Chandler Simpson

Chandler SimpsonLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 0.814 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 7598vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.298 / .336 / .362

PA561

HR2

SB53

K%11

BB%5

xwOBA.286

Barrel%0.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

30→30

SPD

60→60

EYE

39↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.814 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$13M	+$12M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$14M	+$13M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$13M	+$10M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$11M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$65M	+$51M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	34	29	9	3	0	0	4	6	0	8	0	.310	.394	.414	.808	.103	.375	18	12	.338	117	+1	+2	+0	-0	+1	0.3
2023	22	A	2 teams	503	465	115	11	4	0	32	63	2	94	15	.247	.299	.288	.587	.041	.286	13	6	.263	59	-23	+13	+0	-5	+14	-0.1
2024	23	AA	2 teams	505	468	149	14	1	1	28	57	0	104	17	.318	.357	.359	.716	.041	.358	11	6	.314	99	-1	+14	+0	-5	+14	2.3
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	597	563	172	17	8	0	26	60	0	63	15	.306	.336	.364	.700	.059	.340	10	4	.308	94	-4	+7	-6	+2	+17	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	104	96	31	0	2	0	4	7	0	7	3	.323	.350	.365	.715	.042	.344	7	4	.307	93	-1	+0	+2	-1	+3	0.3
ROS	25	MLB	TB	457	431	130	10	5	2	23	46	0	46	9	.302	.337	.362	.699	.060	.333	10	5	.315	100	-0	+6	-3	-5	+13	1.0
TOT	25	MLB	TB	561	527	161	10	7	2	27	53	0	53	12	.306	.339	.362	.702	.057	.335	9	5	.314	98	-1	+6	-2	-6	+16	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	TB	604	567	172	14	7	2	31	52	1	60	12	.303	.341	.363	.704	.060	.329	9	5	.317	101	+1	+7	-5	-6	+17	1.4
2028	27	MLB	TB	599	561	171	14	7	2	32	52	1	60	12	.305	.343	.365	.709	.061	.329	9	5	.317	101	+1	+7	-5	-6	+17	1.4
2029	28	MLB	TB	591	553	168	13	7	2	32	52	1	58	11	.304	.343	.363	.706	.060	.328	9	5	.316	100	+0	+7	-5	-6	+17	1.3
2030	29	MLB	TB	579	543	164	13	7	2	31	53	0	55	11	.302	.340	.363	.703	.061	.328	9	5	.314	98	-1	+7	-6	-6	+16	1.0
2031	30	MLB	TB	567	531	159	12	6	2	31	54	0	53	10	.299	.338	.356	.694	.056	.327	10	5	.311	96	-3	+7	-6	-6	+16	0.8
2032	31	MLB	TB	552	517	153	12	6	1	30	55	0	49	9	.296	.335	.348	.683	.052	.326	10	5	.307	93	-4	+6	-7	-6	+16	0.5
2033	32	MLB	TB	533	499	147	11	6	1	29	56	0	45	8	.295	.333	.347	.680	.052	.325	11	5	.302	90	-6	+6	-8	-6	+15	0.1
2034	33	MLB	TB	503	471	136	10	5	0	27	56	0	41	7	.289	.327	.331	.659	.042	.324	11	5	.297	86	-8	+5	-8	-5	+14	-0.2
2035	34	MLB	TB	456	429	122	8	5	0	24	55	0	36	5	.284	.322	.326	.649	.042	.324	12	5	.294	83	-9	+5	-8	-5	+13	-0.4
2036	35	MLB	TB	400	376	106	7	4	0	21	52	0	31	4	.282	.320	.322	.642	.040	.323	13	5	.290	80	-9	+5	-9	-4	+11	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7480	7003	2073	169	78	15	401	769	5	803	145	.296	.335	.349	.683	.053	.329	10	5	.306	92	-66	+103	-76	-72	+212	10.3
/ 162G	—			650	609	180	15	7	1	35	67	0	70	13	.296	.334	.348	.682	.053	.329	10	5	.306	92	-6	+9	-7	-6	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	34	27	10	3	0	0	6	4	0	8	0	.370	.485	.481	.966	.111	.417	12	18	.423	182	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	106	89	29	4	1	0	16	9	0	13	3	.326	.429	.393	.822	.067	.362	8	15	.374	144	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	397	354	101	9	4	0	38	35	2	81	12	.285	.358	.333	.691	.048	.317	9	10	.316	100	+0	+11	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	358	322	113	13	1	1	29	27	0	73	12	.351	.405	.407	.811	.056	.377	8	8	.361	135	+14	+10	—	—	+10	3.5
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	147	129	47	1	0	0	15	16	0	31	5	.364	.428	.372	.800	.008	.416	11	10	.363	136	+6	+4	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	.295	.326	.345	.671	.051	.327	10	5	.300	88	-6	+4	-6	+2	+12	0.6
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	156	144	48	3	3	0	9	15	0	19	3	.333	.373	.396	.768	.062	.369	10	6	.340	118	+3	+3	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			441	414	122	15	3	0	20	43	0	44	12	.295	.326	.345	.671	.051	.327	10	5	.300	88	-6	+4	-6	+2	+12	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Simpson (OGILVIE)	25	60	30	60	45	.301/.337/.362	.060	.328	2	56	9%	5%	100	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Juan Pierre 2004 · MLB	26	63→68	36→40	63→65	54	.297/.347/.370	.073	.312	2	43	6%	6%	106	+2.2	.294/.342/.375	.081	.310	3	41	6%	6%	105	+2.1	.292/.338/.376	.083	.307	2	43	5%	5%	101	+2.2
●Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB	25	56→66	37→30	66→60	46	.262/.314/.344	.083	.329	4	46	21%	6%	86	+0.8	.258/.329/.321	.063	.310	2	35	16%	8%	87	+0.8	.284/.345/.320	.036	.330	0	35	13%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Ben Revere 2013 · MLB	25	59→65	34→40	60→65	49	.273/.314/.325	.051	.302	2	36	10%	5%	80	+0.4	.290/.322/.345	.055	.321	2	37	10%	4%	89	+0.9	.303/.332/.358	.055	.334	1	38	9%	4%	93	+1.1
✕Tony Campana 2012 · MLB	26	57→63	34→30	62→70	43	.265/.306/.320	.055	.338	2	43	21%	5%	76	+0.0	.249/.294/.304	.055	.330	2	47	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.242/.288/.287	.046	.321	1	46	24%	6%	56	-0.9
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2012 · MLB	24	56→66	35→40	63→65	43	.264/.299/.331	.066	.319	2	41	18%	4%	76	+0.0	.251/.296/.317	.066	.311	2	49	19%	6%	71	-0.3	.308/.341/.394	.087	.364	3	55	15%	4%	106	+2.0
●Corey Wimberly 2009 · AA	25	55→65	36→40	61→65	46	.260/.314/.323	.063	.303	3	44	15%	5%	81	+0.4	.257/.311/.320	.063	.297	2	38	14%	5%	79	+0.3	.292/.352/.379	.087	.332	3	33	12%	5%	108	+1.2
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	62→65	51	.263/.319/.348	.085	.306	4	39	15%	7%	89	+0.9	.283/.318/.363	.080	.328	4	40	14%	5%	92	+1.2	.295/.322/.370	.075	.341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.8
●Mallex Smith 2017 · MLB	24	56→61	40→45	65	48	.264/.325/.366	.102	.336	6	45	22%	8%	96	+1.5	.256/.317/.361	.105	.328	6	40	22%	8%	92	+1.2	.251/.317/.357	.105	.322	5	46	22%	8%	87	+0.8
✕Willy Taveras 2009 · MLB	27	57→67	35→45	65	49	.269/.322/.330	.061	.313	3	50	15%	6%	85	+0.7	.235/.278/.302	.067	.274	5	36	15%	5%	59	-1.1	.254/.307/.370	.116	.308	11	27	20%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	52→57	37→40	66→70	46	.246/.296/.319	.073	.308	3	46	21%	6%	72	-0.2	.247/.306/.324	.077	.304	3	53	18%	7%	77	+0.1	.246/.315/.340	.094	.283	5	53	14%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	37→40	59→65	48	.266/.313/.335	.070	.313	4	37	16%	6%	83	+0.6	.255/.306/.318	.063	.305	4	33	16%	7%	76	+0.0	.271/.320/.320	.049	.321	2	31	15%	6%	80	+0.2
●Michael Bourn 2009 · MLB	26	50→60	39→45	66→65	48	.240/.298/.329	.089	.301	6	42	22%	8%	76	+0.0	.265/.330/.353	.088	.335	4	47	20%	9%	95	+1.4	.276/.342/.360	.084	.347	2	52	19%	9%	96	+1.6
✕Eric Young Jr. 2010 · MLB	25	54→60	40→45	64→65	47	.254/.316/.355	.101	.315	6	44	21%	7%	90	+1.0	.253/.323/.339	.086	.316	5	42	20%	8%	89	+1.0	.265/.336/.357	.092	.321	3	47	17%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Billy Burns 2015 · AAA	25	54→63	34→40	64→65	50	.250/.316/.308	.058	.310	1	40	18%	8%	78	+0.2	.252/.299/.322	.070	.304	3	31	17%	6%	74	-0.1	.257/.302/.319	.063	.306	2	29	16%	5%	70	-0.2
●Julio Borbon 2010 · MLB	24	58→61	39→40	58→60	47	.277/.320/.363	.086	.312	6	34	14%	5%	93	+1.3	.267/.307/.347	.080	.306	5	27	14%	5%	84	+0.6	.278/.311/.346	.068	.324	5	28	15%	4%	82	+0.4
●Rajai Davis 2008 · MLB	27	55→64	39→50	62→70	48	.262/.315/.351	.089	.306	5	45	16%	6%	89	+0.9	.267/.316/.371	.104	.312	6	52	16%	6%	94	+1.3	.275/.320/.377	.101	.321	6	59	15%	5%	95	+1.0
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	55→61	37→40	60→65	48	.259/.313/.334	.075	.320	3	33	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.245/.315/.318	.073	.322	4	32	23%	9%	80	+0.4	.259/.337/.327	.068	.330	4	29	20%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	56→59	35→40	62→60	52	.257/.325/.318	.061	.328	2	36	21%	9%	84	+0.6	.250/.318/.319	.069	.316	3	29	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.241/.314/.303	.062	.296	2	24	17%	9%	74	-0.1
✕Billy Hamilton 2017 · MLB	26	52→60	39→40	70	48	.246/.297/.333	.087	.297	6	61	19%	7%	76	+0.0	.239/.297/.320	.081	.306	4	48	22%	8%	72	-0.2	.231/.293/.302	.071	.303	3	45	23%	8%	62	-0.7
●Luis Castillo 2001 · MLB	25	65→71	37→40	61→65	61	.308/.389/.379	.071	.359	4	48	14%	12%	127	+3.6	.291/.363/.364	.073	.336	3	36	13%	10%	111	+2.5	.294/.373/.363	.069	.320	4	17	9%	11%	113	+2.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)