Luis Durango
CF Hudson Valley Renegades| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ALynchburg Hil… | 153 | .250/.344/.311 | 0 | 21 | 54 | — | .215/.298/.267 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/ROKNYY | 130 | .239/.326/.248 | 0 | 17 | 32 | — | .198/.272/.206 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 350 | .315/.374/.395 | 0 | 54 | 96 | — | .305/.346/.365 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBNYY | 1 | .228/.278/.292 | 0 | 0 | 62 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBNYY | 64 | .233/.284/.312 | 1 | 3 | 68 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBNYY | 116 | .235/.288/.325 | 1 | 5 | 72 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 28
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Indians | — | 184 | 156 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 308 | 403 | 404 | 807 | 96 | 363 | 17 | 10 | 364 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 261 | 217 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 38 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 189 | 320 | 226 | 546 | 37 | 229 | 15 | 12 | 267 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 63 | 55 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 273 | 365 | 291 | 656 | 18 | 341 | 17 | 11 | 311 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 16 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 571 | 625 | 786 | 1.411 | 214 | 727 | 19 | 12 | 608 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 132 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 250 | 344 | 311 | 655 | 61 | 324 | 20 | 6 | 304 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 112 | 97 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 258 | 351 | 268 | 619 | 10 | 333 | 20 | 8 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 167 | 125 | 292 | 182 | 28 | 6 | 139 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 78 | 68 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 294 | 368 | 338 | 707 | 44 | 345 | 13 | 8 | 319 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 107 | 95 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 347 | 398 | 442 | 840 | 95 | 402 | 12 | 7 | 363 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 106 | 96 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 312 | 365 | 365 | 730 | 52 | 353 | 11 | 6 | 327 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 59 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 351 | 442 | 793 | 154 | 306 | 5 | 3 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Indians | — | 184 | 163 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 252 | 326 | 313 | 639 | 61 | 322 | 25 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 261 | 225 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 290 | 218 | 507 | 36 | 231 | 20 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 63 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 263 | 581 | 18 | 324 | 24 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 16 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 467 | 500 | 667 | 1.167 | 200 | 572 | 25 | 6 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 215 | 298 | 267 | 565 | 52 | 296 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 112 | 100 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 220 | 297 | 230 | 527 | 10 | 303 | 26 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 138 | 39 | 6 | 92 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 78 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 300 | 355 | 343 | 698 | 43 | 358 | 15 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 107 | 98 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 316 | 350 | 398 | 747 | 82 | 361 | 16 | 4 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 106 | 98 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 296 | 337 | 347 | 683 | 51 | 334 | 15 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Indians | — | 184 | 163 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 252 | 326 | 313 | 639 | 61 | 333 | 25 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Indians | — | 184 | 156 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 308 | 403 | 404 | 807 | 96 | 363 | 17 | 10 | 364 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 261 | 225 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 290 | 218 | 507 | 36 | 238 | 20 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 261 | 217 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 38 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 189 | 320 | 226 | 546 | 37 | 229 | 15 | 12 | 267 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 79 | 72 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 278 | 342 | 333 | 675 | 56 | 385 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 79 | 69 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 333 | 418 | 391 | 809 | 58 | 418 | 18 | 11 | 371 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 215 | 298 | 267 | 565 | 52 | 309 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 132 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 250 | 344 | 311 | 655 | 61 | 324 | 20 | 6 | 304 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 118 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 203 | 271 | 212 | 483 | 8 | 293 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 130 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 239 | 326 | 248 | 573 | 9 | 314 | 21 | 8 | 273 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 350 | 317 | 97 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 8 | 54 | 14 | 306 | 353 | 366 | 719 | 60 | 369 | 16 | 4 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 350 | 311 | 98 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 38 | 8 | 54 | 14 | 315 | 374 | 395 | 769 | 80 | 358 | 11 | 6 | 338 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Indians | — | 184 | 164 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 250 | 326 | 311 | 637 | 61 | 322 | 25 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 261 | 225 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 290 | 218 | 507 | 36 | 231 | 20 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 79 | 72 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 278 | 342 | 333 | 675 | 56 | 374 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 136 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 213 | 298 | 265 | 563 | 51 | 296 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 118 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 203 | 271 | 212 | 483 | 8 | 280 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 350 | 324 | 97 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 8 | 54 | 14 | 299 | 353 | 358 | 711 | 59 | 350 | 16 | 4 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 153 | 136 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 213 | 298 | 265 | 563 | 51 | 296 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 118 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 203 | 271 | 212 | 483 | 8 | 280 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 350 | 324 | 97 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 8 | 54 | 14 | 299 | 353 | 358 | 711 | 59 | 350 | 16 | 4 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 0% | 341 | 316 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 71 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 229 | 278 | 292 | 570 | 63 | 288 | 21 | 5 | 259 | 62 | -16 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 278 | 292 | 570 | 64 | 288 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 62 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 30% | 211 | 195 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 232 | 284 | 310 | 594 | 78 | 289 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 44% | 262 | 242 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 235 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 88 | 289 | 21 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 49% | 289 | 267 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 61 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 234 | 288 | 325 | 613 | 90 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 52% | 303 | 279 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 233 | 288 | 324 | 612 | 91 | 288 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 51% | 302 | 278 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 232 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 91 | 288 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 51% | 300 | 276 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 66 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 229 | 284 | 316 | 599 | 87 | 286 | 22 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 30% | 64 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 233 | 284 | 312 | 596 | 79 | 288 | 20 | 5 | 270 | 68 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 44% | 116 | 107 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 288 | 325 | 613 | 90 | 289 | 21 | 5 | 276 | 72 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 49% | 142 | 131 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 288 | 327 | 616 | 93 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 52% | 156 | 144 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 234 | 288 | 327 | 615 | 93 | 288 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 51% | 156 | 144 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 287 | 326 | 613 | 93 | 287 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 51% | 154 | 142 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 284 | 318 | 602 | 89 | 286 | 22 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 788 | 728 | 170 | 28 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 168 | 11 | 29 | 9 | 234 | 287 | 327 | 614 | 93 | 288 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 69 | -26 | +2 | -2 | +3 | +17 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 140 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 139 | 9 | 24 | 7 | 233 | 286 | 324 | 611 | 92 | 288 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 69 | -22 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2995 | 2725 | 648 | 91 | 21 | 22 | 168 | 643 | 67 | 233 | 61 | 238 | 298 | 311 | 609 | 73 | 302 | 21 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -64 | +6 | -4 | +7 | +40 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 142 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 140 | 15 | 51 | 13 | 240 | 301 | 316 | 617 | 76 | 305 | 22 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -23 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 107 PAwOBA .353 → .311 (−43)K% 12.1% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 15.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .353 → .311; ISO .095 → .083; BABIP .402 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ATampa Tarpons · 106 PAwOBA .322 → .291 (−31)K% 11.3% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 29.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .322 → .291; ISO .052 → .047; BABIP .353 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AASomerset Patriots · 78 PAwOBA .311 → .310 (−1)K% 12.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 32.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .310; ISO .044 → .045; BABIP .345 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 112 PAwOBA .287 → .236 (−51)K% 19.6% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.64% | ÷0.985 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.04% | ÷0.984 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 3.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.870 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 29.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 1.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.850 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .287 → .236; ISO .010 → .008; BABIP .333 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Yankees · 18 PAwOBA .136 → .092 (−44)K% 27.8% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.056 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 13.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷2.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 312, 1B 111, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .136 → .092; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .138. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 153 PAwOBA .296 → .248 (−49)K% 19.6% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.61% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.54% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 5.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.49% | ÷1.056 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.844 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .296 → .248; ISO .061 → .055; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 63 PAwOBA .303 → .258 (−45)K% 17.5% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 30.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 2.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .303 → .258; ISO .018 → .016; BABIP .341 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Guardians · 16 PAwOBA .592 → .430 (−162)K% 18.8% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 54.55% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 43.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.925 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 7.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.349 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .592 → .430; ISO .214 → .156; BABIP .727 → .572. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .