Shane Matheny — OGILVIE

Shane Matheny3B Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 30 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 203 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .290 / .337

PA203

HR5

K%32

BB%10

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	363	333	54	3	1	4	20	148	5	2	4	162	221	213	434	51	269	41	6	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	363	317	65	4	2	6	36	109	5	2	4	205	296	287	583	82	285	30	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	451	414	72	12	2	7	28	171	4	1	1	174	233	263	496	89	271	38	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	451	396	90	19	2	10	46	126	4	1	1	227	314	361	675	134	303	28	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	211	189	32	7	1	4	18	86	1	3	1	169	245	280	526	111	277	41	9	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	211	174	36	10	1	4	33	67	1	3	1	207	337	345	681	138	305	32	16	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	432	383	76	11	1	13	40	184	5	4	0	198	283	334	617	136	337	43	9	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	432	362	88	14	1	14	61	138	5	4	0	243	360	403	763	160	351	32	14	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA	2 teams	—	537	464	94	16	3	14	64	185	3	17	4	203	303	341	644	138	296	34	12	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA	2 teams	—	537	439	101	19	3	14	89	153	3	17	4	230	363	383	746	153	314	28	17	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	A+	3 teams	—	189	167	29	6	3	3	15	69	4	2	2	174	258	299	557	126	271	37	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	A+	3 teams	—	189	159	38	9	5	3	23	50	4	2	2	239	349	415	765	176	327	26	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	LAA	—	203	179	38	7	2	5	20	65	2	4	1	212	299	358	656	145	287	32	10	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	LAA	22%	190	167	34	7	1	4	19	59	2	3	1	204	293	329	622	126	285	31	10	286	77	-5	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.2
2028	32	MLB	LAA	34%	185	163	33	6	1	4	18	57	2	2	1	202	290	325	615	123	282	31	10	283	75	-5	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.3
2027	31	MLB	LAA	22%	41	37	7	1	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	284	32	10	277	70	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	LAA	34%	63	56	10	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	179	270	268	538	89	281	30	10	275	68	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	104	93	17	3	0	2	10	32	1	2	0	183	269	280	549	97	254	31	10	276	69	-4	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	106	19	0	12	62	200	6	12	0	182	268	277	545	95	255	31	10	276	69	-23	+2	-11	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2761	2459	462	75	15	58	242	1024	28	38	15	188	268	301	570	113	289	37	9	255	53	-146	+2	-6	+10	+78	-6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	110	18	4	14	57	241	7	9	4	190	271	307	578	117	292	37	9	255	53	-34	+0	-1	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	363	317	65	4	2	6	36	109	5	2	4	205	296	287	583	82	285	30	10	269	64	-15	-1	—	—	+10	-0.6
2019	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	61	57	18	3	0	3	4	14	0	0	0	316	361	526	887	211	375	23	7	389	156	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2019	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	390	339	72	16	2	7	42	112	4	1	1	212	306	333	640	121	290	29	11	290	80	-9	-0	—	—	+11	0.2
2021	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	211	174	36	10	1	4	33	67	1	3	1	207	337	345	681	138	305	32	16	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	50	47	8	1	0	2	3	23	0	0	0	170	220	319	539	149	273	46	6	241	43	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	382	315	80	13	1	12	58	115	5	4	0	254	378	416	794	162	360	30	15	357	131	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.6
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	213	172	38	3	1	3	38	69	1	9	2	221	365	302	667	81	343	32	18	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2023	27	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	324	267	63	16	2	11	51	84	2	8	2	236	362	434	797	199	297	26	16	353	129	+10	+1	—	—	+9	2.1
2024	28	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	69	58	18	5	1	1	10	20	0	1	0	310	412	483	895	172	459	29	14	392	158	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	28	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	72	13	3	2	1	12	22	4	0	1	181	330	319	649	139	240	24	13	298	86	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	28	ROK	ACL Angels	—	30	29	7	1	2	1	1	8	0	1	1	241	267	517	784	276	300	27	3	334	113	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane Matheny (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	203/290/337	134	287	5	4	32%	10%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→48	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	157	261	19	11	26%	10%	85	+0.7	229/309/385	156	308	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.5	215/297/359	143	306	15	0	32%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2015 · AAA	29	43→44	47→50	48→45	46	215/280/352	136	280	14	8	28%	8%	76	+0.0	230/281/344	114	283	12	7	23%	6%	73	-0.1	232/283/341	109	291	11	4	23%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Beau Taylor 2020 · MLB	30	46→45	45	47→30	51	218/309/342	124	311	12	4	31%	11%	85	+0.7	206/291/315	109	302	11	4	32%	10%	71	-0.3	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Cole Sturgeon 2022 · AAA	30	49→47	46→45	49→50	40	240/290/370	130	314	13	11	27%	5%	84	+0.6	217/269/326	109	262	11	12	21%	6%	63	-0.8	207/261/302	95	247	10	11	20%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→35	49→55	53→50	39	226/270/375	150	295	16	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	205/241/351	146	290	17	8	35%	4%	58	-1.2	178/208/309	131	254	16	7	37%	3%	31	-1.7
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→50	50→55	44	198/265/333	135	266	15	12	31%	8%	64	-0.8	203/276/336	133	297	16	11	35%	8%	70	-0.3	193/272/319	126	285	16	11	36%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2018 · MLB	30	42→50	48→60	45→50	49	205/298/349	144	304	16	11	35%	11%	83	+0.6	209/285/332	123	326	11	10	36%	9%	72	-0.2	194/270/311	116	314	7	8	37%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	43→45	46→55	51→45	48	218/290/343	126	277	13	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	230/305/352	122	296	13	7	25%	9%	85	+0.7	224/293/354	130	292	15	4	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→44	53→55	50	47	215/284/382	167	268	21	7	28%	9%	85	+0.7	225/282/392	167	291	22	5	30%	7%	87	+0.8	217/273/380	163	279	23	2	31%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Brooks Conrad 2010 · MLB	30	38→44	49→55	52→50	42	203/262/354	151	262	17	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	228/294/405	177	299	21	11	30%	8%	95	+1.4	225/298/436	211	291	27	7	32%	9%	102	+0.6
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Michael Hollimon 2012 · AAA	30	37→47	51→55	51→50	46	201/271/359	158	257	20	9	30%	9%	74	-0.1	210/272/355	145	277	16	9	29%	8%	72	-0.2	188/247/328	140	245	14	5	28%	7%	53	-0.5
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0
●Jason Pridie 2014 · MLB	30	47→54	46→50	53→55	41	235/281/364	129	306	13	10	27%	6%	78	+0.2	244/289/393	149	301	18	20	24%	6%	89	+1.0	249/295/405	156	299	20	24	23%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Steven Lerud 2015 · AAA	30	45→41	42→45	48→40	47	215/298/317	102	298	9	5	29%	9%	75	-0.0	217/292/296	79	308	6	5	29%	8%	66	-0.6	208/288/255	46	305	3	0	30%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	48→50	48→55	42	216/270/359	144	289	16	13	31%	7%	73	-0.1	224/287/342	118	297	11	14	27%	8%	76	+0.0	217/285/291	74	293	3	21	25%	8%	58	-0.4
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	47→55	49→45	43	220/287/358	138	285	15	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	229/296/387	158	286	17	8	25%	7%	92	+1.2	221/293/387	166	269	18	6	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	43→50	49→45	48→50	46	218/300/366	148	293	16	11	30%	8%	88	+0.9	213/285/328	115	309	11	11	32%	8%	72	-0.2	186/263/260	74	284	4	9	33%	8%	43	-0.8