Cam Schlittler
P
New York Yankees
+2.3
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'6" / 215 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 3.2 · 2027
ERA3.52
FIP3.89
xFIP1.86
SIERA2.06
K%26.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%16.3%
IP132
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2027
K†6570
FB Velo
p9097.3
Whiff%
p9032.4%
K%
p9034.3%
xwOBA vs
p900.243
FB+6.3 (63%)
SL+3.1 (30%)
SI (20%)
CU (7%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 14 | 13 | 46 | 205 | 50 | 21 | 4 | 17.6% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 4.11 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 25 | 23 | 121 | 517 | 154 | 55 | 10 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 3.36 | 3.88 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | 29 | 28 | 150 | 614 | 183 | 57 | 12 | 27.1% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 2.89 | 3.08 | +3.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 4 | 4 | 22 | 81 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 37.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 2.49 | 0.13 | +1.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 110 | 465 | 144 | 38 | 10 | 31.0% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 2.46 | 2.75 | +3.2 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 132 | 546 | 174 | 39 | 10 | 31.9% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 2.46 | 2.32 | +4.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 25 | 25 | 139 | 586 | 176 | 48 | 14 | 30.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 3.17 | 3.27 | +3.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 142 | 598 | 177 | 49 | 15 | 29.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 3.31 | 3.36 | +3.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 142 | 598 | 174 | 49 | 15 | 29.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 3.40 | 3.43 | +3.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 25 | 25 | 138 | 584 | 166 | 48 | 15 | 28.5% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 3.52 | +2.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 24 | 134 | 567 | 158 | 47 | 15 | 27.9% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.56 | 3.61 | +2.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 24 | 130 | 547 | 149 | 46 | 15 | 27.3% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.65 | 3.72 | +2.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 23 | 124 | 525 | 140 | 45 | 14 | 26.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 3.76 | 3.83 | +2.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 119 | 501 | 131 | 44 | 14 | 26.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 3.96 | +1.8 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 113 | 476 | 121 | 43 | 14 | 25.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.10 | +1.5 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 106 | 449 | 110 | 41 | 14 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.25 | +1.3 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 99 | 420 | 100 | 40 | 13 | 23.8% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.41 | +1.0 |
| 2038 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 92 | 389 | 90 | 38 | 13 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.59 | +0.7 |
| 2039 | 38 | MLB | NYY | 15 | 15 | 85 | 358 | 79 | 36 | 12 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.78 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 68 | 338 | 1417 | 354 | 148 | 29 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 3.20 | 3.45 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 40 | 200 | 838 | 209 | 88 | 17 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 3.20 | 3.45 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cam Schlittler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.81 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 2.7% | — | 3.35 | 29.6% | 21.4% | 422 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Romano R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.45 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .274 | 3.76 | 31.7% | 22.0% | 131 | -0.69 | 2.32 | 658 | 69 |
| Luis Ortiz R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.95 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | .236 | 4.02 | 25.1% | 14.1% | 89 | +0.07 | 3.04 | 585 | 69 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.88 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 5.29 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 165 | +1.41 | 3.88 | 780 | 68 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.34 | 15.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | .338 | 4.61 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 209 | +0.27 | 4.34 | 340 | 67 |
| Chad Green R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.04 | 24.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .283 | 2.34 | 33.4% | 27.2% | 240 | -0.70 | 1.78 | 763 | 67 |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.35 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 254 | 67 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.91 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% | .264 | 3.75 | 23.7% | 18.5% | 68 | -0.16 | 3.75 | 284 | 66 |
| Mike Hauschild R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.26 | 17.2% | 6.4% | 1.5% | .311 | 3.78 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 349 | +0.52 | 3.17 | 579 | 66 |
| D.J. Brown R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.44 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .317 | 4.49 | 16.3% | 9.3% | 74 | +0.05 | 3.98 | 348 | 66 |
| Brad Lord R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.31 | 19.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .288 | 4.61 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 16 | +0.30 | 3.41 | 377 | 65 |
| Parker Dunshee R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.75 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .255 | 6.56 | 15.6% | 5.4% | 155 | +1.81 | 2.42 | 598 | 65 |
| Riley Cornelio R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.12 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .257 | 4.64 | 30.5% | 16.4% | 13 | +0.52 | 4.12 | 366 | 65 |
| Deck McGuire R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.74 | 18.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .301 | 4.50 | 18.9% | 9.2% | 411 | +0.76 | 3.50 | 622 | 65 |
| Louis Varland R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.27 | 23.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .309 | 3.92 | 23.2% | 15.5% | 206 | -0.35 | 2.85 | 611 | 65 |
| Jaime Schultz R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.71 | 25.9% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .326 | 3.95 | 28.2% | 15.6% | 126 | +0.24 | 2.19 | 391 | 65 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.99 | 14.9% | 7.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 3.99 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 304 | +0.00 | 3.49 | 572 | 65 |
| Shao-Ching Chiang R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 575 | 64 |
| Mike Foltynewicz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.05 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .316 | 3.68 | 23.9% | 15.8% | 351 | -0.37 | 3.29 | 938 | 64 |
| Duncan Davitt R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.13 | 20.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 369 | 64 |
| Vladimir Gutierrez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.81 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 3.8% | .267 | 5.99 | 15.3% | -0.0% | 49 | +1.18 | 4.01 | 567 | 64 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 0.477 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +2.2 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +3.2 | $26M | +$26M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +3.1 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $7M | +3.0 | $26M | +$19M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $11M | +2.8 | $25M | +$15M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $15M | +2.6 | $24M | +$9M |
| Totals | $35M | $146M | +$111M | ||