Chandler Simpson

Chandler SimpsonLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs MLB HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.814 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION568 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8092vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA10

HR0

K%10

BB%5

BABIP331

ISO56

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

902.1%

xAVG

790.275

POWER30

Avg EV

1083.9

Bat Spd

1064.7

EYE45

Chase%

9014.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%8%▲▲6% over 118 PA (30d) · proj 11%

BB%4%▼4% over 167 PA (45d) · proj 5%

ISO.042▼.030 over 197 AB (60d) · proj .056xISO .037 vs .041 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB0.1%·0.0% over 148 BBE (45d) · proj 0.3%

BABIP.336▲.367 over 188 BIP (60d) · proj .329xBABIP .279 vs .380 prior — approach does NOT back the move

SLASH.312/.340/.354·proj .295/.330/.351

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 553 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

146

407

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

287

304

▶R

ISO

015

061

▶▶R

BABIP

325

329

—

8.2%

10.1%

◀◀L

BB%

4.1%

4.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.814 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	172	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	106	89	29	4	1	0	16	9	0	13	3	326	429	393	822	67	362	8	15	374	139	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	397	354	101	9	4	0	38	35	2	81	12	285	358	333	691	48	317	9	10	316	100	+0	+11	—	—	+9	2.1
2024	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	322	113	13	1	1	29	27	0	73	12	351	405	407	811	56	377	8	8	361	131	+13	+10	—	—	+8	3.1
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	147	129	47	1	0	0	15	16	0	31	5	364	428	372	800	8	416	11	10	363	132	+6	+4	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	295	326	345	671	51	327	10	5	300	89	-6	+4	-6	+2	+10	0.4
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	156	144	48	3	3	0	9	15	0	19	3	333	373	396	768	62	369	10	6	340	116	+3	+3	—	—	+3	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	295	326	345	671	51	327	10	5	300	89	-6	+4	-6	+2	+10	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	29	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	276	364	345	708	69	331	18	12	332	111	+0	+2	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	106	95	28	3	1	0	10	13	0	13	3	295	362	347	709	53	340	12	9	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	397	369	89	8	3	0	23	50	2	81	12	241	289	279	568	38	277	13	6	254	58	-20	+11	—	—	+9	0.0
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	332	113	13	1	1	19	33	0	73	12	340	376	395	771	54	363	9	5	334	112	+5	+10	—	—	+8	2.3
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	147	135	41	1	0	0	10	22	0	31	5	304	352	311	663	7	358	15	7	295	86	-2	+4	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	24	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	441	416	119	14	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	286	319	334	653	48	327	10	5	289	82	-9	+4	-6	+2	+10	-0.0
2025	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	156	147	50	3	3	0	6	17	0	19	3	340	366	401	767	61	373	11	4	332	111	+2	+3	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	29	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	276	364	345	708	69	333	18	12	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	370	485	481	966	111	417	12	18	423	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	503	464	117	11	4	0	33	63	2	94	15	252	305	293	598	41	292	13	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	503	443	130	13	5	0	54	44	2	94	15	293	373	345	718	52	326	9	11	329	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	467	153	13	1	1	29	55	0	104	17	328	367	366	733	39	367	11	6	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	505	451	160	14	1	1	44	43	0	104	17	355	411	397	808	42	388	9	9	362	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	563	169	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	300	331	352	683	52	334	10	4	300	89	-7	+7	-6	+2	+13	0.8
2025	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	597	558	170	18	6	0	29	58	0	63	15	305	338	358	696	54	338	10	5	310	89	-7	+7	-6	+2	+13	0.8
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	34	30	8	2	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	267	364	333	697	67	331	18	12	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	503	463	117	11	4	0	33	63	2	94	15	253	305	294	598	41	290	13	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	471	153	13	1	1	29	55	0	104	17	325	367	363	730	38	362	11	6	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	566	169	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	299	331	350	681	51	339	10	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	503	463	117	11	4	0	33	63	2	94	15	253	305	294	598	41	290	13	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	471	153	13	1	1	29	55	0	104	17	325	367	363	730	38	362	11	6	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	597	566	169	17	6	0	26	60	0	63	15	299	331	350	681	51	339	10	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	TB	—	568	527	158	14	6	0	26	46	0	41	14	300	333	349	682	49	324	8	5	296	86	-9	+3	+2	-6	+12	0.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	TB	—	568	527	161	14	6	0	26	46	0	41	14	306	338	355	693	49	331	8	5	305	86	-9	+3	+2	-6	+12	0.2
YTD	25	MLB RAW	TB	—	568	527	161	14	6	0	26	46	0	41	14	306	338	355	693	49	331	8	5	305	93	-5	+3	+2	-6	+12	0.6
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TB	100%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	200	200	200	400		323	10	0	304	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	TB	100%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	200	200	200	400		331	10	0	311	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	TB	—	578	537	163	14	6	0	26	47	0	42	14	304	336	352	688	48	329	8	4	305	86	-9	+3	+2	-6	+13	0.2
TOT	25	MLB MLE	TB	—	578	537	160	14	6	0	26	47	0	42	14	298	330	346	677	48	323	8	4	296	86	-9	+3	+2	-6	+13	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	98%	606	572	168	15	6	1	29	56	0	51	13	294	328	346	674	52	323	9	5	305	92	-6	+5	+4	-6	+13	1.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	98%	597	562	166	15	6	1	30	56	0	50	13	295	331	349	680	53	323	9	5	304	92	-6	+5	+3	-6	+13	0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	98%	589	554	163	15	5	1	30	56	0	47	12	294	330	345	675	51	322	10	5	303	91	-6	+5	+3	-6	+13	0.8
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	98%	577	542	158	14	5	1	30	56	0	43	11	292	329	341	670	50	319	10	5	299	89	-8	+4	+2	-6	+13	0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	TB	98%	565	531	152	13	5	0	29	56	0	38	10	286	323	330	653	43	316	10	5	295	86	-10	+4	+1	-6	+12	0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	98%	594	560	169	16	6	1	29	55	0	50	13	302	336	357	693	55	331	9	5	311	92	-5	+5	+3	-6	+13	0.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	98%	585	551	167	16	6	1	29	55	0	49	13	303	338	359	697	56	331	9	5	311	92	-5	+5	+3	-6	+13	0.9
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	98%	577	543	164	15	6	1	29	55	0	46	12	302	337	357	695	55	330	10	5	310	91	-6	+4	+3	-6	+13	0.8
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	98%	565	531	158	14	5	1	29	55	0	42	11	298	334	348	682	51	327	10	5	306	89	-8	+4	+2	-6	+12	0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	TB	98%	554	521	152	13	5	0	28	55	0	37	9	292	328	336	664	44	324	10	5	301	86	-10	+4	+1	-6	+12	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3326	3130	934	89	31	4	164	319	0	269	70	298	333	350	684	52	329	10	5	307	89	-40	+26	+6	-29	+72	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	612	182	17	6	1	32	62	0	53	14	297	332	350	682	52	328	10	5	307	89	-8	+5	+1	-6	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4583	4294	1256	115	38	5	240	465	2	499	106	293	330	340	671	48	325	10	5	300	89	-41	+26	+7	-29	+73	3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	609	178	16	5	1	34	66	0	71	15	292	330	340	670	48	325	10	5	300	89	-8	+5	+1	-6	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Podsedniklast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,315 PA	6.5	4,315	41	309	281	339	379	-24	-27	10.6	10.8
/162	664	6	48	-3.8	-4.2	1.6	pk7: 11
#2Dee Strange-Gordonlast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,163 PA	6.3	4,163	18	336	286	319	360	+19	-18	9.6	10.8
/162	664	3	54	+3.0	-2.8	1.5	pk7: 12
#3Rajai Davislast yr '18 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,564 PA	6.9	4,564	61	414	263	311	380	-3	-25	10.5	10.3
/162	664	9	60	-0.4	-3.6	1.5	pk7: 10
#4Dave Robertslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,910 PA	4.4	2,910	21	231	268	346	370	-9	-7	10.3	10.3
/162	664	5	53	-2.2	-1.6	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Norichika Aokilast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,044 PA	4.6	3,044	33	98	285	350	387	-33	-15	7.4	7.4
/162	664	7	21	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.8	4,500	6	371	295	326	345	-48	-24	6.4	6.3
/162	664	1	55	-7.1	-3.6	0.9	pk7: 6
#6Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	5.0	3,313	7	211	285	320	344	-10	+1	5.2	5.2
/162	664	1	42	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Simpson (OGILVIE)	25	60	30	60	45	292/326/344	52	323	1	52	9%	5%	92	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB	25	56→66	37→30	66→60	46	263/316/343	80	331	3	47	21%	6%	88	+0.5	259/330/319	60	310	2	35	16%	8%	88	+0.5	284/345/320	36	330	0	35	13%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Tony Campana 2012 · MLB	26	58→65	35→30	62→70	43	270/310/327	58	340	2	43	21%	5%	82	-0.0	248/293/305	57	329	2	46	23%	6%	70	-0.8	242/288/289	47	323	1	46	24%	6%	62	-1.0
●Juan Pierre 2004 · MLB	26	63→68	36→40	63→65	54	295/346/366	71	310	2	44	6%	6%	104	+1.6	294/341/376	82	310	3	41	6%	6%	104	+1.6	292/338/376	83	307	2	43	5%	5%	101	+1.7
✕Ben Revere 2013 · MLB	25	59→64	34→40	61→65	49	277/317/328	51	305	1	37	10%	5%	84	+0.2	291/323/351	60	322	2	36	10%	4%	91	+0.7	300/329/358	58	330	1	38	9%	4%	93	+0.7
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2013 · MLB	25	54→64	35→40	64→65	44	254/293/319	66	304	2	46	17%	5%	74	-0.6	272/318/354	82	334	3	51	18%	6%	91	+0.6	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
●Corey Wimberly 2009 · AA	25	56→66	36→40	61→65	47	265/317/327	62	306	3	45	14%	5%	85	+0.2	260/314/323	63	299	2	37	13%	5%	83	+0.1	292/352/381	89	332	2	33	12%	5%	108	+1.0
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	63→65	51	265/321/348	83	309	4	41	15%	7%	91	+0.6	285/318/365	80	330	4	39	14%	5%	93	+0.8	295/322/370	75	341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.5
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	36→30	59→65	48	263/312/329	66	310	4	39	16%	6%	83	+0.1	255/307/318	63	305	4	32	16%	7%	79	-0.2	272/320/320	49	322	2	31	15%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Jarrod Dyson 2011 · MLB	26	52→58	36→45	63→70	44	242/288/317	75	312	3	40	22%	6%	72	-0.7	248/305/324	76	307	3	50	19%	7%	80	-0.2	256/324/360	104	294	5	53	14%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Willy Taveras 2009 · MLB	27	57→67	35→45	66→65	49	266/320/326	60	310	3	53	15%	6%	86	+0.3	233/275/303	70	271	5	34	15%	5%	63	-1.3	257/311/367	110	314	9	27	20%	5%	90	+0.4
●Mallex Smith 2017 · MLB	24	56→62	40→45	65	48	264/324/364	100	335	6	44	22%	8%	96	+1.0	257/319/361	104	329	5	40	22%	8%	93	+0.8	255/320/358	103	328	5	46	22%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Billy Burns 2015 · AAA	25	54→64	35→40	65	50	251/315/311	60	309	1	41	18%	8%	81	-0.1	256/302/329	73	308	3	30	17%	5%	80	-0.2	262/307/330	68	313	2	29	16%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Eric Young Jr. 2010 · MLB	25	54→60	40→45	64→65	48	257/320/358	101	317	6	44	20%	7%	94	+0.9	254/325/344	90	316	5	42	19%	9%	92	+0.7	265/336/360	95	321	3	47	17%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Julio Borbon 2010 · MLB	24	59→62	39→40	58→60	47	279/322/363	84	314	6	34	13%	5%	95	+1.0	266/306/351	85	305	6	26	14%	5%	86	+0.3	266/305/354	88	304	5	24	14%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	56→58	35→40	63→60	52	259/326/321	62	330	2	37	21%	9%	87	+0.4	249/318/320	71	314	3	28	20%	9%	84	+0.1	241/314/304	63	296	2	24	17%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Billy Hamilton 2017 · MLB	26	51→61	39→40	70	48	240/293/324	84	290	6	62	19%	7%	75	-0.5	238/296/324	86	307	4	46	22%	8%	76	-0.4	222/283/307	85	303	3	37	26%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→63	37→40	59→65	49	267/320/346	79	325	3	31	18%	7%	90	+0.6	250/320/325	75	330	4	32	23%	9%	86	+0.3	260/338/329	69	331	4	29	20%	10%	89	+0.3
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	53→63	39→45	68→65	47	249/305/342	93	316	5	38	22%	7%	84	+0.1	253/317/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	88	+0.5	276/338/379	103	351	5	38	21%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Luis Durango 2011 · MLB	25	59→65	33→30	55→60	53	274/334/313	38	328	1	32	16%	8%	88	+0.4	251/303/297	46	315	1	35	19%	7%	72	-0.7	264/304/315	51	330	1	39	19%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Josh Anderson 2009 · MLB	26	58→63	37→40	60	44	275/311/353	78	320	4	34	15%	4%	88	+0.5	238/275/314	76	284	5	35	17%	4%	65	-1.2	216/248/268	52	259	1	47	17%	4%	42	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps