Chandler Simpson

Chandler SimpsonLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.814 · Ctrl thru 2032

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7486vR 90

AVG/OBP/SLG.287 / .323 / .342

PA612

HR2

SB56

K%10

BB%5

BABIP316

ISO56

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

902.0%

xAVG

800.275

POWER30

Avg EV

1084.0

Bat Spd

1064.7

EYE45

Chase%

9013.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%7%▲▲6% over 103 PA (45d) · proj 10%

BB%4%▼4% over 162 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.040▼.026 over 154 AB (60d) · proj .054

HR/BB0.1%·0.0% over 145 BBE (60d) · proj 0.3%

BABIP.312·.324 over 145 BIP (60d) · proj .310

SLASH.292/.321/.332·proj .282/.316/.337

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 553 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

146

407

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

287

304

▶R

ISO

015

061

▶▶R

BABIP

325

329

—

8.2%

10.1%

◀◀L

BB%

4.1%

4.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.814 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$13M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	106	89	29	4	1	0	16	9	0	13	3	326	429	393	822	67	362	8	15	374	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	397	354	101	9	4	0	38	35	2	81	12	285	358	333	691	48	317	9	10	316	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	322	113	13	1	1	29	27	0	73	12	351	405	407	811	56	377	8	8	361	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	147	129	47	1	0	0	15	16	0	31	5	364	428	372	800	8	416	11	10	363	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	295	326	345	671	51	327	10	5	300	83	-9	+4	-6	+2	+10	0.1
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	156	144	48	3	3	0	9	15	0	19	3	333	373	396	768	62	369	10	6	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	571	175	16	6	0	26	48	0	46	14	306	337	356	692	49	331	8	4	305	89	-8	+4	+2	-7	+13	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1053	985	297	31	9	0	46	91	0	90	26	302	332	351	683	50	329	9	4	303	91	-11	+8	-4	-4	+23	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	29	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	276	364	345	708	69	323	18	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	106	96	27	3	1	0	9	12	0	13	3	281	343	333	676	52	320	11	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	397	367	87	8	4	0	25	48	2	81	12	237	289	281	570	44	270	12	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	332	112	13	1	1	19	33	0	73	12	337	373	392	765	54	362	9	5	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	147	136	39	1	0	0	9	22	0	31	5	287	331	294	625	7	335	15	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	441	416	119	14	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	286	319	334	653	48	327	10	5	292	83	-9	+4	-6	+2	+10	0.1
2025	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	156	147	52	3	4	0	6	17	0	19	3	354	379	429	808	75	387	11	4	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	572	172	16	6	0	25	48	0	46	14	301	330	350	680	49	331	8	4	300	89	-8	+4	+2	-7	+13	0.4
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	29	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	276	364	345	708	69	333	18	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	503	463	114	11	5	0	34	61	2	94	15	246	301	292	592	45	284	12	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	503	443	130	13	5	0	54	44	2	94	15	293	373	345	718	52	326	9	11	329	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	468	151	14	1	1	28	55	0	104	17	323	361	363	724	41	361	11	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	505	451	160	14	1	1	44	43	0	104	17	355	411	397	808	42	388	9	9	362	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	563	170	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	302	333	353	686	52	336	10	4	305	93	-5	+7	-6	+2	+13	1.0
2025	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	597	558	170	18	6	0	29	58	0	63	15	305	338	358	696	54	338	10	5	310	93	-5	+7	-6	+2	+13	1.0
2026	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	572	172	16	6	0	25	48	0	46	14	301	330	350	680	49	325	8	4	300	89	-8	+4	+2	-7	+13	0.4
2026	25	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	571	175	16	6	0	26	48	0	46	14	306	337	356	692	49	331	8	4	305	89	-8	+4	+2	-7	+13	0.4
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	30	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	267	364	333	697	67	323	18	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	503	462	114	11	5	0	34	61	2	94	15	247	301	292	593	45	281	12	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	472	151	14	1	1	28	55	0	104	17	320	361	360	721	40	354	11	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	566	170	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	300	333	352	684	51	343	10	4	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	582	172	16	6	0	25	48	0	46	14	296	330	344	674	48	331	8	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	472	151	14	1	1	28	55	0	104	17	320	361	360	721	40	354	11	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	566	170	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	300	333	352	684	51	343	10	4	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	612	582	172	16	6	0	25	48	0	46	14	296	330	344	674	48	331	8	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	100%	596	561	159	16	5	2	29	58	1	55	9	283	319	337	656	54	310	10	5	295	86	-10	+7	+4	-6	+13	1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	100%	612	576	166	16	5	2	30	60	1	56	10	287	323	342	665	54	316	10	5	299	86	-10	+7	+4	-7	+13	0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	92%	607	571	161	16	5	1	30	60	1	55	9	282	318	334	652	52	310	10	5	293	85	-11	+7	+4	-7	+13	0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	92%	599	564	158	16	4	1	29	61	1	51	9	280	316	329	644	49	309	10	5	290	83	-12	+7	+3	-6	+13	0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	92%	587	554	154	15	4	1	28	61	0	45	8	277	312	322	634	45	307	10	5	286	80	-14	+6	+3	-6	+13	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	TB	92%	575	543	148	14	4	0	27	62	0	38	7	273	308	313	621	40	305	11	5	281	76	-16	+5	+2	-6	+12	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	92%	558	525	150	15	4	1	27	55	1	51	9	286	322	339	661	52	315	10	5	297	85	-10	+7	+4	-6	+12	0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	92%	551	518	147	14	4	1	27	56	1	46	8	284	320	334	653	49	314	10	5	294	83	-11	+6	+3	-6	+12	0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	92%	540	509	143	13	4	1	26	56	0	41	7	281	317	327	644	45	313	10	5	290	80	-13	+5	+2	-6	+12	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	TB	92%	529	499	139	13	4	0	25	57	0	35	6	278	312	318	631	40	310	11	5	285	76	-15	+5	+2	-6	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3231	3036	876	86	25	3	151	315	2	263	56	289	322	336	659	48	319	10	5	295	84	-61	+30	+7	-28	+70	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	611	176	17	5	1	30	63	0	53	11	288	321	337	658	49	318	10	5	295	84	-12	+6	+1	-6	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5231	4903	1399	137	40	6	261	534	5	560	104	285	322	333	655	48	317	10	5	293	84	-75	+39	+12	-36	+87	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	609	174	17	5	1	32	66	1	70	13	286	322	335	657	49	317	10	5	293	84	-12	+6	+2	-6	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Podsedniklast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,315 PA	6.5	4,315	41	309	281	339	379	-24	-27	10.6	10.8
/162	664	6	48	-3.8	-4.2	1.6	pk7: 11
#2Dee Strange-Gordonlast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,163 PA	6.3	4,163	18	336	286	319	360	+19	-18	9.6	10.8
/162	664	3	54	+3.0	-2.8	1.5	pk7: 12
#3Rajai Davislast yr '18 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,564 PA	6.9	4,564	61	414	263	311	380	-3	-25	10.5	10.3
/162	664	9	60	-0.4	-3.6	1.5	pk7: 10
#4Dave Robertslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,910 PA	4.4	2,910	21	231	268	346	370	-9	-7	10.3	10.3
/162	664	5	53	-2.2	-1.6	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	5.0	3,313	7	211	285	320	344	-10	+1	5.2	5.2
/162	664	1	42	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.8	3,844	5	319	285	316	334	-41	-21	3.1	3.2
/162	664	1	55	-7.1	-3.7	0.5	pk7: 3
#6Alex Sanchezlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,651 PA	2.5	1,651	6	122	296	330	372	+1	-30	1.2	1.2
/162	664	2	49	+0.4	-12.2	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Simpson (OGILVIE)	26	60	30	60	45	280/316/334	54	310	2	56	10%	5%	86	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tony Campana 2012 · MLB	26	58→64	35→30	62→70	43	270/310/329	59	341	2	43	21%	5%	82	-0.0	249/294/306	57	330	2	46	23%	6%	71	-0.8	242/288/289	47	323	1	46	24%	6%	63	-1.0
●Juan Pierre 2004 · MLB	26	63→68	36→40	63→65	54	295/345/366	71	310	2	44	6%	6%	104	+1.6	293/340/375	82	309	3	41	6%	6%	104	+1.6	292/337/375	83	307	2	43	5%	5%	104	+2.0
●Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	54→64	36→30	61→60	51	251/322/323	72	306	3	38	18%	8%	86	+0.3	270/336/323	53	317	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.7	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	63→65	51	265/321/348	83	309	4	41	15%	7%	91	+0.6	285/317/365	80	330	4	39	14%	4%	93	+0.8	295/321/369	75	340	3	41	14%	3%	96	+0.7
✕Jeff Kobernus 2014 · MLB	26	57→63	37→40	62→65	43	271/308/341	70	333	4	43	20%	5%	84	+0.2	233/283/304	71	299	5	29	22%	6%	67	-1.1	206/257/254	49	270	3	28	24%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	37→40	59→65	49	267/316/336	70	313	4	39	16%	6%	86	+0.3	256/307/320	64	306	4	32	16%	7%	80	-0.2	269/317/317	49	318	2	31	15%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	53→57	37→45	67→70	47	247/299/321	74	306	4	47	20%	7%	76	-0.4	248/307/326	78	305	3	54	18%	7%	81	-0.1	254/319/358	104	292	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2017 · MLB	26	51→61	39→40	70	48	241/294/326	85	291	6	62	19%	7%	76	-0.4	239/297/325	86	308	4	46	22%	8%	77	-0.3	233/294/313	80	305	3	45	23%	8%	72	-0.6
●Corey Wimberly 2009 · AA	25	56→65	36→40	61→65	47	261/314/323	62	301	3	45	14%	5%	83	+0.1	257/312/320	63	296	2	37	13%	5%	82	-0.0	278/336/362	84	316	2	33	12%	4%	98	+0.6
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2014 · MLB	26	54→64	36→40	67→65	47	250/303/320	70	311	2	50	20%	7%	78	-0.3	290/328/380	90	349	3	50	17%	5%	100	+1.3	311/342/389	78	362	3	52	14%	4%	108	+1.9
✕Willy Taveras 2009 · MLB	27	57→67	35→45	66→65	49	266/320/326	60	310	3	53	15%	6%	86	+0.3	231/273/301	70	269	5	34	15%	5%	62	-1.4	242/294/346	104	295	8	27	20%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Ben Revere 2014 · MLB	26	61→64	34→40	60→65	48	286/322/339	54	315	2	36	10%	5%	88	+0.5	286/317/354	68	314	3	34	9%	4%	90	+0.6	281/312/348	67	307	2	34	9%	4%	87	+0.4
✕Ian Miller 2018 · AAA	26	55→59	36→40	63→60	43	256/299/322	66	318	3	35	20%	5%	76	-0.4	235/286/327	92	297	6	31	22%	6%	74	-0.6	226/279/314	87	285	6	32	22%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Josh Anderson 2010 · MLB	27	56→63	38→40	62→60	44	266/303/347	81	308	5	37	15%	4%	84	+0.1	223/264/310	87	270	7	28	19%	5%	61	-1.5	170/193/200	30	217	0	39	21%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Freddy Guzman 2007 · MLB	26	52→61	38→45	60→70	51	244/307/326	82	290	5	39	17%	8%	82	-0.0	238/292/326	88	282	4	47	16%	7%	76	-0.4	267/319/375	107	317	7	77	17%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Rich Thompson 2006 · AAA	27	49→57	38→45	67→65	45	234/289/318	84	280	5	43	18%	6%	73	-0.6	247/306/343	96	301	5	28	18%	6%	85	+0.2	253/313/352	99	312	4	26	19%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Nyjer Morgan 2008 · MLB	28	57→63	36→45	63→65	44	267/318/341	74	326	3	42	18%	5%	88	+0.5	273/326/349	76	327	3	43	16%	6%	93	+0.8	277/338/360	83	328	3	35	15%	6%	101	+1.2
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	50	226/301/295	69	301	2	41	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/290/283	73	294	4	29	27%	9%	66	-1.1	161/263/185	24	243	0	34	30%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Jason Tyner 2002 · MLB	25	55→65	35→30	61→55	46	256/292/316	60	283	3	34	11%	4%	72	-0.7	243/291/316	73	273	4	22	12%	6%	72	-0.7	288/330/342	53	323	1	14	10%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→60	38→40	63→60	49	245/306/332	87	305	5	37	20%	8%	82	-0.0	222/278/299	77	284	5	28	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/263/277	65	270	4	25	22%	5%	51	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps