Chris Garia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 21 | A+CHC | 446 | .284/.343/.387 | 4 | 45 | 75 | — | .265/.309/.358 |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 380 | .283/.332/.451 | 8 | 27 | 76 | — | .248/.286/.394 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA/ATEX | 182 | .213/.271/.354 | 4 | 12 | 35 | — | .179/.220/.292 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 221 | 190 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 205 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 53 | 255 | 18 | 10 | 263 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 263 | 219 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 45 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 315 | 421 | 374 | 795 | 59 | 392 | 17 | 14 | 362 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 117 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 156 | 200 | 193 | 393 | 37 | 195 | 20 | 3 | 180 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 446 | 398 | 113 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 29 | 81 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 284 | 343 | 387 | 730 | 103 | 348 | 18 | 7 | 320 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 22 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 286 | 468 | 143 | 133 | 23 | 5 | 209 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 74 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 169 | 192 | 211 | 403 | 42 | 211 | 19 | 1 | 181 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 284 | 254 | 83 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 327 | 380 | 531 | 912 | 205 | 384 | 18 | 7 | 388 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 41 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 132 | 175 | 132 | 307 | 185 | 27 | 2 | 145 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 141 | 126 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 238 | 299 | 421 | 720 | 183 | 268 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 221 | 197 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 137 | 217 | 157 | 374 | 20 | 178 | 22 | 7 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 263 | 231 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 55 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 216 | 301 | 255 | 557 | 39 | 269 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 117 | 110 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 136 | 174 | 173 | 347 | 36 | 176 | 26 | 2 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 446 | 408 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 120 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 265 | 309 | 358 | 667 | 93 | 348 | 27 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 22 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 286 | 468 | 143 | 123 | 27 | 5 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 74 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 155 | 178 | 197 | 375 | 42 | 194 | 23 | 1 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 284 | 260 | 73 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 70 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 281 | 322 | 454 | 776 | 173 | 343 | 25 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 41 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 132 | 175 | 132 | 307 | 176 | 32 | 2 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 141 | 130 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 192 | 234 | 338 | 572 | 146 | 236 | 24 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 221 | 197 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 137 | 217 | 157 | 374 | 20 | 182 | 22 | 7 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 221 | 190 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 205 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 53 | 255 | 18 | 10 | 263 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 263 | 231 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 55 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 216 | 301 | 255 | 557 | 39 | 281 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 263 | 219 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 45 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 315 | 421 | 374 | 795 | 59 | 392 | 17 | 14 | 362 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 117 | 110 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 136 | 174 | 173 | 347 | 36 | 188 | 26 | 2 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 117 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 156 | 200 | 193 | 393 | 37 | 195 | 20 | 3 | 180 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 446 | 408 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 120 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 265 | 309 | 358 | 667 | 93 | 366 | 27 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 446 | 398 | 113 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 29 | 81 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 284 | 343 | 387 | 730 | 103 | 348 | 18 | 7 | 320 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 352 | 86 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 93 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 244 | 283 | 384 | 667 | 139 | 311 | 24 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 380 | 346 | 98 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 70 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 332 | 451 | 782 | 168 | 333 | 18 | 6 | 337 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 168 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 179 | 220 | 292 | 512 | 113 | 229 | 26 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 182 | 164 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 213 | 271 | 354 | 625 | 140 | 250 | 20 | 7 | 272 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 221 | 199 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 136 | 217 | 156 | 372 | 20 | 178 | 22 | 7 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 263 | 233 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 55 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 215 | 301 | 253 | 554 | 39 | 269 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 117 | 111 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 135 | 174 | 171 | 345 | 36 | 176 | 26 | 2 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 446 | 417 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 120 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 259 | 309 | 350 | 659 | 91 | 348 | 27 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 358 | 86 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 93 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 240 | 283 | 377 | 660 | 137 | 301 | 24 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 171 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 175 | 220 | 287 | 507 | 111 | 222 | 26 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1609 | 1466 | 316 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 83 | 395 | 24 | 143 | 42 | 216 | 269 | 299 | 568 | 84 | 284 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -93 | +12 | +0 | +6 | +35 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 128 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 160 | 10 | 58 | 17 | 216 | 271 | 302 | 573 | 86 | 285 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AHickory Crawdads · 141 PAwOBA .301 → .246 (−55)K% 17.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.73% | ÷0.990 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.972 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.82% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.980 | 15.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.907 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.980 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×0.980 | 3.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.100 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 2.89% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 108, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 98, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .301 → .246; ISO .183 → .152; BABIP .268 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 41 PAwOBA .142 → .127 (−15)K% 26.8% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.44% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 17.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .142 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .185 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+High Desert Mavericks · 284 PAwOBA .380 → .322 (−58)K% 18.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.96% | ÷0.973 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.09% | ÷1.041 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 24.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.42% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 4.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 108, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .380 → .322; ISO .205 → .175; BABIP .384 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 74 PAwOBA .176 → .156 (−20)K% 18.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.35% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 1.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.027 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | ×1.030 | ×1.027 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | ×1.027 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .176 → .156; ISO .042 → .036; BABIP .211 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 22 PAwOBA .202 → .153 (−50)K% 22.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 11.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .153; ISO .143 → .093; BABIP .133 → .123. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 446 PAwOBA .311 → .279 (−32)K% 18.2% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.16% | ÷0.957 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.28% | ÷0.954 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 29.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.26% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.18% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .279; ISO .103 → .091; BABIP .348 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AHickory Crawdads · 117 PAwOBA .177 → .148 (−30)K% 19.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.065 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 1.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.44% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.015 | 15.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.820 | ×1.039 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×1.015 | 2.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 119, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 99, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .177 → .148; ISO .037 → .036; BABIP .195 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 DSLDSL Rangers · 263 PAwOBA .354 → .250 (−104)K% 17.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 23.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 2.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.033 | ×0.995 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .354 → .250; ISO .059 → .038; BABIP .392 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).