Nelson Rada — OGILVIE

Nelson RadaCF Salt Lake Bees

Age 20 L/L 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 3.0 · 2032

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .298 / .274

PA320

HR2

SB20

K%27

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42↗56

PWR

23↗31

SPD

60→60

FLD

55↗60

EYE

51↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.0	$17M	+$17M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+2.8	$26M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.0	$29M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.0	$30M	+$14M
Totals		$34M		$136M	+$102M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Angels	206	176	45	12	2	1	14	39	14	27	6	.256	.358	.364	.721	.108	.324	19	7	.312	97	-1	+3	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2023	17	A	Inland Empire 66ers	540	460	113	11	5	2	52	131	16	55	11	.246	.343	.304	.647	.059	.336	24	10	.287	78	-14	+7	+0	+2	+15	1.1
2024	18	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	502	445	90	10	0	1	40	157	8	35	11	.202	.280	.231	.511	.029	.305	31	8	.235	38	-35	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.7
2025	19	AA	3 teams	645	560	147	21	4	2	57	165	15	57	19	.263	.347	.325	.672	.062	.367	26	9	.292	82	-13	+4	+0	+2	+18	1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	96	81	23	3	1	1	9	22	2	7	1	.284	.370	.383	.752	.099	.367	23	9	.325	107	+1	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.5
ROS	20	MLB	LAA	224	198	45	6	1	1	20	59	4	13	4	.227	.311	.283	.594	.056	.317	26	9	.279	71	-7	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.2
TOT	20	MLB	LAA	320	279	68	9	2	2	29	81	6	20	5	.244	.328	.312	.640	.068	.332	25	9	.293	82	-6	+2	+1	+1	+9	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 27%	LAA	625	552	127	18	3	4	57	160	11	39	10	.230	.315	.295	.610	.065	.312	26	9	.283	75	-18	+4	+2	+2	+18	0.8
2028	22	MLB 48%	LAA	655	578	135	19	3	7	61	163	11	41	11	.234	.318	.313	.632	.080	.312	25	9	.293	82	-13	+4	+2	+2	+19	1.4
2029	23	MLB 65%	LAA	674	593	142	20	3	10	65	163	11	42	11	.239	.326	.334	.660	.094	.313	24	10	.302	90	-8	+4	+2	+2	+19	2.0
2030	24	MLB 82%	LAA	687	604	146	21	3	11	67	164	11	43	11	.242	.328	.341	.670	.099	.313	24	10	.309	95	-4	+4	+2	+2	+19	2.5
2031	25	MLB	LAA	695	608	150	21	3	13	70	164	12	43	11	.247	.336	.355	.691	.109	.315	24	10	.314	98	-1	+4	+2	+2	+20	2.8
2032	26	MLB	LAA	700	611	151	21	3	13	71	165	12	43	11	.247	.337	.355	.692	.108	.315	24	10	.316	100	+0	+4	+2	+2	+20	3.0
2033	27	MLB	LAA	699	610	150	21	3	13	72	166	12	42	10	.246	.337	.354	.691	.108	.316	24	10	.317	100	+0	+4	+2	+2	+20	3.0
2034	28	MLB	LAA	693	604	149	21	3	13	72	166	12	40	10	.247	.339	.356	.695	.109	.316	24	10	.316	100	-0	+4	+2	+2	+20	2.8
2035	29	MLB	LAA	682	595	145	20	3	12	71	165	11	38	9	.244	.335	.348	.683	.104	.315	24	10	.314	98	-1	+4	+1	+2	+19	2.6
2036	30	MLB	LAA	671	585	142	20	3	12	70	165	11	35	8	.243	.335	.349	.684	.106	.314	25	10	.311	96	-3	+4	+0	+2	+19	2.3
2037	31	MLB	LAA	657	572	138	19	3	11	69	164	11	31	7	.241	.334	.343	.677	.101	.313	25	11	.307	93	-5	+3	-1	+2	+19	1.9
2038	32	MLB	LAA	638	556	132	18	3	10	67	162	10	27	6	.237	.330	.335	.665	.097	.312	25	11	.303	90	-7	+3	-1	+2	+18	1.5
2039	33	MLB	LAA	609	531	123	16	2	9	63	159	10	24	5	.232	.325	.320	.645	.089	.312	26	10	.298	86	-10	+3	-2	+2	+17	1.1
2040	34	MLB	LAA	560	488	110	14	2	7	58	151	9	20	4	.225	.319	.305	.624	.080	.311	27	10	.292	82	-12	+2	-3	+2	+16	0.6
2041	35	MLB	LAA	502	438	98	12	2	6	51	141	8	17	3	.224	.316	.301	.617	.078	.310	28	10	.285	77	-13	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.1
2042	36	MLB	LAA	440	386	84	10	2	5	44	128	7	14	2	.218	.309	.293	.602	.075	.309	29	10	.278	71	-15	+2	-5	+2	+12	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			12304	10750	2562	351	56	163	1211	3097	226	726	180	.238	.328	.327	.655	.089	.318	25	10	.299	87	-179	+73	+3	+44	+349	29.5
/ 162G	—			650	568	136	19	3	9	64	164	12	38	10	.239	.329	.331	.660	.092	.319	25	10	.299	87	-9	+4	+0	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Angels	206	164	51	12	3	1	26	26	14	27	6	.311	.446	.439	.885	.128	.365	13	13	.400	164	+15	+3	—	—	+6	2.4
2023	17	A	Inland Empire 66ers	540	439	121	13	6	2	73	98	16	55	11	.276	.398	.346	.744	.071	.348	18	14	.340	119	+11	+7	—	—	+15	3.4
2024	18	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	502	428	100	12	0	1	57	117	8	35	11	.234	.335	.269	.603	.035	.314	23	11	.283	74	-14	+3	—	—	+14	0.2
2025	19	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	201	161	52	6	3	1	30	35	2	20	6	.323	.435	.416	.851	.093	.405	17	15	.373	144	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8
2025	19	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	388	328	91	13	1	1	45	82	10	34	12	.277	.381	.332	.714	.055	.366	21	12	.330	110	+5	+2	—	—	+11	1.8
2025	19	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	56	48	11	2	0	0	5	8	3	3	1	.229	.339	.271	.610	.042	.275	14	9	.293	82	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Rada (OGILVIE)	20	42→56	23→31	60	60	.218/.298/.274	.056	.308	2	18	27%	9%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	49→59	37→45	58→65	48	.230/.300/.300	.070	.295	5	33	23%	8%	70	-0.3	.257/.321/.348	.091	.334	5	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.272/.334/.371	.099	.351	5	52	22%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	53	34→30	62→70	50	.243/.313/.300	.057	.324	1	41	24%	9%	75	-0.0	.245/.304/.300	.055	.313	1	34	20%	7%	70	-0.3	.241/.292/.280	.039	.299	0	29	18%	6%	57	-0.4
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	48	37→40	60→65	54	.225/.302/.299	.073	.268	4	32	17%	9%	70	-0.3	.206/.275/.270	.064	.286	3	24	27%	8%	52	-1.6	.144/.214/.156	.012	.235	0	30	35%	6%	-5	-1.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	48→58	35→30	57→60	52	.223/.296/.286	.062	.272	2	27	18%	8%	65	-0.7	.231/.318/.286	.055	.296	2	27	20%	10%	74	-0.1	.238/.316/.298	.060	.299	3	17	20%	9%	73	-0.1
●Elvis Andrus 2009 · AA	20	50→59	37→50	55→60	43	.238/.286/.311	.073	.310	5	30	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.257/.318/.329	.072	.308	4	32	17%	8%	84	+0.6	.269/.322/.402	.134	.299	12	19	14%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	44→54	38→40	58→60	39	.210/.260/.288	.078	.299	5	27	30%	5%	49	-1.8	.247/.299/.338	.091	.332	7	29	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Rafael Bautista 2013 · A	20	51→56	35→30	60	45	.235/.299/.296	.061	.310	2	31	23%	7%	68	-0.5	.240/.288/.305	.065	.300	3	32	20%	5%	66	-0.6	.251/.294/.300	.049	.315	2	32	20%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Ayendy Perez 2014 · A	20	50	34→30	56→60	51	.229/.304/.287	.058	.286	1	24	19%	8%	68	-0.5	.228/.283/.285	.057	.301	1	23	23%	7%	57	-1.2	.227/.274/.275	.048	.318	0	27	27%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	45→50	34→30	57→65	49	.205/.285/.252	.047	.291	2	31	28%	10%	52	-1.6	.211/.298/.268	.057	.306	3	41	28%	11%	62	-0.9	.208/.292/.268	.060	.292	5	52	28%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Randy Ventura 2017 · A	20	50→55	35→30	58→60	49	.235/.292/.294	.059	.288	2	27	18%	7%	64	-0.8	.235/.279/.278	.043	.320	2	20	25%	6%	53	-1.5	.229/.273/.258	.028	.322	1	19	27%	5%	43	-1.5
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	48→58	38→45	58→60	49	.226/.282/.309	.083	.269	5	30	18%	7%	64	-0.8	.254/.296/.349	.095	.295	7	20	16%	6%	80	+0.4	.267/.306/.362	.094	.306	7	16	15%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	36→30	54→60	51	.210/.290/.269	.060	.280	4	23	25%	10%	59	-1.1	.222/.308/.288	.066	.293	2	21	22%	10%	71	-0.3	.235/.336/.301	.066	.302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2009 · A	20	49→41	34→40	58→60	50	.223/.306/.280	.056	.296	1	24	23%	9%	68	-0.5	.226/.305/.297	.071	.287	2	26	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.215/.289/.285	.070	.269	1	27	19%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Jesus Galindo 2012 · A	21	44→51	34→30	58→65	50	.204/.292/.256	.052	.285	1	29	26%	10%	56	-1.3	.223/.277/.282	.059	.299	2	34	24%	6%	54	-1.4	.229/.279/.292	.063	.310	2	38	25%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→52	37→30	59→60	47	.216/.285/.286	.070	.286	4	31	25%	8%	59	-1.1	.214/.281/.284	.070	.283	3	24	23%	8%	57	-1.2	.218/.288/.279	.061	.284	0	28	21%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Theo Bowe 2013 · A	22	51→57	35→30	56→60	47	.239/.300/.299	.060	.315	3	34	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.219/.270/.300	.081	.291	6	26	25%	6%	56	-1.3	.180/.219/.265	.085	.233	8	23	26%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2011 · A	20	43→53	36→40	61→70	39	.205/.249/.281	.076	.291	3	27	30%	5%	42	-2.3	.235/.287/.308	.073	.326	2	61	27%	7%	65	-0.7	.249/.300/.335	.087	.320	4	80	22%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Brandon Roberts 2007 · A	22	53→59	37→40	56→55	43	.248/.295/.317	.069	.308	5	27	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.254/.301/.323	.069	.312	4	20	19%	5%	76	+0.0	.276/.331/.345	.070	.330	4	22	17%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	46	34→30	55→60	54	.213/.306/.260	.047	.259	2	25	17%	9%	63	-0.8	.225/.304/.295	.070	.292	4	18	22%	8%	71	-0.3	.242/.304/.298	.057	.323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)