Luis Durango — OGILVIE

Luis DurangoCF Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 135 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP320

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	184	156	48	6	0	3	18	31	7	28	7	308	403	404	807	96	363	17	10	364	132	+7	+3	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	217	41	4	2	0	32	38	10	20	8	189	320	226	546	37	229	15	12	267	67	-10	+1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2023	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	63	55	15	1	0	0	7	11	1	10	0	273	365	291	656	18	341	17	11	311	96	-0	+2	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	16	14	8	1	1	0	2	3	0	8	1	571	625	786	1.411	214	727	19	12	608	297	+4	+1	—	—	+0	0.5
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	132	33	6	1	0	9	30	10	21	1	250	344	311	655	61	324	20	6	304	92	-2	+4	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	112	97	25	1	0	0	9	22	5	17	7	258	351	268	619	10	333	20	8	294	85	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	22	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	18	16	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	125	167	125	292		182	28	6	139	-20	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	163	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	252	326	313	639	61	315	25	6	273	71	-6	+3	—	—	+4	0.0
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	228	40	4	1	0	21	55	10	20	8	175	274	202	476	26	224	21	8	221	36	-20	+1	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	63	58	14	1	0	0	4	16	1	10	0	241	302	259	560	17	321	25	6	250	55	-3	+2	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	16	15	7	1	1	0	1	4	0	8	1	467	500	667	1.167	200	575	25	6	432	178	+1	+1	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	135	28	5	1	0	6	43	10	21	1	207	291	259	551	52	295	28	4	244	51	-9	+4	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	112	100	23	1	0	0	6	30	5	17	7	230	306	240	546	10	317	27	5	244	51	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	59	111	59	170		141	39	6	94	-50	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	163	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	252	326	313	639	61	333	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	—	184	156	48	6	0	3	18	31	7	28	7	308	403	404	807	96	363	17	10	364	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	228	40	4	1	0	21	55	10	20	8	175	274	202	476	26	231	21	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	217	41	4	2	0	32	38	10	20	8	189	320	226	546	37	229	15	12	267	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	79	72	20	2	1	0	6	20	1	18	1	278	342	333	675	56	385	25	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	79	69	23	2	1	0	9	14	1	18	1	333	418	391	809	58	418	18	11	371	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	135	28	5	1	0	6	43	10	21	1	207	291	259	551	52	304	28	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	132	33	6	1	0	9	30	10	21	1	250	344	311	655	61	324	20	6	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	117	24	1	0	0	7	37	5	17	8	205	279	214	493	9	300	28	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	130	113	27	1	0	0	10	27	5	17	8	239	326	248	573	9	314	21	8	273	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	164	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	250	326	311	637	61	315	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	228	40	4	1	0	21	55	10	20	8	175	274	202	476	26	224	21	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	79	72	20	2	1	0	6	20	1	18	1	278	342	333	675	56	372	25	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	136	28	5	1	0	6	43	10	21	1	206	291	257	549	51	295	28	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	117	24	1	0	0	7	37	5	17	8	205	279	214	493	9	293	28	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	79	72	20	2	1	0	6	20	1	18	1	278	342	333	675	56	372	25	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	136	28	5	1	0	6	43	10	21	1	206	291	257	549	51	295	28	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	117	24	1	0	0	7	37	5	17	8	205	279	214	493	9	293	28	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	NYY	—	287	261	80	8	4	0	13	47	5	45	12	307	351	368	719	61	372	16	5	309	95	-2	+4	+0	+1	+6	1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	NYY	—	106	96	30	3	1	0	6	12	2	18	6	312	365	365	730	52	353	11	6	327	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	NYY	—	107	95	33	5	2	0	7	13	1	18	3	347	398	442	840	95	402	12	7	363	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	NYY	—	74	64	19	1	1	0	6	10	2	9	3	297	375	344	719	47	352	14	8	324	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	NYY	0%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	200	200	200	400		319	20	0	285	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	NYY	—	297	271	82	8	4	0	13	49	5	46	12	303	346	362	708	59	368	16	4	308	95	-2	+4	+0	+1	+6	1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	317	291	73	11	2	2	17	63	6	20	5	251	306	323	629	72	315	20	5	291	83	-6	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	374	343	89	13	3	5	21	75	7	24	6	259	315	359	674	99	314	20	6	299	89	-5	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	410	376	97	15	3	6	24	82	7	26	7	258	314	362	676	104	313	20	6	304	92	-4	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	422	387	99	15	3	6	25	85	7	27	7	256	313	357	669	101	313	20	6	305	92	-4	+3	+0	+2	+9	1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	427	391	100	15	3	6	26	87	7	26	7	256	314	355	669	100	313	20	6	304	92	-4	+2	-1	+2	+9	0.9
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	422	386	98	15	3	6	26	87	7	23	6	254	313	355	668	101	312	21	6	302	91	-5	+2	-1	+2	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	416	380	97	15	3	6	26	86	7	21	6	255	315	358	673	103	311	21	6	300	89	-5	+2	-2	+1	+9	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	403	368	92	14	3	5	25	85	7	18	5	250	310	345	655	95	309	21	6	296	86	-7	+2	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	386	352	88	13	3	5	24	83	7	14	4	250	311	347	657	97	307	22	6	290	83	-8	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	96	89	23	3	1	1	5	19	2	6	2	258	312	348	661	90	316	20	5	279	83	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	165	152	39	6	1	2	9	33	3	10	3	257	311	349	660	92	315	20	5	289	89	-2	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	208	190	50	8	2	3	12	42	4	13	3	263	320	374	694	111	315	20	6	294	92	-2	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	221	202	53	8	2	4	13	45	4	14	4	262	320	381	701	119	314	20	6	295	92	-2	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	228	208	54	8	2	4	14	46	4	14	4	260	319	375	694	115	314	20	6	294	92	-2	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	222	202	52	8	2	3	14	46	4	12	3	257	318	361	680	104	313	21	6	292	91	-2	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	217	198	50	8	1	3	13	45	4	11	3	253	312	348	660	96	313	21	6	290	89	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	209	190	48	7	1	3	13	44	4	9	2	253	314	347	661	95	311	21	6	286	86	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	199	182	46	7	1	3	12	43	3	7	2	253	310	352	661	99	308	22	6	281	83	-4	+1	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1765	1613	415	63	13	26	105	363	32	96	26	257	315	361	676	104	316	21	6	290	82	-23	+9	-5	+6	+38	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	153	23	5	10	39	134	12	35	10	258	317	364	680	106	316	21	6	290	82	-9	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4394	3999	988	142	29	49	265	936	95	304	78	247	309	334	643	87	309	21	6	289	82	-48	+19	-10	+13	+78	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	146	21	4	7	39	138	14	45	12	247	309	331	640	84	309	21	6	289	82	-9	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	3.8	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.3	9.3
/162	664	8	27	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9
#2José Perazalast yr '21 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,134 PA	3.2	2,134	35	76	266	307	373	+14	+31	8.6	8.6
/162	664	11	24	+4.5	+9.7	2.7	pk7: 9
#3Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,766	24	97	256	310	354	+6	+10	4.0	3.8
/162	664	9	36	+2.4	+3.8	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Durango (OGILVIE)	23	51→56	28→33	79→80	43	253/305/319	67	319	1	17	20%	5%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	53→59	40→45	63→60	43	249/298/351	102	329	6	35	25%	6%	83	+0.1	256/301/349	93	330	5	28	23%	6%	84	+0.1	254/299/339	85	328	5	27	23%	6%	77	-0.3
●Michael Bourn 2007 · AAA	24	52→62	39→45	64→65	45	246/299/335	89	318	5	31	24%	7%	80	-0.2	249/308/338	89	318	5	43	22%	8%	84	+0.1	276/338/379	103	351	5	38	21%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Travis Jankowski 2014 · A	23	53→63	35→40	61→65	45	246/295/309	63	320	2	37	23%	6%	72	-0.7	256/313/328	72	325	3	34	20%	7%	83	+0.1	267/332/341	75	337	3	37	20%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Andrew Toles 2014 · A	22	53→62	40→45	62→60	35	249/276/361	112	333	5	29	27%	3%	77	-0.3	252/286/359	107	327	6	26	24%	4%	80	-0.1	278/315/421	143	341	12	14	22%	4%	102	+0.7
✕Pedro Toribio 2013 · A	23	52	40	64→60	42	245/278/351	106	296	5	22	19%	4%	76	-0.4	241/272/307	66	305	2	22	21%	4%	63	-1.4	262/284/303	41	325	0	35	19%	2%	61	-0.8
✕Chris Garia 2016 · AAA	23	48→54	41→40	64→60	39	234/273/341	107	306	8	28	26%	4%	72	-0.7	217/262/330	113	285	9	20	26%	5%	65	-1.2	179/219/291	113	227	10	22	26%	4%	37	-1.0
✕Billy Hamilton 2014 · MLB	23	51→61	37→40	76→70	45	240/290/316	76	317	3	76	25%	7%	72	-0.7	236/284/320	84	292	5	63	20%	6%	71	-0.8	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	43	224/282/312	88	295	6	35	25%	6%	69	-0.9	222/277/311	89	296	6	34	25%	6%	67	-1.1	216/271/303	86	289	6	36	26%	6%	60	-1.3
✕Jace Peterson 2013 · A	23	53→57	37→50	60→55	52	247/312/333	86	296	3	27	17%	8%	84	+0.2	250/316/352	102	305	6	23	18%	8%	91	+0.6	238/316/380	142	295	14	19	23%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Anthony Norman 2008 · A	23	53→42	37→50	61→55	48	245/303/328	84	291	2	12	16%	6%	80	-0.2	221/300/359	138	271	13	18	22%	8%	88	+0.4	210/294/354	144	265	13	22	24%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	64→70	41	218/312/303	85	321	6	41	31%	6%	80	-0.1	220/307/306	86	308	5	49	28%	6%	79	-0.2	224/314/320	95	301	5	64	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jacob Young 2023 · A	24	48→57	36→40	61→60	46	225/291/289	64	292	3	28	22%	7%	68	-1.0	248/306/326	78	309	4	32	20%	6%	81	-0.1	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	49→50	40→45	61→50	42	232/274/336	104	292	5	17	22%	5%	70	-0.8	221/267/328	107	271	8	14	21%	5%	67	-1.1	212/262/324	112	253	10	13	20%	6%	62	-1.2
✕Kyle Wren 2015 · AA	24	56→61	36→40	61→60	45	261/302/338	77	318	2	32	18%	5%	81	-0.1	250/300/314	64	310	2	28	19%	6%	75	-0.5	250/309/325	75	320	3	25	21%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Peter Bourjos 2010 · AA	23	51→55	42→50	62→60	43	245/288/362	117	303	7	28	22%	5%	82	-0.0	246/294/386	140	303	12	24	22%	5%	91	+0.6	249/309/385	136	316	11	18	24%	6%	95	+0.5
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2011 · AA	23	55→65	36→40	60→65	43	257/296/330	73	314	3	34	19%	4%	78	-0.3	255/297/321	66	314	2	46	18%	5%	76	-0.4	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→60	34→40	64→60	46	242/289/300	58	293	1	37	17%	6%	68	-1.0	245/291/319	74	311	4	33	21%	5%	74	-0.6	241/289/323	82	308	5	35	22%	5%	71	-0.7
✕Josh Anderson 2006 · AA	23	54→63	36→40	59→60	42	256/291/327	71	308	2	33	18%	4%	74	-0.5	272/306/342	70	322	3	32	16%	4%	84	+0.1	281/316/350	70	330	3	35	15%	4%	86	+0.4
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2014 · AAA	23	52→57	39→40	60→55	47	246/302/340	94	315	5	27	22%	7%	82	+0.0	206/263/281	75	293	5	20	29%	7%	55	-2.0	193/250/256	63	281	5	20	31%	6%	41	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps