Victor Scott II
CF Memphis Redbirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAASTL | 362 | .210/.297/.303 | 6 | 30 | 49 | — | .201/.266/.272 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBSTL | 155 | .179/.222/.283 | 2 | 5 | 38 | -0.4 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBSTL | 463 | .216/.307/.296 | 5 | 34 | 72 | 1.3 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 274 | .223/.315/.319 | 2 | 27 | 52 | — | .209/.276/.289 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBSTL | 195 | .193/.272/.253 | 2 | 12 | 45 | -0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBSTL | 107 | .212/.287/.299 | 1 | 8 | 68 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ56% MLB | 27 | MLBSTL | 230 | .211/.286/.297 | 3 | 17 | 67 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ62% MLB | 28 | MLBSTL | 248 | .210/.284/.293 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 142 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 222 | 368 | 389 | 757 | 167 | 262 | 18 | 17 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 310 | 282 | 91 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 45 | 6 | 44 | 7 | 323 | 376 | 450 | 826 | 128 | 362 | 15 | 6 | 365 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 308 | 266 | 75 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 52 | 9 | 50 | 7 | 282 | 370 | 398 | 768 | 117 | 338 | 17 | 9 | 342 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 99 | 84 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 286 | 388 | 417 | 804 | 131 | 288 | 8 | 12 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 155 | 145 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 179 | 222 | 283 | 505 | 103 | 233 | 27 | 4 | 225 | 38 | -11 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 362 | 314 | 66 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 57 | 3 | 30 | 5 | 210 | 297 | 303 | 600 | 92 | 235 | 16 | 10 | 271 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 398 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 216 | 307 | 296 | 603 | 80 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -15 | +5 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 195 | 166 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 193 | 272 | 253 | 525 | 60 | 252 | 24 | 8 | 233 | 45 | -13 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 249 | 219 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 47 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 237 | 321 | 342 | 664 | 105 | 292 | 19 | 9 | 300 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 53 | 250 | 53 | 303 | 83 | 28 | 20 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 813 | 709 | 144 | 28 | 1 | 9 | 64 | 199 | 14 | 51 | 10 | 203 | 282 | 283 | 566 | 80 | 266 | 24 | 8 | 255 | 59 | -40 | +6 | +13 | +5 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 142 | 116 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 198 | 301 | 345 | 646 | 147 | 237 | 26 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 310 | 287 | 82 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 55 | 6 | 44 | 7 | 286 | 330 | 383 | 713 | 98 | 331 | 18 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 308 | 275 | 66 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 69 | 9 | 50 | 7 | 240 | 310 | 335 | 645 | 95 | 303 | 22 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 155 | 145 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 179 | 222 | 283 | 505 | 103 | 233 | 27 | 4 | 225 | 38 | -11 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 362 | 324 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 72 | 3 | 30 | 5 | 201 | 266 | 272 | 538 | 71 | 232 | 20 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 398 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 214 | 304 | 291 | 596 | 78 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -15 | +5 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 195 | 166 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 193 | 272 | 253 | 525 | 60 | 252 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 45 | -13 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 249 | 225 | 47 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 209 | 276 | 289 | 565 | 80 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 142 | 116 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 198 | 301 | 345 | 646 | 147 | 259 | 26 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 142 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 222 | 368 | 389 | 757 | 167 | 262 | 18 | 17 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 717 | 653 | 173 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 144 | 17 | 112 | 17 | 265 | 321 | 364 | 686 | 100 | 325 | 20 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 717 | 632 | 190 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 105 | 17 | 112 | 17 | 301 | 375 | 424 | 799 | 123 | 342 | 15 | 8 | 355 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 469 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 114 | 5 | 35 | 6 | 194 | 253 | 279 | 532 | 85 | 237 | 22 | 6 | 235 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 459 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 99 | 5 | 35 | 6 | 200 | 275 | 296 | 571 | 96 | 235 | 19 | 8 | 257 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 398 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 214 | 304 | 291 | 596 | 78 | 281 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -15 | +5 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 398 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 216 | 307 | 296 | 603 | 80 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -15 | +5 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 414 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 108 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 203 | 273 | 280 | 553 | 77 | 263 | 23 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 469 | 404 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 100 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 210 | 297 | 292 | 589 | 82 | 268 | 21 | 9 | 266 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 142 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 185 | 301 | 323 | 623 | 137 | 237 | 26 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 717 | 657 | 173 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 144 | 17 | 112 | 17 | 263 | 321 | 362 | 683 | 99 | 317 | 20 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 475 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 114 | 5 | 35 | 6 | 192 | 253 | 276 | 529 | 84 | 232 | 22 | 6 | 235 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 408 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 208 | 304 | 284 | 589 | 76 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 426 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 108 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 197 | 273 | 272 | 545 | 75 | 260 | 23 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 475 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 114 | 5 | 35 | 6 | 192 | 253 | 276 | 529 | 84 | 232 | 22 | 6 | 235 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 463 | 408 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 111 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 208 | 304 | 284 | 589 | 76 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 426 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 108 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 197 | 273 | 272 | 545 | 75 | 260 | 23 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 45% | 498 | 448 | 95 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 114 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 212 | 286 | 301 | 587 | 89 | 266 | 23 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -19 | +5 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 45% | 107 | 96 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 212 | 287 | 299 | 586 | 87 | 268 | 22 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -4 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 56% | 412 | 371 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 95 | 6 | 31 | 5 | 211 | 285 | 298 | 583 | 87 | 266 | 23 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -16 | +4 | +4 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 62% | 402 | 361 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 93 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 209 | 283 | 294 | 577 | 84 | 265 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 65 | -17 | +4 | +3 | +1 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 63% | 387 | 348 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 91 | 6 | 24 | 4 | 207 | 281 | 288 | 568 | 81 | 264 | 24 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 56% | 230 | 207 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 211 | 286 | 297 | 583 | 86 | 268 | 23 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -9 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 62% | 248 | 223 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 210 | 284 | 293 | 577 | 83 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 65 | -10 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 63% | 243 | 218 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 57 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 207 | 281 | 287 | 568 | 80 | 266 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -11 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1534 | 1357 | 280 | 50 | 4 | 18 | 120 | 367 | 25 | 100 | 18 | 206 | 283 | 289 | 572 | 83 | 267 | 24 | 8 | 259 | 67 | -70 | +13 | +18 | +8 | +33 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 119 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 156 | 11 | 42 | 8 | 207 | 285 | 292 | 577 | 85 | 267 | 24 | 8 | 259 | 67 | -30 | +5 | +8 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3747 | 3343 | 726 | 107 | 28 | 44 | 273 | 847 | 62 | 334 | 56 | 217 | 288 | 305 | 594 | 88 | 275 | 23 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -99 | +20 | +24 | +10 | +49 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 127 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 147 | 11 | 58 | 10 | 219 | 290 | 310 | 600 | 91 | 277 | 23 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -29 | +6 | +7 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 249 PAwOBA .294 → .253 (−41)K% 18.9% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 19.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .294 → .253; ISO .105 → .088; BABIP .292 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 362 PAwOBA .267 → .240 (−28)K% 15.7% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.75% | ÷0.953 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.94% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 19.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.72% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.68% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .267 → .240; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .235 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASpringfield Cardinals · 310 PAwOBA .357 → .312 (−45)K% 14.5% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.52% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.81% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.96% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 27.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.031 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷1.080 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .357 → .312; ISO .128 → .104; BABIP .362 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Peoria Chiefs · 308 PAwOBA .338 → .285 (−53)K% 16.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.961 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.17% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 23.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 3.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.093 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .338 → .285; ISO .117 → .102; BABIP .338 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 APalm Beach Cardinals · 142 PAwOBA .325 → .281 (−44)K% 18.3% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.90% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 11.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.07% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | 15.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | 4.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.880 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .325 → .281; ISO .167 → .165; BABIP .262 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .