Patrick Dorrian — OGILVIE

Patrick Dorrian2B Nashville Sounds

Age 30 L/R 6'1" / 188 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .273 / .336

PA250

HR6

K%31

BB%7

ISO130

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT23

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	200	178	46	9	6	2	18	45	2	2	1	258	333	410	743	152	331	22	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	459	423	77	20	4	7	26	160	4	8	2	182	236	298	534	116	268	35	6	233	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	459	408	100	24	4	10	41	114	4	8	2	245	320	397	717	152	311	25	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	489	442	84	18	2	13	41	190	4	4	2	190	265	328	593	138	295	39	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	489	414	100	21	2	22	69	143	4	4	2	242	355	461	817	220	311	29	14	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	353	323	54	12	1	12	29	142	1	4	1	167	238	322	560	155	249	40	8	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	407	375	81	15	1	20	24	160	6	4	3	216	274	421	695	205	310	39	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	38	5	1	3	22	98	2	2	0	152	226	216	442	64	232	36	8	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	MIL	—	250	227	47	9	1	6	18	77	3	3	1	207	274	335	609	128	282	31	7	276	69	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	MIL	27%	264	239	50	9	1	7	20	80	3	3	1	209	279	343	622	134	281	30	8	276	70	-9	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.3
2027	31	MLB	MIL	27%	72	66	13	2	0	2	5	22	1	1	0	197	264	318	582	121	278	31	7	266	62	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	72	66	13	2	0	2	5	22	1	1	0	197	264	318	582	121	262	31	7	266	62	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	117	18	0	18	45	199	9	9	0	196	263	317	580	121	261	31	7	266	62	-28	+2	-7	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2698	2457	477	97	17	70	198	952	25	30	11	194	261	333	594	139	281	35	7	261	58	-129	+2	-3	+10	+76	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	115	23	4	17	48	229	6	7	3	194	262	333	595	139	280	35	7	261	58	-31	+0	-1	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	181	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.4
2019	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	204	189	44	7	1	4	13	50	0	0	0	233	282	344	626	111	292	25	6	279	72	-6	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2019	23	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	255	219	56	17	3	6	28	64	4	8	2	256	351	443	794	187	329	25	11	348	125	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2021	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		250	50	0	113	-55	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	473	398	98	21	2	22	69	135	4	4	2	246	363	475	838	229	313	29	15	370	141	+22	+0	—	—	+13	3.6
2022	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+10	1.0
2023	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	120	+9	-0	—	—	+12	2.1
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	49	-16	+0	—	—	+8	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Patrick Dorrian (OGILVIE)	30	23	35	45	49	207/273/336	129	282	6	3	31%	7%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	37	45	47→50	42	193/259/309	116	250	13	9	28%	6%	56	-1.3	213/284/337	124	283	14	11	28%	7%	73	-0.1	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Brian Jeroloman 2015 · AAA	30	38→37	39→45	39→40	44	189/254/267	77	262	8	4	30%	8%	42	-2.3	204/280/279	75	274	5	5	25%	9%	56	-1.3	195/290/237	42	259	0	0	22%	11%	49	-0.5
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Tyler LaTorre 2014 · AAA	31	42	43→40	48→40	42	207/266/314	107	282	11	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	220/277/308	88	311	7	8	29%	7%	62	-0.9	236/285/293	57	335	3	4	29%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Steven Lerud 2015 · AAA	30	45→41	42→45	48→40	47	215/298/317	102	298	9	5	29%	9%	75	-0.0	217/292/296	79	308	6	5	29%	8%	66	-0.6	208/288/255	46	305	3	0	30%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA	29	39	48→40	49→40	42	203/270/342	139	261	17	6	29%	6%	69	-0.4	209/288/333	124	300	14	9	33%	8%	74	-0.1	184/269/329	146	252	20	10	34%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Mike Rose 2007 · MLB	30	38	48→50	46→40	43	200/263/344	144	268	16	5	31%	7%	66	-0.6	212/268/335	123	287	13	6	29%	7%	66	-0.6	207/260/307	101	277	11	2	28%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Xorge Carrillo 2019 · AAA	30	43	41→40	45→30	40	214/261/310	95	281	10	5	27%	5%	56	-1.3	244/302/369	125	281	13	7	18%	6%	89	+0.9	266/327/385	118	293	13	2	13%	6%	99	+0.7
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	35	45→40	43→30	41	183/249/298	115	253	13	4	32%	7%	49	-1.8	202/270/308	106	281	11	4	30%	8%	60	-1.0	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→41	46→50	46→50	41	185/262/309	123	286	14	5	38%	8%	57	-1.2	196/262/312	116	334	13	10	42%	7%	57	-1.2	165/231/258	94	300	12	12	46%	7%	28	-1.7
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	46	210/282/340	130	272	15	6	28%	8%	73	-0.1	204/283/350	146	267	16	16	29%	9%	77	+0.1	187/272/333	146	244	16	19	29%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2018 · MLB	30	38→37	49→50	44→45	44	201/262/348	147	241	17	4	25%	7%	67	-0.5	201/275/344	143	257	15	4	27%	7%	72	-0.2	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Brandon Macias 2019 · AAA	30	39→49	46→40	44→45	40	204/262/330	126	271	15	7	30%	6%	63	-0.9	216/271/319	103	292	11	8	29%	5%	63	-0.9	199/255/265	66	270	8	2	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	35	45→50	41→40	36	177/242/301	123	297	14	4	43%	7%	46	-2.0	183/247/291	108	339	11	6	46%	7%	46	-2.0	134/201/208	74	269	8	0	50%	7%	2	-2.0
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Johnny Monell 2015 · AAA	29	43→44	47→50	48→45	46	215/280/352	136	280	14	8	28%	8%	76	+0.0	230/281/344	114	283	12	7	23%	6%	73	-0.1	232/283/341	109	291	11	4	23%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	36→46	44→45	43→40	45	184/268/299	115	267	12	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	201/279/314	113	329	11	6	39%	9%	66	-0.6	187/275/287	100	323	9	0	41%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	34→44	45→40	44→45	42	182/239/296	114	224	14	8	26%	6%	44	-2.1	203/247/342	139	274	18	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	156/183/282	126	198	20	0	34%	2%	14	-1.0