Dominic Smith — OGILVIE

Dominic Smith1B Atlanta Braves

Age 31 L/L 5'11" / 224 lbs MLB Svc 6.878 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION233 act + 205 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 77105vR 116

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .320 / .398

PA205

HR5

K%18

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO140

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

887.0%

xwOBA

510.309

POWER50

Barrel%

447.3

Avg EV

4088.4

Bat Spd

2068.1

EYE50

Chase%

9022.7%

SPEED40

Sprint

2326.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 593 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

516

—

wRC+

118

▶▶R

wOBA

275

339

▶▶R

ISO

125

155

▶▶R

BABIP

293

323

▶R

24.7%

20.2%

▶▶R

BB%

5.2%

7.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 6.878 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.5M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.3M
Totals		$0.5M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	206	186	41	9	1	2	13	53	4	2	4	220	286	312	598	91	291	26	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	206	173	52	13	1	3	26	37	4	2	4	301	404	439	843	139	360	18	13	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Savannah Sand Gnats	—	518	483	116	23	1	1	29	99	2	5	4	240	286	298	584	58	298	19	6	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Savannah Sand Gnats	—	518	461	125	26	1	1	51	77	2	5	4	271	346	338	685	67	321	15	10	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	557	526	129	32	0	4	24	121	2	2	1	245	281	329	610	84	308	22	4	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	557	503	156	37	0	7	47	85	2	2	1	310	371	425	797	115	358	15	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	542	500	129	23	2	11	34	85	3	2	1	258	309	378	687	120	289	16	6	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	542	484	146	29	2	14	50	74	3	2	1	302	371	457	827	155	329	14	9	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	683	638	158	33	1	17	39	174	4	1	1	248	295	382	678	135	314	25	6	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	683	624	184	40	2	25	53	136	4	1	1	295	354	486	839	191	342	20	8	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	3 teams	—	556	522	114	32	2	10	28	157	4	3	0	218	264	345	608	126	291	28	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	3 teams	—	556	510	123	33	2	11	40	128	4	3	0	241	301	378	680	137	300	23	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	New York Mets	—	197	177	50	10	0	11	19	44	1	1	2	282	355	525	881	243	320	22	10	382	151	+11	-1	-4	-2	+6	1.0
2019	24	MLB	New York Mets	—	197	177	50	10	0	11	19	44	1	1	2	282	355	525	881	243	320	22	10	386	153	+12	-1	-4	-2	+6	1.0
2020	25	MLB	New York Mets	—	199	177	56	21	1	10	14	45	5	0	0	316	383	616	998	299	368	23	7	421	181	+18	+0	-6	-4	+6	1.4
2020	25	MLB	New York Mets	—	199	177	56	21	1	10	14	45	5	0	0	316	383	616	998	299	368	23	7	425	183	+19	+0	-6	-4	+6	1.5
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	493	446	109	20	0	11	32	112	9	2	1	244	308	363	671	119	298	23	6	295	84	-9	+0	-11	-5	+14	-1.1
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	493	446	109	20	0	11	32	112	9	2	1	244	308	363	671	119	298	23	6	300	88	-7	+0	-11	-5	+14	-0.9
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	400	362	84	20	1	8	27	88	8	4	1	232	300	359	659	127	283	22	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	400	352	88	21	1	10	37	76	8	4	1	250	335	401	736	151	290	19	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	586	527	134	21	1	12	47	91	10	1	1	254	327	366	693	112	286	16	8	310	95	-3	-0	-4	-10	+17	-0.2
2023	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	586	527	134	21	1	12	47	91	10	1	1	254	327	366	693	112	286	16	8	314	99	-1	-0	-4	-10	+17	0.1
2024	29	MLB	2 teams	—	396	357	80	23	0	7	34	106	5	2	1	224	301	347	648	123	299	27	9	292	82	-8	+0	-1	-7	+11	-0.6
2024	29	MLB	2 teams	—	396	355	85	25	0	8	36	102	5	2	1	239	318	377	696	138	314	26	9	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-7	+11	0.2
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	414	378	97	17	1	12	26	80	3	6	0	257	310	402	712	146	290	19	6	309	95	-2	+1	-4	-7	+12	-0.1
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	414	369	100	18	1	13	35	72	3	6	0	271	339	431	770	160	299	17	8	338	117	+8	+1	-4	-7	+12	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	ATL	—	233	209	55	6	1	6	16	32	2	0	0	263	322	388	709	124	278	14	7	305	91	-2	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.0
YTD	31	MLB	ATL	—	233	209	55	6	1	6	16	32	2	0	0	263	322	388	709	124	278	14	7	311	96	-1	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.1
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	100%	205	186	48	11	0	5	15	37	2	1	0	258	320	398	718	140	296	18	7	326	107	+2	+0	+1	-4	+6	0.5
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	100%	205	186	48	11	0	5	15	37	2	1	0	258	320	398	718	140	296	18	7	318	102	+0	+0	+1	-4	+6	0.4
FULL	31	MLB	ATL	—	438	395	103	17	1	11	31	69	4	1	0	261	321	392	713	132	287	16	7	311	96	-2	+0	+1	-8	+12	0.4
TOT	31	MLB	ATL	—	438	395	103	17	1	11	31	69	4	1	0	261	321	392	713	132	287	16	7	314	99	-1	+0	+1	-8	+12	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	419	382	99	22	1	11	30	76	4	2	1	259	320	408	728	149	293	18	7	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-7	+12	0.4
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	389	354	88	19	1	9	28	73	4	1	0	249	311	384	695	136	286	19	7	310	95	-2	+0	-2	-7	+11	-0.0
2029	34	MLB	ATL	100%	344	313	74	15	0	8	25	67	3	1	0	236	299	361	660	125	277	19	7	298	86	-5	+0	-3	-6	+10	-0.5
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	419	382	99	22	1	11	30	76	4	2	1	259	320	408	728	149	293	18	7	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-7	+12	0.2
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	389	354	88	19	1	9	28	73	4	1	0	249	311	384	695	136	286	19	7	303	90	-4	+0	-2	-7	+11	-0.3
2029	34	MLB	ATL	100%	344	313	74	15	0	8	25	67	3	1	0	236	299	361	660	125	277	19	7	291	81	-7	+0	-3	-6	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3848	3485	871	200	6	102	283	796	51	12	6	250	316	399	714	149	294	21	7	315	100	-2	+0	-48	-89	+109	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	147	34	1	17	48	134	9	2	1	250	316	397	714	148	294	21	7	315	100	-0	+0	-8	-15	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	7104	6514	1606	351	13	149	464	1508	73	36	18	247	304	373	677	126	297	21	7	299	87	-102	+0	-48	-122	+201	-7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	147	32	1	14	42	138	7	3	2	247	303	374	678	128	297	21	6	299	87	-9	-0	-4	-11	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	206	173	52	13	1	3	26	37	4	2	4	301	404	439	843	139	360	18	13	375	145	+11	-1	—	—	+6	1.5
2014	19	A	Savannah Sand Gnats	—	518	461	125	26	1	1	51	77	2	5	4	271	346	338	685	67	321	15	10	313	97	-2	-1	—	—	+15	1.3
2015	20	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	497	456	139	33	0	6	35	75	2	2	1	305	357	417	774	112	351	15	7	345	122	+12	+0	—	—	+14	2.7
2015	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	60	47	17	4	0	1	12	10	0	0	0	362	492	511	1.002	149	432	17	20	441	195	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2016	21	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	542	484	146	29	2	14	50	74	3	2	1	302	371	457	827	155	329	14	9	365	138	+23	+0	—	—	+15	3.9
2017	22	MLB	New York Mets	—	183	167	33	6	0	9	14	49	1	0	0	198	264	395	659	198	218	27	8	291	81	-4	+0	-6	-12	+5	-1.7
2017	22	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	500	457	151	34	2	16	39	87	3	1	1	330	387	519	905	188	380	17	8	398	163	+36	-0	—	—	+14	5.1
2018	23	MLB	New York Mets	—	149	143	32	11	1	5	4	47	2	0	0	224	255	420	675	196	297	32	3	295	84	-3	+0	-5	-10	+4	-1.3
2018	23	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	375	337	87	21	1	6	34	76	2	3	0	258	330	380	710	122	315	20	9	319	102	+1	+1	—	—	+11	1.2
2018	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	32	30	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	133	188	167	354	33	160	16	6	169	-13	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	24	MLB	New York Mets	—	197	177	50	10	0	11	19	44	1	1	2	282	355	525	881	243	320	22	10	386	153	+12	-1	-4	-2	+6	1.0
2020	25	MLB	New York Mets	—	199	177	56	21	1	10	14	45	5	0	0	316	383	616	998	299	368	23	7	425	183	+19	+0	-6	-4	+6	1.5
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	493	446	109	20	0	11	32	112	9	2	1	244	308	363	671	119	298	23	6	300	88	-7	+0	-11	-5	+14	-0.9
2022	27	MLB	New York Mets	—	152	134	26	10	1	0	12	37	4	0	0	194	280	284	564	90	263	24	8	259	56	-8	+0	+1	-7	+4	-1.0
2022	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	248	218	62	11	0	10	25	39	4	4	1	284	368	472	841	188	306	16	10	373	143	+12	+0	—	—	+7	2.0
2023	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	586	527	134	21	1	12	47	91	10	1	1	254	327	366	693	112	286	16	8	314	99	-1	-0	-4	-10	+17	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	307	275	64	22	0	6	28	76	4	1	1	233	313	378	691	145	301	25	9	312	97	-1	-0	-1	-7	+9	-0.1
2024	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	89	80	21	3	0	2	8	26	1	1	0	263	337	375	712	112	365	29	9	324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	30	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	225	204	58	12	0	5	15	42	2	2	0	284	339	417	756	132	329	19	7	333	113	+3	+0	-4	-7	+6	-0.2
2025	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	189	165	42	6	1	8	20	30	1	4	0	255	339	448	787	194	262	16	11	344	122	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2491	2250	562	133	4	69	185	543	38	7	5	250	317	404	722	155	298	22	7	321	104	+11	-1	-42	-65	+71	-2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Avisaíl Garcíalast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,298 PA	13	4,298	140	51	263	316	417	-43	-35	6.6	8.0
	/162	664	22	8	263	316	417	-6.7	-5.4	1.0	pk7: 9
#2Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA	12	4,561	93	67	242	345	374	-49	-62	5.0	6.1
	/162	664	14	10	242	345	374	-7.1	-9.0	0.7	pk7: 7
#3Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#4Xavier Nadylast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,169 PA	9	3,169	101	19	270	324	432	-41	-55	3.9	5.0
	/162	664	21	4	270	324	432	-8.5	-11.5	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	4,314	114	15	251	313	398	-77	-87	3.3	4.0
	/162	664	18	2	251	313	398	-11.9	-13.4	0.5	pk7: 5
#5Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#6Yonder Alonsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,744 PA	9	3,744	100	22	260	333	405	-66	-62	1.3	2.0
	/162	664	18	4	260	333	405	-11.7	-11.0	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Smith (OGILVIE)	31	45	50	40	50	261/321/392	132	287	11	1	16%	7%	99	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Paul McAnulty 2012 · MLB	31	46→50	52→60	41→40	45	238/289/404	166	277	21	4	23%	6%	92	+1.2	231/302/424	193	277	25	5	26%	9%	104	+2.0	208/298/429	221	235	30	1	27%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Troy O'Leary 2001 · MLB	31	52→53	48→50	40→30	53	257/317/407	150	278	14	3	14%	8%	105	+2.1	252/318/402	150	285	15	4	17%	8%	104	+2.0	247/317/392	145	281	14	3	17%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Andy Phillips 2008 · MLB	31	51→55	49→55	41→40	47	257/307/404	147	290	17	5	18%	6%	99	+1.7	257/307/392	135	288	15	6	16%	6%	96	+1.5	264/312/394	130	290	15	3	15%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Shawn Wooten 2004 · MLB	32	51→45	47→50	38→30	49	258/311/388	131	287	16	5	17%	7%	97	+1.5	230/283/352	122	264	14	3	18%	6%	76	+0.1	218/264/315	98	256	11	0	20%	4%	58	-0.7
✕John Rodriguez 2009 · MLB	31	47	49→55	45→40	47	234/310/385	151	297	17	4	26%	8%	97	+1.5	221/290/372	151	270	17	5	24%	7%	85	+0.7	209/280/361	152	250	17	2	23%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Richard 2005 · MLB	31	47→53	50→60	42→50	51	240/308/401	161	274	17	8	20%	8%	100	+1.7	237/305/396	159	289	18	8	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/305/416	184	286	22	8	26%	7%	102	+1.4
✕Shane Spencer 2003 · MLB	31	50	48→50	41→45	51	251/320/401	149	288	15	5	19%	8%	105	+2.1	253/324/394	141	300	15	8	20%	9%	105	+2.1	256/328/392	136	304	15	7	20%	9%	104	+1.1
✕Michael Saunders 2018 · MLB	31	45→52	51→55	42→55	47	232/297/401	169	289	18	3	26%	8%	95	+1.4	208/271/334	126	265	13	7	25%	8%	67	-0.5	125/198/178	54	167	4	7	26%	8%	-6	-1.4
✕Daniel Fornes 2011 · AAA	31	48→56	48→50	46→40	50	242/301/380	138	261	16	4	15%	7%	92	+1.2	226/276/336	110	249	12	6	15%	6%	69	-0.4	217/265/296	79	238	8	3	13%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Brad Nelson 2014 · AAA	31	43→48	50	45→50	46	224/283/378	154	269	19	4	25%	7%	84	+0.6	213/264/332	119	258	13	6	22%	6%	63	-0.9	185/232/266	81	219	9	0	20%	5%	32	-1.3
✕Christian Marrero 2017 · AA	31	49→57	45→50	43→50	53	240/319/368	127	291	12	4	21%	10%	95	+1.4	233/308/365	132	283	14	5	22%	8%	91	+1.1	225/305/362	138	260	17	0	20%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Chris Parmelee 2017 · MLB	29	45→51	49→55	41→45	45	233/285/377	143	277	18	4	23%	7%	84	+0.6	208/276/365	157	281	20	4	32%	9%	77	+0.1	177/258/349	172	248	25	0	38%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Eric Munson 2009 · MLB	31	42→43	47→60	41→40	51	212/286/346	134	247	14	4	21%	9%	77	+0.1	218/296/366	148	262	17	4	23%	9%	86	+0.8	209/292/358	149	245	18	0	23%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Corban Joseph 2019 · MLB	30	53→57	47→50	45	50	262/309/401	139	280	15	6	13%	6%	100	+1.7	259/307/394	135	290	12	4	15%	6%	97	+1.5	268/316/403	134	302	11	0	15%	6%	100	+0.9
✕José Miguel Fernández 2018 · AA	30	52→53	46→50	40	45	256/302/383	127	276	15	4	14%	5%	92	+1.2	256/300/401	145	272	17	5	13%	5%	96	+1.5	264/306/417	153	272	19	3	11%	5%	99	+1.4
✕Enrique Hernández 2023 · MLB	31	45→55	49→60	39→45	53	227/304/379	152	258	15	2	18%	9%	93	+1.3	234/292/376	142	272	16	4	20%	7%	87	+0.8	231/286/374	143	268	18	2	21%	7%	81	+0.3
✕John Bowker 2014 · MLB	31	50→55	49→55	44→45	42	251/290/399	148	297	16	8	22%	5%	92	+1.2	222/256/347	125	266	14	6	22%	4%	63	-0.8	195/213/318	123	226	18	1	24%	2%	34	-1.7
✕Clint Robinson 2016 · MLB	31	50→60	49→55	45→40	52	250/322/400	149	293	16	2	20%	9%	105	+2.1	227/290/364	137	275	17	3	23%	8%	82	+0.5	206/265/333	127	251	17	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
●Yadiel Hernandez 2019 · AAA	31	51→55	48→55	45	48	256/314/398	141	307	17	6	22%	8%	101	+1.8	258/315/436	178	322	24	7	26%	8%	112	+2.6	266/321/441	175	324	25	6	25%	7%	113	+1.8