Nelson Rada — OGILVIE

Nelson RadaCF Salt Lake Bees

Age 20 L/L 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION550 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP311

ISO55

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.3	$8M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$9M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$14M	+1.7	$9M	+$0.8M
Totals		$30M		$32M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	206	164	51	12	3	1	26	26	14	27	6	311	446	439	885	128	365	13	13	400	157	+14	+3	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	17	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	439	121	13	6	2	73	98	16	55	11	276	398	346	744	71	348	18	14	340	116	+11	+7	—	—	+12	2.9
2024	18	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	428	100	12	0	1	57	117	8	35	11	234	335	269	603	35	314	23	11	283	77	-13	+3	—	—	+11	-0.0
2025	19	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	201	161	52	6	3	1	30	35	2	20	6	323	435	416	851	93	405	17	15	373	139	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	19	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	388	328	91	13	1	1	45	82	10	34	12	277	381	332	714	55	366	21	12	330	109	+4	+2	—	—	+8	1.5
2025	19	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	56	48	11	2	0	0	5	8	3	3	1	229	339	271	610	42	275	14	9	293	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	176	44	11	2	1	14	38	14	27	6	250	353	352	705	102	307	18	7	308	95	-1	+3	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	459	112	11	5	2	53	131	16	55	11	244	343	303	646	59	318	24	10	286	80	-13	+7	—	—	+12	0.5
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	444	95	10	0	1	41	147	8	35	11	214	292	243	535	29	301	29	8	243	51	-30	+3	—	—	+11	-1.6
2025	19	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	201	169	47	5	2	1	22	46	2	20	6	278	368	349	717	71	360	23	11	317	101	+0	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	19	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	388	343	88	13	1	1	30	99	10	34	12	257	334	309	643	52	346	26	8	285	79	-10	+2	—	—	+8	0.1
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	176	44	11	2	1	14	38	14	27	6	250	353	352	705	102	314	18	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	206	164	51	12	3	1	26	26	14	27	6	311	446	439	885	128	365	13	13	400	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	459	112	11	5	2	53	131	16	55	11	244	343	303	646	59	334	24	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	439	121	13	6	2	73	98	16	55	11	276	398	346	744	71	348	18	14	340	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	444	95	10	0	1	41	147	8	35	11	214	292	243	535	29	312	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	428	100	12	0	1	57	117	8	35	11	234	335	269	603	35	314	23	11	283	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	560	149	20	4	2	57	159	15	57	19	266	350	327	676	61	367	25	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	3 teams	—	645	537	154	21	4	2	80	125	15	57	19	287	394	352	746	65	369	19	12	340	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	176	44	11	2	1	14	38	14	27	6	250	353	352	705	102	307	18	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	466	112	11	5	2	53	131	16	55	11	240	343	298	641	58	318	24	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	448	95	10	0	1	41	147	8	35	11	212	292	241	533	29	301	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	568	149	20	4	2	57	159	15	57	19	262	350	322	672	60	351	25	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	466	112	11	5	2	53	131	16	55	11	240	343	298	641	58	318	24	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	448	95	10	0	1	41	147	8	35	11	212	292	241	533	29	301	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	568	149	20	4	2	57	159	15	57	19	262	350	322	672	60	351	25	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AAA MLE	LAA	—	550	475	116	15	4	2	47	133	7	38	8	244	321	305	627	61	330	24	9	277	74	-17	+4	+0	+2	+12	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	AAA RAW	LAA	—	550	455	122	17	5	3	67	103	7	38	8	268	371	347	718	79	336	19	12	320	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	AAA MLE	LAA	10%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		312	20	10	279	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	20	MLB CTX	LAA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						311	0	0	268	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	MLB A+C	LAA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	268	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	AAA MLE	LAA	—	560	484	118	15	4	2	48	135	7	39	8	244	321	304	625	60	330	24	9	277	74	-18	+5	+0	+2	+12	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAA	47%	570	507	121	16	4	5	50	132	8	33	8	239	317	316	632	77	309	23	9	288	81	-13	+3	+3	+2	+12	0.8
