9%	2.4%	3.36	3.89	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	23	121	517	154	55	10	92%	4.8	23.4%	11.5%	11.9%	2.4%	3.36	3.89	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	23	121	517	154	55	10	92%	4.8	29.8%	10.6%	19.1%	1.9%	3.36	2.99	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	28	150	614	183	57	12	97%	5.2	26.9%	9.4%	17.4%	1.9%	2.89	3.07	+3.4
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	28	150	614	183	57	12	97%	5.2	26.9%	9.4%	17.4%	1.9%	2.89	3.07	+3.4
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	28	150	614	183	57	12	97%	5.2	29.8%	9.3%	20.5%	2.0%	2.89	2.84	+3.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			44	44	252	1005	304	73	24	100%	5.7	30.2%	7.3%	23.0%	2.4%	2.29	2.79	+6.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	30	30	179	701	220	42	16	100%	6.0	31.4%	6.0%	25.4%	2.1%	2.01	2.38	+5.9
YTD	25	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	30	30	179	701	220	42	16	100%	6.0	31.4%	6.0%	25.4%	2.1%	2.01	2.38	+5.9
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	MLB RAW	NYY	30	30	179	701	220	42	16	100%	6.0	31.4%	6.0%	25.4%	2.3%	2.01	2.46	+5.7
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	NYY	30	30	179	701	220	42	16	100%	6.0	31.4%	6.0%	25.4%	2.3%	2.01	2.46	+5.7
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYY	3	3	16	66	20	5	2	100%	5.2	30.7%	7.2%	23.5%	2.5%	2.81	2.76	+0.4
ROS	25	MLB CTX	NYY	3	3	16	68	21	5	2	100%	5.3	30.7%	7.2%	23.5%	2.6%	2.91	2.86	+0.4
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	194	767	240	47	18	—	—	31.3%	6.1%	25.2%	2.3%	2.08	2.41	+6.3
FULL	25	MLB A+C	NYY	—	—	194	820	240	47	18	—	—	29.3%	5.7%	23.6%	2.2%	2.09	2.53	+6.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	27	27	164	695	212	50	17	100%	6.1	30.6%	7.3%	23.3%	2.4%	3.16	3.14	+3.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	28	28	166	701	214	52	17	100%	5.9	30.5%	7.3%	23.2%	2.5%	3.17	3.18	+3.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYY	28	28	166	701	213	53	18	100%	5.9	30.4%	7.5%	22.9%	2.6%	3.23	3.26	+3.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	NYY	26	26	158	669	200	52	18	100%	6.1	29.8%	7.7%	22.1%	2.7%	3.35	3.42	+2.9
2031	30	MLB MLE	NYY	25	25	149	629	183	50	18	100%	6.0	29.1%	8.0%	21.1%	2.9%	3.52	3.63	+2.3
2032	31	MLB MLE	NYY	23	23	139	586	166	49	18	100%	6.0	28.4%	8.4%	20.0%	3.1%	3.72	3.86	+1.7
2033	32	MLB MLE	NYY	21	21	128	543	150	48	18	100%	6.1	27.6%	8.8%	18.8%	3.4%	3.96	4.12	+1.2
2034	33	MLB MLE	NYY	20	20	118	498	133	46	18	100%	5.9	26.7%	9.2%	17.5%	3.7%	4.22	4.40	+0.7
2035	34	MLB MLE	NYY	18	18	107	453	117	44	18	100%	6.0	25.8%	9.7%	16.1%	4.0%	4.51	4.70	+0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	156	659	201	48	17	100%	6.0	30.6%	7.3%	23.3%	2.6%	3.25	3.23	+3.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	158	667	204	49	17	100%	6.1	30.5%	7.3%	23.2%	2.6%	3.26	3.27	+3.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	158	667	203	50	18	100%	6.1	30.4%	7.5%	22.9%	2.7%	3.32	3.35	+3.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	NYY	25	25	151	638	190	49	18	100%	6.0	29.8%	7.7%	22.1%	2.9%	3.45	3.52	+2.7
2031	30	MLB CTX	NYY	24	24	142	600	175	48	19	100%	5.9	29.1%	8.0%	21.1%	3.1%	3.63	3.74	+2.2
2032	31	MLB CTX	NYY	22	22	132	557	158	47	19	100%	6.0	28.4%	8.4%	20.0%	3.3%	3.84	3.98	+1.6
2033	32	MLB CTX	NYY	20	20	122	515	142	45	19	100%	6.1	27.6%	8.8%	18.8%	3.6%	4.09	4.25	+1.1
2034	33	MLB CTX	NYY	19	19	112	473	126	44	18	100%	5.9	26.7%	9.2%	17.5%	3.9%	4.36	4.54	+0.7
2035	34	MLB CTX	NYY	16	16	97	410	106	40	17	100%	6.1	25.8%	9.7%	16.1%	4.2%	4.66	4.85	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		251	251	1494	6251	1828	497	188	100%	6.0	29.2%	7.9%	21.3%	3.0%	3.44	3.29	+29.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	837	245	67	25	100%	6.0	29.2%	7.9%	21.3%	3.0%	3.44	3.29	+4.0
Career	—	MLE		98	94	495	2037	542	188	44	96%	5.1	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	2.2%	2.80	3.22	+26.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		40	38	200	823	219	76	18	96%	5.1	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	2.2%	2.80	3.22	+3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Schlittler (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.75	28.3%	9.8%	2.6%	—	3.19	30.5%	23.1%	496	-0.56	—	—	—
Shohei Ohtani R 2018 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP	3.43	29.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.267	3.14	29.3%	21.4%	130	-0.29	1.76	613	76
Kumar Rocker R 2023 · 2.86 FIP	23	SP	2.86	29.1%	7.3%	2.4%	.317	3.93	22.0%	13.5%	250	+1.07	1.93	278	71
Stephen Strasburg R 2015 · 2.70 FIP	27	SP	2.70	29.6%	5.0%	2.7%	.308	2.81	29.5%	22.9%	453	+0.11	2.42	811	68
Raisel Iglesias R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	25	SP	3.54	23.7%	7.1%	2.8%	.271	3.11	27.7%	19.6%	226	-0.43	1.34	820	68
David Sandlin R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	22	SP	4.05	24.8%	6.5%	4.0%	.360	4.39	21.4%	12.1%	253	+0.34	3.94	312	67
Kutter Crawford R 2021 · 3.30 FIP	25	SP	3.30	29.1%	5.6%	3.5%	.321	4.23	23.6%	16.6%	415	+0.93	3.30	741	66
Chad Green R 2016 · 3.25 FIP	25	SP	3.25	24.9%	6.6%	2.6%	.283	2.32	33.4%	27.2%	240	-0.93	1.77	763	66
Christian Scott R 2023 · 2.56 FIP	24	SP	2.56	25.6%	4.1%	2.0%	.265	4.02	25.6%	17.6%	203	+1.46	2.56	347	62
Max Meyer R 2022 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP	3.37	25.0%	8.7%	2.3%	.243	4.89	21.7%	14.0%	180	+1.52	3.37	450	62
Joe Ryan R 2021 · 3.07 FIP	25	SP	3.07	31.8%	5.0%	3.7%	.218	3.65	27.3%	21.5%	444	+0.58	2.41	961	61
Bryan Woo R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	23	SP	3.55	25.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.260	3.32	24.8%	20.4%	470	-0.23	3.20	654	61
Shumpei Yoshikawa R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	24	SP	3.84	21.8%	5.6%	3.4%	.336	6.33	25.7%	15.1%	20	+2.49	3.84	124	61
Andy Ferguson R 2015 · 3.68 FIP	26	SP-	3.68	22.3%	5.7%	3.2%	.262	3.10	18.6%	10.6%	33	-0.58	3.10	137	61
Josh James R 2018 · 3.09 FIP	25	SP	3.09	31.5%	10.5%	2.4%	.279	3.84	33.6%	19.7%	97	+0.75	1.99	571	61
Jon Gray R 2017 · 2.93 FIP	25	SP	2.93	24.3%	6.5%	1.9%	.333	3.73	22.8%	15.5%	361	+0.80	2.93	1,345	60
Bobby Miller R 2023 · 3.34 FIP	24	SP	3.34	22.8%	6.6%	2.4%	.266	5.36	18.1%	5.8%	189	+2.02	2.41	487	59
Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP	4.69	26.3%	7.6%	5.2%	.272	4.55	19.5%	11.7%	166	-0.14	3.87	506	59
Glenn Otto Jr. R 2021 · 2.56 FIP	25	SP	2.56	28.3%	6.9%	1.8%	.336	4.96	19.6%	7.9%	194	+2.40	2.56	369	59
Dinelson Lamet R 2017 · 3.80 FIP	25	SP	3.80	28.1%	11.2%	3.0%	.270	3.02	33.6%	25.2%	157	-0.78	2.11	778	58
Nick Pivetta R 2018 · 3.51 FIP	25	SP	3.51	27.1%	7.3%	3.2%	.323	4.29	25.2%	15.5%	305	+0.78	1.37	1,583	58

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.0	141	29.0%	8.2%	1.13	3.60
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Noah Syndergaard ('23)	4.7	134	23.8%	5.5%	0.95	3.70