Tyler Pastornicky
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 23 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 320 | .292/.356/.392 | 4 | 9 | 93 | — | .277/.325/.372 | |
| 2013 | 23 | MLBATL | 33 | .300/.323/.333 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 0.1 | ||
| 2014 | 24 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 189 | .290/.332/.347 | 1 | 7 | 75 | — | .285/.316/.341 | |
| 2014 | 24 | MLBATL | 47 | .200/.304/.250 | 0 | 0 | 61 | -0.1 | ||
| 2015 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 438 | .282/.333/.367 | 2 | 5 | 68 | — | .252/.292/.315 | |
| 2016 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 186 | 160 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 355 | 356 | 711 | 94 | 291 | 11 | 11 | 321 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 66 | 63 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 270 | 303 | 317 | 620 | 48 | 304 | 11 | 5 | 282 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 459 | 413 | 111 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 39 | 50 | 3 | 51 | 15 | 269 | 336 | 346 | 683 | 77 | 303 | 11 | 8 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 160 | 134 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 254 | 338 | 366 | 703 | 112 | 286 | 14 | 10 | 302 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 331 | 287 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 49 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 258 | 349 | 376 | 725 | 118 | 292 | 15 | 12 | 326 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 57 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 56 | 319 | 12 | 2 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 117 | 104 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 365 | 411 | 413 | 824 | 48 | 398 | 9 | 7 | 358 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 395 | 355 | 106 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 299 | 346 | 414 | 761 | 115 | 315 | 9 | 6 | 328 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 188 | 169 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 289 | 325 | 614 | 83 | 287 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 64 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 167 | 153 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 268 | 321 | 399 | 720 | 131 | 301 | 13 | 7 | 318 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 25 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 280 | 250 | 530 | 300 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 33 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 323 | 333 | 656 | 33 | 360 | 15 | 3 | 279 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 320 | 288 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 47 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 292 | 356 | 392 | 749 | 101 | 335 | 15 | 8 | 336 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 47 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 250 | 554 | 50 | 276 | 23 | 13 | 258 | 61 | -2 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 189 | 176 | 51 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 290 | 332 | 347 | 678 | 57 | 327 | 12 | 6 | 305 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 323 | 296 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 335 | 385 | 721 | 101 | 313 | 11 | 7 | 320 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 115 | 105 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 327 | 314 | 642 | 38 | 315 | 11 | 3 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 268 | 239 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 314 | 610 | 71 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -11 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +6 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 186 | 168 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 196 | 262 | 262 | 524 | 65 | 230 | 16 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 66 | 64 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 250 | 273 | 297 | 570 | 47 | 288 | 15 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 459 | 424 | 104 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 28 | 68 | 3 | 51 | 15 | 245 | 297 | 311 | 608 | 66 | 287 | 15 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 160 | 138 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 246 | 311 | 355 | 666 | 109 | 265 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 331 | 297 | 70 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 70 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 236 | 306 | 337 | 643 | 101 | 284 | 21 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 117 | 106 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 387 | 420 | 434 | 854 | 47 | 407 | 11 | 5 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 395 | 362 | 108 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 298 | 333 | 417 | 750 | 119 | 308 | 10 | 4 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 188 | 170 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 283 | 324 | 607 | 82 | 287 | 17 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 167 | 156 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 256 | 297 | 378 | 675 | 122 | 292 | 16 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 33 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 323 | 333 | 656 | 33 | 360 | 15 | 3 | 277 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 320 | 296 | 82 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 277 | 325 | 372 | 697 | 95 | 328 | 18 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 47 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 250 | 554 | 50 | 276 | 23 | 13 | 258 | 61 | -2 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 189 | 179 | 51 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 285 | 316 | 341 | 656 | 56 | 321 | 15 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 323 | 303 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 254 | 292 | 330 | 622 | 76 | 284 | 13 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 115 | 106 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 245 | 292 | 274 | 566 | 28 | 280 | 13 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 186 | 168 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 196 | 262 | 262 | 524 | 65 | 229 | 16 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 186 | 160 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 355 | 356 | 711 | 94 | 291 | 11 | 11 | 321 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 488 | 119 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 78 | 3 | 57 | 18 | 244 | 292 | 307 | 599 | 64 | 288 | 15 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 525 | 476 | 128 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 42 | 57 | 3 | 57 | 18 | 269 | 332 | 342 | 674 | 74 | 303 | 11 | 8 | 305 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 485 | 116 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 108 | 4 | 36 | 10 | 239 | 310 | 344 | 655 | 105 | 290 | 20 | 8 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 548 | 475 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 56 | 78 | 4 | 36 | 10 | 259 | 342 | 368 | 710 | 109 | 293 | 14 | 10 | 316 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 468 | 149 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 55 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 318 | 353 | 421 | 774 | 103 | 347 | 11 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 459 | 144 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 45 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 314 | 361 | 414 | 775 | 100 | 334 | 9 | 6 | 335 