Patrick Dorrian — OGILVIE

Patrick Dorrian2B Nashville Sounds

Age 30 L/R 6'1" / 188 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP279

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	171	+17	+0	—	—	+4	2.2
2019	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	204	189	44	7	1	4	13	50	0	0	0	233	282	344	626	111	292	25	6	279	75	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2019	23	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	255	219	56	17	3	6	28	64	4	8	2	256	351	443	794	187	329	25	11	348	122	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
2021	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		250	50	0	113	-37	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	473	398	98	21	2	22	69	135	4	4	2	246	363	475	838	229	313	29	15	370	137	+21	+0	—	—	+10	3.1
2022	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+8	0.8
2023	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	117	+8	-0	—	—	+9	1.7
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	55	-15	+0	—	—	+6	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	178	46	9	6	2	18	45	2	2	1	258	333	410	743	152	321	22	9	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2019	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	204	195	35	5	1	3	7	71	0	0	0	179	208	262	469	82	253	35	3	203	24	-19	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2019	23	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	255	228	44	14	3	5	19	87	4	8	2	193	267	346	613	154	268	34	7	259	61	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2021	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		237	62	0	81	-59	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2021	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	473	423	83	18	2	13	44	167	4	4	2	196	278	340	619	144	286	35	9	276	73	-15	+0	—	—	+10	-0.5
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	323	51	11	1	10	29	137	1	4	1	158	229	291	520	133	239	39	8	233	44	-24	+0	—	—	+8	-1.6
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	375	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	200	259	365	625	165	283	38	6	268	68	-16	-0	—	—	+9	-0.7
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	222	35	8	199	21	-26	+0	—	—	+6	-2.0
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	178	46	9	6	2	18	45	2	2	1	258	333	410	743	152	331	22	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	459	423	78	19	4	7	26	158	4	8	2	184	238	298	536	113	270	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	459	408	100	24	4	10	41	114	4	8	2	245	320	397	717	152	311	25	9	318	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	489	439	85	18	2	13	44	177	4	4	2	194	273	333	606	139	287	36	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	489	414	100	21	2	22	69	143	4	4	2	242	355	461	817	220	311	29	14	362	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	323	51	11	1	10	29	137	1	4	1	158	229	291	520	133	233	39	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	375	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	200	259	365	625	165	291	38	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	227	35	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	178	46	9	6	2	18	45	2	2	1	258	333	410	743	152	321	22	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	459	426	78	19	4	7	26	158	4	8	2	183	238	296	534	113	261	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	489	438	85	18	2	13	44	177	4	4	2	194	273	333	606	139	284	36	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	320	51	11	1	10	29	137	1	4	1	159	229	294	523	134	239	39	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	374	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	201	259	366	626	166	283	38	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	222	35	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	374	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	201	259	366	626	166	283	38	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	222	35	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	30	MLB MLE	MIL	10%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	281	30	5	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	30	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						279	50	0	261	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIL	27%	264	239	49	9	1	5	20	79	3	3	1	205	275	314	589	109	280	30	8	269	68	-10	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.6
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIL	27%	72	66	14	3	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	212	278	348	626	136	278	29	7	262	68	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	66	14	3	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	212	278	348	626	136	279	29	7	262	58	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	126	27	0	18	45	190	9	9	0	211	277	347	624	136	278	29	7	262	58	-25	+2	-7	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2468	2246	425	87	17	54	184	854	22	27	10	189	257	315	573	126	274	35	7	253	58	-11	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	111	23	4	14	48	225	6	7	3	188	256	311	567	123	272	35	7	253	58	-25	+0	-6	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Patrick Dorrian (OGILVIE)	30	25	33	45	50	203/270/317	113	281	5	3	30%	7%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	40	42→40	44→45	44	199/258/302	103	260	10	4	27%	7%	58	-1.7	206/276/328	122	265	13	5	26%	8%	72	-0.7	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Brian Jeroloman 2015 · AAA	30	39→38	39→40	39→40	45	191/256/266	74	259	7	4	28%	8%	49	-2.4	205/284/280	75	270	5	5	24%	10%	63	-1.4	196/294/238	42	256	0	0	21%	12%	57	-0.5
✕Tyler LaTorre 2014 · AAA	31	42	42→40	48→40	44	208/270/311	103	278	10	6	28%	7%	65	-1.2	222/282/308	86	310	7	8	28%	8%	68	-1.0	240/291/293	53	337	2	4	28%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/256/324	140	225	19	4	28%	8%	63	-1.3	195/269/322	127	258	16	4	30%	8%	68	-1.0	173/252/285	112	231	14	0	31%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Steven Lerud 2015 · AAA	30	45→42	41→45	48→40	48	216/300/313	97	298	8	5	28%	9%	78	-0.3	219/297/297	78	310	6	5	29%	8%	72	-0.7	211/293/257	46	307	3	0	29%	8%	58	-0.6
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	38	44→45	47→50	42	193/261/309	116	251	13	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/285/338	125	283	14	11	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Xorge Carrillo 2019 · AAA	30	44	42→40	45→30	41	219/267/320	101	283	10	5	26%	5%	65	-1.2	242/302/361	119	284	12	7	19%	6%	88	+0.5	258/321/366	108	291	11	2	15%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→40	46→50	46→50	41	187/263/312	125	288	14	5	38%	8%	63	-1.3	198/267/312	114	334	13	10	41%	8%	64	-1.3	168/238/260	91	301	11	12	45%	8%	39	-1.6
✕Jeff Mathis 2013 · MLB	30	39→46	46→50	45	39	202/243/331	129	258	14	5	28%	5%	59	-1.6	205/265/325	120	279	12	4	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Cam Gallagher 2023 · MLB	30	45	43→45	47→30	46	219/276/332	113	277	10	4	24%	7%	72	-0.7	196/245/295	99	268	8	7	29%	6%	51	-2.2	125/154/166	42	183	0	0	31%	3%	-15	-1.8
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/250/331	121	270	13	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	213/269/337	124	275	12	6	26%	6%	70	-0.8	198/259/304	106	255	9	3	25%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Aramis Garcia 2023 · MLB	30	42→41	43→50	42→45	36	212/255/315	103	286	11	4	30%	4%	60	-1.6	192/246/326	134	268	18	8	35%	5%	60	-1.6	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	35	43→40	43→30	41	180/248/286	106	252	11	4	32%	7%	52	-2.2	202/272/304	102	282	11	4	30%	8%	64	-1.3	194/266/271	78	265	9	0	29%	9%	52	-0.5
✕JT Riddle 2022 · MLB	30	37→47	43→50	46→45	41	190/236/299	109	228	11	7	22%	4%	49	-2.4	212/250/334	122	265	12	6	25%	4%	62	-1.4	211/234/338	128	264	12	0	25%	2%	55	-1.2
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA	29	39	47→40	49→40	43	202/272/335	133	259	16	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	208/288/325	117	296	12	9	32%	8%	76	-0.4	181/267/305	124	251	16	10	33%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Cole Sturgeon 2022 · AAA	30	48→49	45→40	49→50	41	234/287/356	122	307	12	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	219/274/324	105	263	10	12	20%	6%	69	-0.9	210/264/300	89	250	9	11	19%	6%	57	-1.5
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	37→47	43→40	43→40	45	187/271/294	107	269	11	6	33%	9%	63	-1.4	204/284/311	107	330	10	6	37%	9%	71	-0.8	192/281/285	93	328	7	0	39%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Ryan Budde 2010 · MLB	30	39	42→45	46→40	41	197/252/301	103	268	10	6	30%	6%	56	-1.9	191/255/275	84	295	8	6	35%	7%	51	-2.2	168/237/228	61	270	5	4	37%	8%	32	-1.3
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	35→45	43→40	44→45	43	181/241/285	104	224	12	8	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/250/335	133	276	17	8	32%	5%	63	-1.3	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Drew Butera 2015 · MLB	31	40	42→40	48→40	46	196/260/299	102	242	10	4	23%	7%	59	-1.7	226/284/348	122	283	12	4	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/287/353	117	297	12	0	24%	6%	79	-0.0