Zack Wheeler
PosP
B/TL/R
Born1990-05-30
Age (2026)36
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | 17 | 17 | 86 | 386 | 81 | 39 | 15 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 5.21 | 4.89 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 30 | 187 | 762 | 185 | 56 | 15 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 3.27 | 3.07 | +4.7 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 31 | 31 | 195 | 828 | 195 | 46 | 22 | 23.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 3.20 | +4.7 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 11 | 71 | 288 | 53 | 14 | 3 | 18.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 2.92 | 2.67 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 213 | 849 | 247 | 45 | 16 | 29.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.78 | 2.32 | +7.2 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 26 | 26 | 153 | 607 | 163 | 33 | 13 | 26.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 2.82 | 2.66 | +4.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 192 | 787 | 212 | 39 | 20 | 26.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.61 | 2.73 | +5.6 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 200 | 787 | 224 | 52 | 20 | 28.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 2.56 | 2.80 | +5.7 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 24 | 150 | 585 | 195 | 33 | 19 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.71 | 2.61 | +4.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 4 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 19 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.06 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | PHI | 26 | 26 | 144 | 610 | 191 | 38 | 17 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.96 | 3.12 | +3.6 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 160 | 674 | 210 | 42 | 18 | 31.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.17 | 2.81 | +4.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 24 | 134 | 566 | 172 | 37 | 16 | 30.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 3.16 | 3.29 | +3.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | PHI | 22 | 22 | 123 | 521 | 154 | 35 | 16 | 29.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 3.35 | 3.48 | +2.5 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | PHI | 21 | 21 | 113 | 479 | 138 | 34 | 15 | 28.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 3.54 | 3.67 | +2.1 |
| 2030 | 40 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 19 | 104 | 440 | 123 | 33 | 14 | 27.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 3.73 | 3.85 | +1.7 |
| 2031 | 41 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 96 | 405 | 110 | 31 | 14 | 27.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 3.92 | 4.04 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 42 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 88 | 373 | 98 | 30 | 13 | 26.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.10 | 4.23 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 43 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 81 | 343 | 87 | 28 | 13 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 4.29 | 4.41 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 240 | 240 | 1465 | 5947 | 1572 | 362 | 137 | 26.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 2.91 | +39.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 812 | 215 | 49 | 19 | 26.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 2.91 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Wheeler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.12 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | — | 3.47 | 29.6% | 22.9% | 371 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Justin Verlander R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.00 | 35.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | .215 | 2.27 | 27.8% | 23.4% | 175 | -0.73 | 2.27 | 1,584 | 33 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 32 |
| A.J. Burnett R 2028 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.04 | 20.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 164 | 27 |
| John Lackey R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.56 | 19.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | .291 | 4.31 | 22.3% | 15.4% | 359 | +0.75 | 3.56 | 577 | 25 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 35 | SP | 3.89 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 485 | 21 |
| Kameron Loe R 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 35 | SP | 3.36 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 1.3% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 201 | 18 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.18 | 13.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | .345 | 3.38 | 12.8% | 11.7% | 45 | +0.20 | 3.18 | 199 | 15 |
| Dan Haren R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.29 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 187 | 15 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.10 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 352 | 13 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2024 · 3.38 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.38 | 18.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 283 | 12 |
| Angel Castro R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.50 | 14.5% | 7.4% | 1.3% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 292 | 12 |
| Brad Penny R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.75 | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 135 | 9 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.66 | 16.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 214 | 9 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2024 · 3.65 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.65 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 132 | 6 |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 6 |
| Shaun Marcum R 2023 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.03 | 17.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 123 | 6 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.20 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 567 | 5 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.67 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .283 | 4.32 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 409 | +0.65 | 3.67 | 756 | 3 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 2.10 FIP | 36 | SP- | 2.10 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 1.0% | .267 | 3.54 | 29.0% | 21.4% | 327 | +1.44 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 0 |
| Randy Wolf L 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.41 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 174 | 0 |