Morgan McCullough

Morgan McCulloughSS Arkansas Travelers

Age 28 L/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 215 proj PA

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .302 / .355

PA215

HR6

SB5

K%27

BB%10

ISO143

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Burlington Bees	—	49	42	6	1	0	0	5	13	2	0	1	143	265	167	432	24	207	27	10	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Burlington Bees	—	49	38	7	1	0	0	9	9	2	0	1	184	367	211	578	26	241	18	18	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	23	21	5	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	238	304	238	542		312	22	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	23	21	5	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	238	304	238	542		312	22	4	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	354	308	63	13	3	6	29	110	11	8	6	205	296	325	621	120	291	31	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	354	290	70	16	3	7	47	84	11	8	6	241	368	390	757	148	310	24	13	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	341	298	56	12	2	8	27	117	10	11	3	188	278	322	600	134	268	34	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	341	286	70	18	3	7	39	94	10	11	3	245	355	402	757	157	330	28	11	338	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	268	230	45	10	2	8	31	83	3	14	5	196	299	361	660	165	262	31	12	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	268	221	54	9	2	4	39	63	3	14	5	244	364	357	721	113	321	24	15	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	SEA	—	215	189	41	8	1	6	21	59	3	5	1	217	305	365	670	148	278	27	10	299	87	-3	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SEA	28%	259	229	50	10	1	7	25	70	3	5	2	218	304	362	666	144	279	27	10	300	87	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2028	30	MLB	SEA	43%	299	264	58	11	2	8	29	81	4	6	2	220	306	367	674	148	279	27	10	299	87	-4	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.6
2029	31	MLB	SEA	52%	296	261	55	11	1	7	29	80	4	5	2	211	299	341	640	130	278	27	10	296	85	-5	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.4
2027	29	MLB	SEA	28%	73	65	14	3	0	2	7	20	1	2	0	215	301	354	655	138	276	27	10	287	78	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB	SEA	43%	129	113	25	5	1	3	13	35	2	2	1	221	312	363	675	142	276	27	10	286	77	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2029	31	MLB	SEA	52%	154	136	30	6	1	4	15	42	2	3	1	221	307	368	675	147	275	27	10	284	76	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	356	314	69	14	2	9	35	97	5	7	2	220	308	363	671	143	286	27	10	285	77	-9	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	26	4	16	64	177	9	13	4	220	308	363	671	143	286	27	10	285	77	-17	+1	-5	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2104	1842	379	76	12	50	197	618	41	54	22	206	297	341	638	136	276	29	9	282	74	-61	+2	-6	+23	+60	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	116	23	4	15	61	191	13	17	7	204	295	337	633	134	274	29	9	282	74	-19	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Burlington Bees	—	49	38	7	1	0	0	9	9	2	0	1	184	367	211	578	26	241	18	18	295	84	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	23	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	23	21	5	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	238	304	238	542		312	22	4	259	56	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	117	99	24	7	0	2	13	30	4	1	2	242	353	374	727	131	324	26	11	331	112	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	237	191	46	9	3	5	34	54	7	7	4	241	375	398	773	157	304	23	14	346	123	+6	-0	—	—	+7	1.3
2023	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	32	28	8	1	1	1	3	10	1	1	0	286	375	500	875	214	412	31	9	385	153	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	309	258	62	17	2	6	36	84	9	10	3	240	353	391	745	151	322	27	12	333	113	+4	+1	—	—	+9	1.4
2024	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	203	167	35	8	2	4	30	53	2	9	4	210	335	353	688	144	279	26	15	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2024	26	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	65	54	19	1	0	0	9	10	1	5	1	352	453	370	823	19	422	15	14	378	148	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	360	9	7	217	301	359	+4	+3	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	17	12	217	301	359	+7.1	+5.5	1.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Morgan McCullough (OGILVIE)	28	33	47	56	61	213/302/355	142	278	6	5	27%	10%	87	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	41→49	47→45	53→55	48	209/284/337	128	275	15	16	29%	9%	73	-0.1	224/308/335	111	306	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	227/321/326	100	311	9	19	27%	11%	83	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB	28	46→50	51→55	52→45	48	234/303/394	160	290	18	8	26%	8%	96	+1.5	222/316/347	125	295	13	8	27%	11%	90	+1.0	207/323/309	102	281	10	5	27%	13%	81	+0.2
✕Josh VanMeter 2023 · MLB	28	41→47	49→55	49→50	53	212/299/366	154	266	16	9	26%	11%	87	+0.8	203/306/333	130	272	14	9	28%	12%	82	+0.5	169/296/280	111	230	13	8	30%	14%	63	-0.3
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	47	229/290/350	121	273	12	17	21%	7%	79	+0.3	228/308/352	124	288	13	12	24%	10%	87	+0.8	220/310/331	111	279	11	10	23%	11%	81	+0.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	53→55	46→45	47	217/298/391	173	286	22	8	31%	10%	93	+1.3	214/285/396	182	277	26	9	32%	8%	89	+1.0	178/253/347	170	203	29	6	30%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Taylor Walls 2023 · MLB	27	39→49	45	49→60	53	196/288/318	122	254	12	14	27%	11%	71	-0.3	200/289/318	118	261	11	26	26%	11%	71	-0.3	197/285/305	108	256	9	33	25%	11%	64	-0.4
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Conner Crumbliss 2014 · AAA	27	43→50	46→45	51→50	57	215/316/346	130	259	14	15	22%	12%	90	+1.0	221/295/349	128	260	13	12	20%	9%	82	+0.5	217/287/338	121	249	12	11	18%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	50→53	44→50	51→50	49	246/304/369	122	294	11	15	20%	8%	89	+1.0	227/292/357	130	274	12	10	21%	8%	82	+0.5	220/294/359	138	263	13	8	21%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2021 · MLB	28	47→53	49→50	50	49	238/303/392	154	278	17	9	21%	8%	95	+1.4	217/278/325	108	290	11	8	27%	7%	67	-0.5	186/249/234	48	274	3	3	31%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	40	47→50	48→40	48	204/290/339	135	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	218/297/342	124	289	13	7	27%	9%	81	+0.4	195/295/265	70	263	10	0	27%	12%	58	-0.2
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	50	212/293/324	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	75	-0.0	218/287/334	116	270	13	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Jordan Danks 2014 · MLB	27	49	48→50	51→50	47	241/311/380	139	325	15	14	29%	9%	95	+1.4	229/288/344	115	324	13	9	31%	7%	76	+0.1	223/279/323	100	318	12	7	32%	7%	65	-0.6