Rich Hill — OGILVIE

Rich Hill P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 46 LHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 139

ERA5.04

FIP5.32

K%18.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP103

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

SL (6%)

SI (6%)

CU (35%)

CT (16%)

FB-3.0 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2015	35	MIX	2 levels	34	9	83	335	97	35	6	26%	2.4	26.8%	10.9%	15.9%	1.9%	2.39	3.25	+1.7
2015	35	MIX	2 levels	34	9	83	335	97	35	6	26%	2.4	29.0%	10.4%	18.5%	1.8%	2.39	2.97	+2.0
2016	36	MIX	2 levels	21	21	113	452	135	33	4	100%	5.4	29.4%	7.5%	21.9%	1.0%	2.14	2.10	+4.4
2016	36	MIX	2 levels	21	21	113	452	135	33	4	100%	5.4	29.9%	7.3%	22.6%	0.9%	2.14	2.05	+4.4
2017	37	MIX	2 levels	27	27	141	576	171	52	18	100%	5.2	30.1%	8.7%	21.4%	3.5%	3.44	3.56	+3.0
2017	37	MIX	2 levels	27	27	141	576	171	52	18	100%	5.2	29.7%	9.0%	20.7%	3.1%	3.44	3.44	+3.2
2018	38	MIX	2 levels	26	25	137	567	160	38	20	96%	5.3	27.4%	6.9%	20.5%	3.9%	3.54	3.79	+2.6
2018	38	MIX	2 levels	26	25	137	567	160	38	20	96%	5.3	28.2%	6.7%	21.5%	3.5%	3.54	3.49	+3.1
2019	39	MIX	2 levels	14	14	63	256	80	16	10	100%	4.5	29.8%	6.6%	23.1%	4.4%	2.30	3.83	+0.6
2019	39	MIX	2 levels	14	14	63	256	80	16	10	100%	4.5	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	3.9%	2.30	3.39	+0.9
2020	40	MLB	Minnesota Twins	8	8	39	156	31	17	3	100%	4.8	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	1.9%	3.03	3.85	+0.3
2020	40	MLB	Minnesota Twins	8	8	39	156	31	17	3	100%	4.8	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	1.9%	3.03	3.82	+0.3
2021	41	MLB	New York Mets	32	31	159	661	150	55	21	97%	5.0	22.7%	8.3%	14.4%	3.2%	3.86	3.99	+2.6
2021	41	MLB	New York Mets	32	31	159	661	150	55	21	97%	5.0	22.7%	8.3%	14.4%	3.2%	3.86	3.97	+2.7
2022	42	MIX	2 levels	27	27	127	540	114	37	16	100%	4.7	20.7%	7.0%	13.7%	2.8%	4.24	3.79	+2.4
2022	42	MIX	2 levels	27	27	127	540	114	37	16	100%	4.7	21.1%	6.9%	14.3%	3.0%	4.24	3.81	+2.4
2023	43	MLB	San Diego Padres	32	27	146	660	129	58	23	84%	4.6	19.5%	8.8%	10.8%	3.7%	5.41	4.62	+1.3
2023	43	MLB	San Diego Padres	32	27	146	660	129	58	23	84%	4.6	19.5%	8.8%	10.8%	3.5%	5.41	4.57	+1.4
2024	44	MIX	2 levels	5	1	6	22	7	4	1	20%	1.1	31.8%	18.2%	13.6%	4.5%	3.18	5.21	-0.0
2024	44	MIX	2 levels	5	1	6	22	7	4	1	20%	1.1	31.8%	18.2%	13.6%	4.5%	3.18	5.04	-0.0
2025	45	MIX	3 levels	13	13	59	266	65	33	13	100%	4.5	22.0%	13.7%	8.3%	5.1%	5.19	5.79	-0.9
2025	45	MIX	3 levels	13	13	59	266	65	33	13	100%	4.5	24.4%	12.4%	12.0%	4.9%	5.19	5.44	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	46	MLB	KC	16	16	96	405	75	43	15	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.7%	7.8%	3.7%	5.04	5.32	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	47	MLB	KC	14	14	83	349	60	40	15	100%	5.9	17.3%	11.4%	5.9%	4.2%	5.47	5.75	-0.7
2027	47	MLB	KC	14	14	83	350	61	40	14	100%	5.9	17.3%	11.4%	5.9%	4.0%	5.40	5.68	-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			205	194	1030	4296	1041	358	133	95%	5.0	24.2%	8.3%	15.9%	3.1%	3.81	3.81	+19.2
/ 200 IP	—			40	38	200	834	202	70	26	95%	5.0	24.2%	8.3%	15.9%	3.1%	3.81	3.81	+3.7
Career	—			239	203	1073	4491	1115	385	142	85%	4.5	24.8%	8.6%	16.2%	3.2%	3.67	3.83	+19.7
/ 200 IP	—			45	38	200	837	208	72	27	85%	4.5	24.8%	8.6%	16.2%	3.2%	3.67	3.83	+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rich Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	18.5%	10.7%	3.7%	—	5.75	17.3%	5.9%	83	+0.43	—	—	—
Francisco Campos R 2026 · 5.65 FIP	46	SP-	5.65	9.8%	8.6%	4.2%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	332	25
Bartolo Colon R 2025 · 5.22 FIP	45	SP	5.22	12.9%	3.8%	5.0%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	676	13

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2	89	18.0%	11.0%	1.52	5.24
Chris Tillman ('18)	4	116	16.5%	9.7%	1.34	5.42
James Kaprielian ('23)	3	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	3	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Yovani Gallardo ('18)	4	132	15.4%	10.2%	1.18	4.97
Tom Koehler ('17)	3	146	18.1%	10.2%	1.24	4.62
Matt Garza ('17)	3	122	15.5%	8.5%	1.26	5.10