Braiden Ward — OGILVIE

Braiden WardCF Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION432 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP284

ISO88

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	162	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	225	185	39	5	3	0	21	58	17	31	5	211	345	270	616	59	307	26	9	295	86	-4	+4	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	150	120	44	6	1	4	13	25	16	26	0	367	490	533	1.023	167	435	17	9	456	194	+17	+5	—	—	+3	2.6
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	121	+7	+6	—	—	+6	2.0
2024	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	323	268	65	8	4	5	24	81	23	32	5	243	356	358	714	116	326	25	7	323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	115	100	34	7	4	2	4	24	11	18	4	340	426	550	976	210	432	21	3	430	177	+11	+2	—	—	+2	1.5
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	163	133	44	7	4	1	16	23	10	35	2	331	440	466	906	135	394	14	10	399	156	+11	+6	—	—	+4	2.1
2025	26	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	174	45	10	0	1	19	38	9	22	5	259	361	333	695	75	324	19	9	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		318	24	11	294	85	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	225	193	30	4	2	0	13	83	17	31	5	155	269	197	466	41	259	37	6	211	29	-19	+4	—	—	+5	-1.0
2022	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	150	124	39	5	1	4	9	35	16	26	0	315	430	468	897	153	382	23	6	375	140	+7	+5	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	234	49	7	2	1	16	78	25	44	7	209	327	269	597	60	289	28	6	259	61	-13	+6	—	—	+6	-0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	323	276	58	6	4	4	16	100	23	32	5	210	308	304	612	94	293	31	5	269	68	-12	+4	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	115	102	26	5	3	1	2	34	11	18	4	255	339	392	731	137	366	30	2	319	102	+0	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	163	138	39	6	3	1	11	31	10	35	2	283	377	391	769	109	343	19	7	330	109	+2	+6	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	26	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	179	43	10	0	1	14	45	9	22	5	240	327	313	640	73	302	22	7	278	74	-6	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		350	24	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	317	68	8	3	4	22	118	33	57	5	215	331	297	627	82	327	31	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	375	305	83	11	4	4	34	83	33	57	5	272	403	374	777	102	361	22	9	359	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	234	49	7	2	1	16	78	25	44	7	209	327	269	597	60	308	28	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	378	86	11	8	6	18	134	34	50	9	228	321	347	667	119	333	31	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	438	368	99	15	8	7	28	105	34	50	9	269	374	410	785	141	357	24	6	351	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	317	80	15	3	1	25	77	19	57	7	252	343	328	672	76	329	21	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	368	307	89	17	4	2	35	61	19	57	7	290	396	391	787	101	355	17	10	355	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		318	24	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	317	68	8	3	4	22	118	33	57	5	215	331	297	627	82	308	31	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	236	49	7	2	1	16	78	25	44	7	208	327	267	594	59	289	28	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	383	86	11	8	6	18	134	34	50	9	225	321	342	663	117	312	31	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	321	80	15	3	1	25	77	19	57	7	249	343	324	667	75	320	21	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	236	49	7	2	1	16	78	25	44	7	208	327	267	594	59	289	28	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	383	86	11	8	6	18	134	34	50	9	225	321	342	663	117	312	31	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	321	80	15	3	1	25	77	19	57	7	249	343	324	667	75	320	21	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	BOS	—	432	373	80	15	5	4	26	94	30	58	9	214	317	314	631	99	275	22	6	281	76	-12	+8	+0	+2	+9	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA RAW	BOS	—	432	361	87	18	5	5	38	78	30	58	9	241	361	360	721	119	294	18	9	332	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	BOS	10%	9	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	143	333	143	476		280	22	11	289	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	245	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	BOS	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	245	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	BOS	—	441	380	81	15	5	4	27	96	31	59	9	213	317	311	628	97	274	22	6	281	76	-12	+8	+0	+2	+10	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	38%	333	291	63	12	3	3	21	76	18	33	5	216	309	309	618	93	280	23	6	289	82	-7	+5	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	352	308	68	13	3	4	23	81	18	33	5	221	312	321	634	101	280	23	7	290	82	-7	+5	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	363	318	69	13	3	4	24	84	18	30	5	217	308	314	623	97	280	23	7	289	82	-8	+4	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2030	31	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	358	314	68	13	3	4	24	84	17	26	4	217	307	315	622	99	278	23	7	286	80	-9	+4	-3	+1	+8	0.1
2031	32	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	345	302	65	12	3	4	23	82	17	21	3	215	307	315	622	99	275	24	7	281	76	-10	+3	-4	+1	+7	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	38%	125	109	24	5	1	1	8	28	7	12	2	220	315	312	626	92	284	22	6	250	82	-3	+2	-0	+0	+3	0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	171	149	32	6	1	2	11	39	9	16	2	215	308	309	616	94	285	23	6	254	82	-4	+2	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	200	175	39	8	2	2	13	46	10	17	3	223	313	326	639	103	284	23	6	255	82	-4	+2	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2030	31	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	211	185	41	8	2	2	14	49	10	15	2	222	311	319	630	97	283	23	7	253	80	-5	+2	-2	+1	+5	0.1
2031	32	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	211	185	40	8	2	2	14	50	10	13	2	216	306	314	620	97	280	24	7	248	76	-6	+2	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	919	804	176	35	8	9	60	212	46	73	11	219	310	316	626	97	284	23	7	252	79	-22	+10	-6	+3	+20	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	125	25	6	6	42	150	33	52	8	220	311	316	627	97	285	23	6	252	79	-15	+7	-4	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3257	2815	624	104	31	31	201	825	204	355	52	222	320	314	633	92	300	25	6	284	79	-41	+20	-10	+6	+38	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	124	21	6	6	40	165	41	71	10	221	319	311	630	91	299	25	6	284	79	-15	+7	-4	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	944	10	76	217	306	315	+3	+8	1.5	1.5
/162	664	7	53	+2.4	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braiden Ward (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	60	40	215/311/307	93	280	2	29	23%	6%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tony Campana 2013 · MLB	27	56→65	35→30	66→70	43	259/302/317	58	333	3	54	22%	5%	76	-0.4	240/286/300	60	318	2	37	24%	6%	67	-1.1	239/275/296	57	294	1	24	18%	4%	58	-1.2
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	53→58	37→45	67→70	47	248/299/322	74	307	4	47	20%	6%	77	-0.3	249/308/327	78	306	3	54	18%	8%	82	-0.0	256/324/360	104	294	5	53	14%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2018 · MLB	27	51→61	38→40	71→70	48	243/296/328	85	300	5	57	20%	7%	77	-0.3	230/293/317	87	301	5	38	23%	8%	74	-0.6	222/283/307	85	303	3	37	26%	8%	65	-0.7
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	50	36→30	61→65	50	230/306/298	69	306	2	41	24%	9%	75	-0.5	213/295/286	73	299	4	29	27%	9%	69	-0.9	167/273/192	24	252	0	34	30%	11%	38	-0.9
✕Tyler Graham 2012 · AAA	28	55→54	37→40	63→65	42	259/306/332	73	327	4	48	22%	5%	82	-0.0	232/289/309	77	293	5	35	21%	6%	71	-0.8	218/269/275	57	269	3	33	19%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Jerry Owens 2008 · MLB	27	56→66	36→30	59→65	48	263/312/329	66	310	4	39	16%	6%	83	+0.1	255/307/318	63	305	4	32	16%	7%	79	-0.2	272/320/320	49	322	2	31	15%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Todd Donovan 2006 · AAA	27	52→54	41→40	66→65	45	248/307/353	105	307	7	42	21%	6%	88	+0.4	240/297/321	81	298	5	39	20%	7%	76	-0.4	236/307/301	65	298	3	43	20%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	53→63	36→30	60	51	248/318/318	70	303	3	38	18%	8%	84	+0.1	268/335/321	53	314	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.6	284/345/320	36	330	0	35	13%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→59	38→40	63→60	49	243/303/329	86	302	5	37	20%	8%	80	-0.1	223/279/299	76	286	5	28	22%	6%	65	-1.2	215/266/278	63	275	3	25	22%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Freddy Guzman 2008 · AAA	27	50→60	37→45	63→70	49	235/297/314	78	285	4	42	18%	7%	75	-0.5	231/279/319	88	270	4	49	15%	6%	69	-0.9	279/331/390	112	331	8	77	17%	7%	102	+0.8
●Michael Bourn 2010 · MLB	27	56→63	39→45	68→65	51	262/327/357	94	330	5	47	21%	9%	95	+1.0	273/339/370	97	344	4	45	20%	9%	103	+1.5	276/338/379	103	351	5	38	21%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Mallex Smith 2020 · MLB	27	54→62	41→45	66→65	48	252/318/362	109	320	6	43	22%	8%	94	+0.9	225/296/327	102	303	8	35	26%	8%	78	-0.3	199/284/284	85	297	10	40	33%	10%	61	-0.3
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2014 · MLB	26	53→63	36→40	67→65	47	245/300/314	69	306	2	50	20%	7%	76	-0.4	289/327/377	88	348	3	50	17%	5%	99	+1.3	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
✕Nyjer Morgan 2008 · MLB	28	57→64	36→45	63→65	44	268/319/342	74	328	3	42	18%	5%	89	+0.5	274/328/350	76	329	3	43	16%	6%	94	+0.9	277/339/360	82	328	3	35	15%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	63→65	51	265/321/348	83	309	4	41	15%	7%	91	+0.6	285/318/365	80	330	4	39	14%	5%	93	+0.8	295/322/370	75	341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.5
✕Jeff Kobernus 2015 · MLB	27	54→61	37→40	60→65	45	253/300/325	73	313	4	40	20%	6%	78	-0.3	218/268/285	67	285	5	23	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/244/229	30	266	1	21	24%	5%	33	-1.2
✕Willy Taveras 2010 · MLB	28	53→63	35→45	63→65	47	248/294/304	56	286	3	46	14%	6%	71	-0.8	227/267/315	88	263	8	25	16%	5%	63	-1.3	257/311/367	110	314	9	27	20%	5%	90	+0.4
✕Everth Cabrera 2014 · MLB	27	56→59	39→40	65	51	263/329/353	90	327	5	47	20%	9%	96	+1.0	234/287/307	73	293	5	27	21%	7%	69	-0.9	211/259/256	46	269	2	25	21%	6%	45	-1.3
✕Quintin Berry 2013 · MLB	28	52→61	38→40	63→65	47	240/310/323	83	327	5	38	26%	8%	82	-0.0	223/295/293	70	302	4	34	25%	8%	70	-0.9	229/297/280	52	311	3	37	25%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Josh Anderson 2010 · MLB	27	56→63	38→40	62→60	44	263/300/342	79	305	4	37	15%	4%	82	-0.0	223/264/309	86	271	7	28	19%	5%	61	-1.5	171/194/202	30	218	0	39	21%	2%	6	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps