Enrique Hernández

3B Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 35 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -8% Svc 12.314 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202432MLBLAD393.229/.283/.373120850.4
202533MLBLAD256.203/.260/.36610072-0.1
202634AAALAD72.258/.310/.3941048—.206/.239/.324
202634MLBLAD96.222/.271/.40040890.1
2027PROJ35MLBLAD148.220/.275/.37151820.1
2028PROJ36MLBLAD107.208/.262/.3453070-0.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service12.314First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Avg EV59
Bat Spd48
Barrel%39
Speed33
xwOBA32
Form.214/.265/.366 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .223/.276/.373
CompsMatt McBride (age 34) · Scott McClain (age 35) · Abraham Valencia (age 34)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8582vR 72
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .275 / .371
PA148
HR5
K%24
BB%7
BABIP259
ISO153
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.72728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
190.226
POWER45
Barrel%
396.8
Avg EV
5989.8
Bat Spd
4871.1
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
3326.7
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%27%▼▼31% over 54 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%6%·6% over 54 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.152·.157 over 51 AB (60d) · proj .151
HR/BB4.8%·5.9% over 34 BBE (60d) · proj 4.4%
BABIP.266·.281 over 32 BIP (60d) · proj .265
SLASH.214/.265/.366▼proj .223/.276/.373
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 649 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
252
397
—
wRC+
88
70
◀◀L
wOBA
298
272
◀L
ISO
188
129
◀◀L
BABIP
226
261
▶R
K%
20.2%
23.7%
◀L
BB%
7.1%
6.8%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2014
Service   12.314 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M———
Totals $1M $-0.8M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200917 ROKGCL Astros — 225207 611231 10284 82 295339396736 101333 124 324 59 — — — — — —
201018 INTLLeones de Ponce — 7065 15200 340 01 231265262526 31246 64 235 45 — — — — — —
201119 ALexington Legends — 249215 531102 31330 02 247341326667 79283 1312 306 63 — — — — — —
201119 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 3332 4200 130 00 125152188339 62138 93 154 -10 — — — — — —
201220 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 8881 20201 492 22 247299309607 62268 105 276 51 — — — — — —
201220 A+Lancaster JetHawks — 411378 1042575 22433 42 275320418738 143297 105 321 62 — — — — — —
201220 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 163147 471222 11173 42 320379469848 150352 107 373 138 — — — — — —
201321 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 483437 10318213 34705 53 236298375674 140253 147 298 50 — — — — — —
201321 INTLPuerto Rico — 170150 39913 14301 00 260327393721 133305 188 314 99 — — — — — —
201422 MLBMiami Marlins — 134121 30633 12211 00 248321421742 174278 169 330 118 +3 +0 +3 +2 +3 1.1
201422 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs — 373336 10722210 28383 66 318376485861 167332 108 376 111 — — — — — —
201422 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 4340 13301 330 00 325372475847 150333 77 376 109 — — — — — —
201422 INTLPuerto Rico — 8072 20601 7140 10 278342403745 125328 189 330 110 — — — — — —
201523 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 218202 621227 11462 02 307349490839 183364 215 364 138 +10 -1 +1 +1 +5 1.6
201523 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 6459 10201 4140 10 169222254476 85200 226 215 3 — — — — — —
201624 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 244216 41807 28640 20 190283324607 134234 2611 278 75 -7 +0 +0 -4 +5 -0.5
201624 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 10286 18301 15231 21 209333279612 70274 2315 292 84 — — — — — —
201725 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 342297 6424211 41800 30 215311421732 205254 2312 322 107 +3 +1 -1 +1 +7 1.1
201826 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 462402 10317321 50781 30 256340470810 214266 1711 351 122 +12 +1 +2 +2 +10 2.7
201927 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 460414 9819117 36976 40 237307411718 174266 218 318 101 +0 +1 -1 +2 +10 1.2
202028 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 148139 32815 6312 01 230272410682 180260 214 299 92 -1 -0 +2 +1 +3 0.4
202129 MLBBoston Red Sox — 585508 12735320 611109 10 250341449790 199278 1910 347 116 +11 +0 +5 +2 +13 3.2
202230 MLBBoston Red Sox — 402361 802406 34713 02 222294338632 116257 188 285 73 -13 -1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
202331 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 508465 11023011 34973 41 237293357650 120273 197 290 84 -9 +0 -12 +5 +11 -0.4
202432 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 393362 8316012 27770 00 229283373656 144257 207 290 85 -7 +0 +1 +1 +9 0.4
202533 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 256232 478010 18680 00 203260366626 164233 277 273 72 -8 +0 +1 +1 +6 -0.1
202533 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 1614 5200 230 10 357438500938 143455 1912 417 113 — — — — — —
202634 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 9690 20404 6280 00 222271400671 178276 296 297 89 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202634 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 7266 17411 5140 00 258310394704 136308 197 309 48 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 42483809 89720415134 36486827 176 235307402709 167268 209 313 98 -9 +1 +1 +17 +92 10.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200917 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 225211 51921 6404 82 242276318594 76284 183 256 59 — — — — — —
201119 A MLELexington Legends — 249225 511002 21440 02 227293298590 71272 188 262 63 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 8882 19201 3112 22 232276293569 61254 123 243 51 — — — — — —
201220 A+ MLELancaster JetHawks — 411385 911955 15593 42 236270351621 114256 144 260 62 — — — — — —
201321 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 483450 9115210 21855 53 202246311557 109222 184 242 50 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 134121 31733 12211 00 256328438766 182278 169 342 118 +3 +0 +3 +2 +3 1.1
201422 AAA MLENew Orleans Zephyrs — 373344 1012028 20483 66 294338433771 140314 135 332 111 — — — — — —
201422 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 4341 12301 240 00 293326439765 146311 95 330 109 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 218202 631327 11462 02 312353500853 188364 215 372 138 +10 -1 +1 +1 +5 1.6
201523 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 6460 9201 3180 10 150190233424 83175 285 173 3 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 244217 41807 27640 20 189279323601 134234 2611 280 75 -7 +0 +0 -4 +5 -0.5
201725 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 342299 6525211 39800 30 217308425732 207254 2311 326 107 +3 +1 -1 +1 +7 1.1
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 462407 10518420 45781 30 258333469803 211266 1710 348 122 +12 +1 +2 +2 +10 2.7
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 460417 9920116 33976 40 237303405708 168266 217 317 101 +0 +1 -1 +2 +10 1.2
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 148139 32815 6312 01 230272410682 180260 214 305 92 -1 -0 +2 +1 +3 0.4
202129 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 585508 12331321 611109 10 242334439773 197278 1910 340 116 +11 +0 +5 +2 +13 3.2
202230 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 402361 762106 34713 02 211284319602 108257 188 275 73 -13 -1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 508466 11224011 33973 41 240295363657 122273 196 293 84 -9 +0 -12 +5 +11 -0.4
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 393362 8517012 27770 00 235288381669 146257 207 294 85 -7 +0 +1 +1 +9 0.4
202533 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 256232 478010 18680 00 203260366626 164233 277 275 72 -8 +0 +1 +1 +6 -0.1
202533 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 1615 5200 140 10 333375467842 133397 256 335 113 — — — — — —
202634 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 9690 20404 6280 00 222271400671 178276 296 299 89 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202634 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 7268 14311 3170 00 206239324563 118254 244 239 48 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 225211 51921 6404 82 242276318594 76291 183 256 59 — — — — — —
200917 ROK RAWGCL Astros — 225207 611231 10284 82 295339396736 101333 124 324 59 — — — — — —
201018 INTL MLELeones de Ponce — 7065 15200 340 01 231265262526 31246 64 — — — — — — — —
201018 INTL RAWLeones de Ponce — 7065 15200 340 01 231265262526 31246 64 235 45 — — — — — —
201119 A MLE2 teams — 282255 581202 24500 02 227294298592 71276 189 262 63 — — — — — —
201119 A RAW2 teams — 282247 571302 32360 02 231319308627 77263 1311 288 63 — — — — — —
201220 A+ MLE3 teams — 662620 1442767 23938 106 232269329598 97262 143 257 60 — — — — — —
201220 A+ RAW3 teams — 662606 1713998 37698 106 282332416748 134306 106 328 60 — — — — — —
201321 AA MLE2 teams — 653607 12320313 281156 53 203245310555 107228 184 242 50 — — — — — —
201321 AA RAW2 teams — 653587 14227316 481006 53 242306380686 138266 157 303 50 — — — — — —
201422 AAA MLE4 teams — 630580 16534613 39844 76 284334431765 147311 136 334 112 — — — — — —
201422 AAA RAW4 teams — 630569 17037515 50764 76 299360460820 162321 128 360 112 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLE2 teams — 282262 711428 14642 12 271313431744 160326 235 327 107 +2 -1 +1 +1 +6 1.0
201523 MLB RAW2 teams — 282261 721428 15602 12 276320437757 161327 215 331 107 +2 -1 +1 +1 +6 1.0
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 346307 5912010 38911 41 192283329612 137238 2611 280 75 -10 +0 +0 -4 +7 -0.6
201624 MLB RAW2 teams — 346302 591108 43871 41 195298311609 116246 2512 282 75 -10 +0 +0 -4 +7 -0.6
201725 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 342299 6525211 39800 30 217308425732 207256 2311 326 107 +3 +1 -1 +1 +7 1.1
201725 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 342297 6424211 41800 30 215311421732 205254 2312 322 107 +3 +1 -1 +1 +7 1.1
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 462407 10518420 45781 30 258333469803 211271 1710 348 122 +12 +1 +2 +2 +10 2.7
201826 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 462402 10317321 50781 30 256340470810 214266 1711 351 122 +12 +1 +2 +2 +10 2.7
