Rich Hill
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.0
WAR
Age 46
LHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AAA
ERA5.19
FIP5.04
xFIP6.80
SIERA7.32
K%21.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.0%
IP103
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p1088.4
Whiff%
p1019.3%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p120.357
SL (6%)
SI (6%)
CU (35%)
CT (16%)
FB-3.0 (43%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 35 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 34 | 9 | 83 | 335 | 97 | 35 | 6 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 2.39 | 3.28 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 21 | 21 | 113 | 452 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 1.0% | 2.14 | 2.10 | +4.1 |
| 2017 | 37 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 27 | 141 | 576 | 171 | 52 | 18 | 30.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 3.44 | 3.53 | +2.8 |
| 2018 | 38 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 26 | 25 | 137 | 567 | 160 | 38 | 20 | 27.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.54 | 3.56 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 39 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 14 | 14 | 63 | 256 | 80 | 16 | 10 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.30 | 3.52 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 40 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 8 | 39 | 156 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 3.03 | 3.92 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 41 | MLB | New York Mets | 32 | 31 | 159 | 661 | 150 | 55 | 21 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 3.86 | 3.99 | +2.4 |
| 2022 | 42 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 27 | 27 | 127 | 540 | 114 | 37 | 16 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 3.78 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 43 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 32 | 27 | 146 | 660 | 129 | 58 | 23 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 5.41 | 4.57 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 44 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| 2025 | 45 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 13 | 13 | 59 | 266 | 65 | 33 | 13 | 22.0% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 5.19 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 46 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 17 | 96 | 405 | 71 | 43 | 15 | 17.6% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 5.39 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 47 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 15 | 82 | 347 | 58 | 38 | 13 | 16.8% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 239 | 203 | 1073 | 4491 | 1115 | 385 | 138 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 3.67 | 3.78 | +18.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 38 | 200 | 837 | 208 | 72 | 26 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 3.67 | 3.78 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rich Hill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.39 | 17.6% | 10.7% | 3.7% | — | 5.57 | 16.8% | 5.7% | 82 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Campos R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 46 | SU | 5.84 | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 332 | 13 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 45 | SP | 5.06 | 12.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 676 | 6 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.