Seth Stephenson

OF Erie SeaWolves
Age 26 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+DET477.263/.350/.34256059—.218/.293/.284
202524AA/A+DET508.281/.365/.41084979—.242/.311/.352
202625AADET467.238/.308/.32126652—.216/.273/.288
2027PROJMLE26MLBDET3.216/.275/.2970065-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBDET45.216/.276/.3000366-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed95
Z-Con%88
Whiff%84
K%78
Chase%29
wRC+24
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsJohneshwy Fargas (age 26) · Cam Eden (age 26) · Tyler Tolbert (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .275 / .297
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP277
ISO77
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 3330 7000 182 90 233303233536 318 243 258 24 — — — — — —
202322 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 6857 17410 5196 82 298412404815 105447 287 375 88 — — — — — —
202322 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 437368 1021784 378924 6213 277380399779 122351 208 349 75 — — — — — —
202423 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 477415 1091235 378519 609 263350342692 80318 188 317 59 — — — — — —
202524 AAErie SeaWolves — 8171 18510 6102 71 254329352681 99290 127 303 76 — — — — — —
202524 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 427371 1061658 306221 425 286372420793 135325 157 354 80 — — — — — —
202625 AAErie SeaWolves — 467421 1002522 299014 667 238308321628 83297 196 288 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3330 6000 1112 90 200273200473 295 333 204 24 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 6858 15310 4246 82 259368345712 86405 356 298 88 — — — — — —
202322 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 437381 901373 2412424 6213 236322331652 94319 285 279 75 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 477426 931034 2611319 609 218293284577 66276 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 8173 18410 4122 71 247304329633 82283 155 280 76 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 427382 921357 198221 425 241313356669 115279 194 287 80 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 467431 932122 2011014 667 216273288561 72279 244 245 52 — — — — — —
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3330 6000 1112 90 200273200473 316 333 204 24 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 3330 7000 182 90 233303233536 318 243 258 24 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 505440 1051683 2714830 7015 239326332658 93348 295 282 77 — — — — — —
202322 A RAW2 teams — 505425 1192194 4210830 7015 280384400784 120363 218 353 77 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 477426 931034 2611319 609 218293284577 66286 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 477415 1091235 378519 609 263350342692 80318 188 317 59 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 508454 1101857 249423 496 242313350664 108290 195 286 80 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAW2 teams — 508442 1242168 367223 496 281365410775 129319 147 346 80 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 467431 932122 2011014 667 216273288561 72284 244 245 52 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAWErie SeaWolves — 467421 1002522 299014 667 238308321628 83297 196 288 52 — — — — — —
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3330 6000 1112 90 200273200473 295 333 204 24 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 505443 1051683 2714830 7015 237326330656 93331 295 282 77 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 477429 931034 2611319 609 217293282575 65276 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 508456 1101857 249423 496 241313349662 107280 195 286 80 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 467430 932122 2011014 667 216273288561 72279 244 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 477429 931034 2611319 609 217293282575 65276 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 508456 1101857 249423 496 241313349662 107280 195 286 80 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 467430 932122 2011014 667 216273288561 72279 244 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEDET 2% 380348 751423 188811 294 219279303582 84281 235 265 65 -16 +4 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXDET 2% 33 0000 010 00 216275297573 81277 330 261 65 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEDET 27% 167152 34612 8395 132 220280306585 86281 235 266 66 -7 +2 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXDET 27% 4542 9200 2101 30 216276300576 84277 224 262 66 -2 +1 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4542 9200 2101 30 214267262529 48281 224 262 66 -2 +1 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1302900 2914414 430 214266262528 48281 224 262 66 -26 +9 +0 -4 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 23122076 472772019 11355197 27940 227298311610 84299 245 266 66 -13 +4 +0 -2 +7 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 1332265 3215527 7811 228299312610 84300 245 266 66 -26 +8 +0 -4 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 467 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 19.3% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.27%÷1.000×1.220——23.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.21%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9984.34%
HBP% /PA3.00%—×0.850—×0.9982.54%
Singles /BIP21.45%÷1.000×0.970×1.001×0.99820.78%
Doubles /BIP7.55%÷1.000×0.860×1.001×0.9986.49%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.000×0.950×1.001×0.9980.57%
Home runs /BIP0.60%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9980.47%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .083 → .070; BABIP .297 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 427 PAwOBA .346 → .287 (−59)K% 14.5% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.52%÷0.960×1.270——19.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.03%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9884.46%
HBP% /PA4.92%—×0.790—×0.9883.84%
Singles /BIP24.92%÷1.027×0.920×0.978×0.98821.56%
Doubles /BIP5.18%÷0.948×0.810×0.978×0.9884.27%
Triples /BIP1.62%÷0.900×0.850×0.978×0.9881.48%
Home runs /BIP2.59%÷0.850×0.800—×0.9882.41%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .346 → .287; ISO .135 → .121; BABIP .325 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAErie SeaWolves · 81 PAwOBA .299 → .280 (−19)K% 12.3% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.35%÷1.035×1.220——14.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0125.27%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.850—×1.0122.12%
Singles /BIP19.67%÷0.981×0.970×1.036×1.01220.39%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷1.075×0.860×1.036×1.0126.87%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.115×0.950×1.036×1.0121.46%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.056×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .299 → .280; ISO .099 → .087; BABIP .290 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 477 PAwOBA .310 → .255 (−55)K% 17.8% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.82%÷0.957×1.270——23.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.76%÷1.026×0.710—×0.9985.36%
HBP% /PA3.98%—×0.790—×0.9983.14%
Singles /BIP26.97%÷1.021×0.920×0.965×0.99823.41%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷0.892×0.810×0.965×0.9983.18%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.900×0.850×0.965×0.9980.83%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷0.889×0.800—×0.9981.36%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .310 → .255; ISO .080 → .070; BABIP .318 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 437 PAwOBA .344 → .279 (−65)K% 20.4% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.37%÷0.975×1.360——28.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.47%÷1.089×0.690——5.37%
HBP% /PA5.49%—×0.780——4.28%
Singles /BIP26.16%÷0.957×0.920×0.987—24.82%
Doubles /BIP6.09%÷1.056×0.830×0.987—4.72%
Triples /BIP2.87%÷1.020×0.910×0.987—2.53%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷1.216×0.800——0.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 104, K 95, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .344 → .279; ISO .122 → .093; BABIP .351 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 68 PAwOBA .366 → .298 (−68)K% 27.9% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.94%÷1.007×1.270——35.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.35%÷0.993×0.710—×1.0125.32%
HBP% /PA8.82%—×0.790—×1.0127.05%
Singles /BIP31.58%÷0.989×0.920—×1.01229.73%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷0.985×0.810—×1.0128.76%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0121.97%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.882×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .298; ISO .105 → .079; BABIP .447 → .405. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 33 PAwOBA .251 → .204 (−48)K% 24.2% → 33.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.982×1.360——33.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.03%÷0.998×0.690—×1.0152.13%
HBP% /PA6.06%—×0.780—×1.0154.80%
Singles /BIP31.82%÷1.009×0.920—×1.01529.46%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.974×0.830—×1.0150.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .318 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).