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 460417 9920116 33976 40 237303405708 168269 217 317 101 +0 +1 -1 +2 +10 1.2
201927 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 460414 9819117 36976 40 237307411718 174266 218 318 101 +0 +1 -1 +2 +10 1.2
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 148139 32815 6312 01 230272410682 180260 214 305 92 -1 -0 +2 +1 +3 0.4
202028 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 148139 32815 6312 01 230272410682 180260 214 299 92 -1 -0 +2 +1 +3 0.4
202129 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 585508 12331321 611109 10 242334439773 197266 1910 340 116 +11 +0 +5 +2 +13 3.2
202129 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 585508 12735320 611109 10 250341449790 199278 1910 347 116 +11 +0 +5 +2 +13 3.2
202230 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 402361 762106 34713 02 211284319602 108243 188 275 73 -13 -1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
202230 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 402361 802406 34713 02 222294338632 116257 188 285 73 -13 -1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 508466 11224011 33973 41 240295363657 122277 196 293 84 -9 +0 -12 +5 +11 -0.4
202331 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 508465 11023011 34973 41 237293357650 120273 197 290 84 -9 +0 -12 +5 +11 -0.4
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 393362 8517012 27770 00 235288381669 146264 207 294 85 -7 +0 +1 +1 +9 0.4
202432 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 393362 8316012 27770 00 229283373656 144257 207 290 85 -7 +0 +1 +1 +9 0.4
202533 MLB MLE2 teams — 272247 5210010 19720 10 211267372639 162247 267 279 75 -8 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.0
202533 MLB RAW2 teams — 272246 5210010 20710 10 211271374645 163247 267 281 75 -8 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.0
202634 MLB MLE2 teams — 168158 33714 9450 00 209251342593 133264 275 274 71 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202634 MLB RAW2 teams — 168156 37815 11420 00 237287397685 160291 257 302 71 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
200917 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 225213 51921 6404 82 239276315591 75284 183 256 59 — — — — — —
201119 A MLE2 teams — 282256 581202 24500 02 227294297591 70272 189 262 63 — — — — — —
201220 A+ MLE3 teams — 662626 1442767 23938 106 230269326595 96256 143 257 60 — — — — — —
201321 AA MLE2 teams — 653614 12320313 281156 53 200245306551 106222 184 242 50 — — — — — —
201422 AAA MLE4 teams — 630582 16534613 39844 76 284334430763 146305 136 334 112 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLE2 teams — 282264 711428 14642 12 269313428741 159321 235 327 107 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 346304 5912010 38911 41 194283332615 138234 2611 280 75 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 342300 6525211 39800 30 217308423731 207254 2311 326 107 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 462413 10518420 45781 30 254333462796 208266 1710 348 122 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 460418 9920116 33976 40 237303404707 167266 217 317 101 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 148139 32815 6312 01 230272410682 180260 214 305 92 — — — — — —
202129 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 585510 12331321 611109 10 241334437771 196278 1910 340 116 — — — — — —
202230 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 402362 762106 34713 02 210284318602 108257 188 275 73 — — — — — —
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 508467 11224011 33973 41 240295362657 122273 196 293 84 — — — — — —
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 393363 8517012 27770 00 234288380668 146257 207 294 85 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLE2 teams — 272251 5210010 19720 10 207267367633 159242 267 279 75 — — — — — —
202634 MLB MLE2 teams — 168157 33714 9450 00 210251344595 134266 275 274 71 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 393363 8517012 27770 00 234288380668 146257 207 294 85 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLE2 teams — 272251 5210010 19720 10 207267367633 159242 267 279 75 — — — — — —
202634 MLB MLE2 teams — 168157 33714 9450 00 210251344595 134266 275 274 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202735 MLB MLELAD 100% 239220 491017 16571 21 223278373651 151265 247 289 82 -5 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202735 MLB CTXLAD 100% 148137 30605 10350 10 220275371646 151259 247 286 82 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202836 MLB MLELAD 100% 10799 21403 7260 00 211264347611 136254 247 272 70 -4 +0 -6 +0 +2 -0.7
