Clayton Kershaw

PosP

B/TL/L

Born1988-03-19

Age (2026)38

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	33	33	233	890	301	41	15	100%	7.1	33.8%	4.6%	29.2%	1.6%	2.13	1.71	+10.3
2015	27	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	33	33	233	890	301	41	15	100%	7.1	33.8%	4.6%	29.2%	1.7%	2.13	1.88	+9.7
2016	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	152	553	177	10	8	100%	6.9	31.6%	1.8%	29.8%	1.4%	1.66	1.44	+7.3
2016	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	152	553	177	10	8	100%	6.9	32.0%	1.8%	30.2%	1.4%	1.66	1.65	+6.9
2017	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	180	695	210	30	24	100%	6.4	29.7%	4.4%	25.3%	3.2%	2.30	2.93	+4.5
2017	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	180	695	210	30	24	100%	6.4	30.2%	4.3%	25.9%	3.5%	2.30	3.00	+4.3
2018	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	26	26	161	650	155	29	17	100%	6.2	23.8%	4.5%	19.4%	2.5%	2.73	3.03	+3.8
2018	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	26	26	161	650	155	29	17	100%	6.2	23.8%	4.5%	19.4%	2.6%	2.73	3.09	+3.7
2019	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	30	189	745	201	43	31	97%	6.1	26.8%	5.8%	21.0%	3.8%	3.05	3.66	+2.8
2019	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	30	189	745	201	43	31	97%	6.1	27.0%	5.8%	21.2%	4.2%	3.05	3.79	+2.5
2020	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	10	10	58	221	62	8	8	100%	5.8	28.1%	3.6%	24.4%	3.5%	2.16	3.10	+1.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	10	10	58	221	62	8	8	100%	5.8	28.1%	3.6%	24.4%	3.6%	2.16	3.17	+1.3
2021	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	125	501	147	21	16	100%	5.4	29.5%	4.3%	25.2%	2.9%	3.61	2.77	+3.4
2021	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	125	501	147	21	16	100%	5.4	29.3%	4.2%	25.1%	3.2%	3.61	2.92	+3.1
2022	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	130	509	144	24	11	100%	5.7	27.8%	4.7%	23.1%	1.9%	2.28	2.41	+4.2
2022	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	130	509	144	24	11	100%	5.7	28.3%	4.7%	23.6%	2.2%	2.28	2.54	+4.0
2023	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	24	24	132	523	137	40	19	100%	5.5	26.2%	7.6%	18.5%	3.5%	2.46	3.77	+1.8
2023	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	24	24	132	523	137	40	19	100%	5.5	26.2%	7.6%	18.5%	3.5%	2.46	3.77	+1.8
2023	35	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	24	24	132	523	137	40	19	100%	5.5	26.2%	7.6%	18.5%	3.6%	2.46	3.81	+1.7
2024	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	10	40	171	36	10	3	100%	4.0	18.0%	6.0%	12.0%	1.4%	4.28	3.13	+0.9
2024	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	10	40	171	36	10	3	100%	4.0	18.0%	6.0%	12.0%	1.4%	4.28	3.13	+0.9
2024	36	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	10	40	171	36	10	3	100%	4.0	21.1%	5.8%	15.2%	1.8%	4.28	3.02	+0.9
2025	37	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	27	134	539	100	40	11	96%	4.8	18.1%	7.6%	10.6%	1.7%	3.23	3.44	+2.4
2025	37	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	27	134	539	100	40	11	96%	4.8	18.1%	7.6%	10.6%	1.7%	3.23	3.44	+2.4
2025	37	MIX RAW	4 levels	28	27	134	539	100	40	11	96%	4.8	18.6%	7.4%	11.1%	2.0%	3.23	3.57	+2.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			244	242	1477	5790	1607	286	153	99%	6.1	27.8%	4.9%	22.8%	2.6%	2.58	2.85	+38.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	38	MLB	LAD	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	17.9%	7.7%	10.2%	2.2%	3.86	4.16	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	39	MLB MLE	LAD	10	10	59	250	42	21	7	100%	5.9	16.8%	8.4%	8.4%	2.7%	4.30	4.59	+0.2
2028	40	MLB MLE	LAD	8	8	51	215	34	20	7	100%	6.4	15.6%	9.1%	6.5%	3.1%	4.73	5.02	-0.1
2027	39	MLB CTX	LAD	10	10	59	249	42	21	7	100%	5.9	16.8%	8.4%	8.4%	2.8%	4.36	4.65	+0.2
2028	40	MLB CTX	LAD	8	8	51	215	34	20	7	100%	6.4	15.6%	9.1%	6.5%	3.2%	4.80	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		262	260	1587	6256	1683	327	167	99%	6.1	26.9%	5.2%	21.7%	2.7%	2.72	2.95	+39.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	788	212	41	21	99%	6.0	26.9%	5.2%	21.7%	2.7%	2.72	2.95	+4.9
Career	—	MLE		258	256	1533	5997	1654	298	151	99%	5.9	27.6%	5.0%	22.6%	2.5%	2.59	2.79	+38.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		34	33	200	782	216	39	20	99%	5.9	27.6%	5.0%	22.6%	2.5%	2.59	2.79	+4.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clayton Kershaw (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.16	17.9%	7.7%	2.2%	—	4.79	16.2%	7.5%	110	+0.63	—	—	—
CC Sabathia L 2018 · 3.76 FIP	38	SP	3.76	21.1%	7.7%	2.7%	.288	5.19	22.9%	14.6%	107	+1.43	3.76	756	70
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	65
Randy Wolf L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	38	SP	3.40	16.6%	7.7%	1.3%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	174	63
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	61
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	61
Rich Hill L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	38	SP	3.59	27.4%	6.9%	3.5%	.260	3.88	23.9%	15.6%	256	+0.29	2.05	1,030	58
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	58
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	58
Francisley Bueno L 2017 · 4.44 FIP	36	SP	4.44	11.7%	8.4%	2.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	138	53
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	53
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	52
Horacio Ramirez L 2017 · 4.00 FIP	37	SP	4.00	8.6%	4.5%	1.9%	.306	4.65	5.7%	-0.3%	35	+0.65	3.39	199	49
Mark Buehrle L 2015 · 4.08 FIP	36	SP	4.08	11.0%	3.5%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	199	47
Scott Kazmir L 2021 · 4.58 FIP	37	SP	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	3.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	395	46
Colby Lewis R 2016 · 4.67 FIP	36	SP	4.67	15.5%	5.9%	3.9%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	321	36
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	33
Kyle Lohse R 2016 · 4.97 FIP	37	SP	4.97	14.8%	6.0%	4.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	211	32
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	32
A.J. Burnett R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	38	SP	3.16	20.5%	6.7%	1.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	164	32
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	32

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	16.9%	8.3%	1.01	4.25
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66

Clayton Kershaw

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps