Diego Hernandez — OGILVIE

Diego HernandezOF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .238 / .302

PA148

HR3

K%33

BB%4

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

27→27

PWR

39→39

SPD

47→47

EYE

31→31

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.6peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-14M		$-40M	-$26M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$26M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Royals 1	46	42	11	0	1	0	2	6	1	5	3	.262	.311	.310	.621	.048	.297	13	4	.273	67	-2	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	AZL Royals	174	163	35	3	1	1	6	48	1	7	5	.215	.247	.264	.511	.049	.296	28	3	.217	24	-15	-1	+0	-1	+5	-1.2
2021	20	A	2 teams	327	293	69	8	2	1	22	98	3	35	11	.235	.296	.287	.582	.051	.345	30	7	.253	52	-18	+3	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
2022	21	A+	2 teams	512	467	118	17	4	7	26	127	7	40	12	.253	.302	.351	.653	.099	.329	25	5	.283	75	-15	+3	+0	-3	+15	-0.0
2023	22	AA	4 teams	411	379	81	7	5	3	18	135	6	26	6	.214	.261	.282	.543	.069	.322	33	4	.237	39	-28	+3	+0	-2	+12	-1.6
2024	23	AA	2 teams	435	410	81	13	1	9	11	141	2	6	7	.198	.222	.300	.522	.102	.273	32	3	.220	27	-36	-2	+0	-3	+12	-2.9
2025	24	AA	3 teams	174	168	33	3	3	3	3	62	1	5	4	.196	.215	.304	.519	.107	.291	36	2	.223	29	-14	-1	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	KC	148	140	29	4	1	3	6	48	1	3	2	.207	.245	.314	.559	.107	.288	32	4	.243	44	-9	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	KC	251	236	50	8	2	5	11	79	2	5	3	.212	.253	.326	.579	.114	.289	31	4	.253	52	-14	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
2028	27	MLB 26%	KC	306	286	61	10	2	6	15	95	2	6	3	.213	.257	.325	.583	.112	.290	31	5	.258	56	-15	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.9
2029	28	MLB 38%	KC	342	320	68	11	2	7	17	105	2	6	3	.212	.257	.325	.582	.113	.290	31	5	.261	58	-16	+0	-1	-2	+10	-1.0
2030	29	MLB 47%	KC	357	333	70	11	2	7	19	110	2	6	3	.210	.257	.318	.575	.108	.289	31	5	.260	57	-17	+0	-1	-2	+10	-1.1
2031	30	MLB 56%	KC	366	342	70	11	2	7	19	114	2	5	3	.205	.251	.310	.561	.105	.288	31	5	.257	55	-19	-0	-2	-2	+10	-1.3
2032	31	MLB 73%	KC	358	334	69	11	2	7	19	113	2	4	2	.207	.254	.314	.568	.108	.286	32	5	.253	52	-19	+0	-3	-2	+10	-1.5
2033	32	MLB 91%	KC	343	320	65	10	2	6	18	110	2	2	2	.203	.250	.303	.553	.100	.285	32	5	.249	48	-20	-0	-4	-2	+10	-1.7
2034	33	MLB	KC	316	295	59	9	2	5	16	104	2	1	1	.200	.246	.295	.541	.095	.283	33	5	.243	44	-20	-0	-4	-2	+9	-1.8
2035	34	MLB	KC	274	256	50	8	2	4	14	92	2	0	1	.195	.243	.289	.532	.094	.282	34	5	.237	40	-19	-0	-5	-2	+8	-1.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5140	4784	1019	144	36	81	242	1587	40	162	71	.213	.257	.309	.566	.096	.298	31	5	.249	49	-296	+4	-20	-31	+146	-20.1
/ 162G	—			650	605	129	18	5	10	31	201	5	20	9	.213	.257	.309	.567	.096	.299	31	5	.249	49	-37	+0	-2	-4	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Royals 1	46	40	13	0	1	0	4	4	1	5	3	.325	.400	.375	.775	.050	.351	9	9	.348	124	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	18	ROK	AZL Royals	174	159	45	4	1	1	10	33	1	7	5	.283	.329	.340	.669	.057	.349	19	6	.298	86	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	310	266	73	9	2	1	32	66	3	34	10	.274	.359	.335	.693	.060	.356	21	10	.312	97	-1	+3	—	—	+9	1.1
2021	20	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	17	15	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	.067	.176	.067	.243	.000	.100	29	12	.135	-38	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	141	124	37	4	0	2	12	28	1	13	4	.298	.365	.379	.744	.081	.361	20	9	.329	110	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	371	330	92	17	4	7	27	72	6	27	8	.279	.344	.418	.763	.139	.337	19	7	.334	114	+6	+2	—	—	+11	1.9
2023	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	269	241	59	7	2	0	16	69	4	17	3	.245	.303	.290	.593	.046	.341	26	6	.266	62	-12	+2	—	—	+8	-0.2
2023	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	15	13	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	2	1	.231	.333	.615	.949	.385	.250	27	7	.402	166	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	22	ROK	ACL Royals	29	25	11	0	1	2	3	6	1	0	1	.440	.517	.760	1.277	.320	.529	21	10	.546	276	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	98	95	21	4	2	0	3	17	0	7	1	.221	.245	.305	.550	.084	.269	17	3	.245	46	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	395	366	88	15	1	8	16	97	1	5	7	.240	.274	.352	.627	.112	.302	25	4	.272	66	-15	-2	—	—	+11	-0.6
2024	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	40	34	10	1	1	0	5	8	1	1	0	.294	.400	.382	.782	.088	.385	20	12	.359	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	115	109	24	3	2	1	4	34	0	2	3	.220	.248	.312	.560	.092	.311	30	3	.246	46	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	24	ROK	ACL Royals	23	23	9	0	1	2	0	4	0	2	0	.391	.391	.739	1.130	.348	.412	17	0	.487	231	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	36	33	4	0	0	0	2	8	1	1	1	.121	.194	.121	.316	.000	.160	22	6	.160	-20	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Hernandez (OGILVIE)	25	27	39	47	31	.203/.238/.302	.100	.288	3	3	33%	4%	44	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	39→29	40→45	50→55	38	.192/.256/.284	.092	.277	8	12	32%	5%	48	-1.9	.179/.255/.283	.104	.283	9	15	37%	8%	47	-1.9	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	40	.191/.255/.290	.099	.266	9	14	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.203/.269/.317	.114	.286	10	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	.179/.252/.313	.134	.265	12	20	35%	6%	50	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	44→50	47→55	38	.183/.247/.298	.115	.269	11	13	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.201/.262/.346	.145	.292	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→36	41→45	42→45	41	.194/.264/.293	.099	.285	9	6	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.196/.261/.298	.102	.295	10	5	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.262/.311	.111	.288	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA	25	41→33	44→45	44→50	39	.192/.273/.308	.117	.318	12	8	40%	8%	62	-0.9	.208/.312/.331	.123	.364	12	11	42%	10%	85	+0.7	.191/.333/.297	.106	.358	9	16	41%	13%	84	+0.3
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→32	43→40	46→50	37	.201/.264/.310	.109	.312	11	11	37%	6%	58	-1.2	.206/.279/.294	.088	.335	7	14	38%	7%	60	-1.0	.202/.285/.272	.070	.341	4	17	38%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	38	44→45	47→50	38	.186/.263/.294	.108	.300	13	8	40%	7%	54	-1.4	.205/.282/.312	.107	.343	12	13	40%	8%	66	-0.6	.202/.287/.300	.098	.353	11	19	41%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Zach Collier 2016 · AA	25	41→44	42→45	49→55	38	.200/.260/.308	.108	.295	10	12	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.207/.259/.318	.111	.317	9	9	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.193/.251/.306	.113	.293	9	8	35%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	43→31	39→40	44→50	42	.206/.263/.293	.087	.295	7	7	31%	7%	52	-1.6	.205/.272/.300	.095	.297	9	14	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.208/.282/.304	.097	.289	10	17	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Drew Mount 2021 · A	25	43	39→45	49→50	35	.209/.246/.294	.086	.305	6	14	33%	4%	45	-2.1	.235/.294/.383	.148	.330	17	9	33%	5%	89	+1.0	.245/.309/.410	.165	.335	22	6	32%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A	24	40→36	39→40	50	34	.190/.239/.277	.088	.307	6	10	39%	5%	38	-2.6	.202/.251/.294	.092	.326	8	6	38%	5%	47	-1.9	.218/.269/.313	.095	.333	8	3	35%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→33	42→45	50→45	37	.191/.249/.295	.104	.275	10	8	33%	5%	47	-1.9	.175/.232/.275	.100	.263	9	6	35%	6%	35	-2.8	.133/.191/.221	.088	.199	8	2	37%	6%	1	-3.1
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	35→27	44→50	44→45	33	.177/.233/.284	.107	.299	12	7	43%	6%	38	-2.6	.194/.253/.324	.130	.320	16	7	42%	7%	56	-1.3	.195/.254/.327	.132	.316	17	5	42%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	39	44→45	45→50	44	.194/.280/.302	.108	.290	12	9	35%	9%	64	-0.8	.186/.282/.297	.111	.284	12	10	36%	10%	64	-0.8	.157/.270/.260	.103	.237	12	12	35%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Parker Chavers 2023 · A	25	43	41→40	51→55	34	.206/.245/.307	.101	.303	7	11	34%	4%	48	-1.9	.204/.267/.305	.101	.291	10	20	31%	7%	58	-1.2	.194/.270/.280	.086	.271	8	25	29%	9%	49	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Jerry Downs 2019 · A	25	38→33	45	42→40	38	.197/.271/.318	.121	.262	14	4	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.180/.249/.275	.095	.265	9	4	34%	5%	43	-2.2	.121/.191/.177	.057	.198	4	0	38%	5%	-9	-2.5
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	44→45	47→50	36	.186/.256/.298	.111	.288	12	12	38%	6%	53	-1.5	.195/.262/.305	.110	.289	12	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.178/.246/.285	.106	.257	12	12	34%	5%	41	-1.1
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A	25	36→37	44→45	48→50	39	.180/.250/.300	.120	.295	12	9	41%	8%	50	-1.8	.191/.245/.294	.103	.301	10	12	38%	6%	45	-2.1	.184/.232/.281	.097	.278	11	16	37%	5%	33	-1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)