202836 MLB CTXLAD 100% 10799 20403 7260 00 208262345606 137249 247 270 70 -4 +0 -6 +0 +2 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 43553908 91720815137 37189427 176 235305401706 166267 219 312 84 -13 +1 -5 +17 +94 9.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 13631220 551334 31 233303396699 163266 208 312 84 -2 +0 -1 +3 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 71456507 151932131178 498136049 5227 233293374667 141267 197 292 84 -16 +1 -5 +17 +98 9.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 13829316 451244 52 233291373665 140267 197 292 84 -2 +0 -1 +3 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 72 PAwOBA .305 → .239 (−66)K% 19.4% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.44%÷1.000×1.200——23.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.94%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9404.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP21.15%÷1.000×0.930×0.975×0.94018.02%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.830×0.975×0.9405.85%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.970×0.975×0.9401.71%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9401.27%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .305 → .239; ISO .136 → .103; BABIP .308 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 16 PAwOBA .407 → .335 (−72)K% 18.8% → 22.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷1.015×1.200——22.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.083×0.690—×0.9407.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷0.951×0.930—×0.94025.06%
Doubles /BIP18.18%÷0.969×0.830—×0.94014.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.700—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 90, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .407 → .335; ISO .143 → .118; BABIP .455 → .397. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 64 PAwOBA .213 → .173 (−40)K% 21.9% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.88%÷0.984×1.290——28.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷1.095×0.710—×1.0484.25%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP15.56%÷1.028×0.900×0.962×1.04813.74%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷0.965×0.810×0.962×1.0483.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.810×0.962×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷0.866×0.780—×1.0482.10%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .213 → .173; ISO .085 → .073; BABIP .200 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 373 PAwOBA .368 → .332 (−36)K% 10.2% → 13.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.19%÷1.008×1.290——13.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.24%÷1.007×0.710—×1.0505.36%
HBP% /PA0.80%—×0.980—×1.0500.83%
Singles /BIP24.50%÷0.980×0.900×1.000×1.05023.63%
Doubles /BIP7.38%÷0.923×0.810×1.000×1.0506.80%
Triples /BIP0.67%÷0.900×0.810×1.000×1.0500.63%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷1.098×0.780—×1.0502.50%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .368 → .332; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .332 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 43 PAwOBA .366 → .330 (−35)K% 7.0% → 8.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA6.98%÷0.988×1.220——8.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.98%÷0.991×0.700—×1.0275.06%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.022×0.920—×1.02722.48%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷0.890×0.840—×1.0277.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷0.956×0.800—×1.0272.32%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .330; ISO .150 → .138; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 483 PAwOBA .290 → .242 (−48)K% 14.5% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.49%÷1.004×1.220——17.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.63%÷1.117×0.700—×1.0424.33%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.870—×1.0420.94%
Singles /BIP19.07%÷1.040×0.920×0.980×1.04217.23%
Doubles /BIP4.90%÷1.067×0.840×0.980×1.0423.94%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷0.900×0.940×0.980×1.0420.58%
Home runs /BIP3.54%÷1.106×0.800—×1.0422.67%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .290 → .242; ISO .140 → .112; BABIP .253 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 411 PAwOBA .315 → .260 (−55)K% 10.5% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.46%÷0.975×1.340——14.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.35%÷1.095×0.710—×1.0273.56%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.790—×1.0270.59%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.022×0.910×1.009×1.02718.45%
Doubles /BIP7.46%÷1.138×0.820×1.009×1.0275.57%
Triples /BIP2.09%÷1.150×0.760×1.009×1.0271.43%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷1.030×0.920—×1.0271.37%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .315 → .260; ISO .143 → .111; BABIP .297 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 88 PAwOBA .269 → .243 (−26)K% 10.2% → 12.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.23%÷0.982×1.220——12.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.55%÷1.035×0.700—×1.0503.23%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.870—×1.0502.08%
Singles /BIP23.61%÷0.998×0.920×0.998×1.05022.79%
Doubles /BIP2.78%÷1.044×0.840×0.998×1.0502.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.940×0.940×0.998×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.39%÷1.110×0.800—×1.0501.05%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 88, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .269 → .243; ISO .062 → .049; BABIP .268 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .