Michael Siani — OGILVIE

Michael SianiCF Norfolk Tides

Age 27 L/L 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 191 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3850vR 55

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .269 / .276

PA191

HR2

SB9

K%31

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO88

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3512.6%

xwOBA

100.245

POWER35

Barrel%

102.1

Avg EV

1082.7

Bat Spd

2969.0

EYE50

Chase%

4532.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024 · 334 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

107

227

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

243

266

▶R

ISO

065

053

◀◀L

BABIP

279

340

▶▶R

28.0%

27.3%

—

BB%

7.5%

5.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Greeneville Reds	—	205	190	43	4	2	2	10	50	3	6	4	226	276	300	576	74	293	24	5	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Greeneville Reds	—	205	184	53	6	3	2	16	35	3	6	4	288	355	386	741	98	342	17	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	531	483	91	8	5	5	29	164	10	45	15	188	249	257	506	68	273	31	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	531	466	118	10	6	6	46	109	10	45	15	253	333	339	672	86	318	21	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	459	413	65	11	4	6	39	161	6	40	11	157	240	247	487	90	239	35	8	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	459	392	88	16	4	7	60	112	6	40	11	224	336	339	676	115	296	24	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	593	538	117	14	8	12	43	127	7	52	13	217	284	340	624	123	261	21	7	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	593	516	128	19	7	14	65	102	7	52	13	248	340	393	734	145	282	17	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	434	81	15	2	8	51	143	1	23	4	187	274	286	559	99	254	29	10	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	409	93	17	3	9	76	117	1	23	4	227	350	350	699	122	293	24	15	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	349	309	69	7	2	2	25	95	3	21	4	223	288	278	566	55	315	27	7	250	50	-20	+3	+11	+1	+10	0.5
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	349	308	69	7	2	2	26	94	3	21	4	224	291	279	570	55	315	27	7	256	54	-18	+3	+11	+1	+10	0.7
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	449	397	75	9	4	9	40	148	4	28	5	189	270	300	570	111	269	33	9	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	449	385	81	12	4	8	52	113	4	28	5	210	311	325	635	114	271	25	12	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	BAL	—	287	253	43	8	3	1	30	104	2	11	5	170	263	237	500	67	282	36	10	229	33	-22	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.2
YTD	27	AAA	BAL	—	287	240	47	10	3	1	43	84	2	11	5	196	323	275	598	79	295	29	15	283	74	-8	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
ROS	27	AAA	BAL	10%	191	170	32	5	2	2	18	60	1	9	3	188	269	276	545	88	272	31	9	252	51	-11	+1	+2	+1	+5	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	BAL	10%	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	176	263	235	498	59	275	32	11	249	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	BAL	—	306	270	46	9	3	1	32	110	2	12	5	170	263	237	500	67	281	36	10	230	34	-23	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.3
TOT	27	AAA	BAL	—	478	423	75	13	5	3	48	164	3	20	8	177	266	253	518	76	279	34	10	238	40	-32	+1	+2	+2	+14	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	BAL	31%	392	349	66	11	3	5	37	124	3	16	5	189	272	281	553	92	270	32	9	250	49	-22	+1	+4	+1	+11	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	BAL	31%	122	109	20	3	1	1	11	39	1	5	1	183	264	257	521	73	274	32	9	247	47	-7	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	518	465	99	11	3	3	36	151	4	26	5	213	275	269	544	56	307	29	7	248	48	-31	+3	+12	+5	+15	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	125	14	4	4	45	189	5	33	6	214	276	273	549	58	308	29	7	248	48	-38	+4	+15	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	3662	3283	639	84	32	51	292	1072	38	240	64	195	268	286	554	92	270	29	8	247	48	-217	+22	+17	+13	+104	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	114	15	6	9	52	190	7	43	11	196	270	288	558	93	271	29	8	247	48	-39	+4	+3	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Greeneville Reds	—	205	184	53	6	3	2	16	35	3	6	4	288	355	386	741	98	342	17	8	332	112	+3	-0	—	—	+6	0.8
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	531	466	118	10	6	6	46	109	10	45	15	253	333	339	672	86	318	21	9	304	91	-6	+3	—	—	+15	1.3
2021	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	408	352	76	13	4	6	50	103	5	30	10	216	322	327	649	111	287	25	12	299	87	-6	+2	—	—	+12	0.8
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	51	40	12	3	0	1	10	9	1	10	1	300	451	450	901	150	367	18	20	410	172	+4	+2	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	24	24	4	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	167	167	167	333		235	29	0	151	-26	-3	-0	-0	+2	+1	-0.2
2022	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	38	36	9	0	0	2	1	5	0	3	0	250	270	417	687	167	233	13	3	295	84	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	531	456	115	19	7	12	64	90	7	49	12	252	353	404	756	151	289	17	12	339	118	+11	+5	—	—	+15	3.1
2023	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	493	409	93	17	3	9	76	117	1	23	4	227	350	350	699	122	293	24	15	319	102	+1	+3	—	—	+14	1.8
2024	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	298	68	7	2	2	21	92	3	20	3	228	286	285	571	57	322	28	6	254	53	-18	+3	+11	+1	+9	0.7
2024	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	15	10	1	0	0	0	5	2	0	1	1	100	400	100	500		125	13	33	293	82	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	19	17	4	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	235	316	235	551		400	37	11	264	60	-1	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
2025	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	430	368	77	12	4	8	50	106	4	28	5	209	310	329	639	120	266	25	12	289	79	-10	+4	—	—	+12	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	377	339	76	7	2	2	23	106	3	20	4	224	279	274	554	50	319	28	6	248	48	-22	+2	+11	+5	+11	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	491	4	27	212	273	278	+2	+3	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	5	36	212	273	278	+2.4	+3.4	-0.7	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Siani (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	55	50	177/266/253	76	279	3	20	34%	10%	40	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	41	43→45	57→60	41	205/260/322	117	272	10	26	28%	6%	59	-1.1	201/253/309	108	258	11	24	26%	5%	53	-1.5	184/233/277	93	233	10	28	25%	5%	32	-1.3
✕Josh Prince 2015 · AAA	27	44→49	40	54→60	49	211/285/301	91	277	8	30	26%	9%	65	-0.7	214/279/312	98	284	9	23	26%	8%	64	-0.8	214/284/304	90	303	9	18	30%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Kevin Mattison 2013 · AAA	27	43→49	43→45	57→60	40	211/268/331	120	293	10	26	30%	6%	64	-0.8	186/244/300	114	311	10	22	41%	6%	46	-2.0	152/213/256	104	276	9	25	46%	6%	21	-2.0
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB	27	49→57	40	61→60	44	234/282/326	93	294	7	30	22%	6%	68	-0.5	226/277/327	101	303	9	23	27%	6%	66	-0.6	211/262/281	69	304	5	26	30%	6%	45	-0.7
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB	28	44→51	40	55	45	213/280/298	85	298	8	23	30%	8%	61	-1.0	197/266/297	100	272	10	22	29%	8%	56	-1.3	182/249/278	96	248	10	22	30%	7%	41	-2.0
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	43→40	59→60	45	214/295/319	105	309	12	32	32%	9%	74	-0.1	212/279/316	104	299	11	27	31%	7%	66	-0.6	180/249/269	88	246	11	46	30%	7%	38	-0.9
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	46	211/276/296	85	280	5	20	25%	8%	59	-1.1	224/282/323	99	296	7	15	25%	7%	68	-0.5	244/287/356	113	304	6	17	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	234/293/293	59	311	3	29	25%	7%	64	-0.8	216/281/277	61	306	3	26	28%	8%	56	-1.3	194/266/220	26	288	0	37	30%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Juan Perez 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	43→45	53→55	38	199/249/304	105	278	11	20	32%	6%	50	-1.8	240/284/394	154	298	18	24	25%	5%	88	+0.9	258/300/425	167	309	21	29	23%	5%	100	+1.5
✕Kenny Wilson 2017 · AAA	27	48→51	39→40	56→60	44	225/284/312	87	305	5	27	27%	7%	66	-0.6	212/276/307	95	312	7	22	32%	7%	62	-0.9	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Clay Dungan 2023 · AAA	27	42→52	42→45	53→55	44	207/267/308	101	254	10	19	23%	6%	58	-1.2	211/284/315	104	289	8	21	28%	8%	67	-0.5	209/288/317	108	298	8	24	30%	9%	68	-0.4
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2022 · MLB	27	43→52	44→45	59→65	38	214/262/331	116	287	11	35	29%	5%	62	-0.9	213/273/338	125	291	14	30	31%	5%	69	-0.4	188/256/296	108	256	15	44	31%	5%	50	-0.9
✕Dave Krynzel 2009 · AAA	27	42→44	44→45	52→55	40	208/265/323	115	293	12	19	32%	6%	62	-0.9	220/266/328	108	318	11	17	33%	5%	63	-0.9	214/258/306	92	312	9	20	33%	5%	50	-1.2
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	43→40	53→60	38	187/271/294	107	277	11	21	34%	6%	59	-1.1	206/289/300	94	299	8	27	32%	7%	67	-0.5	195/287/264	69	287	6	39	31%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Lucius Fox 2023 · MLB	26	43→48	41→40	56→60	43	208/269/309	101	289	9	25	30%	7%	59	-1.1	207/260/313	106	303	11	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	160/209/222	61	250	10	0	39%	6%	8	-1.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Mycal Jones 2014 · AA	27	44→45	39→45	51→55	43	212/266/300	88	273	6	24	24%	6%	56	-1.3	218/276/311	93	285	7	19	25%	6%	63	-0.9	213/275/304	91	278	7	19	25%	7%	58	-0.7