Diego Hernandez — OGILVIE

Diego HernandezOF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 148 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .227 / .290

PA12

HR0

K%31

BB%3

ISO91

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE31

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Royals 1	—	46	40	13	0	1	0	4	4	1	5	3	325	400	375	775	50	351	9	9	348	122	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	18	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	159	45	4	1	1	10	33	1	7	5	283	329	340	669	57	349	19	6	298	88	-3	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	310	266	73	9	2	1	32	66	3	34	10	274	359	335	693	60	356	21	10	312	97	-1	+3	—	—	+7	0.9
2021	20	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	17	15	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	67	176	67	243		100	29	12	135	-22	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	141	124	37	4	0	2	12	28	1	13	4	298	365	379	744	81	361	20	9	329	109	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	371	330	92	17	4	7	27	72	6	27	8	279	344	418	763	139	337	19	7	334	112	+5	+2	—	—	+8	1.6
2023	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	269	241	59	7	2	0	16	69	4	17	3	245	303	290	593	46	341	26	6	266	66	-11	+2	—	—	+6	-0.3
2023	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	15	13	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	2	1	231	333	615	949	385	250	27	7	402	158	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	22	ROK	ACL Royals	—	29	25	11	0	1	2	3	6	1	0	1	440	517	760	1.277	320	529	21	10	546	256	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	98	95	21	4	2	0	3	17	0	7	1	221	245	305	550	84	269	17	3	245	52	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	395	366	88	15	1	8	16	97	1	5	7	240	274	352	627	112	302	25	4	272	70	-14	-2	—	—	+9	-0.7
2024	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	40	34	10	1	1	0	5	8	1	1	0	294	400	382	782	88	385	20	12	359	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	115	109	24	3	2	1	4	34	0	2	3	220	248	312	560	92	311	30	3	246	52	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	24	ROK	ACL Royals	—	23	23	9	0	1	2	0	4	0	2	0	391	391	739	1.130	348	412	17	0	487	216	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	36	33	4	0	0	0	2	8	1	1	1	121	194	121	316		160	22	6	160	-6	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	—	46	42	11	0	1	0	2	6	1	5	3	262	311	310	621	48	286	13	4	273	71	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	163	35	3	1	1	6	48	1	7	5	215	247	264	511	49	282	28	3	217	33	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2021	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	310	276	67	8	2	1	22	92	3	34	10	243	306	297	603	54	336	30	7	260	62	-14	+3	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Gold	—	17	16	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	1	62	118	62	180		82	41	6	86	-56	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	21	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	141	128	36	4	0	2	8	35	1	13	4	281	328	359	688	78	341	25	6	295	86	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	371	340	83	14	4	5	17	96	6	27	8	244	292	353	645	109	312	26	5	276	73	-12	+2	—	—	+8	-0.2
2023	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	269	246	54	6	2	0	11	83	4	17	3	220	264	260	525	41	306	31	4	223	37	-20	+2	—	—	+6	-1.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	15	13	3	0	1	1	1	5	1	2	1	231	333	615	949	385	222	33	7	303	91	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	29	26	8	0	1	1	2	9	1	0	1	308	379	500	879	192	410	31	7	383	145	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	395	372	78	13	1	7	10	119	1	5	7	210	232	306	539	97	270	30	3	227	40	-28	-2	—	—	+9	-2.2
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	115	110	22	3	2	1	3	41	0	2	3	200	221	291	512	91	290	36	3	206	26	-10	-1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	23	23	6	0	1	1	0	6	0	2	0	261	261	478	739	217	317	26	0	339	116	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	—	46	42	11	0	1	0	2	6	1	5	3	262	311	310	621	48	297	13	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 1	—	46	40	13	0	1	0	4	4	1	5	3	325	400	375	775	50	351	9	9	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	163	35	3	1	1	6	48	1	7	5	215	247	264	511	49	296	28	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	174	159	45	4	1	1	10	33	1	7	5	283	329	340	669	57	349	19	6	298	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	327	292	68	8	2	1	23	99	3	35	11	233	296	284	580	51	344	30	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	327	281	74	9	2	1	34	71	3	35	11	263	349	320	669	57	344	22	10	302	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	468	119	18	4	7	25	130	7	40	12	254	302	355	657	100	334	25	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	512	454	129	21	4	9	39	100	7	40	12	284	350	407	757	123	344	20	8	333	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	411	379	83	7	4	3	18	128	6	26	6	219	266	282	548	63	321	31	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	4 teams	—	411	374	94	11	6	3	23	96	6	26	6	251	305	337	642	86	330	23	6	286	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	435	410	84	14	1	7	11	131	2	6	7	205	229	295	524	90	279	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	435	400	98	16	2	8	21	105	2	6	7	245	286	355	641	110	309	24	5	280	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	174	168	35	3	3	3	3	59	1	5	4	208	227	315	542	107	302	34	2	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	174	165	37	3	3	3	6	46	1	5	4	224	256	333	589	109	293	26	3	260	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	—	46	43	11	0	1	0	2	6	1	5	3	256	311	302	613	47	286	13	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	165	35	3	1	1	6	48	1	7	5	212	247	261	508	48	282	28	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	327	298	68	8	2	1	23	99	3	35	11	228	296	279	574	50	323	30	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	475	119	18	4	7	25	130	7	40	12	251	302	349	651	99	320	25	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	411	384	83	7	4	3	18	128	6	26	6	216	266	279	544	62	312	31	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	435	419	84	14	1	7	11	131	2	6	7	200	229	289	518	88	270	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	174	168	35	3	3	3	3	59	1	5	4	208	227	315	542	107	294	34	2	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	411	384	83	7	4	3	18	128	6	26	6	216	266	279	544	62	312	31	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	435	419	84	14	1	7	11	131	2	6	7	200	229	289	518	88	270	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	174	168	35	3	3	3	3	59	1	5	4	208	227	315	542	107	294	34	2	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	KC	2%	12	12	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		281	33	0	232	43	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	31%	251	239	50	8	2	4	9	77	1	5	3	209	241	310	551	100	282	31	4	244	51	-15	-0	+0	-2	+5	-1.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	31%	78	75	15	2	1	1	3	24	0	1	1	200	231	293	524	93	279	31	4	236	51	-5	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	78	75	15	2	1	1	3	24	0	1	1	200	231	293	524	93	280	31	4	236	53	-5	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	625	125	17	8	8	25	200	0	8	8	200	231	291	522	91	281	31	4	236	53	-38	-2	+0	-4	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2342	2173	487	61	18	26	97	682	22	129	51	224	264	305	569	81	311	29	4	247	53	-15	-0	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	135	17	5	7	27	189	6	36	14	224	264	303	568	80	311	29	4	247	53	-38	-0	+0	-4	+14	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Hernandez (OGILVIE)	25	32	38	47	31	200/227/290	90	281	2	3	31%	3%	43	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/258/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	205/273/295	90	297	8	15	31%	8%	63	-1.4	204/278/292	87	288	9	17	30%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	39→35	42→40	50→45	37	192/254/294	102	283	9	8	34%	5%	55	-1.9	179/236/279	100	270	9	6	35%	6%	45	-2.7	134/192/223	89	201	8	2	36%	6%	13	-3.0
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	44→40	47→50	37	181/259/288	107	301	13	8	42%	7%	57	-1.8	210/285/315	105	347	11	13	39%	8%	72	-0.7	215/296/309	95	358	10	19	39%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	36	43→45	47→50	36	183/253/291	109	286	12	12	38%	6%	55	-1.9	197/264/307	110	291	11	12	35%	6%	62	-1.4	178/246/285	108	255	13	12	34%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	44→45	39	188/252/263	75	300	5	7	37%	7%	47	-2.5	180/267/262	82	385	6	11	50%	9%	54	-2.0	49/186/79	30	161	3	14	62%	11%	-14	-1.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→37	41→45	42→45	42	194/266/293	98	285	8	6	33%	8%	60	-1.6	200/265/302	102	296	9	6	33%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/307	106	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.2
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	176/222/267	91	273	7	4	37%	5%	36	-3.3	194/242/306	112	292	12	4	36%	6%	53	-2.1	187/235/301	114	276	14	3	37%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Parker Chavers 2023 · A	25	43	41→40	51→55	34	206/244/307	101	303	7	11	34%	4%	53	-2.1	204/269/304	100	291	10	21	31%	7%	63	-1.4	195/271/282	87	273	8	25	29%	9%	56	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	42→40	48→50	43	189/244/290	101	253	9	11	29%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/290	98	272	8	17	30%	7%	56	-1.9	174/247/262	88	248	6	22	30%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	198/248/312	115	291	12	9	36%	4%	57	-1.8	193/247/291	98	293	10	6	36%	5%	52	-2.2	157/211/221	64	239	8	0	36%	5%	19	-1.9
✕Daniel Salters 2018 · AA	25	40	40	47→30	38	199/247/285	86	282	8	3	32%	5%	50	-2.3	209/264/307	98	291	10	5	30%	5%	61	-1.5	216/273/305	89	302	10	2	30%	4%	62	-0.7
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Riley Mahan 2021 · AA	25	42	42→45	47→40	34	203/252/305	103	315	9	6	37%	5%	57	-1.8	191/244/313	122	321	13	6	42%	6%	56	-1.9	172/224/301	129	285	15	5	43%	5%	44	-1.2
✕Brandon Dulin 2017 · A	24	40→30	44→45	46→40	35	202/245/311	109	285	12	4	33%	4%	55	-1.9	200/257/329	129	284	16	3	34%	6%	65	-1.2	174/238/312	138	234	20	0	35%	6%	51	-1.7
✕Zach Collier 2016 · AA	25	41→46	42→45	48→55	38	202/261/308	106	292	9	11	33%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/311	106	309	8	9	34%	6%	59	-1.6	192/249/298	106	287	7	8	34%	6%	51	-1.2
✕Carlos Herrera 2021 · AA	24	39→44	41→45	47→50	35	195/235/296	101	278	8	11	32%	4%	47	-2.5	213/251/327	114	297	9	16	30%	4%	61	-1.5	210/239/329	119	289	9	21	30%	3%	54	-1.2
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	40→35	42→45	53→50	33	203/230/312	109	277	9	17	30%	3%	49	-2.4	203/241/307	104	284	9	15	31%	4%	53	-2.1	179/216/258	78	257	6	13	32%	3%	28	-1.1