Tristan Gray3B
Minnesota Twins
Age 30
L/R
6'1" / 215 lbs
MLB
BB +3%
Svc 0.715 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.4 · 2026
wRC+†vL 24686vR 25
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .261 / .367
PA250
HR9
K%31
BB%7
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
55→55
SPD
45→45
EYE
44↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2024
Service 0.715 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-7M | $-6M | +$0.8M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 679 | 627 | 116 | 42 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 224 | 7 | 8 | 8 | .185 | .240 | .337 | .576 | .152 | .252 | 33 | 6 | .248 | 48 | -40 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +19 | -2.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 495 | 437 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 122 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .192 | .277 | .359 | .636 | .167 | .218 | 25 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -17 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 275 | 255 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 95 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .208 | .260 | .341 | .601 | .133 | .301 | 35 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 500 | 468 | 82 | 15 | 0 | 26 | 20 | 191 | 8 | 4 | 2 | .175 | .222 | .374 | .596 | .199 | .220 | 38 | 4 | .252 | 51 | -28 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 525 | 483 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 197 | 7 | 2 | 3 | .178 | .239 | .352 | .591 | .174 | .243 | 38 | 6 | .255 | 53 | -28 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | 2 teams | 500 | 456 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 168 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .184 | .248 | .325 | .573 | .140 | .251 | 34 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -28 | -0 | +1 | -9 | +14 | -2.3 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | 2 teams | 368 | 334 | 75 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .225 | .279 | .380 | .659 | .156 | .283 | 27 | 6 | .281 | 74 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 46 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .268 | .318 | .512 | .830 | .244 | .348 | 35 | 4 | .344 | 121 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | MIN | 204 | 187 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .272 | .396 | .668 | .182 | .269 | 32 | 6 | .287 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 30 | MLB | MIN | 250 | 228 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .224 | .280 | .417 | .697 | .193 | .290 | 32 | 6 | .297 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 365 | 334 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 102 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .271 | .380 | .651 | .171 | .256 | 28 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 346 | 316 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 97 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .271 | .377 | .648 | .168 | .257 | 28 | 7 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 316 | 289 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .265 | .360 | .625 | .156 | .258 | 28 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 272 | 249 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .205 | .267 | .361 | .628 | .157 | .256 | 29 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4845 | 4435 | 866 | 190 | 22 | 163 | 303 | 1531 | 57 | 21 | 26 | .195 | .256 | .358 | .614 | .163 | .253 | 32 | 6 | .267 | 62 | -207 | -6 | -21 | +10 | +137 | -8.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 595 | 116 | 25 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 205 | 8 | 3 | 3 | .195 | .257 | .358 | .615 | .163 | .251 | 32 | 6 | .267 | 62 | -28 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 496 | 449 | 107 | 38 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 113 | 3 | 5 | 5 | .238 | .303 | .419 | .722 | .180 | .287 | 23 | 8 | .317 | 101 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Perth Heat | 183 | 156 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 3 | .321 | .414 | .583 | .998 | .263 | .392 | 25 | 11 | .430 | 187 | +18 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 495 | 418 | 94 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 92 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .225 | .336 | .409 | .745 | .184 | .244 | 19 | 12 | .331 | 111 | +6 | -4 | — | — | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 275 | 248 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 81 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .246 | .315 | .427 | .742 | .181 | .329 | 29 | 8 | .327 | 108 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 500 | 458 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 33 | 30 | 159 | 8 | 4 | 2 | .225 | .284 | .487 | .771 | .262 | .259 | 32 | 6 | .334 | 113 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 525 | 468 | 110 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 46 | 166 | 7 | 2 | 3 | .235 | .312 | .485 | .797 | .250 | .292 | 32 | 9 | .347 | 124 | +14 | -1 | — | — | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 31 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .107 | .194 | .143 | .336 | .036 | .250 | 52 | 10 | .167 | -14 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -9 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 469 | 418 | 105 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .251 | .325 | .467 | .792 | .215 | .304 | 26 | 9 | .345 | 122 | +12 | -0 | — | — | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 86 | 78 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .286 | .410 | .696 | .179 | .263 | 22 | 7 | .301 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 282 | 248 | 67 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 67 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .270 | .342 | .472 | .814 | .202 | .324 | 24 | 9 | .350 | 126 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 117 | 106 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .261 | .340 | .600 | .142 | .261 | 30 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +3 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Tristan Gray (OGILVIE) | 30 | 50 | 55 | 45 | 40 | .206/.265/.378 | .172 | .253 | 9 | 1 | 28% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB |
29 | 41→44 | 52→55 | 49→40 | 45 | .217/.282/.379 | .162 | .265 | 21 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .214/.274/.387 | .173 | .271 | 22 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .207/.268/.386 | .179 | .258 | 24 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jack Mayfield 2021 · MLB |
30 | 42→45 | 52→55 | 46→50 | 41 | .223/.270/.391 | .168 | .262 | 21 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.264/.370 | .152 | .259 | 18 | 10 | 23% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .207/.252/.352 | .145 | .244 | 17 | 10 | 23% | 4% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Raffy Lopez 2018 · MLB |
30 | 43→51 | 50 | 48→40 | 42 | .221/.276/.371 | .150 | .283 | 18 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.275/.374 | .159 | .296 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .177/.243/.308 | .131 | .255 | 17 | 2 | 37% | 8% | 42 | -1.2 |
|
✕Rougned Odor 2023 · MLB |
29 | 38→48 | 54→60 | 46→50 | 45 | .209/.280/.385 | .176 | .245 | 22 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.299/.381 | .160 | .267 | 18 | 9 | 24% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .198/.295/.353 | .155 | .239 | 16 | 8 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2023 · AAA |
29 | 38→44 | 51→55 | 44→45 | 42 | .204/.266/.370 | .166 | .256 | 18 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.273/.363 | .153 | .278 | 16 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .225/.292/.365 | .140 | .286 | 14 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA |
30 | 43 | 53→50 | 44→40 | 40 | .226/.285/.396 | .170 | .278 | 21 | 5 | 27% | 5% | 90 | +1.0 | .221/.288/.362 | .141 | .267 | 15 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .199/.277/.318 | .119 | .239 | 11 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jose Rojas 2022 · MLB |
29 | 41→48 | 52→65 | 46→50 | 45 | .217/.271/.387 | .170 | .263 | 19 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .212/.269/.396 | .184 | .254 | 23 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .209/.275/.433 | .224 | .237 | 30 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA |
29 | 45 | 51→50 | 41→40 | 41 | .232/.286/.392 | .160 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .222/.283/.362 | .140 | .292 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .199/.272/.321 | .123 | .263 | 15 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ryan Flaherty 2016 · MLB |
30 | 42→47 | 49→55 | 50→45 | 47 | .219/.288/.367 | .148 | .264 | 17 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .229/.306/.349 | .120 | .293 | 12 | 6 | 24% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .222/.294/.352 | .130 | .288 | 15 | 4 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jeremy Barfield 2018 · AAA |
30 | 42→48 | 56→55 | 47→30 | 41 | .226/.283/.411 | .185 | .277 | 25 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .215/.277/.372 | .157 | .293 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .100/.182/.164 | .064 | .153 | 7 | 0 | 38% | 7% | -13 | -1.1 |
|
✕Mark Saccomanno 2009 · AAA |
29 | 42→46 | 53→55 | 43→40 | 39 | .224/.260/.393 | .168 | .267 | 22 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 78 | +0.2 | .220/.260/.354 | .134 | .268 | 15 | 4 | 24% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.252/.330 | .119 | .258 | 13 | 2 | 24% | 4% | 54 | -1.2 |
|
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB |
30 | 40→43 | 53→60 | 49→50 | 48 | .215/.286/.385 | .171 | .264 | 22 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.283/.396 | .171 | .284 | 23 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .215/.272/.382 | .166 | .269 | 24 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕JT Riddle 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→52 | 50 | 48→45 | 42 | .221/.262/.373 | .152 | .257 | 17 | 7 | 22% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .202/.243/.326 | .124 | .245 | 13 | 5 | 23% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .194/.231/.313 | .119 | .237 | 12 | 2 | 23% | 3% | 41 | -1.4 |
|
✕Val Majewski 2011 · AAA |
30 | 44→54 | 49→45 | 46→50 | 46 | .226/.284/.369 | .142 | .273 | 17 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .228/.283/.343 | .115 | .283 | 11 | 10 | 22% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .228/.281/.323 | .096 | .278 | 6 | 9 | 19% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Bryce Brentz 2019 · MLB |
30 | 42→50 | 54→60 | 47→40 | 39 | .224/.269/.401 | .177 | .290 | 23 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .209/.273/.386 | .177 | .309 | 23 | 5 | 38% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .174/.252/.345 | .171 | .260 | 23 | 0 | 41% | 8% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA |
30 | 42 | 51→55 | 45→40 | 40 | .218/.273/.375 | .158 | .294 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .204/.265/.371 | .167 | .260 | 21 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .182/.248/.350 | .167 | .219 | 22 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dixon Machado 2022 · AAA |
30 | 43→53 | 50→45 | 44→55 | 48 | .222/.295/.375 | .153 | .274 | 18 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.305/.324 | .092 | .277 | 8 | 8 | 18% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.304/.305 | .081 | .267 | 8 | 6 | 18% | 9% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB |
30 | 41 | 56→60 | 48→45 | 44 | .222/.285/.417 | .195 | .262 | 24 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .211/.276/.370 | .159 | .265 | 20 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .195/.262/.332 | .137 | .246 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
●Matt Clark 2017 · MLB |
30 | 43→45 | 54→60 | 47→30 | 43 | .229/.284/.400 | .171 | .275 | 23 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .235/.288/.418 | .183 | .291 | 24 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .236/.294/.445 | .209 | .281 | 29 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 107 | +1.4 |
|
✕Colin Moran 2023 · MLB |
30 | 45→55 | 51→55 | 46→30 | 49 | .233/.303/.387 | .154 | .289 | 20 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .227/.297/.360 | .133 | .292 | 16 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.291/.308 | .095 | .277 | 13 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.2 |