Will Robertson — OGILVIE

Will RobertsonLF Norfolk Tides

Age 28 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .272 / .343

PA197

HR5

K%32

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO140

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT55

Whiff%

1018.4%

xwOBA

100.188

POWER60

Barrel%

569.1

Avg EV

1085.0

Bat Spd

7874.3

EYE60

Chase%

1040.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

6027.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	266	239	45	13	1	5	16	105	9	3	2	188	265	314	579	126	305	39	6	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	266	234	56	16	2	6	21	76	9	3	2	239	326	402	727	162	325	29	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	340	311	54	15	0	10	23	121	6	1	4	174	244	318	562	145	244	36	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	340	307	66	21	0	12	27	96	6	1	4	215	291	401	692	186	271	28	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	501	462	89	25	3	20	28	183	6	15	4	193	248	390	638	197	261	37	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	501	431	108	28	4	22	59	134	6	15	4	251	349	487	836	237	307	27	12	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	464	421	83	21	1	16	32	173	7	3	2	197	265	366	631	169	284	37	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	464	403	91	23	1	19	50	145	7	3	2	226	322	429	751	203	296	31	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	429	386	80	19	2	10	35	134	4	1	3	207	280	345	625	137	285	31	8	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	429	371	96	22	2	20	50	115	4	1	3	259	353	491	844	232	317	27	12	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	BAL	—	53	47	5	1	0	0	5	16	1	0	1	106	208	128	335	21	161	30	9	171	-11	-7	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
YTD	28	AAA	BAL	—	53	44	6	1	0	0	8	13	1	0	1	136	283	159	442	23	194	25	15	229	33	-4	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
ROS	28	AAA	BAL	10%	197	178	36	8	1	5	15	63	2	1	1	202	272	343	614	140	279	32	8	279	72	-6	-0	+1	-2	+6	-0.2
ROS	28	MLB	BAL	10%	20	18	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	222	300	444	744	222	284	30	10	275	69	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	BAL	—	73	65	9	2	0	1	7	22	1	0	1	138	233	215	448	77	190	30	10	199	11	-7	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
TOT	28	AAA	BAL	—	250	225	41	9	1	5	20	79	3	1	2	182	258	298	556	116	254	32	8	256	54	-13	-1	+1	-3	+7	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	BAL	27%	380	343	71	16	1	10	30	119	4	2	1	207	279	347	625	140	282	31	8	283	75	-11	+0	-0	-4	+11	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	BAL	27%	104	94	19	4	0	3	8	33	1	1	0	202	272	340	612	138	286	32	8	279	72	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	199	182	32	6	0	4	12	66	3	1	0	176	239	275	513	99	246	33	6	231	35	-15	+0	-0	-6	+6	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	105	20	0	13	39	216	10	3	0	177	240	276	516	99	247	33	6	231	35	-48	+1	-0	-19	+18	-5.0
Career	—			—	2577	2340	458	117	9	76	179	898	38	26	17	196	264	351	615	155	276	35	7	270	64	-103	-2	+0	-28	+73	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	116	30	2	19	45	227	10	7	4	197	266	351	616	154	278	35	7	270	64	-26	-0	+0	-7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	248	221	52	16	1	5	17	75	8	2	2	235	313	385	698	149	329	30	7	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2021	23	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	18	13	4	0	1	1	4	1	1	1	0	308	500	692	1.192	385	273	6	22	502	242	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	340	307	66	21	0	12	27	96	6	1	4	215	291	401	692	186	271	28	8	309	95	-2	-1	—	—	+10	0.6
2023	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	412	363	89	25	3	19	40	109	4	9	3	245	327	488	814	242	292	26	10	353	128	+13	+1	—	—	+12	2.6
2023	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	89	68	19	3	1	3	19	25	2	6	1	279	449	485	935	206	400	28	21	419	179	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	464	403	91	23	1	19	50	145	7	3	2	226	322	429	751	203	296	31	11	332	112	+7	-0	—	—	+13	2.0
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	75	70	9	1	0	0	2	27	2	0	0	129	176	143	319	14	205	36	3	152	-26	-11	+0	-0	-5	+2	-1.4
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	354	301	87	21	2	20	48	88	2	1	3	289	390	571	962	282	342	25	14	414	175	+30	-1	—	—	+10	4.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	75	70	9	1	0	0	2	27	2	0	0	129	176	143	319	14	205	36	3	152	-26	-11	+0	-0	-5	+2	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	204	4	1	179	240	276	-2	-1	-1.0	-1.0
	/162	664	12	3	179	240	276	-7.1	-2.6	-3.4	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Robertson (OGILVIE)	28	55	60	45	60	182/258/298	116	254	5	1	32%	8%	54	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/285/359	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	79	+0.3	221/299/375	154	288	19	7	28%	9%	90	+1.0	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Roman Pena 2015 · AAA	28	46→56	50	46→45	47	231/303/389	158	315	17	8	31%	9%	95	+1.4	190/249/313	123	323	14	9	43%	7%	53	-1.5	157/208/255	98	291	11	8	48%	5%	18	-1.5
✕Ka'ai Tom 2022 · MLB	28	41→50	50→55	49→50	45	210/293/369	158	277	17	6	30%	8%	86	+0.8	205/285/335	130	292	14	10	33%	8%	74	-0.1	187/270/313	126	271	14	10	34%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Jon Kemmer 2019 · AAA	28	42→52	53→55	46→50	39	216/279/387	171	301	21	8	34%	6%	85	+0.7	227/301/408	181	305	23	6	32%	7%	100	+1.7	218/309/410	191	286	26	1	32%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Derek Fisher 2022 · MLB	28	45→52	50→55	48→55	47	226/301/381	156	304	18	11	31%	9%	92	+1.2	207/270/343	136	309	15	8	36%	7%	69	-0.4	124/197/248	125	185	17	0	43%	8%	11	-0.8
✕Ben Paulsen 2016 · MLB	28	44→53	48→50	43→40	40	222/274/371	149	307	15	4	32%	6%	78	+0.2	211/255/330	119	283	11	5	28%	5%	59	-1.1	194/233/279	85	269	6	1	29%	5%	30	-2.1
●José Marmolejos 2021 · MLB	28	46→52	49→55	43→30	41	236/279/386	150	292	18	3	26%	6%	84	+0.6	263/328/488	225	317	31	4	26%	9%	131	+3.9	275/348/529	254	321	36	0	26%	10%	150	+4.1
✕Kyle Roller 2016 · AAA	28	47→55	52→55	48→30	39	233/295/402	169	330	20	2	34%	6%	95	+1.4	216/277/354	138	318	15	6	35%	6%	75	-0.0	165/234/267	103	260	10	0	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Christin Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→50	55→60	47→45	41	219/279/402	183	282	23	4	31%	6%	89	+0.9	212/292/392	180	299	24	10	35%	9%	92	+1.2	185/286/359	175	256	26	11	37%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Colvin 2014 · MLB	28	41→51	49→60	51→45	40	212/261/366	154	278	16	8	30%	6%	71	-0.3	206/247/318	112	298	9	7	32%	5%	51	-1.7	195/228/290	94	290	5	3	33%	4%	33	-1.6
✕Cody Asche 2018 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	46→45	45	218/282/355	137	279	15	6	27%	8%	77	+0.1	198/267/326	128	282	13	6	33%	8%	63	-0.8	172/231/305	133	240	13	0	33%	6%	39	-1.5
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→44	53→55	44→50	44	206/270/375	170	267	22	5	32%	8%	78	+0.2	223/285/394	171	285	22	5	29%	8%	89	+0.9	217/279/385	168	275	23	3	29%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Jake Goebbert 2016 · MLB	28	46→53	50→55	45	51	232/312/387	155	279	17	6	23%	10%	98	+1.6	207/269/324	117	271	12	6	27%	7%	63	-0.8	167/223/257	90	222	10	0	29%	6%	24	-2.2
✕Matt Clark 2014 · AAA	27	43→49	49→60	44→30	42	221/276/367	146	292	18	3	30%	7%	78	+0.2	231/284/412	181	280	26	3	27%	6%	93	+1.3	226/281/409	183	271	26	0	27%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Rhyne Hughes 2013 · MLB	29	43→53	49→55	46→45	41	215/274/369	154	305	16	7	34%	7%	77	+0.1	235/297/389	154	352	16	8	35%	7%	92	+1.2	243/307/396	153	400	14	2	39%	7%	95	+0.4
✕Brad Glenn 2015 · MLB	28	44→46	50→55	44→45	39	226/273/380	154	300	19	4	31%	6%	80	+0.4	224/269/354	130	305	14	6	30%	5%	70	-0.3	212/249/329	116	285	11	0	29%	4%	53	-0.6
✕Norel González 2022 · AAA	28	47	51→50	43→40	43	239/295/398	159	296	19	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	221/280/364	143	291	16	5	29%	6%	79	+0.3	208/269/344	137	275	16	2	30%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Austin Dean 2022 · MLB	28	46→56	51→55	41→45	44	230/292/396	165	306	18	7	30%	8%	92	+1.2	225/287/375	150	297	17	11	29%	7%	84	+0.6	217/278/367	150	282	17	12	28%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Mark Payton 2020 · AAA	28	46→53	51→55	42→50	46	236/291/399	162	281	19	8	23%	7%	92	+1.2	237/292/389	152	282	16	11	21%	7%	90	+1.0	240/295/371	131	286	11	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Greg Bird 2021 · MLB	28	43→50	51→55	48→30	51	221/306/385	164	278	19	6	27%	10%	95	+1.4	200/270/350	150	261	19	4	30%	8%	71	-0.3	177/249/320	143	226	18	1	30%	8%	53	-0.9