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 350 | 86 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 246 | 286 | 343 | 629 | 97 | 289 | 17 | 5 | 277 | 73 | -12 | -0 | -6 | +4 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 380 | 346 | 88 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 57 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 254 | 303 | 353 | 655 | 98 | 294 | 15 | 6 | 288 | 73 | -12 | -0 | -6 | +4 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 326 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 279 | 325 | 368 | 693 | 89 | 333 | 18 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 353 | 318 | 93 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 292 | 353 | 387 | 740 | 94 | 337 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 219 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 269 | 313 | 324 | 638 | 55 | 322 | 17 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 216 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 273 | 326 | 329 | 655 | 56 | 319 | 14 | 7 | 296 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 409 | 104 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 254 | 294 | 320 | 614 | 66 | 289 | 13 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 438 | 401 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 48 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 282 | 333 | 367 | 700 | 85 | 314 | 11 | 6 | 313 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 186 | 169 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 195 | 262 | 260 | 523 | 65 | 230 | 16 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 487 | 119 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 78 | 3 | 57 | 18 | 244 | 292 | 308 | 600 | 64 | 287 | 15 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 493 | 116 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 108 | 4 | 36 | 10 | 235 | 310 | 339 | 649 | 103 | 278 | 20 | 8 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 482 | 149 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 55 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 309 | 353 | 409 | 762 | 100 | 331 | 11 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 357 | 86 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 241 | 286 | 336 | 623 | 95 | 289 | 17 | 5 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 328 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 277 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 88 | 331 | 18 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 220 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 268 | 313 | 323 | 636 | 55 | 312 | 17 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 412 | 104 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 252 | 294 | 318 | 612 | 66 | 283 | 13 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 268 | 239 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 314 | 610 | 71 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +6 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 141 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 116 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 295 | 316 | 610 | 72 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 78 | -26 | +0 | -17 | +15 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3178 | 2913 | 757 | 112 | 25 | 27 | 182 | 493 | 20 | 173 | 56 | 260 | 308 | 343 | 651 | 83 | 303 | 16 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +6 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 155 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 101 | 4 | 35 | 11 | 260 | 308 | 346 | 653 | 86 | 302 | 16 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -26 | +0 | -17 | +15 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 323 PAwOBA .315 → .276 (−38)K% 10.8% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.84% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.81% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.66% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .315 → .276; ISO .101 → .082; BABIP .313 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 115 PAwOBA .284 → .249 (−34)K% 11.3% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.30% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.48% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.17% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 24.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .284 → .249; ISO .038 → .032; BABIP .315 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 189 PAwOBA .298 → .279 (−19)K% 12.2% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.17% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.82% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.76% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 28.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.27% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 2.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.120 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .298 → .279; ISO .057 → .049; BABIP .327 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGwinnett Braves · 320 PAwOBA .328 → .306 (−22)K% 14.7% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.69% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.97% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 26.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.047 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.66% | ÷0.949 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .328 → .306; ISO .101 → .096; BABIP .335 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAGwinnett Braves · 167 PAwOBA .313 → .292 (−21)K% 12.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.57% | ÷0.944 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 18.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 10.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.858 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 89, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .313 → .292; ISO .131 → .125; BABIP .301 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAMississippi Braves · 395 PAwOBA .320 → .316 (−5)K% 8.6% → 10.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.82% | ÷0.978 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.55% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 24.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.880 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.844 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 108, 2B 85, 3B 96, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .320 → .316; ISO .115 → .122; BABIP .315 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAGwinnett Braves · 117 PAwOBA .352 → .360 (+8)K% 9.4% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.40% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.63% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 38.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.15% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.055 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .352 → .360; ISO .048 → .045; BABIP .398 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 331 PAwOBA .317 → .286 (−31)K% 14.8% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.80% | ÷1.003 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷0.965 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.85% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.044 | ×0.960 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.994 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 96, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .317 → .286; ISO .118 → .108; BABIP .292 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .