Danny Duffy
P
Round Rock Express
+0.0
WAR
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AAA
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
xFIP4.23
SIERA4.14
K%22.6%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%10.9%
IP15
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p7429.1%
K%
p7025.8%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
FB+6.3
SL+1.5
CH+0.8
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 33 | 27 | 145 | 620 | 112 | 54 | 16 | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 4.23 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 42 | 26 | 180 | 731 | 188 | 42 | 27 | 25.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.51 | 3.89 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 26 | 26 | 154 | 638 | 138 | 42 | 14 | 21.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 3.81 | 3.36 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 28 | 28 | 155 | 692 | 141 | 69 | 23 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.88 | 4.65 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 25 | 25 | 141 | 593 | 126 | 46 | 22 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 4.09 | 4.68 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 12 | 11 | 56 | 242 | 57 | 22 | 10 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 4.95 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 13 | 12 | 61 | 252 | 65 | 21 | 6 | 25.8% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 2.51 | 3.33 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| 2023 | 34 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 42 | 29 | 0 | 22.9% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 3.28 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 10 | 2 | 18 | 82 | 17 | 17 | 2 | 18.2% | 21.8% | 2.9% | 5.50 | 5.91 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 15 | — | 15 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.74 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | TEX | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 20.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 224 | 160 | 952 | 4046 | 881 | 351 | 129 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.00 | 4.11 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 34 | 200 | 850 | 185 | 74 | 27 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.00 | 4.11 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Duffy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.92 | 20.7% | 8.8% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 405 | 77 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.15 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 3.0% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 159 | 70 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.92 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .221 | 5.14 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 152 | +1.22 | 3.20 | 1,053 | 68 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 63 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 61 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 54 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.06 | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.64 | 5.7% | -0.3% | 35 | +0.58 | 3.35 | 199 | 49 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 42 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 41 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 39 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 38 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 38 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 37 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 36 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 36 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 36 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.83 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 150 | 36 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 36 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2023 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.59 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 119 | 36 |
| Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 36 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.