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAA	63%	597	531	130	18	4	8	53	134	8	35	8	245	323	339	662	94	309	22	9	299	89	-8	+4	+3	+2	+13	1.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAA	69%	615	547	136	19	4	10	55	135	8	36	9	249	326	353	679	104	309	22	9	308	95	-4	+4	+3	+2	+13	1.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAA	70%	627	556	140	19	4	12	57	136	9	37	9	252	331	365	696	113	309	22	9	314	98	-1	+4	+3	+2	+14	2.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAA	70%	634	562	143	20	4	13	58	136	9	37	9	254	334	374	708	119	309	21	9	316	100	+0	+4	+3	+2	+14	2.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAA	71%	639	566	143	20	4	13	59	137	9	37	9	253	333	371	704	118	309	21	9	318	101	+1	+4	+3	+2	+14	2.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAA	69%	637	563	143	20	4	13	60	137	9	37	9	254	335	373	708	119	309	22	9	318	101	+1	+4	+3	+2	+14	2.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAA	69%	631	557	141	19	4	13	60	137	9	35	8	253	335	372	707	118	309	22	10	317	101	+0	+4	+3	+2	+14	2.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAA	67%	621	549	138	19	4	12	59	136	8	32	8	251	333	366	699	115	309	22	10	315	99	-0	+3	+2	+2	+13	2.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAA	66%	609	538	133	18	3	12	58	135	8	28	7	247	329	359	688	112	308	22	10	313	98	-2	+3	+1	+2	+13	1.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	595	525	129	17	3	11	57	133	8	24	6	246	329	352	681	107	306	22	10	309	95	-4	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	576	508	123	16	3	10	55	131	8	19	5	242	326	344	670	102	303	23	10	304	92	-6	+2	-0	+2	+12	1.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	547	483	114	14	3	9	52	128	7	14	3	236	319	333	653	97	300	23	10	297	87	-8	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.6
2040	34	MLB MLE	LAA	60%	499	443	101	12	3	7	47	120	6	9	2	228	310	316	627	88	295	24	9	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAA	47%	269	240	58	8	2	2	23	62	4	16	4	242	318	317	635	75	309	23	9	278	81	-6	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAA	63%	373	332	81	11	2	5	33	84	5	22	5	244	322	334	656	90	308	23	9	289	89	-5	+2	+2	+1	+8	0.9
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAA	69%	423	376	94	13	3	7	38	93	6	25	6	250	329	356	685	106	308	22	9	298	95	-3	+3	+2	+2	+9	1.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAA	70%	438	389	97	13	3	8	40	95	6	26	6	249	329	360	689	111	309	22	9	304	98	-1	+3	+2	+2	+9	1.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAA	70%	446	396	100	14	3	9	41	96	6	26	6	253	332	371	703	119	309	22	9	307	100	+0	+3	+2	+2	+10	1.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAA	71%	451	400	101	14	3	9	42	97	6	26	6	253	333	370	703	117	309	22	9	308	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+10	1.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAA	69%	442	392	98	13	3	9	41	95	6	26	6	250	330	367	698	117	309	21	9	308	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+10	1.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAA	69%	433	383	97	13	3	9	41	94	6	24	6	253	335	373	708	120	309	22	9	307	101	+0	+2	+2	+2	+9	1.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAA	67%	415	367	91	12	2	8	39	91	6	21	5	248	330	357	687	109	308	22	9	305	99	-0	+2	+1	+1	+9	1.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAA	66%	401	355	88	12	2	8	38	89	5	19	5	248	329	361	690	113	307	22	9	303	98	-1	+2	+1	+1	+9	1.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	388	343	84	11	2	7	37	87	5	16	4	245	327	350	677	105	305	22	10	299	95	-2	+2	+0	+1	+8	1.0
2038	32	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	373	330	80	10	2	7	35	85	5	13	3	242	324	348	673	106	303	23	9	294	92	-4	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.7
2039	33	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	353	312	74	9	2	6	33	82	5	9	2	237	320	337	657	99	300	23	9	288	87	-5	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2040	34	MLB CTX	LAA	60%	300	265	62	7	2	5	28	72	4	6	1	234	316	332	649	98	295	24	9	280	82	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5506	4881	1205	160	34	99	509	1222	75	275	65	247	327	354	682	108	308	22	9	299	91	-32	+29	+17	+20	+119	15.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	143	19	4	12	60	144	9	32	8	248	329	358	686	109	310	22	9	299	91	-4	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	10300	9083	2237	299	62	154	946	2344	167	588	147	246	329	344	672	97	314	23	9	303	91	-54	+43	+26	+30	+182	23.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	142	19	4	10	60	148	11	37	9	248	331	347	678	99	316	23	9	303	91	-4	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	7.9	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
/162	664	18	34	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#3Chone Figginslast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,348 PA	8.1	5,348	35	339	276	350	363	+16	+13	22.1	22.9
/162	664	4	42	+2.0	+1.6	2.7	pk7: 24
#4Michael Bournlast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,312 PA	8.0	5,312	36	340	266	330	358	+17	+56	22.0	21.6
/162	664	4	42	+2.1	+7.0	2.8	pk7: 21
#5Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	8.3	5,539	98	275	248	325	355	+10	+38	16.7	14.1
/162	664	12	33	+1.3	+4.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Rada (OGILVIE)	20	48→55	30→34	61	60	233/309/289	57	312	1	21	24%	9%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	74	-0.5	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	57	-1.8	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	7	-1.1
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	48→58	37→45	58→65	47	227/296/296	69	296	5	34	24%	8%	71	-0.8	258/320/347	89	337	5	44	23%	8%	91	+0.6	265/331/371	106	338	4	43	21%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	49→59	35→30	56→60	52	228/304/291	62	282	2	27	19%	9%	73	-0.6	235/323/289	54	300	2	27	20%	10%	80	-0.2	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
●Elvis Andrus 2009 · AA	20	52→61	37→50	55→60	43	247/294/318	72	319	4	32	23%	6%	74	-0.5	258/320/331	73	306	4	32	16%	8%	87	+0.4	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	54	34→30	63→70	51	245/315/301	55	327	1	43	24%	9%	78	-0.3	243/301/298	55	311	1	32	20%	7%	72	-0.7	240/290/280	40	302	0	29	19%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	48→58	39→40	58→60	49	227/284/312	85	271	6	29	18%	7%	70	-0.9	255/297/347	92	296	7	19	16%	6%	82	+0.0	268/307/357	89	308	6	16	14%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Ayendy Perez 2014 · A	20	50	34→30	57→60	52	231/306/289	58	287	1	25	19%	8%	73	-0.6	227/281/286	59	303	1	23	23%	7%	61	-1.5	227/274/278	51	320	0	27	27%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Rey Fuentes 2011 · A	20	47→57	37→40	59→60	38	222/263/297	75	301	4	25	27%	4%	58	-1.7	228/277/308	80	319	5	27	28%	5%	66	-1.1	275/323/366	91	351	7	33	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Rafael Bautista 2013 · A	20	51→55	35→30	61→60	45	236/301/296	59	312	1	33	23%	7%	72	-0.7	244/292/310	66	304	3	32	20%	5%	72	-0.7	251/292/315	63	304	3	38	18%	4%	69	-0.5
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2010 · A	22	55→65	37→40	60→65	42	257/297/336	79	317	3	30	20%	4%	79	-0.2	259/296/326	67	317	2	40	18%	4%	76	-0.4	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	52→62	36→45	61→65	43	243/282/310	67	291	2	33	17%	4%	68	-1.0	266/291/344	78	308	3	36	14%	3%	78	-0.3	272/310/361	89	305	7	25	13%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2010 · A	21	52→44	35→40	62→60	54	238/328/306	68	295	2	30	18%	10%	86	+0.3	217/288/288	71	281	2	22	21%	8%	66	-1.1	204/273/269	65	267	1	20	22%	7%	53	-1.2
●Andrés Giménez 2019 · AA	20	51→60	40→50	53→55	43	241/301/340	99	308	6	21	23%	5%	83	+0.1	231/284/348	117	297	10	24	25%	4%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	51→61	35→40	57→65	46	237/287/297	60	301	2	26	21%	6%	67	-1.1	261/303/340	79	336	3	30	22%	5%	82	-0.0	270/336/350	80	345	3	41	21%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	59→65	52	232/323/340	107	283	6	29	19%	9%	92	+0.7	232/310/353	121	294	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	226/310/337	111	288	7	11	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Randy Ventura 2016 · A	19	53→54	35→30	61→60	51	244/305/305	61	293	1	37	17%	8%	76	-0.4	238/284/287	49	314	2	22	23%	6%	63	-1.4	242/283/277	35	327	1	21	25%	5%	58	-1.0
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2013 · AA	22	52→57	38→40	59→55	45	244/296/331	87	313	4	24	22%	6%	78	-0.3	219/276/299	80	299	5	23	26%	7%	63	-1.3	193/250/256	63	281	5	20	31%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Brandon Roberts 2007 · A	22	53→58	37→40	56→55	43	249/296/317	68	309	4	28	20%	5%	75	-0.5	251/299/319	68	306	4	19	18%	5%	76	-0.4	272/327/339	67	324	4	22	16%	5%	89	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps