Chandler Simpson

Chandler SimpsonLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.814 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION355 act + 247 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7281vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.280 / .318 / .345

PA247

HR1

SB21

K%11

BB%5

BABIP312

ISO65

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

902.7%

xwOBA

280.283

POWER30

Avg EV

1084.2

Bat Spd

1064.7

EYE45

Chase%

9018.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.5

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 553 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

146

407

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

287

304

▶R

ISO

015

061

▶▶R

BABIP

325

329

—

8.2%

10.1%

◀◀L

BB%

4.1%

4.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.814 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.8M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.2M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	34	29	9	3	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	310	394	414	808	103	375	18	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	503	465	113	11	5	0	32	65	2	94	15	243	295	288	583	45	282	13	6	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	503	443	130	13	5	0	54	44	2	94	15	293	373	345	718	52	326	9	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	505	467	151	14	1	1	29	58	0	104	17	323	363	364	727	41	365	11	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	505	451	160	14	1	1	44	43	0	104	17	355	411	397	808	42	388	9	9	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	597	563	171	19	6	0	26	59	0	63	15	304	334	359	693	55	337	10	4	305	92	-6	+7	-6	+2	+17	1.4
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	597	558	170	18	6	0	29	58	0	63	15	305	338	358	696	54	338	10	5	310	96	-3	+7	-6	+2	+17	1.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	TB	—	355	330	92	8	6	0	18	33	0	22	11	279	316	339	655	61	308	9	5	287	78	-9	+0	+2	-4	+10	-0.1
YTD	25	MLB	TB	—	355	330	92	8	6	0	18	33	0	22	11	279	316	339	655	61	308	9	5	290	80	-8	+0	+2	-4	+10	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	TB	100%	247	232	65	6	3	1	13	27	0	21	6	280	318	345	663	65	314	11	5	299	87	-4	+2	-0	-3	+7	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	TB	100%	247	232	67	6	4	1	13	27	0	21	6	289	327	362	689	73	320	11	5	303	90	-3	+2	-0	-3	+7	0.3
FULL	25	MLB	TB	—	602	562	159	14	10	1	31	60	0	43	17	283	320	349	669	66	313	10	5	294	83	-12	+2	+2	-6	+17	0.3
TOT	25	MLB	TB	—	602	562	157	14	9	1	31	60	0	43	17	279	317	342	659	62	310	10	5	292	82	-13	+2	+2	-6	+17	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TB	92%	602	564	160	16	8	2	32	65	1	50	14	284	323	351	674	67	314	11	5	299	87	-9	+4	-0	-6	+17	0.6
2028	27	MLB	TB	92%	597	559	158	15	8	2	32	65	1	50	14	283	323	349	671	66	313	11	5	299	87	-9	+4	-0	-6	+17	0.6
2029	28	MLB	TB	92%	589	551	154	15	7	1	32	65	1	47	13	279	320	338	658	58	313	11	5	298	86	-9	+4	-1	-6	+17	0.5
2030	29	MLB	TB	92%	577	539	150	14	7	1	32	65	1	43	12	278	320	336	656	58	312	11	6	296	85	-10	+4	-2	-6	+16	0.2
2031	30	MLB	TB	92%	565	529	147	14	7	1	31	65	0	38	11	278	318	336	654	59	310	12	5	292	82	-11	+3	-2	-6	+16	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	TB	92%	554	519	150	14	8	2	29	60	1	46	13	289	328	358	686	69	319	11	5	303	90	-6	+4	-0	-6	+16	0.8
2028	27	MLB	TB	92%	549	513	147	14	7	1	30	60	1	46	13	287	327	347	674	60	319	11	5	303	90	-6	+4	-0	-6	+16	0.8
2029	28	MLB	TB	92%	542	506	144	13	7	1	30	60	1	43	12	285	326	344	670	59	319	11	6	302	89	-7	+4	-1	-6	+15	0.6
2030	29	MLB	TB	92%	531	497	141	13	7	1	29	60	0	39	11	284	323	344	667	60	318	11	5	300	88	-7	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.4
2031	30	MLB	TB	92%	520	486	137	12	7	1	29	60	0	35	10	282	322	342	664	60	316	12	6	297	85	-9	+3	-2	-6	+15	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3384	3167	908	87	43	7	180	370	3	274	77	287	325	348	673	61	321	11	5	301	89	-44	+24	-11	-29	+96	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	174	17	8	1	35	71	1	53	15	286	326	345	671	59	321	11	5	301	89	-8	+5	-2	-6	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4816	4498	1278	127	52	9	263	540	6	518	117	284	325	341	666	57	319	11	5	297	85	-81	+57	-11	-43	+136	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	172	17	7	1	35	73	1	70	16	283	323	339	663	56	319	11	5	297	85	-11	+8	-1	-6	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	182	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	106	89	29	4	1	0	16	9	0	13	3	326	429	393	822	67	362	8	15	374	144	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	397	354	101	9	4	0	38	35	2	81	12	285	358	333	691	48	317	9	10	316	100	+0	+11	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	322	113	13	1	1	29	27	0	73	12	351	405	407	811	56	377	8	8	361	135	+14	+10	—	—	+10	3.5
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	147	129	47	1	0	0	15	16	0	31	5	364	428	372	800	8	416	11	10	363	136	+6	+4	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	295	326	345	671	51	327	10	5	300	88	-6	+4	-6	+2	+12	0.6
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	156	144	48	3	3	0	9	15	0	19	3	333	373	396	768	62	369	10	6	340	118	+3	+3	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	295	326	345	671	51	327	10	5	300	88	-6	+4	-6	+2	+12	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Juan Pierrelast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,280 PA	14	8,280	18	614	295	343	361	-29	+4	24.8	24.3
	/162	664	1	49	295	343	361	-2.3	+0.4	2.0	pk7: 24
#2Scott Podsedniklast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,315 PA	9	4,315	41	309	281	339	379	-24	-27	10.6	10.8
	/162	664	6	48	281	339	379	-3.8	-4.2	1.6	pk7: 11
#3Rajai Davislast yr '18 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,564 PA	12	4,564	61	414	263	311	380	-3	-25	10.5	10.3
	/162	664	9	60	263	311	380	-0.4	-3.6	1.5	pk7: 10
#4Dave Robertslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,910 PA	7	2,910	21	231	268	346	370	-9	-7	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	5	53	268	346	370	-2.2	-1.6	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	7	3,313	7	211	285	320	344	-10	+1	5.2	5.2
#5Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	/162	664	1	42	285	320	344	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,094	9	337	283	318	344	-44	-24	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	1	55	283	318	344	-7.1	-4.0	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Tony Womacklast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,230 PA	7	3,230	23	169	269	310	351	-8	-7	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	5	35	269	310	351	-1.7	-1.5	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Simpson (OGILVIE)	25	60	30	60	45	279/317/342	62	310	1	43	10%	5%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB	25	56→66	37→30	66→60	46	263/315/344	81	331	3	47	21%	6%	86	+0.8	259/330/319	60	310	2	35	16%	8%	87	+0.8	284/345/320	36	330	0	35	13%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Tony Campana 2012 · MLB	26	57→63	35→30	62→70	42	266/306/322	55	341	2	43	22%	5%	76	+0.1	245/291/301	56	326	2	46	24%	6%	65	-0.7	239/286/286	47	319	1	46	24%	6%	56	-0.9
●Juan Pierre 2004 · MLB	26	63→68	36→40	63→65	54	295/346/366	71	310	2	44	6%	6%	105	+2.1	294/341/376	82	310	3	41	6%	6%	105	+2.1	292/338/376	83	307	2	43	5%	5%	101	+2.2
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2013 · MLB	25	53→63	35→40	63→65	44	248/288/312	64	300	2	46	18%	5%	66	-0.6	269/313/347	78	332	3	51	19%	6%	86	+0.8	313/345/388	75	364	3	52	14%	4%	106	+2.1
✕Ben Revere 2013 · MLB	25	59→64	34→40	61→65	49	276/315/327	51	304	1	37	10%	5%	82	+0.5	290/321/349	59	320	2	36	10%	4%	89	+1.0	298/328/356	58	329	1	38	9%	4%	91	+1.0
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	63→65	51	265/321/348	83	309	4	41	15%	7%	89	+1.0	285/318/365	80	330	4	39	14%	5%	92	+1.2	295/322/370	75	341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.8
●Corey Wimberly 2009 · AA	25	56→66	36→40	61→65	46	263/315/327	63	306	3	45	15%	5%	82	+0.5	261/314/327	66	301	2	37	13%	5%	82	+0.5	295/355/389	94	336	3	33	12%	5%	112	+1.3
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	37→30	59→65	48	263/312/331	68	310	4	39	16%	6%	82	+0.5	255/306/319	64	304	4	32	16%	7%	76	+0.1	274/323/324	50	325	2	31	15%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	54→58	37→45	67→70	46	253/303/326	74	316	3	47	21%	6%	76	+0.1	253/311/332	79	312	3	54	18%	8%	82	+0.5	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Eric Young Jr. 2010 · MLB	25	54→58	40→45	64→65	48	257/319/358	101	317	6	44	20%	7%	92	+1.2	244/316/331	87	306	4	42	20%	9%	84	+0.6	253/325/344	90	308	3	47	17%	9%	89	+0.7
✕Willy Taveras 2009 · MLB	27	57→67	35→45	66→65	49	266/320/326	60	310	3	53	15%	6%	84	+0.6	230/272/299	69	269	5	34	16%	5%	56	-1.3	247/300/363	116	302	11	27	21%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Jeff Kobernus 2014 · MLB	26	56→62	37→40	61→65	42	266/302/336	70	329	4	43	20%	5%	79	+0.3	232/282/302	70	300	5	29	23%	6%	62	-0.9	209/261/256	47	279	3	28	25%	6%	39	-1.0
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	48→58	39→40	69→70	46	229/274/313	84	275	6	61	19%	6%	61	-1.0	239/294/326	87	300	5	55	21%	7%	73	-0.1	240/299/324	84	307	4	55	22%	8%	73	-0.1
●Billy Burns 2015 · AAA	25	53→63	35→40	64→65	49	247/311/306	59	309	1	41	19%	8%	76	+0.0	258/302/331	73	311	3	30	17%	5%	77	+0.1	265/308/334	69	315	2	29	16%	5%	77	+0.1
●Mallex Smith 2017 · MLB	24	56→61	40→45	65	48	262/322/366	103	334	6	44	22%	8%	95	+1.4	256/317/360	104	327	6	40	22%	8%	92	+1.2	254/319/357	104	325	5	46	22%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	56→60	35→40	63→60	51	260/326/322	62	333	2	37	21%	9%	85	+0.7	250/317/319	69	315	3	28	20%	9%	82	+0.5	240/313/301	62	294	2	24	17%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	36→30	61→60	54	215/307/283	68	268	3	39	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/309/297	70	291	4	22	21%	9%	73	-0.1	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→62	37→40	59→65	48	267/321/346	79	328	4	31	19%	7%	89	+1.0	250/321/327	77	331	4	32	23%	9%	85	+0.7	258/335/328	70	329	4	29	21%	10%	87	+0.4
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→60	34→40	64→60	46	243/290/302	58	298	1	37	18%	6%	64	-0.8	248/292/326	78	316	4	33	22%	5%	72	-0.2	245/291/333	88	313	6	35	22%	5%	71	-0.2
●Michael Bourn 2009 · MLB	26	50→60	39→45	66→65	48	237/295/323	87	295	7	43	22%	8%	73	-0.1	268/333/359	91	339	4	47	20%	9%	98	+1.6	274/337/375	101	350	5	38	21%	8%	101	+2.0