Will Robertson

LF Norfolk Tides
Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426AAATOR464.226/.322/.42919361—.185/.254/.330
202527AAACWS354.289/.390/.57120193—.227/.302/.401
202527MLBCWS75.129/.176/.14300-11-1.3
202628AAA/ROKBAL53.136/.283/.15900-2—.129/.226/.152
2027PROJ10% MLB29MLBBAL12.219/.289/.3630080-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB30MLBBAL49.217/.287/.3571078-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.3  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.2M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA
Max EV98
BB%78
Z-Con%55
Speed47
K%44
Whiff%43
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsBrett Carroll (age 29) · Ben Paulsen (age 28) · Rhyne Hughes (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .289 / .363
PA12
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP297
ISO91
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025
CONTACT55
xAVG
100.145
POWER60
Barrel%
569.1
Avg EV
1085.0
Bat Spd
7874.3
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
6027.9
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2025
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.2M———
2028Arb-2$0.2M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 A+Vancouver Canadians — 248221 521615 17758 22 235313385698 149329 307 312 47 — — — — — —
202123 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 1813 4011 411 10 3085006921.192 385273 622 502 133 — — — — — —
202224 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 340307 6621012 27966 14 215291401692 186271 288 309 49 — — — — — —
202325 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 412363 8925319 401094 93 245327488814 242292 2610 353 69 — — — — — —
202325 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 8968 19313 19252 61 279449485935 206400 2821 419 170 — — — — — —
202426 AAABuffalo Bisons — 464403 9123119 501457 32 226322429751 203296 3111 332 61 — — — — — —
202527 MLBChicago White Sox — 7570 9100 2272 00 129176143319 14205 363 152 -11 -10 +0 -0 -5 +2 -1.3
202527 AAACharlotte Knights — 354301 8721220 48882 13 289390571962 282342 2514 414 93 — — — — — —
202628 AAANorfolk Tides — 3733 4000 4110 00 121216121337 182 3011 173 -23 — — — — — —
202628 ROKFCL Orioles — 1611 2100 421 01 182438273710 91222 1225 357 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 7570 9100 2272 00 129176143319 14205 363 152 -11 -10 +0 -0 -5 +2 -1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 248225 411214 131028 22 182252298550 116295 415 238 47 — — — — — —
202123 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 1815 4011 211 10 267389600989 333200 611 365 133 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 340313 551609 211166 14 176241313554 137244 346 240 49 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 412378 7521314 251384 93 198256381636 183252 336 270 69 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 464421 7820113 321737 32 185254330585 145268 377 258 61 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 7570 9100 2272 00 129176143319 14205 363 152 -11 -10 +0 -0 -5 +2 -1.3
202527 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 354317 7218211 321062 13 227302401703 174297 309 305 93 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 3734 4000 3130 00 118189118307 166 358 134 -23 — — — — — —
202628 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 1613 2100 231 01 154312231543 77161 1912 238 47 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 266240 441215 151049 32 183258304562 121293 396 247 53 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAW2 teams — 266234 561626 21769 32 239326402727 162325 298 325 53 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 340313 551609 211166 14 176241313554 137245 346 240 49 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAWNew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 340307 6621012 27966 14 215291401692 186271 288 309 49 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLE2 teams — 501459 9025317 311676 154 196256375631 179261 336 270 69 — — — — — —
202325 AA RAW2 teams — 501431 10828422 591346 154 251349487836 237307 2712 365 69 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 464421 7820113 321737 32 185254330585 145272 377 258 61 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAWBuffalo Bisons — 464403 9123119 501457 32 226322429751 203296 3111 332 61 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 429387 8119211 341334 13 209280354634 145283 318 278 74 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAW2 teams — 429371 9622220 501154 13 259353491844 232317 2712 368 74 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 5347 5100 5161 01 106208128335 21161 309 165 -2 — — — — — —
202628 AAA RAW2 teams — 5344 6100 8131 01 136283159442 23194 2515 229 -2 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 266240 441215 151049 32 183258304562 121289 396 247 53 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 340310 551609 211166 14 177241316557 139244 346 240 49 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLE2 teams — 501459 9025317 311676 154 196256375631 179252 336 270 69 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 464422 7820113 321737 32 185254329584 145268 377 258 61 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 429388 8119211 341334 13 209280353633 144281 318 278 74 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 5347 5100 5161 01 106208128335 21164 309 165 -2 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 464422 7820113 321737 32 185254329584 145268 377 258 61 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 429388 8119211 341334 13 209280353633 144281 318 278 74 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 5347 5100 5161 01 106208128335 21164 309 165 -2 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEBAL 10% 200180 39815 16622 10 215286354640 139292 318 287 80 -5 +0 +0 -2 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXBAL 10% 1211 2100 140 00 219289363653 144297 338 292 80 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEBAL 27% 179161 34714 14552 10 213284349632 136290 318 284 78 -5 +0 -2 -2 +4 -0.4
202830 MLB CTXBAL 27% 4944 9201 4151 00 217287357644 140294 318 289 78 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 124114 18301 6423 00 158220211430 53236 345 206 63 -11 +0 -1 -5 +3 -1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 941605 3122016 00 157219209428 52235 345 206 63 -59 +0 -3 -27 +14 -7.6
Career— MLE — 23562140 410105862 16280236 2516 192260335595 143269 347 262 63 -17 +0 -2 -8 +8 -1.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 11329217 4522110 74 192260334594 142269 347 262 63 -30 +1 -3 -13 +14 -3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 37 PAwOBA .170 → .134 (−36)K% 29.7% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.73%÷1.000×1.200——35.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9827.33%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9820.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.000×0.930—×0.98216.60%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9820.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9820.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .170 → .134; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 16 PAwOBA .350 → .238 (−113)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷1.000×1.440——18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.94014.57%
HBP% /PA6.25%—×0.720—×0.9404.23%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9408.56%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9407.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .350 → .238; ISO .091 → .069; BABIP .222 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 354 PAwOBA .405 → .305 (−99)K% 24.9% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.86%÷0.996×1.200——29.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.99%÷0.984×0.690—×0.9929.04%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.940—×0.9920.53%
Singles /BIP20.66%÷1.002×0.930×1.014×0.99219.29%
Doubles /BIP9.86%÷0.980×0.830×1.014×0.9928.40%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷0.961×0.970×1.014×0.9920.95%
Home runs /BIP9.39%÷1.320×0.700—×0.9924.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .405 → .305; ISO .282 → .179; BABIP .342 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAABuffalo Bisons · 464 PAwOBA .325 → .258 (−66)K% 31.2% → 37.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷1.004×1.200——37.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.028×0.690—×1.0036.96%
HBP% /PA1.51%—×0.940—×1.0031.42%
Singles /BIP18.60%÷0.988×0.930×1.006×1.00317.66%
Doubles /BIP8.91%÷0.959×0.830×1.006×1.0037.78%
Triples /BIP0.39%÷1.150×0.970×1.006×1.0030.33%
Home runs /BIP7.36%÷0.990×0.700—×1.0035.22%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .325 → .258; ISO .203 → .151; BABIP .296 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 412 PAwOBA .347 → .270 (−77)K% 26.5% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.46%÷0.967×1.220——33.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.71%÷1.105×0.700—×0.9886.08%
HBP% /PA0.97%—×0.850—×0.9880.82%
Singles /BIP16.54%÷1.023×0.970×0.960×0.98814.87%
Doubles /BIP9.84%÷0.963×0.860×0.960×0.9888.34%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷1.033×0.950×0.960×0.9881.03%
Home runs /BIP7.48%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9885.76%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 93, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .347 → .270; ISO .242 → .188; BABIP .292 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 340 PAwOBA .301 → .240 (−60)K% 28.2% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.24%÷1.012×1.220——34.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.94%÷0.911×0.700—×0.9986.09%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.850—×0.9981.50%
Singles /BIP15.64%÷0.991×0.970×1.003×0.99815.33%
Doubles /BIP9.95%÷1.067×0.860×1.003×0.9988.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.950×1.003×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.69%÷1.027×0.780—×0.9984.31%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 102, BB 82 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .301 → .240; ISO .186 → .136; BABIP .271 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Vancouver Canadians · 248 PAwOBA .307 → .238 (−69)K% 30.2% → 41.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.24%÷0.991×1.350——41.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.85%÷0.944×0.710—×0.9885.10%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.810—×0.9882.58%
Singles /BIP20.55%÷0.974×0.910×0.999×0.98818.94%
Doubles /BIP10.96%÷0.938×0.830×0.999×0.9889.57%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.049×0.820×0.999×0.9880.53%
Home runs /BIP3.42%÷0.909×0.830—×0.9883.09%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 110, K 98, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .307 → .238; ISO .149 → .114; BABIP .329 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 18 PAwOBA .490 → .365 (−124)K% 5.6% → 8.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.56%÷1.000×1.440——8.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷1.000×0.620—×0.95513.16%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.720—×0.9553.82%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.000×0.820—×0.95513.05%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Triples /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9555.73%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9556.21%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .490 → .365; ISO .385 → .312; BABIP .273 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .