Jacob deGrom

PosP
B/TL/R
Born1988-06-19
Age (2026)38

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2014
Service   11.808 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
NTCOPTDEF 20%
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2027Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M
Options · projected decision
2028CLUB OPT$2028.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029CLUB OPT$32.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201527MLBNew York Mets3030191751205361627.3%4.8%2.1%2.542.58+5.9
201628MLBNew York Mets2424148604143361523.7%6.0%2.4%3.043.15+3.6
201729MLBNew York Mets3131201827239542828.9%6.5%3.6%3.533.47+4.2
201830MLBNew York Mets3232217835269431032.2%5.1%1.2%1.701.71+8.8
201931MLBNew York Mets3232204804255431931.7%5.3%2.2%2.432.33+6.9
202032MLBNew York Mets12126826810418738.8%6.7%2.6%2.382.10+2.3
202133MLBNew York Mets16169533415411645.1%3.4%1.9%1.040.75+4.9
202234MLBNew York Mets151577288123121142.7%3.3%3.9%3.042.05+2.7
202335MLBTexas Rangers6630115454239.1%3.5%1.4%2.670.99+1.4
202436MLBTexas Rangers77218029211.27
202537MLBTexas Rangers3030173669185372627.7%5.5%4.0%2.973.66+3.2
▸ 2026 Season
202638MLBTexas Rangers331661223336.1%4.9%4.9%2.873.38+0.3
ROS38MLBNYM1818101427134251631.5%5.8%3.8%2.993.29+2.3
2026 Total38MLBNYM117488156281932.0%5.7%4.0%2.973.30+2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202739MLBNYM1818100422129261730.5%6.2%4.0%3.663.86+1.6
202840MLBNYM161686361107231529.7%6.5%4.1%3.894.04+1.1
202941MLBNYM13137330995181330.8%5.9%4.2%3.933.96+0.9
203042MLBNYM11116326479171230.0%6.2%4.4%4.064.15+0.6
203143MLBNYM545422666151029.1%6.6%4.5%4.224.33+0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career23823814415636176929714531.4%5.3%2.6%2.552.53+45.3
/ 200 IP3333200782245412031.4%5.3%2.6%2.552.53+6.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jacob deGrom (OGILVIE) 3.74 29.9%6.0%3.7% 3.95 30.3%24.1%259 +0.21
Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 38 SP- 4.13 14.8%7.4%2.5%.311 3.92 10.4%3.7%209 -0.21 3.67 428 53
Yasutomo Kubo R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 38 SP 3.94 20.4%4.7%3.6%.327 3.94 152 49
Sergio Mitre R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 38 SP- 4.54 11.8%6.5%2.9%.355 4.54 156 43
Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 38 SP- 4.51 8.6%7.3%2.2%.291 4.23 11.5%6.0%236 -0.28 4.03 375 42
Colby Lewis R 2024 · 4.67 FIP 36 SP- 4.67 15.5%5.9%3.9%.239 3.91 321 41
Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 38 SW 3.55 24.8%8.7%2.6%.179 4.12 23.5%12.9%98 +0.57 3.55 164 41
Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP 37 SW 3.47 23.4%6.1%2.9%.327 1.43 240 40
Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 38 SW 4.17 20.9%9.4%3.0%.272 3.38 26.2%15.2%185 -0.79 2.67 295 40
Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.44 FIP 38 SP 4.44 18.1%9.4%3.1%.295 4.88 16.7%6.3%82 +0.44 4.44 217 40
Tim Hudson R 2028 · 4.40 FIP 40 SP- 4.40 12.2%6.9%2.7%.294 4.40 124 40
John Lackey R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 38 SP 4.85 20.4%6.8%4.8%.260 3.56 577 37
Chris Smith R 2024 · 4.81 FIP 36 SP- 4.81 15.6%7.5%3.8%.286 3.81 413 37
A.J. Burnett R 2026 · 3.04 FIP 38 SP 3.04 20.5%6.7%1.5%.327 3.04 164 36
Brad Penny R 2025 · 3.75 FIP 37 SP 3.75 12.0%5.8%1.7%.346 3.75 135 35
Jeremy Guthrie R 2025 · 4.87 FIP 37 SP- 4.87 11.6%8.6%3.0%.359 4.87 235 35
Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 38 SW 4.32 18.8%7.6%3.4%.287 3.75 720 33
Jonathan Sánchez L 2024 · 4.73 FIP 36 SP- 4.73 18.1%8.3%3.8%.339 4.73 109 30
Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 38 SW 3.58 18.9%9.1%1.7%.211 4.94 17.8%6.2%28 +1.36 3.11 174 29
Aaron Harang R 2025 · 4.43 FIP 37 SP 4.43 14.4%6.4%3.2%.288 4.43 172 29
Adam Wainwright R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 38 SW 3.99 20.6%5.7%3.5%.245 3.91 17.8%11.2%499 -0.08 2.03 1,127 28