Braiden Ward

CF Worcester Red Sox
Age 28 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AA/A+COL438.269/.374/.41075081—.228/.323/.334
202526AAA/AACOL368.290/.396/.39125797—.269/.358/.361
202627AAABOS456.251/.365/.37366180—.223/.321/.319
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBBOS16.219/.309/.31002760.0
2028PROJ33% MLB29MLBBOS69.219/.308/.31016750.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed99
Z-Con%77
Whiff%73
K%71
BB%34
Chase%32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsBilly Hamilton (age 28) · Tony Campana (age 28) · Jarrod Dyson (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .309 / .310
PA16
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP283
ISO71
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.30.02728
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 ROKACL Rockies — 3726 8000 764 32 308514308821 400 1619 407 81 — — — — — —
202223 A+Spokane Indians — 225185 39530 215817 315 211345270616 59307 269 295 39 — — — — — —
202223 AFresno Grizzlies — 150120 44614 132516 260 3674905331.023 167435 179 456 134 — — — — — —
202324 A+Spokane Indians — 279223 591021 275525 447 265404341744 76345 2010 348 72 — — — — — —
202425 AAHartford Yard Goats — 323268 65845 248123 325 243356358714 116326 257 323 71 — — — — — —
202425 A+Spokane Indians — 115100 34742 42411 184 340426550976 210432 213 430 110 — — — — — —
202526 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 163133 44741 162310 352 331440466906 135394 1410 399 124 — — — — — —
202526 AAHartford Yard Goats — 205174 451001 19389 225 259361333695 75324 199 320 75 — — — — — —
202627 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 456383 961956 398230 619 251365373738 123304 189 338 80 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3729 7000 494 32 241405241647 310 2411 288 81 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 225191 31420 158017 315 162283204487 42270 367 226 39 — — — — — —
202223 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 150124 38513 93516 260 306423435858 129382 236 366 134 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 279232 51821 187625 447 220342284626 65300 276 274 72 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 323276 59644 1610023 325 214311308619 94300 315 273 71 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 115101 27531 33311 184 267357406762 139375 293 331 110 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 163138 42641 112910 352 304396428824 123365 187 351 124 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 205179 43901 14459 225 240327307634 67304 227 279 75 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 456395 881654 279830 619 223321319640 96280 216 287 80 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3729 7000 494 32 241405241647 350 2411 288 81 — — — — — —
202122 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 3726 8000 764 32 308514308821 400 1619 407 81 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE2 teams — 375316 69933 2311633 575 218336294630 76333 316 282 77 — — — — — —
202223 A+ RAW2 teams — 375305 831144 348333 575 272403374777 102361 229 359 77 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 279232 51821 187625 447 220342284626 65321 276 274 72 — — — — — —
202324 A+ RAWSpokane Indians — 279223 591021 275525 447 265404341744 76345 2010 348 72 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 438378 881186 1813334 509 233326352677 119340 304 288 81 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAW2 teams — 438368 991587 2810534 509 269374410785 141357 246 351 81 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE2 teams — 368317 851641 257419 577 268357353711 85346 207 311 97 — — — — — —
202526 AA RAW2 teams — 368307 891742 356119 577 290396391787 101355 1710 355 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 456395 881654 279830 619 223321319640 96286 216 287 80 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAWWorcester Red Sox — 456383 961956 398230 619 251365373738 123304 189 338 80 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3729 7000 494 32 241405241647 310 2411 288 81 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE2 teams — 375316 69933 2311633 575 218336294630 76315 316 282 77 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 279234 51821 187625 447 218342282624 64300 276 274 72 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 438383 881186 1813334 509 230326347673 117320 304 288 81 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE2 teams — 368321 851641 257419 577 265357349706 84331 207 311 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 456396 881654 279830 619 222321318639 96280 216 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 438383 881186 1813334 509 230326347673 117320 304 288 81 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE2 teams — 368321 851641 257419 577 265357349706 84331 207 311 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 456396 881654 279830 619 222321318639 96280 216 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEBOS 10% 380333 721343 238521 375 214304302607 89274 226 281 76 -11 +5 +0 +1 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXBOS 10% 1614 3100 141 20 219309310620 91283 256 286 76 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEBOS 33% 212186 40722 134811 183 213302302604 89274 236 280 75 -6 +2 -1 +1 +5 0.0
202829 MLB CTXBOS 33% 6961 14311 4164 61 219308310618 91282 236 285 75 -2 +1 -0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6961 14311 4164 61 230319361679 131295 236 285 81 -2 +1 -0 +0 +1 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 1312899 3815138 579 228318355673 127294 236 285 81 -19 +8 -4 +2 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 23201990 456722518 137589164 30544 229330318648 88315 256 288 81 -11 +5 -1 +1 +8 0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650558 1282075 3816546 8512 229330317647 88315 256 288 81 -19 +8 -2 +2 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 456 PAwOBA .330 → .287 (−43)K% 18.0% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.98%÷1.000×1.200——21.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.55%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0035.92%
HBP% /PA6.58%—×0.940—×1.0036.20%
Singles /BIP21.93%÷1.000×0.930×1.015×1.00320.76%
Doubles /BIP6.31%÷1.000×0.830×1.015×1.0035.33%
Triples /BIP1.66%÷1.000×0.970×1.015×1.0031.64%
Home runs /BIP1.99%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0031.40%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .330 → .287; ISO .123 → .101; BABIP .304 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 205 PAwOBA .314 → .279 (−35)K% 18.5% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.54%÷1.025×1.220——22.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.27%÷0.940×0.700—×0.9886.82%
HBP% /PA4.39%—×0.850—×0.9883.69%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.008×0.970×0.997×0.98823.71%
Doubles /BIP7.35%÷0.913×0.860×0.997×0.9886.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×0.997×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷1.255×0.780—×0.9880.45%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .314 → .279; ISO .075 → .065; BABIP .324 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 163 PAwOBA .389 → .351 (−38)K% 14.1% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.11%÷0.945×1.200——17.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.82%÷1.019×0.690—×1.0186.77%
HBP% /PA6.13%—×0.940—×1.0185.87%
Singles /BIP29.09%÷1.047×0.930×1.037×1.01827.27%
Doubles /BIP6.36%÷1.029×0.830×1.037×1.0185.42%
Triples /BIP3.64%÷1.028×0.970×1.037×1.0183.62%
Home runs /BIP0.91%÷1.017×0.700—×1.0180.64%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .389 → .351; ISO .135 → .124; BABIP .394 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 323 PAwOBA .317 → .273 (−44)K% 25.1% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.08%÷0.987×1.220——31.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.43%÷1.066×0.700—×0.9984.87%
HBP% /PA7.12%—×0.850—×0.9986.04%
Singles /BIP25.67%÷1.041×0.970×1.005×0.99824.00%
Doubles /BIP4.28%÷1.102×0.860×1.005×0.9983.35%
Triples /BIP2.14%÷0.900×0.950×1.005×0.9982.26%
Home runs /BIP2.67%÷0.916×0.780—×0.9982.27%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .317 → .273; ISO .116 → .103; BABIP .326 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Spokane Indians · 115 PAwOBA .419 → .331 (−88)K% 20.9% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.87%÷0.996×1.350——28.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.48%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9782.18%
HBP% /PA9.57%—×0.810—×0.9787.58%
Singles /BIP27.63%÷0.999×0.910×1.020×0.97825.11%
Doubles /BIP9.21%÷1.098×0.830×1.020×0.9786.94%
Triples /BIP5.26%÷0.907×0.820×1.020×0.9784.75%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷1.086×0.830—×0.9781.97%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .419 → .331; ISO .210 → .159; BABIP .432 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Spokane Indians · 279 PAwOBA .341 → .274 (−67)K% 19.7% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.71%÷0.983×1.350——27.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.68%÷1.075×0.710—×0.9886.32%
HBP% /PA8.96%—×0.810—×0.9887.17%
Singles /BIP27.38%÷1.019×0.910×1.005×0.98824.27%
Doubles /BIP5.95%÷1.026×0.830×1.005×0.9884.78%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷0.936×0.820×1.005×0.9881.04%
Home runs /BIP0.60%÷1.047×0.830—×0.9880.47%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .341 → .274; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .345 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Spokane Indians · 225 PAwOBA .289 → .226 (−63)K% 25.8% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.78%÷0.975×1.350——35.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.33%÷1.022×0.710—×0.9986.47%
HBP% /PA7.56%—×0.810—×0.9986.11%
Singles /BIP24.41%÷1.039×0.910×1.013×0.99821.61%
Doubles /BIP3.94%÷0.978×0.830×1.013×0.9983.38%
Triples /BIP2.36%÷0.953×0.820×1.013×0.9982.05%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.316×0.830—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .289 → .226; ISO .059 → .047; BABIP .307 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 150 PAwOBA .447 → .366 (−81)K% 16.7% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.961×1.360——23.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.67%÷1.011×0.690—×0.9905.85%
HBP% /PA10.67%—×0.780—×0.9908.24%
Singles /BIP34.74%÷0.983×0.920×0.967×0.99031.12%
Doubles /BIP6.32%÷0.974×0.830×0.967×0.9905.15%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷0.937×0.910×0.967×0.9900.98%
Home runs /BIP4.21%÷0.947×0.800—×0.9903.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .447 → .366; ISO .167 → .138; BABIP .435 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).