Michael Siani

CF Toledo Mud Hens
Age 28 L/L 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.797 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAAPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425MLBSTL334.228/.286/.285220590.6
202526AAASTL430.209/.310/.32982852—.184/.263/.278
202526MLBSTL19.235/.316/.23500660.2
202627AAADET274.166/.269/.2603923—.147/.220/.220
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBDET21.187/.261/.2770156-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB29MLBDET63.185/.259/.2711253-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.797First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.2M2031Ext$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025
Speed63
Bat Spd29
Barrel%10
xwOBA10
Avg EV10
CompsJacob Hannemann (age 28) · JJ Muno (age 28) · Logan Warmoth (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 4356vR 61
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .261 / .277
PA21
HR0
K%29
BB%10
BABIP264
ISO53
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.205
POWER35
Barrel%
102.1
Avg EV
1082.7
Bat Spd
2969.0
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
6328.0
Platoon Splits2024 · 334 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
107
227
—
wRC+
51
66
▶▶R
wOBA
243
266
▶R
ISO
065
053
◀◀L
BABIP
279
340
▶▶R
K%
28.0%
27.3%
—
BB%
7.5%
5.7%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2022
Service   0.797 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201819 ROKGreeneville Reds — 205184 53632 16353 64 288355386741 98342 178 332 57 — — — — — —
201920 ADayton Dragons — 531466 1181066 4610910 4515 253333339672 86318 219 304 45 — — — — — —
202122 A+Dayton Dragons — 408352 761346 501035 3010 216322327649 111287 2512 299 38 — — — — — —
202122 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5140 12301 1091 101 300451450901 150367 1820 410 163 — — — — — —
202223 MLBCincinnati Reds — 2424 4000 070 01 167167167333 235 290 151 -12 -3 -0 -0 +2 +1 -0.1
202223 AAALouisville Bats — 3836 9002 150 30 250270417687 167233 133 295 48 — — — — — —
202223 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 531456 11519712 64907 4912 252353404756 151289 1712 339 81 — — — — — —
202324 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 493409 931739 761171 234 227350350699 122293 2415 319 65 — — — — — —
202425 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 334298 68722 21923 203 228286285571 57322 286 254 59 -16 +3 +11 +1 +7 0.6
202425 AASpringfield Cardinals — 1510 1000 520 11 100400100500 125 1333 293 36 — — — — — —
202526 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 1917 4000 270 00 235316235551 400 3711 264 66 -1 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.2
202526 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 430368 771248 501064 285 209310329639 120266 2512 289 52 — — — — — —
202627 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 274235 39733 32801 95 166269260528 94234 2912 243 23 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 377339 76722 231063 204 224279274554 50319 286 248 54 -21 +2 +11 +5 +8 0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201819 ROK MLEGreeneville Reds — 205190 43422 10503 64 226276300576 74289 245 253 57 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 531481 97855 3115610 4515 202264270535 69276 296 234 45 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 408367 601035 351415 3010 163246248494 84247 359 225 38 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 2424 4000 070 01 167167167333 235 290 150 -12 -3 -0 -0 +2 +1 -0.1
202223 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 3836 8001 160 30 222243306549 83223 163 239 48 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 531476 10817710 441097 4912 227302355657 128269 218 288 81 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 493431 861537 541421 234 200290297587 97269 2911 264 65 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 334298 68722 21923 203 228286285571 57322 286 255 59 -16 +3 +11 +1 +7 0.6
202425 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 1511 1000 430 11 9133391424 115 2027 222 36 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 1917 4000 270 00 235316235551 400 3711 266 66 -1 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.2
202526 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 430381 701046 371334 285 184263278541 94254 319 245 52 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 274245 36632 22961 95 147220220441 73224 358 202 23 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEGreeneville Reds — 205190 43422 10503 64 226276300576 74293 245 253 57 — — — — — —
201819 ROK RAWGreeneville Reds — 205184 53632 16353 64 288355386741 98342 178 332 57 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 531481 97855 3115610 4515 202264270535 69287 296 234 45 — — — — — —
201920 A RAWDayton Dragons — 531466 1181066 4610910 4515 253333339672 86318 219 304 45 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 459412 671145 401596 4011 163247245492 83249 359 225 38 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAW2 teams — 459392 881647 601126 4011 224336339676 115296 2413 312 38 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE3 teams — 593536 12017711 451227 5213 224293343636 119268 218 279 75 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAW3 teams — 593516 12819714 651027 5213 248340393734 145282 1711 329 75 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 493431 861537 541421 234 200290297587 97276 2911 264 65 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAWMemphis Redbirds — 493409 931739 761171 234 227350350699 122293 2415 319 65 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 349309 69722 25953 214 223288278566 55315 277 253 58 -18 +3 +11 +1 +8 0.5
202425 MLB RAW2 teams — 349308 69722 26943 214 224291279570 55315 277 256 58 -18 +3 +11 +1 +8 0.5
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 449398 741046 391404 285 186265276542 90265 319 246 53 — — — — — —
202526 AAA RAW2 teams — 449385 811248 521134 285 210311325635 114271 2512 288 53 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 274245 36632 22961 95 147220220441 73228 358 202 23 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAWToledo Mud Hens — 274235 39733 32801 95 166269260528 94234 2912 243 23 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEGreeneville Reds — 205190 43422 10503 64 226276300576 74289 245 253 57 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEDayton Dragons — 531485 97855 3115610 4515 200264268532 68276 296 234 45 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 459410 671145 401596 4011 163247246493 83247 359 225 38 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE3 teams — 593536 12017711 451227 5213 224293343636 119265 218 279 75 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 493435 861537 541421 234 198290294584 97269 2911 264 65 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 349318 69722 25953 214 217288270558 53313 277 253 58 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 449403 741046 391404 285 184265273538 89260 319 246 53 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 274249 36632 22961 95 145220217437 72224 358 202 23 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 349318 69722 25953 214 217288270558 53313 277 253 58 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 449403 741046 391404 285 184265273538 89260 319 246 53 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 274249 36632 22961 95 145220217437 72224 358 202 23 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEDET 10% 324292 55924 27992 143 190264283547 93268 318 250 56 -17 +2 +3 +1 +7 -0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXDET 10% 2119 4100 260 10 187261277538 90264 2910 247 56 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEDET 27% 231208 39623 19712 92 188261277539 89267 318 247 53 -13 +1 +1 +1 +5 -0.5
202829 MLB CTXDET 27% 6358 11201 5190 21 185259271530 86263 308 244 53 -4 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 440397 87923 281253 225 219276275550 55311 286 247 54 -24 +2 +11 +5 +10 0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 1281334 411854 327 218273271545 53312 286 247 54 -36 +4 +16 +8 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 37973401 668903446 303109639 24265 196270283553 87273 298 248 54 -45 +4 +13 +7 +18 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 1141568 521887 4111 196270284553 88272 298 248 54 -35 +3 +11 +5 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 274 PAwOBA .239 → .202 (−37)K% 29.2% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.20%÷1.000×1.200——35.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.68%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0038.08%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.940—×1.0030.34%
Singles /BIP16.77%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.00316.43%
Doubles /BIP4.52%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0033.95%
Triples /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0031.98%
Home runs /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0031.36%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .239 → .202; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .234 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 430 PAwOBA .285 → .245 (−40)K% 24.7% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.65%÷0.953×1.200——31.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.63%÷0.954×0.690—×1.0188.56%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.940—×1.0180.89%
Singles /BIP20.23%÷0.982×0.930×1.012×1.01819.73%
Doubles /BIP4.58%÷1.033×0.830×1.012×1.0183.79%
Triples /BIP1.53%÷0.900×0.970×1.012×1.0181.69%
Home runs /BIP3.05%÷0.869×0.700—×1.0182.51%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .285 → .245; ISO .120 → .102; BABIP .266 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASpringfield Cardinals · 15 PAwOBA .289 → .222 (−67)K% 13.3% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.33%÷0.943×1.220——17.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA33.33%÷0.992×0.700—×0.99823.47%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.998×0.920—×0.99811.50%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.940×0.840—×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.386×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .289 → .222; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 493 PAwOBA .313 → .264 (−49)K% 23.7% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.73%÷0.990×1.200——28.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.21%÷1.010×0.690—×1.04810.89%
HBP% /PA0.20%—×0.940—×1.0480.20%
Singles /BIP21.92%÷1.040×0.930×0.997×1.04820.47%
Doubles /BIP5.82%÷0.969×0.830×0.997×1.0485.21%
Triples /BIP1.03%÷1.150×0.970×0.997×1.0480.91%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷0.955×0.700—×1.0482.37%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .313 → .264; ISO .122 → .102; BABIP .293 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 531 PAwOBA .333 → .288 (−44)K% 16.9% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.95%÷1.010×1.220——20.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.05%÷1.019×0.680—×1.0278.26%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.840—×1.0271.14%
Singles /BIP21.04%÷1.002×0.920×1.006×1.02719.95%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.084×0.910×1.006×1.0274.50%
Triples /BIP1.91%÷0.912×0.880×1.006×1.0271.91%
Home runs /BIP3.28%÷0.990×0.800—×1.0272.72%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 82, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .333 → .288; ISO .151 → .135; BABIP .289 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALouisville Bats · 38 PAwOBA .293 → .239 (−55)K% 13.2% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.16%÷0.958×1.200——16.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.63%÷1.023×0.690—×1.0501.86%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷0.996×0.930—×1.05022.15%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.955×0.830—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP6.45%÷1.282×0.700—×1.0503.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .293 → .239; ISO .167 → .096; BABIP .233 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Dayton Dragons · 408 PAwOBA .293 → .225 (−68)K% 25.2% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.25%÷0.986×1.350——34.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.25%÷1.008×0.710—×1.0128.74%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.810—×1.0121.00%
Singles /BIP21.29%÷1.061×0.910×1.000×1.01218.48%
Doubles /BIP5.22%÷1.011×0.830×1.000×1.0124.34%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷0.900×0.820×1.000×1.0121.48%
Home runs /BIP2.41%÷0.960×0.830—×1.0122.11%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 112, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .293 → .225; ISO .111 → .088; BABIP .287 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ADayton Dragons · 531 PAwOBA .296 → .234 (−62)K% 20.5% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.53%÷0.953×1.360——29.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.47%÷1.044×0.690—×1.0305.77%
HBP% /PA1.88%—×0.780—×1.0301.51%
Singles /BIP26.89%÷1.033×0.920×0.950×1.03023.44%
Doubles /BIP2.80%÷0.950×0.830×0.950×1.0302.39%
Triples /BIP1.68%÷1.024×0.910×0.950×1.0301.46%
Home runs /BIP1.68%÷0.950×0.800—×1.0301.46%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 105, K 91, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .296 → .234; ISO .086 → .070; BABIP .318 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .