Enrique Hernández
3B Los Angeles Dodgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32 | MLBLAD | 393 | .229/.283/.373 | 12 | 0 | 85 | 0.4 | |
| 2025 | 33 | MLBLAD | 256 | .203/.260/.366 | 10 | 0 | 72 | -0.1 | |
| 2026 | 34 | AAALAD | 72 | .258/.310/.394 | 1 | 0 | 48 | — | .206/.239/.324 |
| 2026 | 34 | MLBLAD | 96 | .222/.271/.400 | 4 | 0 | 89 | 0.1 | |
| 2027PROJ | 35 | MLBLAD | 148 | .220/.275/.371 | 5 | 1 | 82 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ | 36 | MLBLAD | 107 | .208/.262/.345 | 3 | 0 | 70 | -0.7 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 225 | 207 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 295 | 339 | 396 | 736 | 101 | 333 | 12 | 4 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 265 | 262 | 526 | 31 | 246 | 6 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 249 | 215 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 341 | 326 | 667 | 79 | 283 | 13 | 12 | 306 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 33 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 152 | 188 | 339 | 62 | 138 | 9 | 3 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 88 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 299 | 309 | 607 | 62 | 268 | 10 | 5 | 276 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 411 | 378 | 104 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 275 | 320 | 418 | 738 | 143 | 297 | 10 | 5 | 321 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 163 | 147 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 320 | 379 | 469 | 848 | 150 | 352 | 10 | 7 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 483 | 437 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 70 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 298 | 375 | 674 | 140 | 253 | 14 | 7 | 298 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 170 | 150 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 327 | 393 | 721 | 133 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 134 | 121 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 321 | 421 | 742 | 174 | 278 | 16 | 9 | 330 | 118 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 373 | 336 | 107 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 318 | 376 | 485 | 861 | 167 | 332 | 10 | 8 | 376 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 43 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 325 | 372 | 475 | 847 | 150 | 333 | 7 | 7 | 376 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 80 | 72 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 342 | 403 | 745 | 125 | 328 | 18 | 9 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 218 | 202 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 307 | 349 | 490 | 839 | 183 | 364 | 21 | 5 | 364 | 138 | +10 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 64 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 222 | 254 | 476 | 85 | 200 | 22 | 6 | 215 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 244 | 216 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 283 | 324 | 607 | 134 | 234 | 26 | 11 | 278 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 102 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 333 | 279 | 612 | 70 | 274 | 23 | 15 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 342 | 297 | 64 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 311 | 421 | 732 | 205 | 254 | 23 | 12 | 322 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 462 | 402 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 256 | 340 | 470 | 810 | 214 | 266 | 17 | 11 | 351 | 122 | +12 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 460 | 414 | 98 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 307 | 411 | 718 | 174 | 266 | 21 | 8 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 410 | 682 | 180 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 299 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 585 | 508 | 127 | 35 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 110 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 341 | 449 | 790 | 199 | 278 | 19 | 10 | 347 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 402 | 361 | 80 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 222 | 294 | 338 | 632 | 116 | 257 | 18 | 8 | 285 | 73 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 508 | 465 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 120 | 273 | 19 | 7 | 290 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -12 | +5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 362 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 283 | 373 | 656 | 144 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 290 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 256 | 232 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 260 | 366 | 626 | 164 | 233 | 27 | 7 | 273 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 357 | 438 | 500 | 938 | 143 | 455 | 19 | 12 | 417 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 96 | 90 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 271 | 400 | 671 | 178 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 297 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 72 | 66 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 310 | 394 | 704 | 136 | 308 | 19 | 7 | 309 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4248 | 3809 | 897 | 204 | 15 | 134 | 364 | 868 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 235 | 307 | 402 | 709 | 167 | 268 | 20 | 9 | 313 | 98 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +17 | +92 | 10.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 225 | 211 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 242 | 276 | 318 | 594 | 76 | 284 | 18 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 249 | 225 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 293 | 298 | 590 | 71 | 272 | 18 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 88 | 82 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 276 | 293 | 569 | 61 | 254 | 12 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 411 | 385 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 270 | 351 | 621 | 114 | 256 | 14 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 483 | 450 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 85 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 202 | 246 | 311 | 557 | 109 | 222 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 134 | 121 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 328 | 438 | 766 | 182 | 278 | 16 | 9 | 342 | 118 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 373 | 344 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 48 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 294 | 338 | 433 | 771 | 140 | 314 | 13 | 5 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 43 | 41 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 326 | 439 | 765 | 146 | 311 | 9 | 5 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 218 | 202 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 312 | 353 | 500 | 853 | 188 | 364 | 21 | 5 | 372 | 138 | +10 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 64 | 60 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 233 | 424 | 83 | 175 | 28 | 5 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 244 | 217 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 279 | 323 | 601 | 134 | 234 | 26 | 11 | 280 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 342 | 299 | 65 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 425 | 732 | 207 | 254 | 23 | 11 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 462 | 407 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 258 | 333 | 469 | 803 | 211 | 266 | 17 | 10 | 348 | 122 | +12 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 460 | 417 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 303 | 405 | 708 | 168 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 410 | 682 | 180 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 305 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 585 | 508 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 61 | 110 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 334 | 439 | 773 | 197 | 278 | 19 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 402 | 361 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 319 | 602 | 108 | 257 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 508 | 466 | 112 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 363 | 657 | 122 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -12 | +5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 362 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 288 | 381 | 669 | 146 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 256 | 232 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 260 | 366 | 626 | 164 | 233 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 16 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 375 | 467 | 842 | 133 | 397 | 25 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 96 | 90 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 271 | 400 | 671 | 178 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 299 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 34 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 72 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 239 | 324 | 563 | 118 | 254 | 24 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 225 | 211 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 242 | 276 | 318 | 594 | 76 | 291 | 18 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 225 | 207 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 295 | 339 | 396 | 736 | 101 | 333 | 12 | 4 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | INTL MLE | Leones de Ponce | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 265 | 262 | 526 | 31 | 246 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | INTL RAW | Leones de Ponce | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 265 | 262 | 526 | 31 | 246 | 6 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 255 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 294 | 298 | 592 | 71 | 276 | 18 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 282 | 247 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 319 | 308 | 627 | 77 | 263 | 13 | 11 | 288 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 662 | 620 | 144 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 93 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 232 | 269 | 329 | 598 | 97 | 262 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 662 | 606 | 171 | 39 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 69 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 282 | 332 | 416 | 748 | 134 | 306 | 10 | 6 | 328 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 607 | 123 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 115 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 203 | 245 | 310 | 555 | 107 | 228 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 653 | 587 | 142 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 100 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 242 | 306 | 380 | 686 | 138 | 266 | 15 | 7 | 303 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 630 | 580 | 165 | 34 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 284 | 334 | 431 | 765 | 147 | 311 | 13 | 6 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 630 | 569 | 170 | 37 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 299 | 360 | 460 | 820 | 162 | 321 | 12 | 8 | 360 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 262 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 271 | 313 | 431 | 744 | 160 | 326 | 23 | 5 | 327 | 107 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 282 | 261 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 320 | 437 | 757 | 161 | 327 | 21 | 5 | 331 | 107 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 307 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 91 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 283 | 329 | 612 | 137 | 238 | 26 | 11 | 280 | 75 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 302 | 59 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 87 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 195 | 298 | 311 | 609 | 116 | 246 | 25 | 12 | 282 | 75 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 342 | 299 | 65 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 425 | 732 | 207 | 256 | 23 | 11 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 342 | 297 | 64 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 311 | 421 | 732 | 205 | 254 | 23 | 12 | 322 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 462 | 407 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 258 | 333 | 469 | 803 | 211 | 271 | 17 | 10 | 348 | 122 | +12 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 462 | 402 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 256 | 340 | 470 | 810 | 214 | 266 | 17 | 11 | 351 | 122 | +12 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 460 | 417 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 303 | 405 | 708 | 168 | 269 | 21 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 460 | 414 | 98 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 307 | 411 | 718 | 174 | 266 | 21 | 8 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 410 | 682 | 180 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 305 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 410 | 682 | 180 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 299 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 585 | 508 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 61 | 110 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 334 | 439 | 773 | 197 | 266 | 19 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 585 | 508 | 127 | 35 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 110 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 341 | 449 | 790 | 199 | 278 | 19 | 10 | 347 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 402 | 361 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 319 | 602 | 108 | 243 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 402 | 361 | 80 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 222 | 294 | 338 | 632 | 116 | 257 | 18 | 8 | 285 | 73 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 508 | 466 | 112 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 363 | 657 | 122 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -12 | +5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 508 | 465 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 120 | 273 | 19 | 7 | 290 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -12 | +5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 362 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 288 | 381 | 669 | 146 | 264 | 20 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 362 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 283 | 373 | 656 | 144 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 290 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 247 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 267 | 372 | 639 | 162 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 246 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 71 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 271 | 374 | 645 | 163 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 75 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 168 | 158 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 251 | 342 | 593 | 133 | 264 | 27 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 168 | 156 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 287 | 397 | 685 | 160 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 71 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 225 | 213 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 239 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 75 | 284 | 18 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 256 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 294 | 297 | 591 | 70 | 272 | 18 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 662 | 626 | 144 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 93 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 230 | 269 | 326 | 595 | 96 | 256 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 614 | 123 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 115 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 245 | 306 | 551 | 106 | 222 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 630 | 582 | 165 | 34 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 284 | 334 | 430 | 763 | 146 | 305 | 13 | 6 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 264 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 269 | 313 | 428 | 741 | 159 | 321 | 23 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 304 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 91 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 194 | 283 | 332 | 615 | 138 | 234 | 26 | 11 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 342 | 300 | 65 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 423 | 731 | 207 | 254 | 23 | 11 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 462 | 413 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 254 | 333 | 462 | 796 | 208 | 266 | 17 | 10 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 460 | 418 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 303 | 404 | 707 | 167 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 410 | 682 | 180 | 260 | 21 | 4 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 585 | 510 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 61 | 110 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 334 | 437 | 771 | 196 | 278 | 19 | 10 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 402 | 362 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 210 | 284 | 318 | 602 | 108 | 257 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 508 | 467 | 112 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 362 | 657 | 122 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 363 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 288 | 380 | 668 | 146 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 251 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 267 | 367 | 633 | 159 | 242 | 26 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 168 | 157 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 251 | 344 | 595 | 134 | 266 | 27 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 393 | 363 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 288 | 380 | 668 | 146 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 251 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 267 | 367 | 633 | 159 | 242 | 26 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 168 | 157 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 251 | 344 | 595 | 134 | 266 | 27 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 239 | 220 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 278 | 373 | 651 | 151 | 265 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 148 | 137 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 275 | 371 | 646 | 151 | 259 | 24 | 7 | 286 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 36 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 107 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 264 | 347 | 611 | 136 | 254 | 24 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -4 | +0 | -6 | +0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 107 | 99 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 262 | 345 | 606 | 137 | 249 | 24 | 7 | 270 | 70 | -4 | +0 | -6 | +0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4355 | 3908 | 917 | 208 | 15 | 137 | 371 | 894 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 235 | 305 | 401 | 706 | 166 | 267 | 21 | 9 | 312 | 84 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +17 | +94 | 9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 133 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 233 | 303 | 396 | 699 | 163 | 266 | 20 | 8 | 312 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7145 | 6507 | 1519 | 321 | 31 | 178 | 498 | 1360 | 49 | 52 | 27 | 233 | 293 | 374 | 667 | 141 | 267 | 19 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +17 | +98 | 9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 138 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 45 | 124 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 233 | 291 | 373 | 665 | 140 | 267 | 19 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +14 | 1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 72 PAwOBA .305 → .239 (−66)K% 19.4% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.975 | ×0.940 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.940 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.975 | ×0.940 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .305 → .239; ISO .136 → .103; BABIP .308 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 16 PAwOBA .407 → .335 (−72)K% 18.8% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 25.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 14.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 90, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .407 → .335; ISO .143 → .118; BABIP .455 → .397. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 64 PAwOBA .213 → .173 (−40)K% 21.9% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.56% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 13.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .213 → .173; ISO .085 → .073; BABIP .200 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 373 PAwOBA .368 → .332 (−36)K% 10.2% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.008 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.50% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 23.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .368 → .332; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .332 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 43 PAwOBA .366 → .330 (−35)K% 7.0% → 8.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 8.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 22.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .366 → .330; ISO .150 → .138; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 483 PAwOBA .290 → .242 (−48)K% 14.5% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷1.117 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.07% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 17.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.067 | ×0.840 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.54% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .290 → .242; ISO .140 → .112; BABIP .253 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 411 PAwOBA .315 → .260 (−55)K% 10.5% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.46% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.35% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.027 | 18.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.138 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.027 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.009 | ×1.027 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .315 → .260; ISO .143 → .111; BABIP .297 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 88 PAwOBA .269 → .243 (−26)K% 10.2% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.23% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.035 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.044 | ×0.840 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 2.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.110 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 88, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .269 → .243; ISO .062 → .049; BABIP .268 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .