Cam Schlittler
P
New York Yankees
Age 25
RHP
6'6" / 215 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 3.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 77 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8374vR 65
ERA3.01
FIP2.98
K%29.0%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%21.8%
ROS IP77
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 196 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.8
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p8829.2%
xwOBA vs
p900.270
FB+6.3 (64%)
SL+3.1 (29%)
SI (20%)
CU (7%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 46 | 205 | 50 | 21 | 4 | 93% | 3.3 | 17.6% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 46 | 205 | 50 | 21 | 4 | 93% | 3.3 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 4.11 | 3.43 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 23 | 121 | 517 | 154 | 55 | 10 | 92% | 4.8 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 3.36 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 23 | 121 | 517 | 154 | 55 | 10 | 92% | 4.8 | 29.8% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 1.9% | 3.36 | 2.99 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 28 | 150 | 614 | 183 | 57 | 12 | 97% | 5.2 | 27.1% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 1.9% | 2.89 | 3.05 | +4.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 28 | 150 | 614 | 183 | 57 | 12 | 97% | 5.2 | 29.8% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 2.0% | 2.89 | 2.84 | +4.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 20 | 20 | 119 | 469 | 137 | 25 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.2% | 5.3% | 23.9% | 2.6% | 2.05 | 2.71 | +3.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 94 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.0% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 2.6% | 3.01 | 2.98 | +1.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 94 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.0% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 2.7% | 3.06 | 3.03 | +1.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 196 | 794 | 231 | 49 | 20 | — | — | 29.1% | 6.1% | 23.0% | 2.6% | 2.42 | 2.82 | +5.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 196 | 826 | 231 | 49 | 21 | — | — | 28.0% | 5.9% | 22.1% | 2.5% | 2.45 | 2.85 | +5.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 153 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.2% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 2.6% | 3.37 | 3.35 | +3.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 155 | 39 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.2% | 7.4% | 21.8% | 2.6% | 3.38 | 3.39 | +3.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 155 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.0% | 7.5% | 21.5% | 2.7% | 3.43 | 3.47 | +2.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 120 | 508 | 145 | 39 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.5% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 2.9% | 3.55 | 3.63 | +2.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 113 | 478 | 133 | 39 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.8% | 8.1% | 19.7% | 3.1% | 3.72 | 3.84 | +2.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 106 | 446 | 120 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.0% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 3.3% | 3.93 | 4.07 | +1.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 16 | 16 | 98 | 413 | 108 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.2% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 3.5% | 4.17 | 4.32 | +1.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 15 | 15 | 90 | 378 | 96 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.4% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 3.8% | 4.43 | 4.60 | +0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 118 | 498 | 145 | 36 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.2% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 2.7% | 3.42 | 3.40 | +2.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 120 | 507 | 148 | 37 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.2% | 7.4% | 21.8% | 2.7% | 3.43 | 3.44 | +2.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 120 | 507 | 147 | 38 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.0% | 7.5% | 21.5% | 2.8% | 3.49 | 3.53 | +2.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 137 | 37 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.5% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 3.0% | 3.61 | 3.69 | +2.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 127 | 37 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.8% | 8.1% | 19.7% | 3.2% | 3.78 | 3.90 | +1.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 100 | 422 | 114 | 36 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.0% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 4.00 | 4.14 | +1.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 103 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.2% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 4.24 | 4.39 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 14 | 85 | 359 | 91 | 33 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.4% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 4.0% | 4.51 | 4.68 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 190 | 190 | 1126 | 4719 | 1327 | 369 | 142 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.1% | 7.8% | 20.3% | 3.0% | 3.49 | 3.36 | +26.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 838 | 236 | 66 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.1% | 7.8% | 20.3% | 3.0% | 3.49 | 3.36 | +4.8 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 84 | 435 | 1805 | 461 | 172 | 40 | 95% | 4.9 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 2.2% | 2.92 | 3.37 | +10.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 39 | 200 | 830 | 212 | 79 | 18 | 95% | 4.9 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 2.2% | 2.92 | 3.37 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cam Schlittler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.75 | 28.6% | 10.1% | 2.6% | — | 3.40 | 29.1% | 21.7% | 376 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.52 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.23 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.29 | 1.85 | 613 | 78 |
| Raisel Iglesias R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.56 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .271 | 3.14 | 27.7% | 19.6% | 226 | -0.42 | 1.35 | 797 | 72 |
| Chad Green R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.25 | 24.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | .283 | 2.31 | 33.4% | 27.2% | 240 | -0.94 | 1.75 | 763 | 69 |
| Nolan McLean R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.07 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 379 | 68 |
| Stephen Strasburg R 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 27 | SP | 2.70 | 29.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | .308 | 2.81 | 29.5% | 22.9% | 453 | +0.11 | 2.42 | 811 | 67 |
| Zebby Matthews R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.15 | 25.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .349 | 5.41 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 101 | +2.26 | 3.15 | 457 | 67 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.35 | 29.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.17 | 23.6% | 16.6% | 415 | +0.82 | 3.35 | 741 | 67 |
| Christian Scott R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.64 | 24.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | .249 | 3.95 | 27.5% | 17.8% | 68 | -0.69 | 2.65 | 302 | 67 |
| Paul Skenes R 2025 · 2.67 FIP | 24 | SP | 2.67 | 29.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08 | 456 | 67 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 66 |
| Shumpei Yoshikawa R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.69 | 21.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .336 | 6.45 | 25.7% | 15.1% | 20 | +2.76 | 3.69 | 124 | 65 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 65 |
| Andy Ferguson R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .262 | 3.13 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 33 | -0.44 | 3.13 | 137 | 65 |
| Jon Gray R 2026 · 2.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 2.79 | 24.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% | .333 | 3.50 | 22.8% | 15.5% | 361 | +0.71 | 2.79 | 1,345 | 64 |
| Chase Burns R 2024 · 3.42 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.42 | 28.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 188 | 63 |
| Zack Wheeler R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.75 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .327 | 3.09 | 23.0% | 16.8% | 449 | -1.66 | 2.31 | 1,536 | 63 |
| Jacob Kisting R 2024 · 2.74 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.74 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 144 | 63 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.77 | 26.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | .272 | 4.12 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 130 | -0.65 | 4.07 | 470 | 62 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 62 |
| Josh James R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.11 | 31.5% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .279 | 3.69 | 33.6% | 19.7% | 97 | +0.58 | 1.99 | 571 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 113 | 28.0% | 8.2% | 1.15 | 3.71 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Mike Clevinger ('23) | 7 | 113 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 1.07 | 3.45 |
| Trevor Bauer ('21) | 7 | 159 | 26.8% | 8.7% | 1.13 | 3.68 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |