David Hamilton
3B Milwaukee Brewers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBBOS | 317 | .248/.303/.395 | 8 | 33 | 92 | 1.3 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAABOS | 45 | .282/.364/.538 | 2 | 6 | 99 | — | .220/.273/.390 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBBOS | 194 | .198/.257/.333 | 6 | 22 | 62 | -0.0 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBMIL | 387 | .245/.313/.336 | 4 | 30 | 82 | 0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBMIL | 265 | .222/.290/.340 | 6 | 23 | 79 | 0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 30 | MLBMIL | 219 | .219/.286/.331 | 4 | 17 | 76 | 0.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 150 | 133 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 248 | 324 | 414 | 738 | 165 | 303 | 21 | 10 | 324 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 309 | 270 | 71 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 58 | 2 | 41 | 6 | 263 | 352 | 422 | 774 | 159 | 317 | 19 | 11 | 344 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 53 | 41 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 293 | 453 | 463 | 916 | 171 | 343 | 11 | 23 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 531 | 463 | 116 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 119 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 251 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 151 | 312 | 22 | 11 | 330 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 121 | 256 | 182 | 438 | 61 | 174 | 26 | 15 | 220 | 29 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 469 | 393 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 71 | 109 | 2 | 57 | 14 | 247 | 365 | 438 | 802 | 191 | 297 | 23 | 15 | 358 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 317 | 294 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 80 | 1 | 33 | 4 | 248 | 303 | 395 | 697 | 146 | 316 | 25 | 7 | 311 | 92 | -3 | +5 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 250 | 500 | 750 | 333 | 100 | 30 | 10 | 323 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 194 | 177 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 198 | 257 | 333 | 590 | 136 | 234 | 24 | 7 | 262 | 62 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 45 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 282 | 364 | 538 | 902 | 256 | 281 | 13 | 11 | 384 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 339 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 313 | 336 | 649 | 91 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 286 | 82 | -8 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 937 | 843 | 195 | 36 | 5 | 18 | 73 | 223 | 4 | 87 | 18 | 231 | 295 | 350 | 645 | 119 | 294 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -22 | +10 | +2 | +11 | +20 | 2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 150 | 138 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 217 | 270 | 370 | 640 | 152 | 265 | 27 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 309 | 280 | 55 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 78 | 2 | 41 | 6 | 196 | 267 | 296 | 564 | 100 | 260 | 25 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 531 | 482 | 102 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 212 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 110 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 121 | 256 | 182 | 438 | 61 | 174 | 26 | 15 | 212 | 29 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 469 | 413 | 81 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 128 | 2 | 57 | 14 | 196 | 288 | 327 | 614 | 131 | 249 | 27 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 317 | 294 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 80 | 1 | 33 | 4 | 238 | 293 | 378 | 671 | 139 | 316 | 25 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +5 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 105 | 150 | 263 | 413 | 158 | 85 | 35 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 194 | 177 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 198 | 257 | 333 | 590 | 136 | 234 | 24 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 45 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 220 | 273 | 390 | 663 | 171 | 241 | 16 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 340 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 247 | 316 | 341 | 657 | 94 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 467 | 94 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 132 | 2 | 56 | 11 | 201 | 266 | 319 | 585 | 118 | 264 | 26 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 512 | 444 | 116 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 96 | 2 | 56 | 11 | 261 | 354 | 423 | 778 | 162 | 316 | 19 | 12 | 345 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 531 | 482 | 102 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 212 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 110 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 531 | 463 | 116 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 119 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 251 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 151 | 312 | 22 | 11 | 330 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 446 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 138 | 2 | 59 | 15 | 191 | 285 | 316 | 601 | 126 | 245 | 27 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 426 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 119 | 2 | 59 | 15 | 237 | 356 | 418 | 774 | 181 | 288 | 23 | 15 | 347 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 313 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 87 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 233 | 288 | 383 | 671 | 150 | 292 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 88 | -5 | +5 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 337 | 312 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 86 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 244 | 300 | 401 | 700 | 157 | 306 | 26 | 7 | 312 | 88 | -5 | +5 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 218 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 202 | 260 | 353 | 613 | 151 | 229 | 23 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -9 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 239 | 216 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 53 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 213 | 277 | 370 | 647 | 157 | 244 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 69 | -9 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 340 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 247 | 316 | 341 | 657 | 94 | 320 | 22 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 339 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 313 | 336 | 649 | 91 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 286 | 82 | -8 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 466 | 94 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 132 | 2 | 56 | 11 | 202 | 266 | 320 | 585 | 118 | 262 | 26 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 531 | 483 | 102 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 211 | 276 | 321 | 597 | 110 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 444 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 138 | 2 | 59 | 15 | 191 | 285 | 318 | 603 | 126 | 243 | 27 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 310 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 87 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 235 | 288 | 387 | 675 | 152 | 302 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 220 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 200 | 260 | 350 | 610 | 150 | 235 | 23 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 350 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 316 | 331 | 647 | 91 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 310 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 87 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 235 | 288 | 387 | 675 | 152 | 302 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 220 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 200 | 260 | 350 | 610 | 150 | 235 | 23 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 387 | 350 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 316 | 331 | 647 | 91 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 349 | 316 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 79 | 2 | 31 | 5 | 225 | 292 | 341 | 633 | 116 | 274 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +4 | +2 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 265 | 240 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 23 | 4 | 222 | 290 | 340 | 630 | 117 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 79 | -7 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 82% | 267 | 243 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 61 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 221 | 288 | 333 | 621 | 111 | 272 | 23 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +3 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 82% | 219 | 199 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 219 | 286 | 331 | 617 | 112 | 268 | 23 | 8 | 278 | 76 | -6 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1156 | 1042 | 237 | 42 | 6 | 22 | 90 | 273 | 5 | 104 | 21 | 227 | 292 | 343 | 634 | 115 | 287 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 72 | -28 | +12 | +1 | +12 | +25 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 133 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 154 | 3 | 58 | 12 | 227 | 293 | 340 | 632 | 113 | 287 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 72 | -16 | +7 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3046 | 2749 | 589 | 88 | 31 | 60 | 246 | 764 | 17 | 320 | 60 | 214 | 283 | 334 | 617 | 120 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -36 | +16 | +3 | +13 | +32 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 126 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 163 | 4 | 68 | 13 | 215 | 283 | 337 | 621 | 123 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -16 | +7 | +1 | +6 | +14 | 1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 45 PAwOBA .382 → .314 (−68)K% 13.3% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.042 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.060 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.28% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .382 → .314; ISO .256 → .210; BABIP .281 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 20 PAwOBA .313 → .219 (−94)K% 30.0% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 7.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.143 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 11.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .313 → .219; ISO .333 → .225; BABIP .100 → .085. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 469 PAwOBA .350 → .275 (−76)K% 23.2% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.24% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.309 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.905 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.23% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 99, 2B 162, 3B 81, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .275; ISO .191 → .140; BABIP .297 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 531 PAwOBA .321 → .263 (−58)K% 22.4% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.36% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.066 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .321 → .263; ISO .151 → .117; BABIP .312 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 309 PAwOBA .336 → .255 (−82)K% 18.8% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.77% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 2.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .336 → .255; ISO .159 → .113; BABIP .317 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 150 PAwOBA .318 → .261 (−57)K% 21.3% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.79% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 18.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.012 | 3.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .318 → .261; ISO .165 → .137; BABIP .303 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .