Morgan McCullough
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 354 | .241/.368/.390 | 7 | 8 | 71 | — | .208/.302/.329 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 341 | .245/.355/.402 | 7 | 11 | 66 | — | .194/.283/.318 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 268 | .244/.364/.357 | 4 | 14 | 81 | — | .181/.275/.311 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 49 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 367 | 211 | 578 | 26 | 241 | 18 | 18 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 238 | 542 | 312 | 22 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 117 | 99 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 242 | 353 | 374 | 727 | 131 | 324 | 26 | 11 | 331 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 237 | 191 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 54 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 375 | 398 | 773 | 157 | 304 | 23 | 14 | 346 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 32 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 214 | 412 | 31 | 9 | 385 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 309 | 258 | 62 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 84 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 240 | 353 | 391 | 745 | 151 | 322 | 27 | 12 | 333 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 203 | 167 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 210 | 335 | 353 | 688 | 144 | 279 | 26 | 15 | 311 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 65 | 54 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 352 | 453 | 370 | 823 | 19 | 422 | 15 | 14 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 49 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 286 | 171 | 456 | 24 | 212 | 27 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 117 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 214 | 302 | 330 | 632 | 117 | 288 | 32 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 237 | 204 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 68 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 206 | 302 | 328 | 630 | 123 | 270 | 29 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 32 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 344 | 483 | 827 | 207 | 379 | 38 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 309 | 269 | 50 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 101 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 186 | 277 | 301 | 578 | 115 | 256 | 33 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 203 | 177 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 181 | 275 | 311 | 586 | 130 | 239 | 31 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 49 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 286 | 171 | 456 | 24 | 214 | 27 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 49 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 367 | 211 | 578 | 26 | 241 | 18 | 18 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 238 | 542 | 312 | 22 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 238 | 542 | 312 | 22 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 307 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 105 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 205 | 299 | 326 | 625 | 121 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 290 | 70 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 84 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 241 | 368 | 390 | 757 | 148 | 310 | 24 | 13 | 341 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 298 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 195 | 284 | 319 | 602 | 124 | 281 | 33 | 8 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 341 | 286 | 70 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 94 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 245 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 157 | 330 | 28 | 11 | 338 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 233 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 81 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 176 | 273 | 296 | 569 | 120 | 242 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 268 | 221 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 63 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 244 | 364 | 357 | 721 | 113 | 321 | 24 | 15 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 49 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 286 | 171 | 456 | 24 | 212 | 27 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 310 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 105 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 203 | 299 | 323 | 621 | 119 | 276 | 30 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 301 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 193 | 284 | 316 | 599 | 123 | 268 | 33 | 8 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 235 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 81 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 174 | 273 | 294 | 566 | 119 | 239 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 235 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 81 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 174 | 273 | 294 | 566 | 119 | 239 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1035 | 900 | 173 | 36 | 8 | 17 | 92 | 317 | 27 | 33 | 15 | 192 | 287 | 307 | 593 | 114 | 270 | 31 | 9 | 258 | 61 | -48 | +1 | +0 | +11 | +22 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 109 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 199 | 17 | 21 | 9 | 193 | 288 | 310 | 598 | 117 | 270 | 31 | 9 | 258 | 61 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 203 PAwOBA .304 → .258 (−46)K% 26.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.11% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.978 | 16.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×0.991 | ×0.978 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×0.978 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .304 → .258; ISO .144 → .132; BABIP .279 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 309 PAwOBA .330 → .261 (−69)K% 27.2% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.18% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.91% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.26% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.062 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.13% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 112, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .330 → .261; ISO .151 → .124; BABIP .322 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 32 PAwOBA .375 → .306 (−69)K% 31.2% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 26.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 4.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.20% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .375 → .306; ISO .214 → .162; BABIP .412 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 237 PAwOBA .342 → .276 (−65)K% 22.8% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.78% | ÷1.016 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.35% | ÷1.125 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.95% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 19.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.920 | ×0.850 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.047 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 103, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .342 → .276; ISO .157 → .131; BABIP .304 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 117 PAwOBA .326 → .269 (−56)K% 25.6% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.64% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.42% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .326 → .269; ISO .131 → .110; BABIP .324 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABurlington Bees · 49 PAwOBA .289 → .221 (−69)K% 18.4% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | — | 11.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | — | — | 18.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.830 | — | — | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .289 → .221; ISO .026 → .022; BABIP .241 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .