Michael Siani — OGILVIE

Michael SianiCF Toledo Mud Hens

Age 27 L/L 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION255 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 3548vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP251

ISO94

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3512.6%

xAVG

100.205

POWER35

Barrel%

102.1

Avg EV

1082.7

Bat Spd

2969.0

EYE50

Chase%

4532.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024 · 334 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

107

227

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

243

266

▶R

ISO

065

053

◀◀L

BABIP

279

340

▶▶R

28.0%

27.3%

—

BB%

7.5%

5.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	Greeneville Reds	—	205	184	53	6	3	2	16	35	3	6	4	288	355	386	741	98	342	17	8	332	111	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	531	466	118	10	6	6	46	109	10	45	15	253	333	339	672	86	318	21	9	304	92	-5	+3	—	—	+12	0.9
2021	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	408	352	76	13	4	6	50	103	5	30	10	216	322	327	649	111	287	25	12	299	89	-5	+2	—	—	+9	0.6
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	51	40	12	3	0	1	10	9	1	10	1	300	451	450	901	150	367	18	20	410	163	+4	+2	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	24	24	4	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	167	167	167	333		235	29	0	151	-12	-3	-0	-0	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	38	36	9	0	0	2	1	5	0	3	0	250	270	417	687	167	233	13	3	295	86	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	531	456	115	19	7	12	64	90	7	49	12	252	353	404	756	151	289	17	12	339	116	+10	+5	—	—	+12	2.7
2023	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	409	93	17	3	9	76	117	1	23	4	227	350	350	699	122	293	24	15	319	102	+1	+3	—	—	+11	1.5
2024	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	298	68	7	2	2	21	92	3	20	3	228	286	285	571	57	322	28	6	254	58	-17	+3	+11	+1	+7	0.6
2024	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	15	10	1	0	0	0	5	2	0	1	1	100	400	100	500		125	13	33	293	84	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	19	17	4	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	235	316	235	551		400	37	11	264	65	-1	+0	+0	+2	+0	0.2
2025	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	430	368	77	12	4	8	50	106	4	28	5	209	310	329	639	120	266	25	12	289	82	-9	+4	—	—	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	377	339	76	7	2	2	23	106	3	20	4	224	279	274	554	50	319	28	6	248	54	-21	+2	+11	+5	+8	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Reds	—	205	190	43	4	2	2	10	50	3	6	4	226	276	300	576	74	287	24	5	251	56	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2019	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	531	482	95	8	5	5	30	156	10	45	15	197	259	266	524	68	268	29	6	228	40	-38	+3	—	—	+12	-2.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	408	367	60	10	3	5	35	141	5	30	10	163	246	248	494	84	244	35	9	223	37	-31	+2	—	—	+9	-2.0
2022	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	24	24	4	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	167	167	167	333		235	29	0	148	-13	-3	-0	-0	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	38	36	8	0	0	1	1	6	0	3	0	222	243	306	549	83	212	16	3	228	40	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	531	476	107	16	7	10	44	109	7	49	12	225	300	351	651	126	265	21	8	283	78	-14	+5	—	—	+12	0.2
2023	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	434	82	15	2	7	51	142	1	23	4	189	276	281	557	92	256	29	10	253	57	-25	+3	—	—	+11	-1.2
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	298	68	7	2	2	21	92	3	20	3	228	286	285	571	57	322	28	6	253	58	-17	+3	+11	+1	+7	0.5
2024	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	1	83	267	83	350		118	20	20	222	36	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	19	17	4	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	235	316	235	551		400	37	11	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+2	+0	0.2
2025	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	430	382	70	10	4	6	36	133	4	28	5	183	261	277	538	94	248	31	8	241	49	-26	+4	—	—	+9	-1.3
2018	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Reds	—	205	190	43	4	2	2	10	50	3	6	4	226	276	300	576	74	293	24	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Greeneville Reds	—	205	184	53	6	3	2	16	35	3	6	4	288	355	386	741	98	342	17	8	332	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	531	482	95	8	5	5	30	156	10	45	15	197	259	266	524	68	280	29	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	531	466	118	10	6	6	46	109	10	45	15	253	333	339	672	86	318	21	9	304	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	459	413	67	11	4	5	39	159	6	40	11	162	245	245	489	82	248	35	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	459	392	88	16	4	7	60	112	6	40	11	224	336	339	676	115	296	24	13	312	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	537	119	16	7	11	44	122	7	52	13	222	289	339	628	117	265	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	593	516	128	19	7	14	65	102	7	52	13	248	340	393	734	145	282	17	11	329	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	434	82	15	2	7	51	142	1	23	4	189	276	281	557	92	260	29	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	409	93	17	3	9	76	117	1	23	4	227	350	350	699	122	293	24	15	319	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	349	310	69	7	2	2	24	95	3	21	4	223	285	277	562	55	313	27	7	252	57	-18	+3	+11	+1	+8	0.4
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	349	308	69	7	2	2	26	94	3	21	4	224	291	279	570	55	315	27	7	256	57	-18	+3	+11	+1	+8	0.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	449	399	74	10	4	6	38	140	4	28	5	185	263	276	539	90	264	31	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	449	385	81	12	4	8	52	113	4	28	5	210	311	325	635	114	271	25	12	288	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Reds	—	205	190	43	4	2	2	10	50	3	6	4	226	276	300	576	74	287	24	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	531	486	95	8	5	5	30	156	10	45	15	195	259	263	522	68	268	29	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	459	411	67	11	4	5	39	159	6	40	11	163	245	246	490	83	244	35	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	537	119	16	7	11	44	122	7	52	13	222	289	339	628	117	260	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	438	82	15	2	7	51	142	1	23	4	187	276	279	554	91	256	29	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	349	319	69	7	2	2	24	95	3	21	4	216	285	270	554	53	313	27	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	449	404	74	10	4	6	38	140	4	28	5	183	263	272	535	89	254	31	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	438	82	15	2	7	51	142	1	23	4	187	276	279	554	91	256	29	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	349	319	69	7	2	2	24	95	3	21	4	216	285	270	554	53	313	27	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	449	404	74	10	4	6	38	140	4	28	5	183	263	272	535	89	254	31	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	DET	—	255	227	35	5	3	2	21	90	1	9	4	154	229	229	458	75	241	35	8	207	26	-22	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA RAW	DET	—	255	217	37	6	3	3	31	75	1	9	4	171	277	267	544	97	241	29	12	250	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	DET	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		254	30	10	239	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	DET	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						251	0	0	231	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	DET	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	231	27	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	DET	—	265	236	36	5	3	2	22	93	1	9	4	153	228	225	452	72	238	35	8	208	27	-23	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	31%	392	354	64	10	3	5	33	121	2	16	4	181	254	268	523	88	253	31	8	239	48	-24	+2	+4	+1	+8	-0.9
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	31%	122	110	19	3	1	1	10	38	1	5	1	173	248	245	493	73	250	31	8	231	48	-8	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	500	450	95	10	3	3	33	144	4	25	5	211	271	267	538	56	302	29	7	244	52	-28	+3	+12	+5	+11	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	124	13	4	4	43	187	5	32	6	212	272	268	540	56	302	29	7	244	52	-37	+4	+16	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3481	3128	614	81	29	43	270	988	36	231	60	196	268	282	550	86	270	28	8	245	52	-46	+4	+15	+6	+17	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	114	15	5	8	50	184	7	43	11	195	267	279	546	84	268	28	8	245	52	-38	+3	+12	+5	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	491	4	27	210	269	276	+2	+3	-0.6	-0.4
/162	664	5	36	+2.4	+3.4	-0.8	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Siani (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	55	50	179/251/265	86	254	4	15	31%	8%	48	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	42→43	42→45	57→60	41	205/259/318	112	271	9	26	27%	6%	62	-1.4	203/256/309	106	262	10	24	26%	6%	59	-1.7	189/239/282	93	239	10	28	25%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Kevin Mattison 2013 · AAA	27	42→48	42→45	57→60	40	204/262/316	111	285	9	26	30%	6%	63	-1.4	183/242/295	112	305	10	22	41%	6%	51	-2.3	150/212/254	104	271	9	25	45%	6%	29	-2.0
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB	27	48→56	40	61→60	44	233/283/326	93	292	7	30	22%	6%	72	-0.7	223/276/322	99	300	9	23	27%	7%	69	-0.9	202/253/265	63	292	4	26	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→52	38→40	56→60	37	236/272/317	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	65	-1.2	226/265/305	79	297	3	28	24%	5%	60	-1.6	224/260/289	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	45→55	40	57→60	50	216/290/307	92	275	8	35	23%	9%	72	-0.7	227/296/306	79	302	6	35	25%	8%	73	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Josh Prince 2015 · AAA	27	44→48	40	54→60	49	212/286/300	88	274	8	30	24%	9%	68	-1.0	215/281/312	97	280	9	23	25%	8%	69	-0.9	219/291/306	88	300	8	18	28%	9%	69	-0.4
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	42→40	59→60	45	213/291/309	96	302	11	32	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/278/304	94	297	9	27	30%	7%	66	-1.1	178/249/248	70	249	8	46	30%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	55	39	210/261/304	93	304	7	24	32%	6%	59	-1.7	219/278/323	104	314	10	15	31%	6%	70	-0.8	202/263/278	76	292	9	13	32%	6%	52	-0.5
✕Juan Perez 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	42→45	53→55	39	199/251/301	102	278	10	20	31%	6%	55	-1.9	239/285/384	145	299	16	24	25%	6%	87	+0.4	255/296/408	153	307	18	29	23%	5%	95	+0.8
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	233/292/292	59	308	3	29	24%	7%	68	-1.0	215/282/277	62	301	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	194/268/218	24	284	0	37	29%	8%	40	-1.3
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	39	43→40	54→60	39	192/278/300	107	279	10	21	33%	6%	67	-1.1	209/292/300	91	295	8	27	30%	7%	72	-0.7	198/291/265	66	283	5	39	29%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	49	202/300/325	123	283	13	26	31%	10%	81	-0.1	215/309/320	105	287	9	16	26%	10%	82	+0.0	206/316/294	88	270	5	13	23%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Dave Krynzel 2009 · AAA	27	42→45	44→45	52→55	40	209/269/325	115	295	12	19	32%	6%	68	-1.0	223/271/326	103	317	10	17	31%	6%	68	-1.0	217/261/304	87	311	8	20	31%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	45→46	39→40	55	46	215/278/303	88	284	5	20	25%	8%	65	-1.2	225/283/328	103	294	7	15	24%	7%	73	-0.6	243/286/366	122	298	6	17	20%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Ben Ruta 2021 · AA	27	47→54	42→45	54→55	45	229/277/338	109	284	8	22	22%	6%	73	-0.6	188/249/289	101	252	9	12	28%	7%	52	-2.2	138/204/222	84	182	8	11	28%	7%	19	-2.4
✕Evan Marzilli 2018 · AAA	27	45→47	38→40	50	49	210/289/294	84	292	5	14	28%	9%	68	-1.0	199/277/290	91	310	7	11	35%	9%	63	-1.4	167/246/239	71	268	4	10	36%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Jordan Cowan 2022 · AA	27	49→51	39→30	53→50	48	231/295/314	83	295	6	19	23%	8%	74	-0.5	219/285/306	87	290	6	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	191/265/232	41	258	0	8	24%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Nook Logan 2007 · MLB	27	51	37→40	57→60	48	241/294/320	79	300	4	27	21%	7%	74	-0.5	244/293/336	92	324	5	27	24%	6%	78	-0.3	260/300/338	78	351	0	39	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	42→40	51→55	42	201/278/307	106	312	9	19	36%	8%	68	-1.0	200/279/294	94	289	9	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	184/270/260	77	263	8	25	30%	9%	53	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps