Braiden Ward — OGILVIE

Braiden WardCF Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .324 / .329

PA187

HR2

SB21

K%24

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		350	24	11	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	375	317	67	8	3	4	22	122	33	57	5	211	328	293	621	82	328	33	6	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	375	305	83	11	4	4	34	83	33	57	5	272	403	374	777	102	361	22	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	235	48	7	2	1	15	80	25	44	7	204	320	264	584	60	303	29	5	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	438	379	83	10	8	7	17	141	34	50	9	219	312	343	655	124	326	32	4	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	438	368	99	15	8	7	28	105	34	50	9	269	374	410	785	141	357	24	6	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	368	316	78	16	3	1	26	80	19	57	7	247	341	326	667	79	326	22	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	368	307	89	17	4	2	35	61	19	57	7	290	396	391	787	101	355	17	10	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	BOS	—	281	239	53	10	3	3	19	62	21	40	5	222	333	326	660	105	286	22	7	293	82	-6	+6	+0	+1	+8	1.0
YTD	27	AAA	BOS	—	281	231	56	12	3	3	27	52	21	40	5	242	373	359	732	117	299	19	10	339	117	+5	+6	+0	+1	+8	2.1
ROS	27	AAA	BOS	10%	187	161	36	7	2	2	12	45	12	21	3	223	324	329	652	105	287	24	6	292	82	-4	+3	+0	+1	+5	0.5
ROS	27	MLB	BOS	10%	19	17	4	1	0	0	1	5	1	2	0	235	316	294	610	59	292	26	5	250	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	BOS	—	300	256	57	11	3	3	20	67	22	42	5	223	332	324	656	102	289	22	7	290	80	-7	+6	+0	+1	+8	0.9
TOT	27	AAA	BOS	—	468	400	89	17	5	5	31	107	33	61	8	222	330	327	657	105	289	23	7	293	82	-9	+9	+0	+2	+13	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	BOS	38%	333	290	64	12	3	4	22	80	18	33	4	221	315	324	639	103	286	24	7	292	81	-7	+5	-1	+1	+9	0.8
2028	29	MLB	BOS	49%	352	307	68	13	3	4	24	85	18	33	4	221	315	322	638	101	286	24	7	292	82	-7	+5	-1	+1	+10	0.8
2027	28	MLB	BOS	38%	125	109	24	5	1	1	8	30	7	12	2	220	315	312	626	92	292	24	6	255	53	-7	+2	-0	+0	+4	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	BOS	49%	171	148	33	7	1	2	12	41	9	16	2	223	320	324	644	101	292	24	7	258	56	-9	+2	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	315	274	61	13	2	3	21	76	17	30	4	223	317	318	635	95	294	24	7	256	54	-16	+4	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	126	27	4	6	43	157	35	62	8	223	317	317	634	94	296	24	7	256	54	-34	+9	-2	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2369	2034	451	73	24	23	142	642	163	298	41	222	323	315	638	93	310	27	6	283	75	-67	+43	-2	+8	+67	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	124	20	7	6	39	176	45	82	11	222	324	315	639	93	311	27	6	283	75	-18	+12	-1	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	170	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	225	185	39	5	3	0	21	58	17	31	5	211	345	270	616	59	307	26	9	295	84	-4	+4	—	—	+6	0.7
2022	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	150	120	44	6	1	4	13	25	16	26	0	367	490	533	1.023	167	435	17	9	456	207	+18	+5	—	—	+4	2.8
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	124	+8	+6	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	323	268	65	8	4	5	24	81	23	32	5	243	356	358	714	116	326	25	7	323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+9	1.6
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	115	100	34	7	4	2	4	24	11	18	4	340	426	550	976	210	432	21	3	430	187	+11	+2	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	163	133	44	7	4	1	16	23	10	35	2	331	440	466	906	135	394	14	10	399	163	+12	+6	—	—	+5	2.3
2025	26	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	174	45	10	0	1	19	38	9	22	5	259	361	333	695	75	324	19	9	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+6	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	7	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
	/162	664	6	35	246	327	342	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	321	4	31	220	311	320	+1	+2	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	7	63	220	311	320	+2.4	+5.2	1.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braiden Ward (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	60	40	222/330/327	105	289	5	61	23%	7%	82	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tony Campana 2013 · MLB	27	55→63	35→30	66→70	43	256/299/314	57	332	3	54	23%	5%	72	-0.2	237/284/297	60	315	2	37	24%	6%	61	-1.0	229/276/272	43	297	0	32	22%	6%	48	-1.2
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	49	226/302/292	66	307	2	41	25%	9%	69	-0.4	209/289/281	72	301	4	29	29%	9%	61	-1.0	155/259/179	23	242	0	34	32%	10%	21	-1.1
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	54→58	37→45	67→70	46	253/303/326	74	316	3	47	21%	6%	76	+0.1	253/311/332	79	312	3	54	18%	8%	82	+0.5	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Tyler Graham 2012 · AAA	28	57→56	37→40	63→65	42	267/312/340	73	337	4	48	22%	5%	84	+0.6	235/289/314	79	297	5	35	21%	5%	69	-0.4	216/266/277	61	268	4	33	20%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Todd Donovan 2006 · AAA	27	52→53	42→40	65	44	247/306/356	109	309	8	42	22%	6%	86	+0.8	238/296/322	84	298	5	39	20%	7%	73	-0.1	233/305/301	67	298	3	43	21%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	37→30	59→65	48	263/312/331	68	310	4	39	16%	6%	82	+0.5	255/306/319	64	304	4	32	16%	7%	76	+0.1	274/323/324	50	325	2	31	15%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Billy Hamilton 2018 · MLB	27	51→61	38→40	71→70	48	241/295/327	85	298	5	57	20%	7%	74	-0.1	230/292/316	86	301	5	38	23%	8%	70	-0.3	221/282/306	85	301	3	37	26%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Mallex Smith 2020 · MLB	27	53→61	41→45	66→65	48	252/318/362	110	319	6	43	22%	8%	93	+1.3	224/295/328	104	302	8	35	27%	8%	75	-0.0	189/274/277	88	282	11	40	34%	10%	50	-0.3
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2014 · MLB	26	51→61	36→40	66→65	46	238/291/303	65	299	2	50	21%	6%	66	-0.6	288/326/373	85	347	3	50	17%	5%	98	+1.6	313/345/388	75	364	3	52	14%	4%	106	+2.1
✕Rich Thompson 2006 · AAA	27	48→58	39→45	67→65	45	230/285/315	85	277	6	43	19%	6%	67	-0.5	246/306/342	96	301	5	28	19%	6%	82	+0.5	265/314/370	105	322	4	44	18%	4%	90	+0.8
✕Jeff Kobernus 2015 · MLB	27	54→62	37→40	60→65	45	253/301/327	74	315	5	40	21%	6%	76	+0.1	218/267/285	67	288	5	23	25%	6%	51	-1.7	200/245/229	28	272	1	21	25%	5%	25	-1.2
●Michael Bourn 2009 · MLB	26	50→60	39→45	66→65	48	237/295/323	87	295	7	43	22%	8%	73	-0.1	268/333/359	91	339	4	47	20%	9%	98	+1.6	274/337/375	101	350	5	38	21%	8%	101	+2.0
✕Everth Cabrera 2014 · MLB	27	56→60	39→40	65	51	264/330/357	92	329	5	47	20%	9%	96	+1.5	235/288/310	75	293	5	27	20%	7%	66	-0.6	211/260/258	47	269	3	25	22%	6%	39	-1.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	51→58	38→40	63→60	48	240/299/327	87	300	5	37	21%	8%	76	+0.0	223/278/299	76	287	5	28	23%	6%	60	-1.0	215/267/279	63	275	4	25	22%	6%	46	-1.2
●Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	53→63	36→30	60	51	248/318/318	71	303	3	38	18%	8%	82	+0.5	268/334/321	53	314	2	32	14%	8%	89	+1.0	284/345/320	36	330	0	35	13%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Josh Anderson 2010 · MLB	27	56→62	38→40	62→60	44	263/300/343	80	305	5	37	15%	4%	79	+0.3	221/261/308	87	269	7	28	20%	5%	54	-1.4	166/189/198	31	214	0	39	22%	2%	-10	-1.5
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→55	35→30	58→60	42	228/275/290	62	302	3	38	24%	5%	56	-1.3	223/277/301	78	285	5	24	22%	6%	60	-1.0	214/273/273	59	266	3	24	20%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Quintin Berry 2013 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	63→65	46	237/308/322	86	328	6	38	28%	8%	79	+0.3	225/295/298	73	303	5	34	25%	8%	67	-0.5	229/297/285	56	312	3	37	25%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	63→65	51	265/321/348	83	309	4	41	15%	7%	89	+1.0	285/318/365	80	330	4	39	14%	5%	92	+1.2	295/322/370	75	341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.8
✕Jeremias Pineda 2016 · AAA	25	49→57	36→30	60→65	38	230/279/288	58	327	4	41	30%	5%	56	-1.3	226/283/282	56	351	2	37	33%	7%	57	-1.2	236/296/283	47	365	1	40	33%	7%	58	-0.7