Seth Stephenson — OGILVIE

Seth StephensonOF Erie SeaWolves

Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION467 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .100 / .100

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP262

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	7	0	0	0	1	8	2	9	0	233	303	233	536		318	24	3	258	61	-2	+2	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	68	57	17	4	1	0	5	19	6	8	2	298	412	404	815	105	447	28	7	375	140	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	437	368	102	17	8	4	37	89	24	62	13	277	380	399	779	122	351	20	8	349	122	+12	+7	—	—	+9	2.9
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	415	109	12	3	5	37	85	19	60	9	263	350	342	692	80	318	18	8	317	100	+0	+8	—	—	+10	1.9
2025	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	81	71	18	5	1	0	6	10	2	7	1	254	329	352	681	99	290	12	7	303	91	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	427	371	106	16	5	8	30	62	21	42	5	286	372	420	793	135	325	15	7	354	126	+13	+6	—	—	+9	2.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	5	0	0	0	1	12	2	9	0	167	242	167	409		290	36	3	202	23	-3	+2	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	68	58	14	3	1	0	4	26	6	8	2	241	353	328	681	86	398	38	6	286	80	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	437	380	87	14	6	3	25	130	24	62	13	229	317	321	638	92	324	30	6	283	78	-12	+7	—	—	+9	0.5
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	426	90	10	3	4	26	120	19	60	9	211	287	277	564	66	275	25	5	251	56	-25	+8	—	—	+10	-0.6
2025	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	81	73	17	4	1	0	4	12	2	7	1	233	291	315	606	82	274	15	5	272	70	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	427	382	91	13	4	8	19	87	21	42	5	238	310	356	666	118	281	20	4	287	80	-10	+6	—	—	+9	0.6
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	5	0	0	0	1	12	2	9	0	167	242	167	409		278	36	3	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	7	0	0	0	1	8	2	9	0	233	303	233	536		318	24	3	258	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	505	438	100	17	6	3	29	155	30	70	15	228	320	315	635	87	342	31	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	505	425	119	21	9	4	42	108	30	70	15	280	384	400	784	120	363	21	8	353	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	426	90	10	3	4	26	120	19	60	9	211	287	277	564	66	283	25	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	415	109	12	3	5	37	85	19	60	9	263	350	342	692	80	318	18	8	317	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	455	109	18	5	8	23	99	23	49	6	240	309	354	663	114	289	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	508	442	124	21	6	8	36	72	23	49	6	281	365	410	775	129	319	14	7	346	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	5	0	0	0	1	12	2	9	0	167	242	167	409		290	36	3	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	505	441	100	17	6	3	29	155	30	70	15	227	320	313	633	86	334	31	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	429	90	10	3	4	26	120	19	60	9	210	287	275	562	65	275	25	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	457	109	18	5	8	23	99	23	49	6	239	309	352	662	114	280	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	505	441	100	17	6	3	29	155	30	70	15	227	320	313	633	86	334	31	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	429	90	10	3	4	26	120	19	60	9	210	287	275	562	65	275	25	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	457	109	18	5	8	23	99	23	49	6	239	309	352	662	114	280	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	DET	—	467	431	91	21	2	2	20	110	14	66	7	211	269	283	552	72	278	24	4	242	50	-28	+10	+0	-3	+10	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	DET	—	467	421	100	25	2	2	29	90	14	66	7	238	308	321	628	83	297	19	6	288	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	DET	2%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	100	100	100	200		266	20	0	253	57	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	DET	—	477	441	92	21	2	2	20	112	14	67	7	209	265	279	544	70	274	23	4	242	50	-28	+11	+0	-3	+10	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	31%	365	334	70	14	2	4	18	84	10	33	4	210	271	299	570	90	267	23	5	262	63	-16	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	42%	388	354	75	15	2	5	21	89	10	35	4	212	275	308	583	96	269	23	5	266	66	-15	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	DET	48%	401	365	78	16	2	5	23	93	10	35	4	214	279	310	588	96	269	23	6	268	68	-15	+5	-1	-2	+9	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	31%	113	103	21	4	1	1	6	26	3	10	1	204	268	291	559	87	263	23	5	238	63	-5	+2	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	42%	163	149	31	6	1	2	9	38	4	15	2	208	272	302	574	94	264	23	6	244	66	-6	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	DET	48%	192	174	36	7	1	2	11	44	5	17	2	207	274	293	567	86	265	23	6	246	68	-7	+3	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	468	426	88	17	3	5	26	108	12	42	5	207	272	296	567	89	263	23	6	243	68	-19	+6	-0	-3	+10	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	123	24	4	7	36	150	17	58	7	208	273	297	570	90	264	23	6	243	68	-26	+9	-0	-4	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2687	2412	528	90	20	29	141	654	104	292	42	219	291	309	600	90	286	24	5	269	68	-47	+16	-1	-7	+25	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	128	22	5	7	34	158	25	71	10	220	291	310	601	91	287	24	5	269	68	-26	+9	-0	-4	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA	4.8	3,202	23	295	240	294	328	+11	+78	11.2	11.2
/162	664	5	61	+2.4	+16.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#2Rajai Davislast yr '18 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,564 PA	6.9	4,564	61	414	263	311	380	-3	-25	10.5	10.3
/162	664	9	60	-0.4	-3.6	1.5	pk7: 10
#3Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	475	6	42	214	274	310	-3	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	9	59	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seth Stephenson (OGILVIE)	25	55	40	60	30	205/266/282	77	266	2	35	23%	5%	57	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2021 · AA	26	45→52	40→45	58→65	41	220/277/311	91	282	9	40	25%	5%	67	-1.1	208/264/318	110	283	11	34	30%	5%	64	-1.3	192/250/301	108	262	12	44	30%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	48→58	39→40	69→70	46	230/275/313	83	276	6	61	19%	6%	66	-1.1	241/296/327	86	303	5	55	20%	7%	77	-0.3	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Jeff Kobernus 2013 · AA	25	53→61	37→40	60→65	39	249/278/318	69	314	4	37	22%	4%	68	-1.0	248/292/315	67	313	4	37	21%	5%	73	-0.6	244/293/302	57	309	3	39	21%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/266/303	87	289	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	199/257/281	82	305	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	165/231/231	66	276	3	12	38%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Tyler Graham 2009 · A	25	50→54	37→40	60→65	41	236/282/306	71	304	4	39	23%	5%	67	-1.1	251/296/330	79	321	6	41	23%	5%	78	-0.3	263/315/330	67	333	2	52	20%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Derrick Robinson 2012 · AA	24	48→53	35→40	60→65	43	228/269/284	56	289	3	42	22%	5%	57	-1.8	229/282/288	59	301	3	24	23%	7%	63	-1.4	235/287/274	40	302	1	22	21%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Jeremias Pineda 2016 · AAA	25	49→57	35→30	60→65	39	228/280/284	55	325	4	41	30%	5%	61	-1.5	229/287/284	55	350	2	37	32%	7%	63	-1.3	241/301/288	47	366	1	40	32%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→49	39→45	70→65	42	185/254/277	92	281	5	40	34%	8%	51	-2.2	217/272/314	97	302	7	40	29%	6%	65	-1.2	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	224/277/323	99	305	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.9	225/272/306	81	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	227/272/293	66	306	4	48	26%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Rafael Bautista 2017 · AA	24	53→55	35→30	61→60	44	248/291/307	59	301	3	36	18%	5%	70	-0.8	231/275/292	61	289	3	23	20%	5%	61	-1.5	222/262/283	61	278	4	13	21%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Rico Noel 2014 · AA	25	51→55	34→30	62→65	42	234/295/288	54	332	1	44	28%	6%	68	-1.0	216/276/271	55	306	2	41	28%	7%	57	-1.8	175/224/229	54	256	3	46	31%	4%	26	-1.0
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→49	45→40	61→65	38	201/269/320	119	309	13	38	37%	7%	68	-1.0	202/271/289	87	299	7	42	32%	7%	61	-1.5	194/265/267	73	285	5	49	31%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Duke Ellis 2023 · AA	25	45→50	40	60→80	38	211/269/296	85	324	8	37	35%	6%	61	-1.5	217/277/307	90	325	8	53	33%	7%	66	-1.1	232/283/327	96	324	8	91	29%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	40→50	61→60	41	212/269/313	101	299	6	33	30%	6%	64	-1.3	206/264/323	117	289	10	20	31%	6%	65	-1.2	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Terrance Gore 2017 · AAA	26	48→42	33→30	67→70	42	225/276/263	38	300	2	54	24%	6%	55	-2.0	208/264/262	54	289	3	42	27%	6%	51	-2.3	193/256/240	47	276	1	52	28%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→60	34→40	64→60	46	242/289/300	58	293	1	37	17%	6%	68	-1.0	245/291/319	74	311	4	33	21%	5%	74	-0.6	241/289/323	82	308	5	35	22%	5%	71	-0.7
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	44	204/273/323	120	275	11	36	29%	8%	69	-0.9	216/278/333	117	291	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	217/280/331	115	292	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Pedro Powell 2009 · AA	25	47→53	33→30	61→65	47	217/278/260	43	284	1	41	23%	7%	55	-1.9	222/273/281	59	295	2	30	24%	6%	58	-1.7	233/269/272	39	312	0	41	24%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Eric Farris 2011 · AAA	25	52→58	38→40	59→60	44	250/281/329	80	279	6	32	13%	4%	72	-0.7	238/274/314	76	273	6	24	14%	4%	65	-1.2	236/274/305	69	271	5	26	14%	4%	61	-1.3
✕Josh Prince 2013 · AA	25	46→48	38→40	54→60	47	220/278/303	83	281	5	29	23%	7%	65	-1.2	209/280/298	89	274	8	28	25%	8%	65	-1.2	221/297/300	79	291	7	28	25%	9%	70	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps