Rich Hill
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 46
LHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 133
ERA4.99
FIP5.24
K%17.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%7.9%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (6%)
SI (6%)
CU (35%)
CT (16%)
FB-3.0 (43%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 35 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 34 | 9 | 83 | 335 | 97 | 35 | 6 | 26% | 2.4 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 1.9% | 2.39 | 3.27 | +1.3 |
| 2015 | 35 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 34 | 9 | 83 | 335 | 97 | 35 | 6 | 26% | 2.4 | 29.0% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 2.39 | 2.97 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 36 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 113 | 452 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 21.9% | 0.9% | 2.14 | 2.05 | +4.2 |
| 2016 | 36 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 113 | 452 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 29.9% | 7.3% | 22.6% | 0.9% | 2.14 | 2.05 | +4.2 |
| 2017 | 37 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 141 | 576 | 171 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 30.1% | 8.7% | 21.4% | 3.1% | 3.44 | 3.38 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 37 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 141 | 576 | 171 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 29.7% | 9.0% | 20.7% | 3.1% | 3.44 | 3.44 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 38 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 137 | 567 | 160 | 38 | 20 | 96% | 5.3 | 27.4% | 6.9% | 20.5% | 3.5% | 3.54 | 3.59 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 38 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 137 | 567 | 160 | 38 | 20 | 96% | 5.3 | 28.2% | 6.7% | 21.5% | 3.5% | 3.54 | 3.49 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 39 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 63 | 256 | 80 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 4.5 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 23.1% | 4.0% | 2.30 | 3.60 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 39 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 63 | 256 | 80 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 4.5 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 3.9% | 2.30 | 3.39 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 40 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 8 | 39 | 156 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.85 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 40 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 8 | 39 | 156 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 41 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | 32 | 31 | 159 | 661 | 150 | 55 | 21 | 97% | 5.0 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 3.86 | 3.99 | +1.7 |
| 2021 | 41 | MLB RAW | New York Mets | 32 | 31 | 159 | 661 | 150 | 55 | 21 | 97% | 5.0 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 3.86 | 3.97 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 42 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 127 | 540 | 114 | 37 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.85 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 42 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 127 | 540 | 114 | 37 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 21.1% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.81 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 43 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 32 | 27 | 146 | 660 | 129 | 58 | 23 | 84% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 5.41 | 4.43 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 43 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 32 | 27 | 146 | 660 | 129 | 58 | 23 | 84% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 5.41 | 4.43 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 43 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | 32 | 27 | 146 | 660 | 129 | 58 | 23 | 84% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 5.41 | 4.57 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 44 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 3.18 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 44 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 3.18 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 44 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 3.18 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 45 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 59 | 266 | 65 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 4.5 | 20.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.19 | 5.65 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 45 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 59 | 266 | 65 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 4.5 | 20.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.19 | 5.65 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 45 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 59 | 266 | 65 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 5.19 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 191 | 180 | 947 | 3947 | 981 | 318 | 119 | 94% | 5.0 | 24.9% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.67 | +14.1 | ||
| ▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 46 | MLB | KC | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 5.24 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 47 | MLB MLE | KC | 14 | 14 | 83 | 349 | 58 | 37 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.40 | 5.68 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 47 | MLB CTX | KC | 14 | 14 | 83 | 350 | 59 | 37 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.23 | 5.51 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 205 | 194 | 1030 | 4296 | 1039 | 355 | 132 | 95% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 3.1% | 3.79 | 3.79 | +13.7 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 40 | 38 | 200 | 834 | 202 | 69 | 26 | 95% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 3.1% | 3.79 | 3.79 | +2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 239 | 203 | 1073 | 4491 | 1111 | 380 | 135 | 85% | 4.5 | 24.7% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.74 | +13.2 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 45 | 38 | 200 | 837 | 207 | 71 | 25 | 85% | 4.5 | 24.7% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.74 | +2.6 | |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 0.9 | 89 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 1.50 | 5.18 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 1.6 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 1.9 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 1.2 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Daniel Mengden ('19) | 1.5 | 73 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 1.3 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 1.3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |